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2026-07-15

结论与证据

全A收盘为3351家上涨、2098家下跌，上涨占比60.65%；成交2.5874万亿元，环比-4.86%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，33.0%样本位于MA20上方；74家封板、39家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方33% · 74家封板 · 温度41.5

支持证据

15方向中酿酒当日+3.77%居前；106家触板、封板率69.8%，最高4板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-4.06%，存储芯片方向-5.20%；成交额环比-4.86%，资金流分类代理-497.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.5874 万亿
成交环比: -4.86%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3351 / 2098 / 76
上涨覆盖: 60.65%
中位涨幅: +0.77%
MA20上方: 33.01%
20日新高 / 新低: 573 / 898
涨停 / 跌停: 74 / 39
触板 / 未封: 106 / 32
封板率: 69.81%
最高连板: 4 板

收盘温度 41.5

广度21.23
21.23
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势6.6
6.6
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态9.82
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 57.5

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.88
8.88
输入与公式
74.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率9.86
9.86
输入与公式
0.70 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率7.19
7.19
输入与公式
0.18 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.13
8.13
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":39,"largeLoss":228} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.61 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.16
4.16
输入与公式
{"limitUp":74,"limitDown":39} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.68
1.68
输入与公式
0.78 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,955.58	-0.29%	1.2263 万亿
科创50	1,924.27	-4.25%	1,696.4 亿
深证成指	14,779.40	-0.97%	8,388.4 亿
创业板指	3,804.70	-1.21%	2,919.8 亿
中证1000	7,817.83	-1.35%	5,042.7 亿
国证2000	10,090.29	-1.12%	6,588.0 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	403	7.29%	+6.09%	+4.88%
趋势延续	728	13.18%	+2.15%	+1.99%
低位修复	1800	32.58%	+1.70%	+1.36%
中间状态	2594	46.95%	-2.22%	-1.69%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比60.65%，中位数涨幅+0.77%。

少数方向逆势承压

有色金属、电子分别为-2.00%、-4.06%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-4.86%，106家触板中32家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

存储芯片弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日69.8%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,955.58 · MA5 3,973.85 · MA10 3,994.41 · MA20 4,047.56

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,047.56 · 近10日最低 3,869.30 · 近20日最低 3,869.30；压力：近10日最高 4,093.68 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

