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2026-07-16

结论与证据

全A收盘为2499家上涨、2861家下跌，上涨占比45.24%；成交2.4189万亿元，环比-6.51%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，35.8%样本位于MA20上方；48家封板、41家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方36% · 48家封板 · 温度33.7

支持证据

15方向中文化传媒当日+1.60%居前；76家触板、封板率63.2%，最高5板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-3.23%，电子化学品方向-5.99%；成交额环比-6.51%，资金流分类代理-838.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.4189 万亿
成交环比: -6.51%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2499 / 2861 / 164
上涨覆盖: 45.24%
中位涨幅: -0.18%
MA20上方: 35.83%
20日新高 / 新低: 546 / 1249
涨停 / 跌停: 48 / 41
触板 / 未封: 76 / 28
封板率: 63.16%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 33.7

广度15.83
15.83
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势7.17
7.17
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态8.09
8.09
输入与公式
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指数0
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 51.9

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数5.76
5.76
输入与公式
48.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率8.92
8.92
输入与公式
0.63 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率5.41
5.41
输入与公式
0.14 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价11.01
11.01
输入与公式
0.03 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":41,"largeLoss":266} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.79
6.79
输入与公式
0.45 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比2.7
2.7
输入与公式
{"limitUp":48,"limitDown":41} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能0.66
0.66
输入与公式
0.73 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,882.41	-1.85%	1.1242 万亿
科创50	1,846.88	-4.02%	1,748.2 亿
深证成指	14,488.65	-1.97%	7,938.0 亿
创业板指	3,692.46	-2.95%	2,852.4 亿
中证1000	7,631.76	-2.38%	4,730.9 亿
国证2000	9,880.07	-2.08%	6,285.1 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	264	4.78%	+6.18%	+4.96%
趋势延续	867	15.70%	+1.46%	+1.32%
低位修复	1188	21.51%	+1.53%	+0.98%
中间状态	3205	58.02%	-2.51%	-1.66%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比45.24%，中位数涨幅-0.18%。

少数方向逆势承压

煤炭、电子分别为-2.18%、-3.23%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-6.51%，76家触板中28家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

文化传媒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日63.2%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,882.41 · MA5 3,943.01 · MA10 3,979.77 · MA20 4,036.27

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,036.27 · 近10日最低 3,867.60 · 近20日最低 3,867.60；压力：近10日最高 4,074.83 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

