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2026-08-07

结论与证据

全A收盘为2856家上涨、2536家下跌，上涨占比51.60%；成交2.6834万亿元，环比+5.33%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，85.9%样本位于MA20上方；75家封板、4家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方86% · 75家封板 · 温度76.0

支持证据

16方向中创新药当日+4.86%居前；102家触板、封板率73.5%，最高4板。

反证与边界

煤炭当日等权-1.08%，文化传媒方向-0.55%；成交额环比+5.33%，资金流分类代理+364.4亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.6834 万亿
成交环比: +5.33%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2856 / 2536 / 143
上涨覆盖: 51.60%
中位涨幅: +0.12%
MA20上方: 85.91%
20日新高 / 新低: 819 / 49
涨停 / 跌停: 75 / 4
触板 / 未封: 102 / 27
封板率: 73.53%
最高连板: 4 板

收盘温度 76

广度18.06
18.06
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势17.18
17.18
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态14.24
14.24
输入与公式
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11.5
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 67

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9
9
输入与公式
75.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.38
10.38
输入与公式
0.74 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.75
6.75
输入与公式
0.17 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.82
7.82
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应3.3
3.3
输入与公式
{"limitDown":4,"largeLoss":26} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.74
7.74
输入与公式
0.52 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比6.47
6.47
输入与公式
{"limitUp":75,"limitDown":4} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.02
7.02
输入与公式
1.05 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,940.04	+1.02%	1.2095 万亿
科创50	1,744.02	+2.51%	1,362.7 亿
深证成指	14,311.01	+1.42%	8,732.6 亿
创业板指	3,563.12	+1.35%	3,645.4 亿
中证1000	7,679.53	+1.98%	5,684.2 亿
国证2000	9,971.30	+1.91%	7,478.1 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	747	13.50%	+6.73%	+5.54%
趋势延续	1264	22.84%	+1.37%	+1.19%
低位修复	320	5.78%	+3.63%	+1.82%
中间状态	3204	57.89%	-0.81%	-0.73%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比51.60%，中位数涨幅+0.12%。

少数方向逆势承压

房地产、煤炭分别为-1.00%、-1.08%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+5.33%，102家触板中27家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

创新药强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

文化传媒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日73.5%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,940.04 · MA5 3,870.15 · MA10 3,848.78 · MA20 3,859.47

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,859.47 · 近10日最低 3,767.50 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 3,940.93 · 近20日最高 3,983.05

