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2026-08-06

结论与证据

全A收盘为2789家上涨、2590家下跌，上涨占比50.41%；成交2.5475万亿元，环比-4.94%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，80.8%样本位于MA20上方；83家封板、1家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方81% · 83家封板 · 温度62.4

支持证据

16方向中电子化学品当日+4.21%居前；106家触板、封板率78.3%，最高10板。

反证与边界

非银金融当日等权-1.05%，酿酒方向-1.08%；成交额环比-4.94%，资金流分类代理-382.6亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.5475 万亿
成交环比: -4.94%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2789 / 2590 / 154
上涨覆盖: 50.41%
中位涨幅: +0.06%
MA20上方: 80.82%
20日新高 / 新低: 856 / 36
涨停 / 跌停: 83 / 1
触板 / 未封: 106 / 23
封板率: 78.30%
最高连板: 10 板

收盘温度 62.4

广度17.64
17.64
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势16.16
16.16
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态14.82
14.82
输入与公式
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量能3.8
3.8
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数10
10
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 84

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
10.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.96
9.96
输入与公式
83.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.05
11.05
输入与公式
0.78 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率8
8
输入与公式
0.20 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.04 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应6
6
输入与公式
{"limitDown":1,"largeLoss":17} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.56
7.56
输入与公式
0.50 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比8.44
8.44
输入与公式
{"limitUp":83,"limitDown":1} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.95
5.95
输入与公式
1.00 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,900.35	+0.57%	1.1668 万亿
科创50	1,701.29	+0.45%	1,237.8 亿
深证成指	14,110.12	-0.24%	8,014.9 亿
创业板指	3,515.56	-0.55%	3,208.1 亿
中证1000	7,530.43	+0.50%	5,286.5 亿
国证2000	9,784.07	+0.79%	7,012.9 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	521	9.42%	+6.22%	+4.99%
趋势延续	1421	25.68%	+1.22%	+1.06%
低位修复	519	9.38%	+2.50%	+1.84%
中间状态	3072	55.52%	-1.04%	-0.88%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比50.41%，中位数涨幅+0.06%。

少数方向逆势承压

传媒、非银金融分别为-0.99%、-1.05%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-4.94%，106家触板中23家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

电子化学品强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

酿酒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日78.3%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,900.35 · MA5 3,848.60 · MA10 3,836.19 · MA20 3,862.28

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,862.28 · 近10日最低 3,767.50 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 3,902.05 · 近20日最高 4,074.83