美容护理	修复延续	30	+3.34%	+2.28%	-2.50%	+2.97%	90.00%	70.00%	51.85 亿	0.20%	0	0	26.47	2.28
医药生物	趋势扩散	502	+3.26%	+7.69%	+9.03%	+2.58%	89.84%	83.27%	2,269.3 亿	8.77%	19	0	38.94	2.50
食品饮料	趋势扩散	126	+2.80%	+3.68%	-3.41%	+2.75%	92.06%	74.60%	433.4 亿	1.67%	3	0	26.19	2.14
传媒	修复延续	131	+2.79%	+1.85%	-6.11%	+2.68%	91.60%	46.56%	492.6 亿	1.90%	5	1	38.28	2.81
商贸零售	修复延续	99	+2.45%	+2.76%	-6.18%	+1.97%	85.86%	58.59%	203.7 亿	0.79%	5	0	31.38	1.78
非银金融	修复延续	79	+2.44%	+2.12%	+0.27%	+2.26%	96.20%	64.56%	698.6 亿	2.70%	1	0	18.88	1.29
煤炭	趋势扩散	33	+2.30%	+4.11%	-5.62%	+1.61%	84.85%	81.82%	121.4 亿	0.47%	2	0	21.25	1.23
钢铁	修复延续	43	+2.01%	+2.76%	-6.78%	+2.10%	83.72%	65.12%	86.52 亿	0.33%	1	0	19.57	1.12
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+1.84%	+2.97%	-2.60%	+1.78%	85.09%	71.93%	182.8 亿	0.71%	3	1	37.53	2.29
银行	修复延续	42	+1.47%	+2.89%	-1.66%	+1.47%	90.48%	97.62%	319.3 亿	1.23%	0	0	6.00	0.55
社会服务	低位修复	86	+1.35%	-1.31%	-10.01%	+1.60%	79.07%	33.72%	98.44 亿	0.38%	0	1	35.21	2.57
房地产	修复延续	95	+1.28%	+2.36%	-6.76%	+1.31%	82.11%	51.58%	191.9 亿	0.74%	1	1	36.71	1.12
交通运输	修复延续	128	+1.22%	+2.21%	-2.39%	+1.35%	82.03%	67.19%	248.3 亿	0.96%	2	0	18.05	1.34
公用事业	修复延续	139	+1.06%	+1.90%	-12.63%	+1.17%	74.82%	34.53%	430.6 亿	1.66%	5	0	25.45	1.56
纺织服饰	低位修复	108	+1.03%	-0.26%	-5.73%	+1.04%	72.22%	43.52%	103.8 亿	0.40%	4	1	30.55	1.81
轻工制造	低位修复	167	+0.84%	-0.71%	-8.48%	+1.03%	68.26%	34.13%	152.8 亿	0.59%	3	1	31.02	2.08
建筑装饰	低位修复	155	+0.60%	-0.10%	-7.53%	+1.30%	65.16%	38.71%	298.3 亿	1.15%	2	1	30.90	1.88
家用电器	低位修复	102	+0.59%	-0.79%	-8.62%	+0.74%	70.59%	32.35%	219.2 亿	0.85%	2	0	39.79	2.47
计算机	低位修复	359	+0.53%	-2.29%	-10.58%	+0.93%	64.90%	19.78%	1,323.7 亿	5.12%	2	2	82.84	3.40
环保	低位修复	134	+0.43%	-1.18%	-8.65%	+1.03%	66.42%	33.58%	170.9 亿	0.66%	0	0	28.66	1.90
汽车	低位修复	319	+0.37%	-2.01%	-11.29%	+0.65%	63.01%	25.08%	627.0 亿	2.42%	1	2	29.94	2.38
综合	修复延续	20	+0.33%	+2.14%	-7.15%	+0.76%	70.00%	50.00%	44.81 亿	0.17%	0	0	52.94	2.69
基础化工	低位修复	446	+0.03%	-2.28%	-11.56%	+0.70%	58.52%	20.85%	1,113.7 亿	4.30%	5	3	37.54	2.15
建筑材料	方向待明	76	-0.12%	-1.55%	-12.11%	+0.42%	57.89%	21.05%	324.8 亿	1.26%	0	0	42.17	1.64
机械设备	方向待明	605	-0.39%	-3.38%	-11.66%	+0.09%	50.41%	14.71%	1,744.0 亿	6.74%	2	6	48.73	3.10
电力设备	方向待明	414	-0.79%	-4.40%	-18.11%	-0.54%	41.55%	5.80%	1,607.3 亿	6.21%	4	2	43.16	2.70
国防军工	方向待明	140	-1.04%	-5.62%	-12.74%	-0.14%	46.43%	7.14%	653.4 亿	2.53%	0	2	74.51	3.72
通信	退潮观察	127	-1.31%	-3.85%	-15.73%	-1.19%	27.56%	10.24%	1,932.1 亿	7.47%	1	1	106.06	4.51
石油石化	方向待明	48	-1.78%	+2.09%	-4.85%	-0.93%	35.42%	43.75%	215.2 亿	0.83%	0	0	36.70	2.05
有色金属	退潮观察	145	-2.00%	-4.40%	-17.77%	-1.77%	24.83%	13.10%	1,267.5 亿	4.90%	0	0	35.35	3.27
电子	退潮观察	513	-4.06%	-7.81%	-9.00%	-4.12%	16.57%	8.38%	8,246.8 亿	31.87%	1	14	94.25	5.51

涨停生态

首板 58 家 · 多板 16 家 · 昨日涨停 89 家 · 今日晋级 16 家 · 晋级率 17.98%

4 板 · 1 家 · 哈药股份

3 板 · 3 家 · 恒尚节能、信通电子、云创退

2 板 · 12 家 · 迪哲医药、富春染织、贤丰控股、赤天化、大有能源、江苏索普、金煤科技、人民同泰

1 板 · 58 家 · 巨人网络、凯莱英、美诺华、昭衍新药、豫能控股、恺英网络、万邦医药、儒意电影

行业聚类

医药生物 · 19 家 · 最高 4 板 · 哈药股份、迪哲医药、人民同泰、九安医疗、凯莱英、美诺华

传媒 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 巨人网络、恺英网络、儒意电影、幸福蓝海、智度股份