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

医药生物	趋势扩散	503	+4.24%	+7.59%	+5.49%	+2.99%	92.25%	87.87%	1,866.1 亿	6.95%	21	0	38.78	2.47
国防军工	趋势扩散	141	+3.83%	+6.88%	-7.80%	+0.47%	64.54%	93.62%	633.8 亿	2.36%	0	0	81.86	3.76
电子	趋势扩散	515	+3.17%	+14.65%	-14.56%	+2.59%	82.14%	78.64%	7,914.5 亿	29.49%	18	0	87.45	5.09
有色金属	趋势扩散	145	+2.68%	+11.89%	+3.80%	+1.93%	91.03%	99.31%	1,929.5 亿	7.19%	5	0	36.70	3.38
机械设备	趋势扩散	607	+1.19%	+9.05%	-4.47%	+0.49%	61.45%	90.28%	1,932.2 亿	7.20%	4	0	49.49	3.10
基础化工	修复延续	448	+0.77%	+7.15%	-0.57%	+0.13%	52.46%	92.19%	1,305.0 亿	4.86%	6	0	36.71	2.23
电力设备	趋势扩散	415	+0.65%	+6.59%	-1.50%	+0.24%	55.90%	93.98%	1,847.9 亿	6.89%	2	1	45.51	2.79
美容护理	修复延续	31	+0.63%	+1.90%	+4.96%	+0.39%	61.29%	80.65%	42.10 亿	0.16%	0	0	27.81	2.28
通信	方向待明	127	+0.56%	+13.14%	-4.41%	0.00%	49.61%	88.19%	2,401.9 亿	8.95%	4	0	105.10	4.55
建筑材料	方向待明	76	+0.49%	+5.82%	-1.32%	-0.42%	36.84%	85.53%	490.1 亿	1.83%	1	0	44.61	1.62
环保	方向待明	134	+0.33%	+5.62%	-0.65%	-0.20%	42.54%	85.07%	170.5 亿	0.64%	0	0	29.56	1.97
家用电器	方向待明	103	+0.25%	+4.12%	-0.47%	-0.26%	39.81%	84.47%	197.6 亿	0.74%	1	0	41.14	2.50
公用事业	方向待明	139	+0.08%	+2.31%	+6.60%	-0.31%	34.53%	69.06%	450.5 亿	1.68%	1	0	26.83	1.61
轻工制造	方向待明	167	+0.05%	+5.23%	+0.72%	-0.31%	40.72%	87.43%	164.4 亿	0.61%	1	0	30.05	2.13
汽车	方向待明	321	+0.05%	+4.07%	-1.44%	-0.21%	42.37%	85.67%	606.8 亿	2.26%	3	0	30.53	2.39
建筑装饰	高位分歧	155	-0.03%	+4.63%	-0.13%	-0.50%	33.55%	80.65%	295.8 亿	1.10%	4	1	30.51	2.01
石油石化	高位分歧	48	-0.05%	+2.42%	+5.97%	-0.14%	47.92%	85.42%	158.9 亿	0.59%	0	0	39.42	2.07
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-0.06%	-0.31%	+5.73%	-0.27%	34.92%	80.95%	302.6 亿	1.13%	1	0	25.81	2.21
社会服务	高位分歧	86	-0.07%	+3.02%	+6.44%	-0.52%	34.88%	93.02%	121.9 亿	0.45%	0	0	36.68	2.88
纺织服饰	高位分歧	108	-0.28%	+3.81%	+1.64%	-0.43%	31.48%	85.19%	125.4 亿	0.47%	1	0	29.96	1.90
农林牧渔	高位分歧	114	-0.38%	+2.93%	+3.91%	-0.55%	34.21%	86.84%	184.8 亿	0.69%	0	0	37.64	2.38
钢铁	方向待明	43	-0.39%	-0.20%	+5.23%	-0.82%	30.23%	72.09%	80.05 亿	0.30%	1	0	20.15	1.16
非银金融	方向待明	79	-0.46%	-0.98%	+0.71%	-0.42%	21.52%	41.77%	354.2 亿	1.32%	0	0	18.88	1.26
商贸零售	方向待明	100	-0.56%	+1.74%	+3.92%	-0.84%	23.00%	87.00%	160.2 亿	0.60%	0	0	31.52	1.88
综合	高位分歧	20	-0.64%	+2.53%	+2.12%	-0.76%	25.00%	85.00%	29.99 亿	0.11%	0	0	47.98	2.81
传媒	高位分歧	131	-0.80%	+3.02%	+4.87%	-0.86%	22.14%	90.08%	619.5 亿	2.31%	0	1	41.15	3.05
交通运输	方向待明	128	-0.84%	+0.03%	+3.31%	-0.93%	10.94%	61.72%	193.1 亿	0.72%	0	0	17.76	1.38
银行	退潮观察	42	-0.95%	-3.95%	+3.93%	-0.88%	2.38%	26.19%	267.3 亿	1.00%	0	0	5.99	0.54
计算机	高位分歧	356	-0.97%	+6.17%	+3.00%	-1.17%	26.40%	94.10%	1,682.3 亿	6.27%	1	1	80.59	3.61
房地产	高位分歧	94	-1.00%	+2.76%	+2.39%	-1.35%	19.15%	87.23%	146.6 亿	0.55%	0	0	35.47	1.15
煤炭	高位分歧	33	-1.08%	+3.70%	+10.60%	-1.13%	30.30%	87.88%	158.3 亿	0.59%	0	0	22.41	1.26