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

煤炭	趋势扩散	33	+4.93%	+5.70%	+12.46%	+4.12%	96.97%	93.94%	181.7 亿	0.71%	7	0	22.66	1.28
通信	趋势扩散	127	+2.37%	+16.81%	-3.89%	+1.46%	74.02%	82.68%	2,147.4 亿	8.43%	9	0	102.28	4.60
电子	修复延续	515	+2.02%	+15.36%	-19.38%	+1.50%	74.56%	54.37%	7,345.3 亿	28.83%	14	1	85.43	4.90
建筑材料	趋势扩散	76	+1.42%	+7.06%	-0.81%	+0.87%	76.32%	89.47%	416.0 亿	1.63%	2	0	44.04	1.63
农林牧渔	趋势扩散	114	+1.30%	+5.11%	+6.75%	+0.82%	67.54%	86.84%	187.1 亿	0.73%	1	0	33.43	2.34
石油石化	趋势扩散	48	+1.27%	+3.29%	+6.77%	+1.02%	81.25%	89.58%	169.3 亿	0.66%	0	0	39.63	2.07
机械设备	趋势扩散	607	+1.03%	+11.34%	-4.69%	+0.45%	60.96%	83.20%	1,759.1 亿	6.91%	7	0	49.01	3.10
基础化工	趋势扩散	448	+1.00%	+7.97%	-1.09%	+0.54%	61.61%	86.61%	1,208.5 亿	4.74%	9	0	36.71	2.21
纺织服饰	趋势扩散	108	+0.99%	+5.85%	+2.93%	+0.64%	68.52%	86.11%	121.0 亿	0.47%	2	0	30.14	1.93
有色金属	修复延续	145	+0.92%	+11.50%	+1.30%	+0.42%	53.79%	95.86%	1,948.8 亿	7.65%	1	0	36.18	3.30
房地产	修复延续	94	+0.68%	+5.47%	+5.99%	+0.33%	53.19%	92.55%	152.3 亿	0.60%	1	0	35.97	1.14
轻工制造	趋势扩散	167	+0.52%	+7.49%	+1.79%	+0.31%	55.69%	90.42%	169.7 亿	0.67%	1	0	30.36	2.16
计算机	方向待明	356	+0.47%	+13.47%	+5.56%	-0.08%	47.75%	94.10%	1,803.4 亿	7.08%	9	0	84.87	3.66
建筑装饰	修复延续	155	+0.38%	+7.95%	+1.85%	+0.10%	50.32%	83.23%	326.4 亿	1.28%	1	0	30.96	1.98
国防军工	修复延续	140	+0.37%	+8.34%	-5.77%	+0.05%	50.00%	85.00%	573.8 亿	2.25%	1	0	79.60	3.76
家用电器	方向待明	103	+0.29%	+6.19%	+0.73%	0.00%	49.51%	85.44%	181.8 亿	0.71%	1	0	39.74	2.49
汽车	方向待明	321	+0.21%	+6.50%	-0.34%	-0.30%	39.25%	85.67%	662.0 亿	2.60%	0	0	30.12	2.37
环保	修复延续	134	+0.20%	+7.82%	+0.14%	+0.04%	50.00%	85.07%	191.7 亿	0.75%	1	0	29.59	1.98
综合	方向待明	20	+0.09%	+5.17%	+4.33%	-0.36%	40.00%	90.00%	33.13 亿	0.13%	0	0	49.18	2.82
银行	低位修复	42	+0.02%	-3.77%	+4.93%	+0.04%	50.00%	57.14%	309.2 亿	1.21%	0	0	6.04	0.54
商贸零售	高位分歧	100	-0.00%	+3.95%	+6.79%	-0.22%	39.00%	93.00%	164.6 亿	0.65%	1	0	31.88	1.90
医药生物	高位分歧	503	-0.06%	+5.33%	+3.91%	-0.44%	37.38%	60.44%	1,300.2 亿	5.10%	6	0	37.37	2.38
美容护理	高位分歧	31	-0.09%	+2.28%	+5.58%	-0.86%	38.71%	77.42%	40.89 亿	0.16%	0	0	27.51	2.29
社会服务	高位分歧	86	-0.12%	+5.86%	+8.19%	-0.29%	43.02%	96.51%	132.9 亿	0.52%	0	0	36.53	2.91
交通运输	方向待明	128	-0.18%	+1.52%	+5.23%	-0.58%	30.47%	76.56%	219.6 亿	0.86%	1	0	17.83	1.39
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-0.37%	+1.18%	+7.89%	-0.52%	30.95%	86.51%	305.2 亿	1.20%	0	0	26.08	2.22
电力设备	高位分歧	415	-0.42%	+8.25%	-1.36%	-0.87%	31.81%	87.47%	1,811.7 亿	7.11%	5	0	45.06	2.77
公用事业	高位分歧	138	-0.59%	+3.57%	+7.95%	-0.74%	30.43%	78.26%	482.3 亿	1.89%	1	0	27.03	1.61
钢铁	方向待明	43	-0.60%	+0.51%	+7.52%	-0.72%	20.93%	88.37%	87.54 亿	0.34%	0	0	20.24	1.16
传媒	高位分歧	131	-0.99%	+9.21%	+8.70%	-1.04%	20.61%	92.37%	646.4 亿	2.54%	2	0	41.25	3.04
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.05%	+0.00%	+0.26%	-1.17%	11.39%	50.63%	396.1 亿	1.55%	0	0	18.88	1.26