公用事业 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 世茂能源、豫能控股、东方新能、德龙汇能、湖南发展

商贸零售 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 跨境通、宁波中百、新华百货、若羽臣、狮头股份

基础化工 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 赤天化、江苏索普、金煤科技、艾艾精工、汇得科技

电力设备 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 信通电子、华盛昌、爱旭股份、中利集团

纺织服饰 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 富春染织、璞源材料、云中马、安正时尚

农林牧渔 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中宠股份、宏辉果蔬、大湖股份

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 美盈森、天安新材、*ST集友

食品饮料 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 古井贡酒、金种子酒、味知香

交通运输 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 三羊马、天顺股份

家用电器 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 春光科技、*ST康佳A

建筑装饰 · 2 家 · 最高 3 板 · 恒尚节能、宏润建设

机械设备 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 银龙股份、银宝山新

煤炭 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 大有能源、新大洲A

计算机 · 2 家 · 最高 3 板 · 云创退、银信科技

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 香江控股

汽车 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 天普股份

电子 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 贤丰控股

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中嘉博创

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 首钢股份

非银金融 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 四川双马

连续晋级与首板

哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	+10.05%	4	4.94 亿	主板	93039	93039	0	4/4	4.40 亿
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+10.01%	3	10.43 亿	主板	141017	141753	3	11/12	3,786.08 万
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	+9.99%	3	3.59 亿	主板	93130	102518	3	3/3	3,551.14 万
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.03%	3	1,766.57 万	北交所	95502	100841	3	3/3	525.56 万
迪哲医药	688192.SH	医药生物	+20.01%	2	10.57 亿	科创板	93145	93145	0	2/2	1.04 亿
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	+9.99%	2	5.57 亿	主板	142308	142308	0	2/2	3,702.25 万
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	+10.00%	2	4.96 亿	主板	93015	93833	2	2/2	6,363.09 万
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	+10.19%	2	4.79 亿	主板	103818	103921	1	2/2	4,423.16 万
大有能源	600403.SH	煤炭	+9.96%	2	3.73 亿	主板	94740	94740	0	2/2	7,227.57 万
江苏索普	600746.SH	基础化工	+9.93%	2	2.78 亿	主板	130359	130359	0	2/2	4,246.36 万
金煤科技	600844.SH	基础化工	+10.00%	2	2.64 亿	主板	101011	101138	1	2/2	3,520.98 万
人民同泰	600829.SH	医药生物	+10.01%	2	2.37 亿	主板	93631	93722	1	2/2	5,325.52 万
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	2	2.18 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	2/2	3.32 亿
天普股份	605255.SH	汽车	+10.01%	2	1.02 亿	主板	93230	93230	0	2/2	2,073.36 万
世茂能源	605028.SH	公用事业	+9.99%	2	4,869.56 万	主板	93248	93336	1	2/2	2,891.73 万
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	+10.01%	2	386.51 万	主板	92503	92503	0	4/5	2.36 亿
巨人网络	002558.SZ	传媒	+10.01%	1	42.56 亿	主板	130218	133948	6	1/1	1.24 亿
凯莱英	002821.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	1	42.40 亿	主板	145309	145309	0	1/1	1.65 亿
美诺华	603538.SH	医药生物	+10.01%	1	38.66 亿	主板	95838	144353	3	2/4	1.07 亿
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	+10.00%	1	21.91 亿	主板	92502	93759	2	2/4	3.72 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