涨停生态

首板 61 家 · 多板 14 家 · 昨日涨停 83 家 · 今日晋级 14 家 · 晋级率 16.87%

4 板 · 5 家 · 云南锗业、汇绿生态、沃格光电、百花医药、宝鼎科技

3 板 · 2 家 · 有研新材、和远气体

2 板 · 7 家 · 方正科技、景旺电子、高争民爆、武汉凡谷、通宇通讯、开开实业、锴威特

1 板 · 61 家 · 光迅科技、生益科技、东材科技、盛达资源、中国稀土、昭衍新药、先导基电、华正新材

行业聚类

医药生物 · 21 家 · 最高 4 板 · 百花医药、开开实业、昭衍新药、哈药股份、凯莱英、博腾股份

电子 · 18 家 · 最高 4 板 · 沃格光电、宝鼎科技、有研新材、方正科技、景旺电子、锴威特

基础化工 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · 和远气体、高争民爆、东材科技、中化国际、保利联合、长江材料

有色金属 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 云南锗业、盛达资源、中国稀土、招金黄金、江南新材

建筑装饰 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 志特新材、恒尚节能、罗曼股份、德才股份

机械设备 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 合锻智能、宇晶股份、大元泵业、欧克科技

通信 · 4 家 · 最高 4 板 · 汇绿生态、武汉凡谷、通宇通讯、光迅科技

汽车 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 飞乐音响、秦安股份、朗博科技

电力设备 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 诺德股份、福莱特

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华银电力

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 宏昌科技

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 宁夏建材

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金发拉比

计算机 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 苏州科达

轻工制造 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 德尔未来

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金洲管道

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 百合股份

连续晋级与首板

云南锗业	002428.SZ	有色金属	+10.00%	4	117.4 亿	主板	101057	104842	1	4/4	1.95 亿
汇绿生态	001267.SZ	通信	+10.00%	4	29.72 亿	主板	112715	142851	7	6/10	8,898.18 万
沃格光电	603773.SH	电子	+10.00%	4	20.58 亿	主板	93110	100316	3	4/4	1.10 亿
百花医药	600721.SH	医药生物	+10.02%	4	6.28 亿	主板	93100	93203	1	4/4	1.60 亿
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	+10.01%	4	2.11 亿	主板	93000	93000	0	5/6	2.20 亿
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	+10.00%	3	42.88 亿	主板	100037	100037	0	3/3	2.54 亿
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	+10.01%	3	6.72 亿	主板	93103	134306	1	3/3	8,799.64 万
方正科技	600601.SH	电子	+10.00%	2	52.94 亿	主板	102022	142034	13	2/2	8,700.74 万
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	+10.00%	2	32.29 亿	主板	93107	94737	1	2/2	6.51 亿
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	+9.99%	2	11.91 亿	主板	95421	—	6	5/8	—
武汉凡谷	002194.SZ	通信	+10.01%	2	6.75 亿	主板	93206	93409	1	2/2	6,839.32 万
通宇通讯	002792.SZ	通信	+10.00%	2	3.08 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	4/5	3.05 亿
开开实业	600272.SH	医药生物	+10.01%	2	1.96 亿	主板	93916	93952	1	2/2	5,243.90 万
锴威特	688693.SH	电子	+19.99%	2	6,789.09 万	科创板	92502	92502	0	2/2	9,989.48 万
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	+10.00%	1	132.9 亿	主板	100727	145421	4	2/4	8,621.17 万
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	107.3 亿	主板	102035	150000	6	2/4	1.60 亿
东材科技	601208.SH	基础化工	+10.01%	1	49.80 亿	主板	131746	150000	5	3/4	1,306.07 万
盛达资源	000603.SZ	有色金属	+10.00%	1	36.16 亿	主板	145506	145506	0	2/3	7,611.90 万
中国稀土	000831.SZ	有色金属	+10.00%	1	33.90 亿	主板	95539	95539	0	1/1	2.33 亿
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	+10.01%	1	28.88 亿	主板	140729	140729	0	1/1	7,954.39 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	+0.12%	8.03 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
豪尔赛	002963.SZ	建筑装饰	-4.39%	3.62 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	-10.06%	6.44 亿	主板	—	94026	0	—	2.12 亿
欣天科技	300615.SZ	通信	-4.61%	9.23 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	-10.04%	1.39 亿	主板	—	93108	0	—	1.31 亿
凯撒文化	002425.SZ	传媒	-8.90%	7.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
博杰股份	002975.SZ	机械设备	+5.23%	22.84 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
江钨装备	600397.SH	机械设备	+9.00%	38.80 亿	主板	105009	—	3	3/4	—
博彦科技	002649.SZ	计算机	-5.58%	9.96 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
大立科技	002214.SZ	国防军工	-2.94%	4.37 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-1.35%	19.64 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中电电机	603988.SH	电力设备	-1.32%	6.82 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	+3.30%	46.16 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
金一文化	002721.SZ	纺织服饰	+4.76%	15.42 亿	主板	92500	—	3	2/3	—
江化微	603078.SH	电子	+6.38%	19.35 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	-9.96%	6.49 亿	主板	—	130414	9	—	4,695.74 万