涨停生态

首板 61 家 · 多板 22 家 · 昨日涨停 105 家 · 今日晋级 21 家 · 晋级率 20.00%

10 板 · 1 家 · 爱丽家居

5 板 · 1 家 · 豪尔赛

4 板 · 2 家 · 风范股份、欣天科技

3 板 · 9 家 · 云南锗业、汇绿生态、博杰股份、百花医药、沃格光电、宝鼎科技、大晟文化、凯撒文化

2 板 · 9 家 · 中巨芯、有研新材、百合花、江化微、和远气体、博彦科技、中电电机、金一文化

1 板 · 61 家 · 长电科技、多氟多、方正科技、景旺电子、天通股份、科翔股份、滨化股份、泰晶科技

行业聚类

电子 · 14 家 · 最高 3 板 · 沃格光电、宝鼎科技、中巨芯、有研新材、江化微、长电科技

基础化工 · 9 家 · 最高 2 板 · 百合花、和远气体、多氟多、滨化股份、高争民爆、中欣氟材

计算机 · 9 家 · 最高 2 板 · 博彦科技、泛微网络、恒银科技、任子行、天融信、新北洋

通信 · 9 家 · 最高 4 板 · 欣天科技、汇绿生态、国安股份、通宇通讯、武汉凡谷、恒宝股份

机械设备 · 7 家 · 最高 3 板 · 博杰股份、江钨装备、蜀道装备、泰坦股份、*ST威领、北方股份

煤炭 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 兖矿能源、潞安环能、淮北矿业、大有能源、平煤股份、昊华能源

医药生物 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · 百花医药、合富中国、人民同泰、石药景峰、开开实业、易明医药

电力设备 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 风范股份、中电电机、ST天际、新能泰山、同洲电子

传媒 · 2 家 · 最高 3 板 · 大晟文化、凯撒文化

建筑材料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 西藏天路、西部建设

纺织服饰 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 金一文化、华升股份

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST雪发

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 惠天热电

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金健米业

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 翠微股份

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 大立科技

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · *ST帅电

建筑装饰 · 1 家 · 最高 5 板 · 豪尔赛

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天地源

有色金属 · 1 家 · 最高 3 板 · 云南锗业

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 侨银股份

轻工制造 · 1 家 · 最高 10 板 · 爱丽家居

连续晋级与首板

爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	+9.98%	10	3.96 亿	主板	92501	93115	1	11/21	6,548.36 万
豪尔赛	002963.SZ	建筑装饰	+10.01%	5	2.63 亿	主板	93003	95833	4	5/5	4,981.85 万
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	+9.98%	4	12.88 亿	主板	93025	131549	5	4/4	6,487.39 万
欣天科技	300615.SZ	通信	+19.97%	4	7.84 亿	创业板	93045	93757	1	4/4	7,300.28 万
云南锗业	002428.SZ	有色金属	+10.00%	3	70.63 亿	主板	93030	111821	5	3/3	5.85 亿
汇绿生态	001267.SZ	通信	+10.01%	3	27.79 亿	主板	130645	145618	3	5/9	8,271.58 万
博杰股份	002975.SZ	机械设备	+10.00%	3	14.34 亿	主板	100039	130051	3	3/3	1.43 亿
百花医药	600721.SH	医药生物	+9.99%	3	11.89 亿	主板	93028	104946	3	3/3	6,304.02 万
沃格光电	603773.SH	电子	+10.00%	3	11.36 亿	主板	94839	94936	1	3/3	1.72 亿
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	+9.99%	3	7.51 亿	主板	93054	94703	2	4/5	1.52 亿
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	+10.10%	3	6.57 亿	主板	92501	145637	11	3/3	878.08 万
凯撒文化	002425.SZ	传媒	+10.09%	3	4.19 亿	主板	92500	133351	3	3/3	8,187.21 万
江钨装备	600397.SH	机械设备	+10.03%	3	4.08 亿	主板	93003	93003	0	3/3	2.79 亿
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	+19.99%	2	49.44 亿	科创板	105448	144121	15	2/2	4,306.88 万
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	+10.00%	2	44.13 亿	主板	95111	131235	4	2/2	1.86 亿
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	+10.00%	2	11.34 亿	主板	93609	145312	46	3/4	1,641.28 万
江化微	603078.SH	电子	+10.01%	2	10.83 亿	主板	101956	111141	1	2/2	1.05 亿
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	+10.00%	2	8.91 亿	主板	104300	104300	0	2/2	1.30 亿
博彦科技	002649.SZ	计算机	+10.04%	2	6.24 亿	主板	93139	93403	1	2/2	1.14 亿
中电电机	603988.SH	电力设备	+10.02%	2	4.54 亿	主板	93124	140921	4	2/2	3,012.67 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