ST龙元	600491.SH	建筑装饰	-4.44%	1.71 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宿迁联盛	603065.SH	基础化工	-9.98%	9.03 亿	主板	—	110906	1	—	7,622.68 万
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	-8.30%	6.58 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宏桥控股	002379.SZ	有色金属	+6.69%	23.06 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
激智科技	300566.SZ	电子	-10.30%	9.55 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
嵘泰股份	605133.SH	汽车	-10.01%	4.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
博杰股份	002975.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	16.29 亿	主板	—	134830	22	—	2,094.59 万
淳中科技	603516.SH	计算机	-10.00%	11.64 亿	主板	—	150000	7	—	16.30 万
风华高科	000636.SZ	电子	-8.26%	61.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
艾华集团	603989.SH	电子	-7.81%	6.25 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
鼎际得	603255.SH	基础化工	-7.38%	1.26 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中曼石油	603619.SH	石油石化	-6.00%	11.34 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST洲际	600759.SH	石油石化	-5.76%	10.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
气派科技	688216.SH	电子	-5.72%	7.20 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
行云科技	300209.SZ	计算机	-5.50%	37.77 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
则成电子	920821.BJ	电子	-5.07%	1.67 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	-10.01%	151.0 亿	主板	—	134627	5	—	7.17 亿
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	-10.00%	90.81 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国卫星	600118.SH	国防军工	-10.00%	64.27 亿	主板	—	134944	0	—	2.30 亿
航天电子	600879.SH	国防军工	-9.99%	35.64 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
立昂微	605358.SH	电子	-10.00%	32.59 亿	主板	—	150000	4	—	3,574.46 万
旭光电子	600353.SH	电子	-10.00%	18.45 亿	主板	—	141727	2	—	2,785.44 万
德明利	001309.SZ	电子	-10.00%	17.56 亿	主板	—	92500	0	—	66.38 亿
华微电子	600360.SH	电子	-10.00%	16.98 亿	主板	—	103138	9	—	2.35 亿
合肥城建	002208.SZ	房地产	-10.01%	16.51 亿	主板	—	134754	1	—	4,968.80 万
博杰股份	002975.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	16.29 亿	主板	—	134830	22	—	2,094.59 万
红板科技	603459.SH	电子	-10.00%	14.11 亿	主板	—	150000	2	—	1,656.06 万
中京电子	002579.SZ	电子	-10.02%	13.21 亿	主板	—	143054	0	—	1,936.75 万

大跌样本

托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	-21.99%	25.20 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
东岳硅材	300821.SZ	基础化工	-16.01%	33.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
佰维存储	688525.SH	电子	-15.06%	168.0 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
康美特	920189.BJ	电子	-15.02%	3.45 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
有研硅	688432.SH	电子	-14.30%	20.03 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
三孚新科	688359.SH	电子	-14.30%	17.01 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
清溢光电	688138.SH	电子	-14.24%	10.94 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
星图测控	920116.BJ	计算机	-14.08%	3.98 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	-13.92%	2.81 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
日科化学	300214.SZ	基础化工	-13.58%	9.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
南网科技	688248.SH	电力设备	-13.42%	4.49 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
戈碧迦	920438.BJ	电子	-13.16%	8.74 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.03%	3	1,766.57 万	北交所	95502	100841	3	3/3	525.56 万
生物谷	920266.BJ	医药生物	+26.45%	0	1.97 亿	北交所	100020	—	1	0/0	—
博瑞医药	688166.SH	医药生物	+20.01%	1	4.13 亿	科创板	94040	94301	2	1/1	1.06 亿
迪哲医药	688192.SH	医药生物	+20.01%	2	10.57 亿	科创板	93145	93145	0	2/2	1.04 亿
万邦医药	301520.SZ	医药生物	+20.00%	1	9.65 亿	创业板	150000	150000	0	1/1	1,089.33 万
幸福蓝海	300528.SZ	传媒	+19.99%	1	6.33 亿	创业板	103757	103757	0	1/1	5,151.88 万
睿智医药	300149.SZ	医药生物	+19.98%	1	7.50 亿	创业板	93703	95439	2	1/1	8,797.83 万
银信科技	300231.SZ	计算机	+19.95%	1	4.46 亿	创业板	134300	134300	0	1/1	2,725.00 万
中赋科技	300692.SZ	环保	+18.22%	0	9.60 亿	创业板	111824	—	2	0/0	—
药康生物	688046.SH	医药生物	+17.02%	0	6.79 亿	科创板	102246	—	3	0/0	—
铂力特	688333.SH	机械设备	+16.71%	0	37.78 亿	科创板	95853	—	10	0/0	—
海特生物	300683.SZ	医药生物	+16.51%	0	5.43 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	-21.99%	25.20 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
东岳硅材	300821.SZ	基础化工	-16.01%	33.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
佰维存储	688525.SH	电子	-15.06%	168.0 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
康美特	920189.BJ	电子	-15.02%	3.45 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
有研硅	688432.SH	电子	-14.30%	20.03 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
三孚新科	688359.SH	电子	-14.30%	17.01 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
清溢光电	688138.SH	电子	-14.24%	10.94 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
星图测控	920116.BJ	计算机	-14.08%	3.98 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	-13.92%	2.81 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
日科化学	300214.SZ	基础化工	-13.58%	9.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
南网科技	688248.SH	电力设备	-13.42%	4.49 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
戈碧迦	920438.BJ	电子	-13.16%	8.74 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3192	+0.62%	67.42%	41.26%	+1.87%
创业板	1396	-0.06%	55.09%	22.42%	+2.88%
科创板	610	-0.91%	45.41%	22.95%	+2.52%
北交所	327	-0.11%	46.79%	16.51%	+2.09%