传媒	趋势扩散	131	+2.18%	+3.20%	-2.09%	+1.82%	84.73%	62.60%	570.8 亿	2.36%	5	0	39.29	2.85
医药生物	趋势扩散	501	+1.17%	+9.24%	+11.32%	+1.14%	68.46%	86.23%	2,210.5 亿	9.14%	9	3	39.89	2.49
商贸零售	趋势扩散	99	+1.13%	+4.28%	-3.35%	+1.11%	78.79%	76.77%	196.2 亿	0.81%	3	0	31.69	1.81
美容护理	趋势扩散	30	+1.13%	+4.50%	+0.37%	+1.71%	73.33%	73.33%	51.83 亿	0.21%	0	0	26.38	2.23
食品饮料	趋势扩散	126	+0.83%	+6.08%	-0.63%	+0.73%	72.22%	74.60%	357.6 亿	1.48%	2	0	25.33	2.15
社会服务	修复延续	86	+0.64%	+0.79%	-8.46%	+1.10%	72.09%	48.84%	98.65 亿	0.41%	0	1	34.17	2.62
房地产	修复延续	95	+0.64%	+2.66%	-4.49%	+1.00%	71.58%	68.42%	183.7 亿	0.76%	2	2	36.39	1.12
计算机	低位修复	359	+0.61%	-2.05%	-9.64%	+0.75%	64.90%	26.46%	1,401.2 亿	5.79%	3	1	82.35	3.40
农林牧渔	趋势扩散	114	+0.58%	+4.38%	-0.01%	+0.89%	69.30%	75.44%	201.3 亿	0.83%	0	1	37.87	2.31
纺织服饰	修复延续	108	+0.43%	+0.83%	-4.30%	+0.43%	58.33%	48.15%	108.8 亿	0.45%	1	1	30.71	1.81
综合	修复延续	20	+0.24%	+1.98%	-5.59%	+0.82%	75.00%	50.00%	38.36 亿	0.16%	0	0	52.60	2.71
汽车	低位修复	319	+0.13%	-1.74%	-10.22%	+0.37%	57.37%	29.15%	618.0 亿	2.55%	2	1	29.81	2.37
轻工制造	低位修复	167	+0.00%	-0.42%	-7.37%	+0.09%	50.90%	43.71%	152.1 亿	0.63%	0	1	31.04	2.09
家用电器	方向待明	102	-0.10%	-0.98%	-8.03%	+0.34%	58.82%	35.29%	214.5 亿	0.89%	0	0	39.68	2.46
建筑装饰	方向待明	155	-0.13%	-0.07%	-7.47%	0.00%	47.10%	43.87%	258.9 亿	1.07%	2	3	31.82	1.87
交通运输	高位分歧	128	-0.32%	+2.50%	-2.14%	-0.15%	41.41%	64.84%	212.8 亿	0.88%	1	1	17.52	1.35
环保	方向待明	134	-0.53%	-1.23%	-8.03%	-0.23%	42.54%	35.82%	161.8 亿	0.67%	2	0	28.67	1.90
钢铁	高位分歧	43	-0.57%	+3.70%	-5.31%	-0.59%	30.23%	58.14%	73.35 亿	0.30%	0	0	19.36	1.12
银行	高位分歧	42	-0.76%	+2.95%	-1.79%	-0.84%	9.52%	90.48%	263.4 亿	1.09%	0	0	5.88	0.54
公用事业	方向待明	139	-0.99%	+0.99%	-12.33%	-0.81%	24.46%	35.97%	435.6 亿	1.80%	1	0	25.54	1.56
建筑材料	方向待明	76	-1.02%	-2.67%	-13.61%	-0.32%	36.84%	25.00%	291.4 亿	1.20%	0	1	42.44	1.60
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.18%	-0.15%	-0.56%	-0.82%	17.72%	50.63%	493.7 亿	2.04%	0	1	18.53	1.28
国防军工	退潮观察	139	-1.21%	-8.41%	-14.25%	-0.47%	35.97%	6.47%	552.2 亿	2.28%	1	0	73.42	3.67
电力设备	退潮观察	415	-1.25%	-5.88%	-18.56%	-1.00%	29.40%	4.58%	1,474.9 亿	6.10%	1	4	43.20	2.65
通信	方向待明	127	-1.28%	-6.81%	-16.43%	-0.49%	44.09%	14.17%	1,882.1 亿	7.78%	1	1	103.81	4.38
机械设备	退潮观察	605	-1.38%	-5.42%	-12.50%	-0.75%	35.21%	16.20%	1,646.5 亿	6.81%	1	3	47.99	3.03
基础化工	退潮观察	446	-1.52%	-3.57%	-12.25%	-0.95%	30.04%	22.42%	999.0 亿	4.13%	4	3	36.58	2.13
石油石化	方向待明	48	-1.66%	+0.29%	-5.35%	-1.17%	29.17%	43.75%	168.7 亿	0.70%	0	1	36.89	1.97
有色金属	退潮观察	145	-1.82%	-5.53%	-18.32%	-1.47%	18.62%	13.79%	1,081.3 亿	4.47%	1	1	34.41	3.23
煤炭	高位分歧	33	-2.18%	+3.61%	-3.93%	-1.96%	9.09%	63.64%	103.4 亿	0.43%	0	0	21.00	1.23
电子	退潮观察	513	-3.23%	-14.40%	-14.62%	-3.57%	21.64%	8.58%	7,686.9 亿	31.78%	6	11	90.89	5.39

涨停生态

首板 38 家 · 多板 10 家 · 昨日涨停 74 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 13.51%

5 板 · 1 家 · 哈药股份

4 板 · 1 家 · 云创退

3 板 · 1 家 · 艾艾精工

2 板 · 7 家 · 海南海药、香江控股、儒意电影、智度股份、永安药业、新华百货、南华生物

1 板 · 38 家 · 片仔癀、创新医疗、云赛智联、福日电子、逸豪新材、恒为科技、美格智能、天音控股

行业聚类

医药生物 · 9 家 · 最高 5 板 · 哈药股份、海南海药、永安药业、南华生物、片仔癀、创新医疗

电子 · 6 家 · 最高 1 板 · 福日电子、逸豪新材、国光电器、福蓉科技、格林精密、豪声电子

传媒 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 儒意电影、智度股份、电声股份、欢瑞世纪、上海电影