传智教育	003032.SZ	社会服务	-6.65%	12.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
德龙汇能	000593.SZ	公用事业	+0.89%	9.58 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
高乐股份	002348.SZ	轻工制造	-2.23%	8.80 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
盛视科技	002990.SZ	计算机	-0.14%	11.24 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新金路	000510.SZ	基础化工	-0.06%	14.42 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华懋科技	603306.SH	汽车	+0.06%	11.96 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
科瑞技术	002957.SZ	机械设备	+0.44%	12.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
冰轮环境	000811.SZ	机械设备	+2.13%	21.51 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
共达电声	002655.SZ	电子	+2.84%	11.05 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海星股份	603115.SH	电子	+3.03%	10.15 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金富科技	003018.SZ	轻工制造	+3.03%	8.37 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华盛昌	002980.SZ	电力设备	+3.80%	8.51 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东方钽业	000962.SZ	有色金属	+4.32%	27.41 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金海通	603061.SH	电子	+5.08%	16.42 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中材科技	002080.SZ	建筑材料	+5.55%	39.05 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东材科技	601208.SH	基础化工	+6.18%	39.80 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

ST联光	600363.SH	电子	-9.98%	0	8,078.62 万	主板	—	92503	0	—	14.22 亿

大跌样本

汉鑫科技	920092.BJ	计算机	-13.19%	2.95 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	-12.93%	27.29 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
嘉立创	001232.SZ	电子	-11.56%	37.86 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
世纪天鸿	300654.SZ	传媒	-10.56%	6.47 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
ST联光	600363.SH	电子	-9.98%	8,078.62 万	主板	—	92503	0	—	14.22 亿
立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	-9.90%	18.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	-8.74%	2.95 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	-8.12%	34.84 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
立方控股	920130.BJ	计算机	-7.86%	1.65 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
欣兴工具	301677.SZ	机械设备	-7.83%	6.56 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
福瑞医科	300049.SZ	医药生物	-7.73%	6.65 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-7.66%	5,379.97 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

津富士达	603468.SH	汽车	+114.72%	0	12.30 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
威尔高	301251.SZ	电子	+20.01%	1	4.98 亿	创业板	130248	130248	0	1/1	3,494.76 万
科翔股份	300903.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	25.25 亿	创业板	101951	101951	0	1/1	1.87 亿
锴威特	688693.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	3,533.11 万	科创板	92503	92503	0	1/1	1.16 亿
蜀道装备	300540.SZ	机械设备	+19.99%	1	7.41 亿	创业板	130757	130757	0	1/1	7,610.78 万
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	+19.99%	2	49.44 亿	科创板	105448	144121	15	2/2	4,306.88 万
广哈通信	300711.SZ	通信	+19.99%	1	2.64 亿	创业板	95036	95836	3	1/1	2,010.44 万
欣天科技	300615.SZ	通信	+19.97%	4	7.84 亿	创业板	93045	93757	1	4/4	7,300.28 万
飞天诚信	300386.SZ	计算机	+19.96%	1	2.60 亿	创业板	93427	93427	0	1/1	6,256.26 万
任子行	300311.SZ	计算机	+19.93%	1	11.07 亿	创业板	134703	134703	0	1/1	5,155.77 万
秋乐种业	920087.BJ	农林牧渔	+17.54%	0	1.92 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
德迈仕	301007.SZ	汽车	+16.89%	0	3.85 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