跌停样本

恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	-9.96%	6.49 亿	主板	—	130414	9	—	4,695.74 万
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	-10.06%	6.44 亿	主板	—	94026	0	—	2.12 亿
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	-10.04%	1.39 亿	主板	—	93108	0	—	1.31 亿
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.01%	4,986.48 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	1.87 亿

大跌样本

津富士达	603468.SH	汽车	-17.98%	7.78 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
名家汇	300506.SZ	建筑装饰	-13.48%	9.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-10.28%	3,893.62 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	-10.06%	6.44 亿	主板	—	94026	0	—	2.12 亿
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	-10.04%	1.39 亿	主板	—	93108	0	—	1.31 亿
鑫宏业	301310.SZ	汽车	-10.03%	7.97 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.01%	4,986.48 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	1.87 亿
恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	-9.96%	6.49 亿	主板	—	130414	9	—	4,695.74 万
绿盟科技	300369.SZ	计算机	-9.64%	9.67 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	-9.04%	9,500.28 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
凯撒文化	002425.SZ	传媒	-8.90%	7.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
广脉科技	920924.BJ	通信	-8.46%	1.19 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

展芯股份	301707.SZ	国防军工	+396.89%	0	25.02 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
锐翔智能	920178.BJ	机械设备	+20.21%	0	3.33 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
志特新材	300986.SZ	建筑装饰	+20.03%	1	10.96 亿	创业板	111357	131321	1	1/1	7,757.37 万
博腾股份	300363.SZ	医药生物	+20.02%	1	13.83 亿	创业板	132251	133342	2	1/1	3,645.35 万
近岸蛋白	688137.SH	医药生物	+20.01%	1	1.71 亿	科创板	112655	112655	0	1/1	6,519.05 万
毕得医药	688073.SH	医药生物	+20.01%	1	3.23 亿	科创板	104902	104902	0	1/1	7,375.86 万
五洲医疗	301234.SZ	医药生物	+20.01%	1	5.49 亿	创业板	145633	145633	0	1/1	435.66 万
耐科装备	688419.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	3.55 亿	科创板	130229	143147	2	1/1	2,360.20 万
一博科技	301366.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	10.22 亿	创业板	95748	95748	0	1/1	4,572.51 万
义翘神州	301047.SZ	医药生物	+20.00%	1	13.71 亿	创业板	130215	133839	2	2/4	7,818.37 万
方邦股份	688020.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	8.62 亿	科创板	101133	143051	1	1/1	6,609.24 万
朗特智能	300916.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	4.16 亿	创业板	132803	143330	3	1/1	487.11 万