基础化工 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 艾艾精工、沃顿科技、ST海龙、道明光学

商贸零售 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 新华百货、天音控股、南极电商

计算机 · 3 家 · 最高 4 板 · 云创退、云赛智联、恒为科技

建筑装饰 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST龙元、文科股份

房地产 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 香江控股、沙河股份

汽车 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天海电子、圣龙股份

环保 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 劲旅环境、*ST国中

食品饮料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST西王、ST龙大

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 大众交通

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 立新能源

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 星网宇达

有色金属 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 长裕集团

机械设备 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 凤形股份

电力设备 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 北京科锐

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · *ST萃华

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 美格智能

连续晋级与首板

哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	+10.02%	5	14.65 亿	主板	92502	94507	2	5/5	2.65 亿
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+30.00%	4	2,879.75 万	北交所	93239	140109	11	4/4	97.74 万
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	+9.99%	3	601.98 万	主板	92501	92501	0	5/6	2.72 亿
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	+10.10%	2	16.15 亿	主板	110112	110348	1	2/2	8,769.28 万
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	+9.88%	2	9.07 亿	主板	93057	143821	2	2/2	4,539.93 万
儒意电影	002739.SZ	传媒	+10.02%	2	8.48 亿	主板	93033	93033	0	2/2	2.50 亿
智度股份	000676.SZ	传媒	+10.09%	2	4.93 亿	主板	94645	94645	0	2/2	1.04 亿
永安药业	002365.SZ	医药生物	+10.02%	2	3.32 亿	主板	93324	93324	0	2/2	8,277.11 万
新华百货	600785.SH	商贸零售	+10.04%	2	2.67 亿	主板	103234	103234	0	2/2	4,285.19 万
南华生物	000504.SZ	医药生物	+9.99%	2	2.65 亿	主板	93918	100515	1	2/2	1,962.32 万
片仔癀	600436.SH	医药生物	+10.00%	1	23.16 亿	主板	131257	145139	3	1/1	9,741.86 万
创新医疗	002173.SZ	医药生物	+10.03%	1	8.28 亿	主板	102527	103503	3	1/1	1.08 亿
云赛智联	600602.SH	计算机	+10.00%	1	6.11 亿	主板	93859	93859	0	1/1	1.63 亿
福日电子	600203.SH	电子	+9.96%	1	6.07 亿	主板	94503	94503	0	1/1	1.06 亿
逸豪新材	301176.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	6.07 亿	创业板	94445	94445	0	1/1	1,423.57 万
恒为科技	603496.SH	计算机	+10.00%	1	5.98 亿	主板	95812	104630	1	1/1	1.66 亿
美格智能	002881.SZ	通信	+10.00%	1	4.70 亿	主板	100742	100742	0	1/1	4,299.01 万
天音控股	000829.SZ	商贸零售	+10.01%	1	4.65 亿	主板	95103	95103	0	1/1	8,224.70 万
天海电子	001365.SZ	汽车	+9.99%	1	4.59 亿	主板	101900	101900	0	1/1	9,791.17 万
北京科锐	002350.SZ	电力设备	+10.00%	1	4.50 亿	主板	101548	101548	0	1/1	8,333.11 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	-10.00%	8,683.63 万	主板	—	92501	0	—	4.03 亿
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	-5.33%	3.66 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
天普股份	605255.SH	汽车	-10.00%	2.29 亿	主板	—	150000	2	—	45.51 万
大有能源	600403.SH	煤炭	-6.75%	7.72 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
迪哲医药	688192.SH	医药生物	-5.33%	19.20 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	-4.79%	6.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金煤科技	600844.SH	基础化工	-4.38%	4.06 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
江苏索普	600746.SH	基础化工	-3.01%	2.98 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
世茂能源	605028.SH	公用事业	+0.62%	2.04 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	+0.90%	6.23 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
人民同泰	600829.SH	医药生物	+5.16%	6.71 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	+5.35%	11.78 亿	主板	93703	—	3	2/3	—
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	+7.48%	47.36 亿	主板	105300	—	4	2/3	—
豫能控股	001896.SZ	公用事业	-9.70%	20.65 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
凯莱英	002821.SZ	医药生物	-8.05%	39.34 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
天顺股份	002800.SZ	交通运输	-5.20%	1.24 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-10.00%	288.1 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	-10.00%	158.9 亿	主板	—	142704	2	—	3.33 亿
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	-10.00%	108.2 亿	主板	—	132548	4	—	9.63 亿
华工科技	000988.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	84.39 亿	主板	—	141545	3	—	3.71 亿
麦格米特	002851.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	53.47 亿	主板	—	133021	6	—	2.95 亿
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	-10.00%	46.61 亿	主板	—	141442	1	—	1.33 亿
利通电子	603629.SH	电子	-10.00%	34.09 亿	主板	—	141305	0	—	6,140.16 万
中材科技	002080.SZ	建筑材料	-10.00%	30.70 亿	主板	—	133006	0	—	1.16 亿
众生药业	002317.SZ	医药生物	-10.00%	30.40 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
蔚蓝锂芯	002245.SZ	电力设备	-9.98%	27.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
先导基电	600641.SH	电子	-10.00%	25.77 亿	主板	—	140115	5	—	1.24 亿
华安证券	600909.SH	非银金融	-10.00%	25.65 亿	主板	—	150000	5	—	471.01 万