汉鑫科技	920092.BJ	计算机	-13.19%	2.95 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	-12.93%	27.29 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
嘉立创	001232.SZ	电子	-11.56%	37.86 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
世纪天鸿	300654.SZ	传媒	-10.56%	6.47 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
ST联光	600363.SH	电子	-9.98%	8,078.62 万	主板	—	92503	0	—	14.22 亿
立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	-9.90%	18.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	-8.74%	2.95 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	-8.12%	34.84 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
立方控股	920130.BJ	计算机	-7.86%	1.65 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
欣兴工具	301677.SZ	机械设备	-7.83%	6.56 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
福瑞医科	300049.SZ	医药生物	-7.73%	6.65 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-7.66%	5,379.97 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3193	+0.41%	47.26%	81.99%	+1.75%
创业板	1395	+0.68%	53.98%	84.16%	+3.30%
科创板	612	+1.13%	61.60%	62.58%	+2.28%
北交所	333	+0.39%	45.05%	89.19%	+2.67%

市值分层

小盘	2767	+0.72%	59.13%	32.69 亿
中盘	1660	+0.40%	40.84%	93.03 亿
大盘	830	+0.38%	40.96%	281.0 亿
超大盘	276	+0.38%	48.91%	1,345.0 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

电子化学品	趋势扩散	43/43	+4.21%	+19.01%	-26.10%	+4.21%	+18.96%	-26.60%	+0.00%	93.02%	51.16%	690.5 亿	2.71%	95.00%	+3.65%	3	0	20.30 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势扩散	204/203	+2.42%	+16.14%	-23.42%	+2.42%	+16.19%	-23.69%	+0.00%	74.88%	47.29%	3,371.2 亿	13.23%	50.00%	+1.86%	8	0	66.69 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势扩散	80/80	+2.41%	+16.30%	-18.36%	+2.41%	+16.24%	-19.24%	+0.00%	77.50%	61.25%	586.4 亿	2.30%	50.00%	+1.85%	2	0	15.02 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势扩散	206/204	+2.31%	+15.62%	-25.04%	+2.30%	+15.62%	-25.01%	-0.00%	78.92%	41.67%	4,315.4 亿	16.94%	30.00%	+1.75%	8	0	-2.36 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势扩散	212/212	+2.28%	+18.99%	-18.10%	+2.27%	+18.89%	-18.33%	-0.01%	80.19%	62.26%	5,190.1 亿	20.37%	55.00%	+1.72%	10	0	54.16 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势扩散	236/236	+2.18%	+17.03%	-16.20%	+2.17%	+17.18%	-16.16%	-0.01%	75.85%	68.64%	2,917.0 亿	11.45%	70.00%	+1.62%	8	0	57.90 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势扩散	57/57	+2.15%	+15.68%	-21.55%	+2.27%	+15.80%	-20.78%	+0.12%	70.18%	57.89%	979.5 亿	3.84%	50.00%	+1.59%	3	0	32.23 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势扩散	34/34	+1.29%	+12.54%	-8.26%	+1.29%	+12.59%	-8.47%	+0.00%	64.71%	91.18%	121.9 亿	0.48%	90.00%	+0.73%	0	0	2.79 亿	100.00%
MLCC	低位修复	35/35	+1.27%	—	—	+1.27%	+15.66%	-17.31%	-0.00%	62.86%	80.00%	788.6 亿	3.10%	95.00%	+0.71%	1	0	-19.06 亿	100.00%
商业航天	趋势扩散	507/506	+0.98%	+11.86%	-7.52%	+0.97%	+11.95%	-7.58%	-0.01%	58.30%	81.42%	3,540.0 亿	13.90%	75.00%	+0.42%	11	1	-2.23 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/229	+0.96%	+13.84%	-10.76%	+0.97%	+13.88%	-10.60%	+0.01%	54.15%	66.38%	3,058.3 亿	12.00%	60.00%	+0.40%	4	0	-68.11 亿	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/462	+0.37%	+12.21%	-7.27%	+0.40%	+12.40%	-7.43%	+0.03%	47.40%	79.22%	3,227.6 亿	12.67%	45.00%	-0.19%	4	0	-80.33 亿	100.00%
减速器	方向待明	139/139	+0.26%	+10.69%	-3.98%	+0.26%	+10.73%	-4.17%	+0.00%	43.17%	88.49%	446.7 亿	1.75%	55.00%	-0.29%	1	0	-15.84 亿	100.00%
创新药	高位分歧	281/280	-0.13%	+4.83%	+3.03%	-0.13%	+4.86%	+2.60%	-0.00%	34.64%	47.14%	983.3 亿	3.86%	50.00%	-0.69%	2	0	-15.81 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	高位分歧	197/197	-0.26%	+8.80%	+7.80%	-0.26%	+8.92%	+7.39%	-0.00%	31.47%	90.86%	767.5 亿	3.01%	90.00%	-0.82%	3	0	-50.65 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	-1.08%	+0.31%	+18.07%	-0.10%	-0.47%	+10.80%	+0.98%	33.33%	93.33%	140.3 亿	0.55%	35.00%	-1.64%	0	0	-2.86 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