市值分层

小盘	2763	+0.73%	66.27%	31.82 亿
中盘	1658	+0.05%	57.36%	93.26 亿
大盘	828	-0.74%	50.36%	289.3 亿
超大盘	276	-0.67%	55.07%	1,383.3 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	趋势扩散	31/30	+3.77%	+5.38%	-0.90%	+3.90%	+5.66%	-3.12%	+0.13%	93.33%	76.67%	242.8 亿	0.94%	100.00%	+3.53%	2	0	15.25 亿	100.00%
创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+3.65%	+9.24%	+14.35%	+3.60%	+9.19%	+13.66%	-0.05%	89.64%	89.29%	1,834.6 亿	7.09%	100.00%	+3.41%	13	0	80.40 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/197	+1.78%	+1.37%	-7.09%	+1.78%	+1.23%	-7.51%	-0.00%	80.71%	42.64%	505.7 亿	1.95%	40.00%	+1.54%	4	2	8.22 亿	100.00%
减速器	趋势转弱	139/139	-0.22%	-3.64%	-12.00%	-0.22%	-3.69%	-12.93%	+0.00%	51.80%	10.79%	448.5 亿	1.73%	5.00%	-0.46%	0	1	-5.57 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势转弱	463/461	-0.84%	-4.54%	-11.19%	-0.86%	-4.77%	-12.41%	-0.02%	42.73%	13.02%	3,455.1 亿	13.35%	5.00%	-1.08%	3	6	-84.81 亿	99.57%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/506	-1.30%	-4.68%	-13.30%	-1.30%	-4.95%	-14.25%	+0.00%	39.13%	9.88%	3,414.5 亿	13.20%	5.00%	-1.54%	0	6	-159.2 亿	99.80%
金属新材料	趋势转弱	34/34	-1.97%	-6.87%	-20.68%	-1.97%	-7.04%	-21.23%	-0.00%	26.47%	8.82%	98.25 亿	0.38%	5.00%	-2.21%	0	0	-7,571.57 万	100.00%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/229	-2.04%	-4.91%	-10.18%	-2.02%	-5.01%	-11.26%	+0.01%	31.88%	13.97%	2,799.0 亿	10.82%	5.00%	-2.27%	0	3	-83.49 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/79	-3.05%	-7.57%	-6.69%	-3.11%	-7.85%	-7.70%	-0.07%	21.52%	7.59%	591.1 亿	2.28%	5.00%	-3.28%	0	1	-16.16 亿	98.75%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-3.49%	-6.58%	-16.52%	-3.44%	-6.43%	-17.51%	+0.04%	18.30%	7.23%	2,961.5 亿	11.45%	15.00%	-3.73%	3	3	-95.89 亿	99.58%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-3.88%	-6.33%	-14.79%	-3.79%	-6.46%	-15.69%	+0.09%	15.57%	7.55%	5,210.5 亿	20.14%	10.00%	-4.12%	1	6	-234.4 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/56	-4.83%	-9.21%	—	-4.70%	-8.79%	-14.99%	+0.13%	10.71%	1.79%	1,285.7 亿	4.97%	5.00%	-5.06%	0	2	-115.8 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-4.98%	-10.00%	-9.14%	-4.98%	-10.14%	-10.06%	-0.00%	9.30%	6.98%	532.0 亿	2.06%	5.00%	-5.21%	0	0	-12.18 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/202	-5.17%	-8.90%	-8.52%	-5.11%	-9.11%	-8.49%	+0.05%	8.91%	7.43%	4,131.4 亿	15.97%	5.00%	-5.40%	1	9	-302.6 亿	99.51%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/202	-5.20%	-8.52%	-2.30%	-5.11%	-8.70%	-3.30%	+0.09%	10.89%	10.40%	5,017.5 亿	19.39%	5.00%	-5.44%	1	8	-359.2 亿	99.03%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 趋势扩散