大跌样本

安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-19.26%	2.10 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
移为通信	300590.SZ	通信	-17.88%	7.96 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
澄天伟业	300689.SZ	通信	-17.05%	4.61 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
澜起科技	688008.SH	电子	-16.44%	255.8 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
利安隆	300596.SZ	基础化工	-16.24%	7.19 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天山电子	301379.SZ	电子	-14.94%	12.58 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
江丰电子	300666.SZ	电子	-14.94%	83.91 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
中熔电气	301031.SZ	电子	-14.20%	8.53 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
南网科技	688248.SH	电力设备	-13.36%	5.79 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧林生物	688319.SH	医药生物	-13.34%	5.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
戈碧迦	920438.BJ	电子	-12.82%	7.03 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
利扬芯片	688135.SH	电子	-12.72%	6.84 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

龙鑫智能	920117.BJ	电力设备	+98.21%	0	7.09 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
豪声电子	920701.BJ	电子	+30.00%	1	1.08 亿	北交所	94230	95536	1	1/1	1,199.54 万
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+30.00%	4	2,879.75 万	北交所	93239	140109	11	4/4	97.74 万
新赣江	920367.BJ	医药生物	+20.62%	0	4.23 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
格林精密	300968.SZ	电子	+20.05%	1	1.64 亿	创业板	93633	93633	0	1/1	7,850.44 万
逸豪新材	301176.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	6.07 亿	创业板	94445	94445	0	1/1	1,423.57 万
电声股份	300805.SZ	传媒	+19.97%	1	3.67 亿	创业板	94621	130654	2	1/1	2,253.15 万
博瑞医药	688166.SH	医药生物	+19.92%	0	19.46 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
万里马	300591.SZ	纺织服饰	+18.89%	0	4.71 亿	创业板	102148	—	1	0/0	—
普蕊斯	301257.SZ	医药生物	+14.02%	0	8.32 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华智数媒	300426.SZ	传媒	+13.94%	0	1.90 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
广和通	300638.SZ	通信	+13.75%	0	11.54 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-19.26%	2.10 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
移为通信	300590.SZ	通信	-17.88%	7.96 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
澄天伟业	300689.SZ	通信	-17.05%	4.61 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
澜起科技	688008.SH	电子	-16.44%	255.8 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
利安隆	300596.SZ	基础化工	-16.24%	7.19 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天山电子	301379.SZ	电子	-14.94%	12.58 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
江丰电子	300666.SZ	电子	-14.94%	83.91 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
中熔电气	301031.SZ	电子	-14.20%	8.53 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
南网科技	688248.SH	电力设备	-13.36%	5.79 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧林生物	688319.SH	医药生物	-13.34%	5.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
戈碧迦	920438.BJ	电子	-12.82%	7.03 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
利扬芯片	688135.SH	电子	-12.72%	6.84 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3192	-0.36%	47.12%	44.20%	+1.79%
创业板	1397	-0.63%	48.03%	26.70%	+3.04%
科创板	608	-2.41%	27.80%	21.71%	+2.62%
北交所	327	+0.49%	47.40%	19.27%	+1.83%