电子化学品 · 趋势扩散

领涨：中巨芯（688549.SH）+19.99%、唯特偶（301319.SZ）+10.50%、天通股份（600330.SH）+10.01%

领跌：康美特（920189.BJ）-1.64%、龙辰科技（920161.BJ）-1.06%、瑞联新材（688550.SH）-0.25%

先进封装 · 趋势扩散

领涨：科翔股份（300903.SZ）+20.00%、中巨芯（688549.SH）+19.99%、光智科技（300489.SZ）+10.72%

领跌：山子高科（000981.SZ）-5.05%、托伦斯（301583.SZ）-4.95%、旷达科技（002516.SZ）-2.00%

光刻胶 · 趋势扩散

领涨：恒坤新材（688727.SH）+11.58%、聚和材料（688503.SH）+10.75%、江化微（603078.SH）+10.01%

领跌：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-5.09%、天龙集团（300063.SZ）-2.38%、吉和昌（920193.BJ）-2.31%

存储芯片 · 趋势扩散

领涨：科翔股份（300903.SZ）+20.00%、中巨芯（688549.SH）+19.99%、有研硅（688432.SH）+14.80%

领跌：托伦斯（301583.SZ）-4.95%、长鑫科技（688825.SH）-4.31%、中青宝（300052.SZ）-3.55%

CPO · 趋势扩散

领涨：威尔高（301251.SZ）+20.01%、科翔股份（300903.SZ）+20.00%、唯特偶（301319.SZ）+10.50%

领跌：联创电子（002036.SZ）-4.49%、迈信林（688685.SH）-3.18%、一博科技（301366.SZ）-3.03%

PCB · 趋势扩散

领涨：威尔高（301251.SZ）+20.01%、科翔股份（300903.SZ）+20.00%、温州宏丰（300283.SZ）+11.15%

领跌：嘉立创（001232.SZ）-11.56%、立方控股（920130.BJ）-7.86%、中岩大地（003001.SZ）-3.52%

玻璃基板 · 趋势扩散

领涨：长电科技（600584.SH）+10.00%、沃格光电（603773.SH）+10.00%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：中科信息（300678.SZ）-1.98%、捷佳伟创（300724.SZ）-1.17%、联赢激光（688518.SH）-1.06%