领涨：古井贡酒（000596.SZ）+10.00%、金种子酒（600199.SH）+9.98%、泸州老窖（000568.SZ）+7.04%

领跌：威龙股份（603779.SH）-3.31%、ST椰岛（600238.SH）-3.22%

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：博瑞医药（688166.SH）+20.01%、迪哲医药（688192.SH）+20.01%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）+20.00%

领跌：泽璟制药（688266.SH）-9.95%、ST海王（000078.SZ）-8.30%、圣泉集团（605589.SH）-7.14%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：幸福蓝海（300528.SZ）+19.99%、若羽臣（003010.SZ）+9.99%、儒意电影（002739.SZ）+9.96%

领跌：欢瑞世纪（000892.SZ）-9.97%、实益达（002137.SZ）-9.96%、万润科技（002654.SZ）-7.59%

减速器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：丰立智能（301368.SZ）+6.53%、丰光精密（920510.BJ）+5.79%、星源卓镁（301398.SZ）+5.73%

领跌：博杰股份（002975.SZ）-10.00%、美湖股份（603319.SH）-7.91%、斯莱克（300382.SZ）-7.62%

物理AI · 趋势转弱

领涨：铂力特（688333.SH）+16.71%、首钢股份（000959.SZ）+10.06%、宏润建设（002062.SZ）+10.04%

领跌：佰维存储（688525.SH）-15.06%、南网科技（688248.SH）-13.42%、东微半导（688261.SH）-11.36%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：铂力特（688333.SH）+16.71%、华曙高科（688433.SH）+15.00%、上海艾录（301062.SZ）+10.62%

领跌：星图测控（920116.BJ）-14.08%、戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-13.16%、中环海陆（301040.SZ）-10.61%

金属新材料 · 趋势转弱

领涨：华达新材（605158.SH）+6.36%、博威合金（601137.SH）+2.21%、合金投资（000633.SZ）+1.22%

领跌：江南新材（603124.SH）-7.79%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-6.51%、有研复材（688811.SH）-5.56%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：五洋自控（300420.SZ）+6.97%、ST华铭（300462.SZ）+4.15%、剑桥科技（603083.SH）+3.93%

领跌：日科化学（300214.SZ）-13.58%、东微半导（688261.SH）-11.36%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-11.22%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：联合化学（301209.SZ）+6.20%、国恩股份（002768.SZ）+4.22%、亚威股份（002559.SZ）+3.78%

领跌：吉和昌（920193.BJ）-13.92%、上海新阳（300236.SZ）-10.54%、兴业股份（603928.SH）-9.98%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：*ST康佳A（000016.SZ）+10.17%、贤丰控股（002141.SZ）+10.00%、信通电子（001388.SZ）+9.99%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-14.30%、吉和昌（920193.BJ）-13.92%、壹石通（688733.SH）-12.95%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：华盛昌（002980.SZ）+10.01%、金字火腿（002515.SZ）+7.59%、长飞光纤（601869.SH）+6.31%

领跌：聚辰股份（688123.SH）-12.43%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-11.22%、金戈新材（920083.BJ）-10.56%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：洪田股份（603800.SH）+4.97%、利亚德（300296.SZ）+4.73%、中科信息（300678.SZ）+1.47%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-14.30%、戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-13.16%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-10.00%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：天通股份（600330.SH）+2.00%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）+0.98%、中石科技（300684.SZ）+0.97%

领跌：康美特（920189.BJ）-15.02%、三孚新科（688359.SH）-14.30%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-11.22%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：狮头股份（600539.SH）+9.98%、灿瑞科技（688061.SH）+7.27%、鸿仕达（920125.BJ）+6.61%

领跌：托伦斯（301583.SZ）-21.99%、佰维存储（688525.SH）-15.06%、康美特（920189.BJ）-15.02%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：古鳌科技（300551.SZ）+12.57%、*ST康佳A（000016.SZ）+10.17%、凯瑞德（002072.SZ）+6.24%

领跌：托伦斯（301583.SZ）-21.99%、佰维存储（688525.SH）-15.06%、有研硅（688432.SH）-14.30%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