跌幅居前

津富士达	603468.SH	汽车	-17.98%	7.78 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
名家汇	300506.SZ	建筑装饰	-13.48%	9.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-10.28%	3,893.62 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	-10.06%	6.44 亿	主板	—	94026	0	—	2.12 亿
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	-10.04%	1.39 亿	主板	—	93108	0	—	1.31 亿
鑫宏业	301310.SZ	汽车	-10.03%	7.97 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.01%	4,986.48 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	1.87 亿
恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	-9.96%	6.49 亿	主板	—	130414	9	—	4,695.74 万
绿盟科技	300369.SZ	计算机	-9.64%	9.67 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	-9.04%	9,500.28 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
凯撒文化	002425.SZ	传媒	-8.90%	7.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
广脉科技	920924.BJ	通信	-8.46%	1.19 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3193	+0.30%	41.94%	82.31%	+1.72%
创业板	1397	+1.61%	59.34%	93.06%	+3.30%
科创板	612	+3.19%	82.19%	83.82%	+2.61%
北交所	333	+0.54%	55.56%	94.29%	+2.66%

市值分层

小盘	2768	+0.35%	45.48%	32.67 亿
中盘	1661	+1.21%	55.51%	93.57 亿
大盘	830	+2.23%	60.72%	289.1 亿
超大盘	276	+1.76%	61.96%	1,371.5 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+4.86%	+7.89%	+4.87%	+4.86%	+7.95%	+4.35%	+0.00%	96.79%	85.36%	1,424.5 亿	5.31%	85.00%	+3.90%	13	0	80.88 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势扩散	236/236	+4.73%	+17.88%	-9.95%	+4.71%	+18.02%	-10.48%	-0.02%	89.83%	92.37%	3,563.0 亿	13.28%	100.00%	+3.77%	17	0	265.8 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势扩散	43/43	+4.54%	+20.31%	-17.88%	+4.54%	+20.36%	-18.32%	-0.00%	95.35%	86.05%	747.6 亿	2.79%	100.00%	+3.58%	2	0	21.63 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势扩散	212/212	+3.90%	+18.01%	-12.65%	+3.91%	+18.00%	-13.19%	+0.01%	86.32%	83.49%	5,755.8 亿	21.45%	85.00%	+2.94%	14	0	101.6 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势扩散	204/204	+3.83%	+16.30%	-17.75%	+5.76%	+16.46%	-18.33%	+1.93%	91.18%	75.98%	3,709.8 亿	13.82%	70.00%	+2.87%	9	0	148.9 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势扩散	206/204	+3.59%	+15.51%	-19.28%	+3.56%	+15.58%	-19.53%	-0.02%	89.22%	67.65%	4,654.5 亿	17.35%	55.00%	+2.63%	7	0	158.2 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势扩散	57/57	+3.48%	+15.66%	-16.00%	+3.46%	+15.85%	-15.75%	-0.02%	87.72%	89.47%	1,108.2 亿	4.13%	60.00%	+2.51%	1	0	20.63 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势扩散	80/80	+2.79%	+15.81%	-13.34%	+2.81%	+15.80%	-14.47%	+0.02%	86.25%	86.25%	643.3 亿	2.40%	85.00%	+1.83%	1	0	24.16 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势扩散	34/34	+2.31%	+12.46%	-6.53%	+2.31%	+12.55%	-6.79%	-0.00%	88.24%	100.00%	132.1 亿	0.49%	95.00%	+1.35%	1	0	4.75 亿	100.00%
MLCC	趋势扩散	35/35	+1.83%	+17.86%	—	+1.83%	+14.77%	-13.67%	+0.00%	85.71%	94.29%	814.1 亿	3.03%	100.00%	+0.87%	1	0	-2,209.26 万	100.00%
液冷服务器	趋势扩散	229/229	+1.76%	+11.48%	-8.67%	+1.74%	+11.50%	-8.93%	-0.02%	64.63%	81.22%	3,286.2 亿	12.25%	75.00%	+0.79%	7	0	-20.05 亿	100.00%
商业航天	趋势扩散	507/506	+1.36%	+9.88%	-8.16%	+1.36%	+10.00%	-8.36%	+0.01%	63.04%	90.32%	3,840.3 亿	14.31%	90.00%	+0.40%	13	0	96.19 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势扩散	463/462	+1.25%	+8.88%	-6.47%	+1.26%	+9.02%	-6.89%	+0.01%	65.80%	90.04%	3,527.1 亿	13.14%	80.00%	+0.29%	3	0	65.12 亿	100.00%
减速器	趋势扩散	139/139	+0.88%	+7.10%	-4.52%	+0.88%	+7.11%	-4.78%	-0.00%	66.19%	94.24%	461.8 亿	1.72%	65.00%	-0.08%	1	0	2.12 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	-0.47%	-2.49%	+14.43%	-0.04%	-1.51%	+6.91%	+0.43%	50.00%	86.67%	136.1 亿	0.51%	30.00%	-1.43%	0	0	-2.62 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	高位分歧	197/197	-0.55%	+3.84%	+4.41%	-0.55%	+3.87%	+3.99%	-0.00%	24.87%	88.83%	733.2 亿	2.73%	80.00%	-1.52%	2	1	-13.05 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：博腾股份（300363.SZ）+20.02%、百普赛斯（301080.SZ）+20.00%、泓博医药（301230.SZ）+19.99%