金属新材料 · 趋势扩散

领涨：江南新材（603124.SH）+8.49%、银河磁体（300127.SZ）+8.46%、有研粉材（688456.SH）+5.67%

领跌：中洲特材（300963.SZ）-3.94%、上大股份（301522.SZ）-2.03%、春光集团（301531.SZ）-1.41%

MLCC · 低位修复

领涨：博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%、厦门钨业（600549.SH）+6.98%、东材科技（601208.SH）+6.18%

领跌：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-5.09%、裕兴股份（300305.SZ）-3.04%、双星新材（002585.SZ）-2.13%

商业航天 · 趋势扩散

领涨：蜀道装备（300540.SZ）+19.99%、谱尼测试（300887.SZ）+13.42%、优机股份（920943.BJ）+11.67%

领跌：嘉立创（001232.SZ）-11.56%、ST联光（600363.SH）-9.98%、江苏神通（002438.SZ）-5.56%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：聚和材料（688503.SH）+10.75%、澄天伟业（300689.SZ）+10.35%、亿利达（002686.SZ）+10.05%

领跌：圣阳股份（002580.SZ）-6.28%、行云科技（300209.SZ）-6.22%、江苏神通（002438.SZ）-5.56%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：德迈仕（301007.SZ）+16.89%、谱尼测试（300887.SZ）+13.42%、景业智能（688290.SH）+11.40%

领跌：嘉立创（001232.SZ）-11.56%、传智教育（003032.SZ）-6.65%、捷众科技（920690.BJ）-5.48%

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：德迈仕（301007.SZ）+16.89%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%、运机集团（001288.SZ）+7.27%

领跌：山子高科（000981.SZ）-5.05%、星源卓镁（301398.SZ）-4.64%、圣龙股份（603178.SH）-3.91%

创新药 · 高位分歧

领涨：百花医药（600721.SH）+9.99%、石药景峰（000908.SZ）+9.98%、陇神戎发（300534.SZ）+9.48%

领跌：哈药股份（600664.SH）-8.12%、特宝生物（688278.SH）-5.24%、百洋医药（301015.SZ）-4.59%

文化传媒 · 高位分歧

领涨：大富科技（300134.SZ）+15.26%、国安股份（000839.SZ）+10.18%、大晟文化（600892.SH）+10.10%

领跌：世纪天鸿（300654.SZ）-10.56%、天下秀（600556.SH）-5.96%、北投科技（600936.SH）-4.70%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：金种子酒（600199.SH）+3.96%、威龙股份（603779.SH）+2.75%、ST通葡（600365.SH）+2.21%

领跌：百润股份（002568.SZ）-2.43%、ST椰岛（600238.SH）-2.27%、五粮液（000858.SZ）-1.35%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

AI与半导体	129	+1.54%	0.00%	+11.73%	-17.03%	550.0 亿	100.00%	40/68	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · -4.76%
资源周期	58	+1.51%	+0.64%	+9.50%	+8.78%	105.8 亿	100.00%	17/33	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · +0.54%
红利防御	97	+0.51%	-0.10%	-1.05%	+5.27%	66.42 亿	100.00%	14/47	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.15%
中小盘宽基	140	+0.09%	+0.09%	+8.37%	-9.35%	430.6 亿	100.00%	32/47	易方达创业板ETF · -2.20%
消费	46	-0.21%	-0.40%	-0.64%	+5.96%	25.18 亿	100.00%	14/13	鹏华中证酒ETF · +1.12%
大盘宽基	83	-0.23%	-0.16%	+1.26%	-1.88%	106.4 亿	100.00%	11/40	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.90%
金融地产	49	-0.64%	-0.38%	-0.97%	-1.44%	73.63 亿	100.00%	15/22	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.55%
医药健康	51	-1.37%	-1.41%	+1.25%	+4.48%	47.43 亿	100.00%	18/20	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.72%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