市值分层

小盘	2763	+0.18%	55.27%	31.83 亿
中盘	1657	-1.15%	39.41%	92.48 亿
大盘	828	-1.72%	30.31%	286.3 亿
超大盘	276	-1.82%	24.64%	1,355.0 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

文化传媒	方向待明	197/197	+1.60%	+2.50%	-3.63%	+1.60%	+2.46%	-4.02%	-0.00%	79.70%	58.38%	575.5 亿	2.38%	80.00%	+2.20%	5	0	10.48 亿	100.00%
创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+0.86%	+10.32%	+16.44%	+0.84%	+10.19%	+15.74%	-0.02%	64.64%	90.00%	1,717.5 亿	7.10%	95.00%	+1.46%	5	3	-25.00 亿	100.00%
酿酒	趋势扩散	31/30	+0.29%	+7.19%	+0.52%	+1.11%	+8.12%	-0.41%	+0.82%	83.33%	76.67%	184.6 亿	0.76%	85.00%	+0.89%	0	0	2.04 亿	100.00%
减速器	趋势转弱	139/139	-0.90%	-4.90%	-11.87%	-0.90%	-4.90%	-12.63%	+0.00%	35.97%	8.63%	442.2 亿	1.83%	5.00%	-0.30%	1	1	-10.66 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势转弱	463/461	-1.21%	-6.77%	-12.41%	-1.25%	-6.83%	-13.40%	-0.04%	36.44%	14.53%	3,325.2 亿	13.75%	5.00%	-0.61%	3	5	-85.99 亿	99.78%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/229	-1.81%	-8.71%	-12.36%	-1.80%	-8.55%	-13.05%	+0.01%	31.00%	14.41%	2,850.8 亿	11.79%	10.00%	-1.21%	4	3	-81.16 亿	100.00%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/506	-1.85%	-8.29%	-15.59%	-1.84%	-8.30%	-16.28%	+0.01%	29.45%	10.87%	3,157.3 亿	13.05%	5.00%	-1.25%	3	2	-127.3 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势转弱	34/34	-2.73%	-9.50%	-21.75%	-2.73%	-9.48%	-22.21%	+0.00%	8.82%	5.88%	87.45 亿	0.36%	5.00%	-2.13%	0	0	-4.85 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-2.93%	-12.10%	-21.31%	-2.90%	-11.69%	-21.93%	+0.03%	18.30%	8.51%	2,671.3 亿	11.04%	5.00%	-2.33%	3	3	-104.6 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-3.28%	-13.18%	-19.82%	-3.26%	-13.15%	-20.27%	+0.01%	17.92%	7.08%	4,749.8 亿	19.64%	5.00%	-2.67%	0	4	-213.7 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/80	-4.20%	-14.52%	-12.37%	-2.95%	-14.88%	-14.04%	+1.25%	20.00%	3.75%	604.1 亿	2.50%	10.00%	-3.59%	0	2	-51.41 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/57	-5.02%	-16.94%	—	-4.90%	-16.09%	-22.28%	+0.12%	3.51%	3.51%	1,126.1 亿	4.66%	5.00%	-4.42%	0	3	-66.37 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/203	-5.20%	-18.16%	-16.53%	-5.13%	-17.90%	-16.18%	+0.07%	9.36%	5.42%	3,639.5 亿	15.05%	5.00%	-4.60%	0	8	-242.3 亿	99.51%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/203	-5.20%	-18.26%	-10.95%	-5.17%	-18.05%	-11.62%	+0.03%	9.85%	6.40%	4,583.5 亿	18.95%	5.00%	-4.60%	0	8	-337.3 亿	99.03%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-5.99%	-19.22%	-18.91%	-5.99%	-19.36%	-19.56%	-0.00%	4.65%	2.33%	487.2 亿	2.01%	5.00%	-5.38%	0	2	-42.29 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：华智数媒（300426.SZ）+13.94%、智度股份（000676.SZ）+10.09%、儒意电影（002739.SZ）+10.02%