领跌：济川药业（600566.SH）-4.39%、华丽家族（600503.SH）-0.93%、ST嘉应（002198.SZ）-0.89%

PCB · 趋势扩散

领涨：锐翔智能（920178.BJ）+20.21%、一博科技（301366.SZ）+20.00%、方邦股份（688020.SH）+20.00%

领跌：新北洋（002376.SZ）-5.72%、温州宏丰（300283.SZ）-2.62%、贝斯特（300580.SZ）-1.37%

电子化学品 · 趋势扩散

领涨：方邦股份（688020.SH）+20.00%、莱特光电（688150.SH）+13.31%、天承科技（688603.SH）+11.00%

领跌：硅烷科技（920402.BJ）-1.38%、海星股份（603115.SH）-0.14%

CPO · 趋势扩散

领涨：一博科技（301366.SZ）+20.00%、泰金新能（688813.SH）+17.69%、威尔高（301251.SZ）+16.95%

领跌：欧菲光（002456.SZ）-4.63%、宜通世纪（300310.SZ）-4.09%、中际旭创（300308.SZ）-3.68%

先进封装 · 趋势扩散

领涨：展芯股份（301707.SZ）+396.89%、耐科装备（688419.SH）+20.00%、方邦股份（688020.SH）+20.00%

领跌：ST福能（300173.SZ）-2.94%、*ST中迪（000609.SZ）-1.80%、硕贝德（300322.SZ）-1.15%

存储芯片 · 趋势扩散

领涨：耐科装备（688419.SH）+20.00%、南亚新材（688519.SH）+16.53%、德福科技（301511.SZ）+16.21%

领跌：凯瑞德（002072.SZ）-2.44%、中青宝（300052.SZ）-2.37%、东方中科（002819.SZ）-2.00%

玻璃基板 · 趋势扩散

领涨：汇成真空（301392.SZ）+11.64%、天承科技（688603.SH）+11.00%、沃格光电（603773.SH）+10.00%

领跌：亚玛顿（002623.SZ）-1.57%、中科信息（300678.SZ）-1.30%、维信诺（002387.SZ）-1.25%

光刻胶 · 趋势扩散

领涨：东材科技（601208.SH）+10.01%、聚石化学（688669.SH）+9.69%、七彩化学（300758.SZ）+9.52%

领跌：国风新材（000859.SZ）-2.81%、华软科技（002453.SZ）-2.73%、龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-2.16%

金属新材料 · 趋势扩散

领涨：斯瑞新材（688102.SH）+10.00%、江南新材（603124.SH）+10.00%、中科磁业（301141.SZ）+9.88%

领跌：中洲特材（300963.SZ）-2.01%、合金投资（000633.SZ）-0.77%、昆工科技（920152.BJ）-0.58%

MLCC · 趋势扩散

领涨：东材科技（601208.SH）+10.01%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+5.23%、信维通信（300136.SZ）+4.19%