医药健康	51	+3.94%	+3.80%	+9.21%	+17.45%	134.2 亿	100.00%	19/29	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +1.26%
消费	44	+2.29%	+2.97%	+3.44%	+0.91%	36.99 亿	100.00%	11/15	鹏华中证酒ETF · +0.27%
金融地产	48	+2.13%	+2.28%	+1.99%	+2.28%	129.7 亿	100.00%	20/20	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · -0.85%
红利防御	92	+1.27%	+1.11%	+2.38%	-1.08%	56.51 亿	100.00%	27/35	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · +0.05%
大盘宽基	83	+0.79%	+0.30%	+1.53%	-1.06%	141.0 亿	100.00%	17/23	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.47%
资源周期	54	-0.91%	-1.75%	+0.13%	-12.79%	46.83 亿	100.00%	14/30	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +2.05%
中小盘宽基	139	-1.36%	-1.11%	-2.73%	-7.58%	332.1 亿	100.00%	51/34	易方达创业板ETF · +1.06%
AI与半导体	127	-5.18%	-2.96%	-4.23%	-0.47%	587.2 亿	100.00%	86/19	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · -0.71%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	532	+3.27%	+7.38%	+8.38%	89.85%	82.52%	8.97%	19	0
大消费	食品饮料、商贸零售、农林牧渔、社会服务、家用电器	527	+1.86%	+1.67%	-5.84%	83.11%	56.17%	4.40%	13	2
金融地产	非银金融、银行、房地产	216	+1.74%	+2.38%	-3.20%	88.89%	65.28%	4.68%	2	1
公用防御	交通运输、公用事业、环保	401	+0.90%	+0.97%	-8.03%	74.31%	44.64%	3.28%	7	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	+0.36%	-0.58%	-9.04%	62.77%	32.90%	2.41%	2	1
资源周期	煤炭、钢铁、基础化工、石油石化、有色金属	715	-0.28%	-1.82%	-11.81%	52.87%	26.29%	10.84%	8	3
高端制造	汽车、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工	1478	-0.40%	-3.58%	-13.49%	50.27%	13.73%	17.90%	7	12
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	999	-2.06%	-5.32%	-10.43%	35.34%	12.71%	44.46%	4	17

近五个交易日

2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -4.86%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -15.58%

涨停家数：压缩 · -15

最高连板：压缩 · -1

五日成交中位：2.8347 万亿 · 温度区间：10.8–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 3次、文化传媒 3次、酿酒 3次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、先进封装 1次

行业：医药生物 3次、国防军工 2次、煤炭 2次、传媒 1次、有色金属 1次、电子 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-4.9%，上涨覆盖60.7%，五日成交中位28347.1亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益+3.77%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 医药生物涨停19家，最高4板。

负反馈 · 跌停39家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 28347.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 18.0%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖60.7%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 11 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4

情绪九维 57.5

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.88
8.88
输入与公式
74 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率9.86
9.86
输入与公式
0.6981132075471698 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率7.19
7.19
输入与公式
0.1797752808988764 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.13
8.13
输入与公式
0.013870876404494381 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":39,"largeLoss":228} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.6065158371040724 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.16
4.16
输入与公式
{"limitUp":74,"limitDown":39} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.68
1.68
输入与公式
0.7839738945285307 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	403	7.29%	+6.09%	+4.88%
趋势延续	728	13.18%	+2.15%	+1.99%
低位修复	1800	32.58%	+1.70%	+1.36%
中间状态	2594	46.95%	-2.22%	-1.69%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 89 家 · 今日晋级 16 家 · 晋级率 17.98%

晋级名单

哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	4	+10.05%
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	3	+10.01%
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	3	+9.99%
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	3	+29.03%
迪哲医药	688192.SH	医药生物	2	+20.01%
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	2	+9.99%
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	2	+10.00%
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	2	+10.19%
大有能源	600403.SH	煤炭	2	+9.96%
江苏索普	600746.SH	基础化工	2	+9.93%
金煤科技	600844.SH	基础化工	2	+10.00%
人民同泰	600829.SH	医药生物	2	+10.01%
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.00%
天普股份	605255.SH	汽车	2	+10.01%
世茂能源	605028.SH	公用事业	2	+9.99%
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	2	+10.01%
巨人网络	002558.SZ	传媒	1	+10.01%
凯莱英	002821.SZ	医药生物	1	+10.00%
美诺华	603538.SH	医药生物	1	+10.01%
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:08.295328+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。