领跌：实益达（002137.SZ）-7.07%、鸿利智汇（300219.SZ）-6.28%、万润科技（002654.SZ）-6.11%

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：新赣江（920367.BJ）+20.62%、博瑞医药（688166.SH）+19.92%、普蕊斯（301257.SZ）+14.02%

领跌：欧林生物（688319.SH）-13.34%、瑞联新材（688550.SH）-10.52%、众生药业（002317.SZ）-10.00%

酿酒 · 趋势扩散

领涨：金种子酒（600199.SH）+5.04%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）+3.73%、今世缘（603369.SH）+2.59%

领跌：酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）-1.63%、水井坊（600779.SH）-0.14%

减速器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：圣龙股份（603178.SH）+9.99%、*ST春兴（002547.SZ）+5.36%、丰光精密（920510.BJ）+5.34%

领跌：德恩精工（300780.SZ）-10.46%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-10.00%、永茂泰（605208.SH）-8.87%

物理AI · 趋势转弱

领涨：广和通（300638.SZ）+13.75%、凯尔达（688255.SH）+11.98%、美格智能（002881.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：安联锐视（301042.SZ）-19.26%、南网科技（688248.SH）-13.36%、成都华微（688709.SH）-11.16%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：天铁科技（300587.SZ）+10.14%、道明光学（002632.SZ）+10.06%、沃顿科技（000920.SZ）+10.03%

领跌：澄天伟业（300689.SZ）-17.05%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-10.00%、利通电子（603629.SH）-10.00%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：格林精密（300968.SZ）+20.05%、广和通（300638.SZ）+13.75%、美格智能（002881.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-12.82%、成都华微（688709.SH）-11.16%、国芯科技（688262.SH）-10.93%

金属新材料 · 趋势转弱

领涨：合金投资（000633.SZ）+2.61%、上大股份（301522.SZ）+0.88%、天和磁材（603072.SH）+0.64%

领跌：铂科新材（300811.SZ）-7.49%、有研粉材（688456.SH）-7.19%、悦安新材（688786.SH）-7.06%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：逸豪新材（301176.SZ）+20.00%、则成电子（920821.BJ）+11.53%、国光电器（002045.SZ）+10.03%

领跌：天山电子（301379.SZ）-14.94%、艾森股份（688720.SH）-12.02%、壹石通（688733.SH）-11.53%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：则成电子（920821.BJ）+11.53%、紫光股份（000938.SZ）+8.61%、景旺电子（603228.SH）+7.94%

领跌：深科达（688328.SH）-11.27%、光力科技（300480.SZ）-10.21%、长电科技（600584.SH）-10.00%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）+98.21%、富祥股份（300497.SZ）+7.11%、百合花（603823.SH）+6.78%

领跌：锦华新材（920015.BJ）-12.10%、艾森股份（688720.SH）-12.02%、阿拉丁（688179.SH）-11.58%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：中科信息（300678.SZ）+2.00%、慧谷新材（301683.SZ）+0.56%

领跌：戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-12.82%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-11.48%、三孚新科（688359.SH）-10.12%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：润欣科技（300493.SZ）+5.62%、共进股份（603118.SH）+5.59%、领先股份（603991.SH）+5.51%

领跌：利安隆（300596.SZ）-16.24%、戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-12.82%、利扬芯片（688135.SH）-12.72%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：万通发展（600246.SH）+8.34%、红板科技（603459.SH）+7.53%、润欣科技（300493.SZ）+5.62%

领跌：澜起科技（688008.SH）-16.44%、天山电子（301379.SZ）-14.94%、江丰电子（300666.SZ）-14.94%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：中船特气（688146.SH）+1.86%、嘉德利（603435.SH）+0.36%

领跌：瑞联新材（688550.SH）-10.52%、三孚新科（688359.SH）-10.12%、海星股份（603115.SH）-10.00%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