领跌：国风新材（000859.SZ）-2.81%、龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-2.16%、昀冢科技（688260.SH）-0.58%

液冷服务器 · 趋势扩散

领涨：朗特智能（300916.SZ）+20.00%、捷邦科技（301326.SZ）+14.23%、苏州天脉（301626.SZ）+11.46%

领跌：华升股份（600156.SH）-4.98%、豪尔赛（002963.SZ）-4.39%、中际旭创（300308.SZ）-3.68%

商业航天 · 趋势扩散

领涨：一博科技（301366.SZ）+20.00%、腾景科技（688195.SH）+16.14%、嘉立创（001232.SZ）+12.15%

领跌：天融信（002212.SZ）-7.61%、吉大正元（003029.SZ）-7.30%、谱尼测试（300887.SZ）-4.47%

物理AI · 趋势扩散

领涨：一博科技（301366.SZ）+20.00%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+19.99%、芯朋微（688508.SH）+12.25%

领跌：鑫宏业（301310.SZ）-10.03%、欧菲光（002456.SZ）-4.63%、奔图科技（002180.SZ）-4.52%

减速器 · 趋势扩散

领涨：宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+19.99%、中国宝安（000009.SZ）+8.00%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+5.23%

领跌：*ST纳川（300198.SZ）-2.61%、奋达科技（002681.SZ）-2.35%、盛德鑫泰（300881.SZ）-2.33%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：泸州老窖（000568.SZ）+1.87%、古井贡酒（000596.SZ）+1.71%、百润股份（002568.SZ）+1.25%

领跌：*ST尼雅（600084.SH）-3.42%、会稽山（601579.SH）-2.02%、威龙股份（603779.SH）-1.79%

文化传媒 · 高位分歧

领涨：盛达资源（000603.SZ）+10.00%、德才股份（605287.SH）+10.00%、海伦钢琴（300329.SZ）+9.97%

领跌：大晟文化（600892.SH）-10.04%、凯撒文化（002425.SZ）-8.90%、高伟达（300465.SZ）-7.43%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

医药健康	52	+6.03%	+4.91%	+4.98%	+6.59%	104.7 亿	98.08%	9/34	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +1.51%
资源周期	59	+2.63%	+3.27%	+10.73%	+11.18%	86.35 亿	98.31%	17/34	永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF · +5.43%
AI与半导体	129	+2.47%	+1.43%	+7.43%	-13.07%	517.3 亿	100.00%	31/80	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · -0.26%
中小盘宽基	140	+1.61%	+1.76%	+6.56%	-6.21%	383.6 亿	100.00%	16/64	易方达创业板ETF · -1.11%
消费	46	+1.27%	+0.23%	-1.25%	+4.78%	25.31 亿	100.00%	14/12	鹏华中证酒ETF · +0.76%
大盘宽基	83	+1.25%	+0.88%	+1.59%	+0.60%	115.7 亿	100.00%	3/47	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -2.24%
红利防御	97	-0.29%	-0.10%	-1.25%	+4.13%	51.64 亿	100.00%	8/49	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.30%
金融地产	49	-0.31%	-0.10%	-0.99%	-0.80%	86.89 亿	100.00%	25/14	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.03%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	534	+4.03%	+7.26%	+5.46%	90.45%	87.45%	7.11%	21	0
AI硬件与数字经济	电子、通信、计算机	998	+1.36%	+11.43%	-7.00%	58.12%	85.37%	44.71%	23	1
高端制造	国防军工、机械设备、电力设备、汽车	1484	+1.04%	+7.08%	-3.30%	56.06%	90.63%	18.71%	9	1
资源周期	有色金属、基础化工、石油石化、钢铁、煤炭	717	+0.94%	+7.19%	+1.61%	57.60%	91.77%	13.53%	12	0
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	231	+0.14%	+5.03%	-0.52%	34.63%	82.25%	2.93%	5	1
公用防御	环保、公用事业、交通运输	401	-0.13%	+2.69%	+3.13%	29.68%	72.07%	3.03%	1	0
大消费	家用电器、食品饮料、社会服务、农林牧渔、商贸零售	529	-0.16%	+2.18%	+3.90%	33.46%	86.01%	3.60%	2	0
金融地产	非银金融、银行、房地产	215	-0.79%	+0.07%	+2.07%	16.74%	58.60%	2.86%	0	0