AI硬件与数字经济	通信、电子、计算机	998	+1.51%	+14.87%	-8.51%	64.93%	72.14%	44.34%	32	1
资源周期	煤炭、石油石化、基础化工、有色金属、钢铁	717	+1.08%	+7.82%	+1.06%	60.53%	89.12%	14.11%	17	0
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	231	+0.72%	+7.66%	+0.98%	58.87%	85.28%	2.91%	3	0
高端制造	机械设备、国防军工、汽车、电力设备	1483	+0.39%	+9.15%	-2.92%	47.07%	85.10%	18.87%	13	0
大消费	农林牧渔、家用电器、商贸零售、社会服务、食品饮料	529	+0.23%	+4.28%	+6.09%	45.94%	89.22%	3.81%	3	0
医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	534	-0.06%	+5.15%	+4.01%	37.45%	61.42%	5.26%	6	0
金融地产	房地产、银行、非银金融	215	-0.09%	+1.65%	+3.68%	37.21%	70.23%	3.37%	1	0
公用防御	环保、交通运输、公用事业	400	-0.19%	+4.34%	+4.47%	37.00%	80.00%	3.51%	3	0

近五个交易日

2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -4.94%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -16.93%

涨停家数：压缩 · -22

最高连板：抬升 · 2

五日成交中位：2.5475 万亿 · 温度区间：56.7–84.7 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：电子化学品 3次、CPO 2次、MLCC 2次、先进封装 2次、减速器 2次、光刻胶 1次

行业：通信 4次、电子 3次、计算机 2次、传媒 1次、有色金属 1次、煤炭 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-4.9%，上涨覆盖50.4%，五日成交中位25475.1亿元。

方向承接 · 电子化学品当日收益+4.21%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停14家，最高3板。

负反馈 · 跌停1家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 25475.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 电子化学品

确认：电子化学品继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 20.0%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖50.4%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 27 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10

情绪九维 84

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
10 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.96
9.96
输入与公式
83 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.05
11.05
输入与公式
0.7830188679245284 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率8
8
输入与公式
0.2 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.03753302857142858 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应6
6
输入与公式
{"limitDown":1,"largeLoss":17} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.56
7.56
输入与公式
0.5040665100307248 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比8.44
8.44
输入与公式
{"limitUp":83,"limitDown":1} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.95
5.95
输入与公式
0.9975747027081605 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	521	9.42%	+6.22%	+4.99%
趋势延续	1421	25.68%	+1.22%	+1.06%
低位修复	519	9.38%	+2.50%	+1.84%
中间状态	3072	55.52%	-1.04%	-0.88%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 105 家 · 今日晋级 21 家 · 晋级率 20.00%

晋级名单

爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	10	+9.98%
豪尔赛	002963.SZ	建筑装饰	5	+10.01%
风范股份	601700.SH	电力设备	4	+9.98%
欣天科技	300615.SZ	通信	4	+19.97%
云南锗业	002428.SZ	有色金属	3	+10.00%
汇绿生态	001267.SZ	通信	3	+10.01%
博杰股份	002975.SZ	机械设备	3	+10.00%
百花医药	600721.SH	医药生物	3	+9.99%
沃格光电	603773.SH	电子	3	+10.00%
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	3	+9.99%
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	3	+10.10%
凯撒文化	002425.SZ	传媒	3	+10.09%
江钨装备	600397.SH	机械设备	3	+10.03%
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	2	+19.99%
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	2	+10.00%
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	2	+10.00%
江化微	603078.SH	电子	2	+10.01%
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	2	+10.00%
博彦科技	002649.SZ	计算机	2	+10.04%
中电电机	603988.SH	电力设备	2	+10.02%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:02:24.697256+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。