消费	44	-0.34%	+0.22%	+4.90%	+2.12%	30.45 亿	100.00%	10/14	鹏华中证酒ETF · -0.91%
医药健康	51	-0.45%	-0.27%	+7.35%	+18.23%	104.2 亿	100.00%	21/28	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -3.70%
红利防御	93	-1.02%	-1.12%	+2.04%	-2.12%	57.18 亿	98.92%	34/19	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · +0.13%
金融地产	48	-1.29%	-1.38%	-0.87%	+1.18%	83.71 亿	100.00%	21/17	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +1.83%
资源周期	54	-1.53%	-1.44%	-1.71%	-14.24%	40.03 亿	100.00%	20/27	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +0.88%
大盘宽基	83	-1.71%	-1.76%	-2.67%	-2.98%	198.9 亿	100.00%	36/13	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +7.10%
中小盘宽基	139	-2.60%	-2.48%	-7.93%	-11.20%	403.3 亿	100.00%	41/34	易方达创业板ETF · -0.10%
AI与半导体	128	-5.03%	-3.16%	-12.22%	-4.95%	579.9 亿	99.22%	68/40	嘉实上证科创板芯片ETF · +1.17%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	531	+1.17%	+8.97%	+10.70%	68.74%	85.50%	9.35%	9	3
大消费	商贸零售、食品饮料、社会服务、农林牧渔、家用电器	527	+0.62%	+3.14%	-3.72%	70.21%	63.38%	4.42%	5	2
金融地产	房地产、银行、非银金融	216	-0.30%	+1.69%	-2.53%	39.81%	66.20%	3.89%	2	3
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	-0.42%	-0.93%	-9.49%	43.72%	37.66%	2.27%	2	4
公用防御	交通运输、环保、公用事业	401	-0.62%	+0.73%	-7.64%	35.91%	45.14%	3.35%	4	1
高端制造	汽车、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备	1478	-1.00%	-5.04%	-13.87%	38.43%	14.82%	17.74%	5	8
资源周期	钢铁、基础化工、石油石化、有色金属、煤炭	715	-1.56%	-2.94%	-12.22%	26.71%	26.15%	10.03%	5	5
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	999	-1.60%	-9.00%	-13.06%	40.04%	15.72%	45.35%	10	13

近五个交易日

2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -6.51%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -15.41%

涨停家数：压缩 · -26

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.7195 万亿 · 温度区间：10.8–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 4次、文化传媒 4次、酿酒 4次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、玻璃基板 1次

行业：医药生物 4次、传媒 2次、煤炭 2次、商贸零售 1次、国防军工 1次、有色金属 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-6.5%，上涨覆盖45.2%，五日成交中位27194.9亿元。

方向承接 · 文化传媒当日收益+1.60%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 医药生物涨停9家，最高5板。

负反馈 · 跌停41家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 27194.9亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 文化传媒

确认：文化传媒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 13.5%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖45.2%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 12 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5

情绪九维 51.9

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数5.76
5.76
输入与公式
48 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率8.92
8.92
输入与公式
0.631578947368421 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率5.41
5.41
输入与公式
0.13513513513513514 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价11.01
11.01
输入与公式
0.02587239189189189 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":41,"largeLoss":266} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.79
6.79
输入与公式
0.4523895727733526 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比2.7
2.7
输入与公式
{"limitUp":48,"limitDown":41} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能0.66
0.66
输入与公式
0.7329294261416263 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	264	4.78%	+6.18%	+4.96%
趋势延续	867	15.70%	+1.46%	+1.32%
低位修复	1188	21.51%	+1.53%	+0.98%
中间状态	3205	58.02%	-2.51%	-1.66%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 74 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 13.51%

晋级名单

哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	5	+10.02%
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	4	+30.00%
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	3	+9.99%
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.10%
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	2	+9.88%
儒意电影	002739.SZ	传媒	2	+10.02%
智度股份	000676.SZ	传媒	2	+10.09%
永安药业	002365.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.02%
新华百货	600785.SH	商贸零售	2	+10.04%
南华生物	000504.SZ	医药生物	2	+9.99%
片仔癀	600436.SH	医药生物	1	+10.00%
创新医疗	002173.SZ	医药生物	1	+10.03%
云赛智联	600602.SH	计算机	1	+10.00%
福日电子	600203.SH	电子	1	+9.96%
逸豪新材	301176.SZ	电子	1	+20.00%
恒为科技	603496.SH	计算机	1	+10.00%
美格智能	002881.SZ	通信	1	+10.00%
天音控股	000829.SZ	商贸零售	1	+10.01%
天海电子	001365.SZ	汽车	1	+9.99%
北京科锐	002350.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:12.575125+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。