近五个交易日

2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +5.33%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +1.19%

涨停家数：压缩 · -8

最高连板：压缩 · -6

五日成交中位：2.5475 万亿 · 温度区间：56.7–84.1 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：电子化学品 4次、MLCC 2次、先进封装 2次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、光刻胶 1次

行业：电子 4次、通信 3次、医药生物 1次、国防军工 1次、有色金属 1次、煤炭 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+5.3%，上涨覆盖51.6%，五日成交中位25475.1亿元。

方向承接 · 创新药当日收益+4.86%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 医药生物涨停21家，最高4板。

负反馈 · 跌停4家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 25475.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 创新药

确认：创新药继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 16.9%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖51.6%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 28 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4

情绪九维 67

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9
9
输入与公式
75 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.38
10.38
输入与公式
0.7352941176470589 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.75
6.75
输入与公式
0.1686746987951807 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.82
7.82
输入与公式
0.012578614457831325 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应3.3
3.3
输入与公式
{"limitDown":4,"largeLoss":26} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.74
7.74
输入与公式
0.5159891598915989 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比6.47
6.47
输入与公式
{"limitUp":75,"limitDown":4} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.02
7.02
输入与公式
1.0507878148083767 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	747	13.50%	+6.73%	+5.54%
趋势延续	1264	22.84%	+1.37%	+1.19%
低位修复	320	5.78%	+3.63%	+1.82%
中间状态	3204	57.89%	-0.81%	-0.73%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 83 家 · 今日晋级 14 家 · 晋级率 16.87%

晋级名单

云南锗业	002428.SZ	有色金属	4	+10.00%
汇绿生态	001267.SZ	通信	4	+10.00%
沃格光电	603773.SH	电子	4	+10.00%
百花医药	600721.SH	医药生物	4	+10.02%
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	4	+10.01%
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	3	+10.00%
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	3	+10.01%
方正科技	600601.SH	电子	2	+10.00%
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	2	+10.00%
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	2	+9.99%
武汉凡谷	002194.SZ	通信	2	+10.01%
通宇通讯	002792.SZ	通信	2	+10.00%
开开实业	600272.SH	医药生物	2	+10.01%
锴威特	688693.SH	电子	2	+19.99%
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	1	+10.00%
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
东材科技	601208.SH	基础化工	1	+10.01%
盛达资源	000603.SZ	有色金属	1	+10.00%
中国稀土	000831.SZ	有色金属	1	+10.00%
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	1	+10.01%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 3 条假设

2026-08-07 → 2026-08-10 · 待结算

指数与大单净流入代理重新同向改善

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 主要指数收涨，且同口径供应商大单净流入代理为正。
失效条件: 指数与该代理继续背离，或代理转为净流出。
风险: 供应商算法未披露，该代理不能代表真实机构资金。
反证: 8月10日上证收涨0.67%，但供应商大单净流入代理为-414.7亿元。

2026-08-07 → 2026-08-10 · 待结算

AI硬件保持来源综合强弱前二

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 来源同口径当日和五日综合强弱均保持前二。
失效条件: 任一同口径排名跌出前二。
风险: 来源排名方法不可复算，只能结算来源标签是否延续。
反证: 没有订单、利润或毛利率新增硬证据。

2026-08-07 → 2026-08-10 · 待结算

AI硬件出现新增基本面硬证据

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 出现可核验的订单、利润或毛利率新增证据。
失效条件: 复核日仍无新增硬证据。
风险: 短期市场强弱可能先于基本面披露。
反证: 8月10日来源明确写明未取得新增订单、利润或毛利率证据。

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:02:29.130259+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。