历史详情 · A 股观测台

2026-07-14

结论与证据

全A收盘为4211家上涨、1247家下跌，上涨占比76.23%；成交2.7195万亿元，环比-4.06%。单日广度明显扩张，24.8%样本位于MA20上方；89家封板、29家跌停，广度与涨停生态相互印证。这确认了当日扩张，但持续性仍需下一交易日验证。

广度扩张 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方25% · 89家封板 · 温度62.4

支持证据

15方向中PCB当日+4.13%居前；111家触板、封板率80.2%，最高5板。

反证与边界

国防军工当日等权-1.87%，商业航天方向-0.46%；成交额环比-4.06%，资金流分类代理+109.0亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.7195 万亿
成交环比: -4.06%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 4211 / 1247 / 66
上涨覆盖: 76.23%
中位涨幅: +1.55%
MA20上方: 24.84%
20日新高 / 新低: 265 / 612
涨停 / 跌停: 89 / 29
触板 / 未封: 111 / 22
封板率: 80.18%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 62.4

广度26.68
26.68
输入与公式
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趋势4.97
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态11.31
11.31
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 70.4

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数10.68
10.68
输入与公式
89.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.32
11.32
输入与公式
0.80 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率9.7
9.7
输入与公式
0.24 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.04 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":29,"largeLoss":96} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.76 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":89,"limitDown":29} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能2.48
2.48
输入与公式
0.82 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,967.13	+1.36%	1.2718 万亿
科创50	2,009.73	+0.77%	2,020.6 亿
深证成指	14,924.87	+2.77%	9,202.5 亿
创业板指	3,851.14	+3.43%	3,413.0 亿
中证1000	7,925.12	+1.76%	5,192.3 亿
国证2000	10,204.30	+1.56%	6,708.4 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	231	4.18%	+7.43%	+6.45%
趋势延续	377	6.82%	+2.46%	+2.23%
低位修复	3092	55.97%	+2.50%	+2.03%
中间状态	1824	33.02%	-0.97%	-0.73%

三项风险

普涨后的广度持续性尚未确认

上涨占比76.23%、中位数涨幅+1.55%；单日扩张不等同连续扩张。

少数方向逆势承压

计算机、国防军工分别为+0.07%、-1.87%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-4.06%，111家触板中22家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度扩张能否延续

上涨占比继续高于50%，且MA20上方比例不显著低于今日24.8%。

PCB强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

商业航天弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日80.2%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,967.13 · MA5 3,976.91 · MA10 4,010.10 · MA20 4,054.37

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,054.37 · 近10日最低 3,869.30 · 近20日最低 3,869.30；压力：近10日最高 4,143.31 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

石油石化	修复延续	48	+4.55%	+5.22%	-4.07%	+3.72%	87.50%	54.17%	270.2 亿	0.99%	6	0	37.98	2.08
煤炭	修复延续	33	+4.24%	+2.52%	-9.36%	+3.77%	96.97%	63.64%	139.7 亿	0.51%	3	0	20.96	1.20
有色金属	低位修复	145	+3.46%	-5.75%	-15.19%	+3.32%	91.72%	12.41%	1,456.1 亿	5.35%	5	0	36.24	3.30
医药生物	趋势扩散	502	+2.66%	+3.23%	+4.74%	+2.31%	87.05%	72.51%	1,587.4 亿	5.84%	8	0	38.11	2.43
建筑材料	低位修复	76	+2.35%	-3.24%	-11.15%	+2.10%	78.95%	6.58%	378.6 亿	1.39%	2	1	42.29	1.68
综合	修复延续	20	+2.27%	+0.67%	-7.54%	+2.43%	95.00%	40.00%	61.50 亿	0.23%	0	0	53.27	2.64
钢铁	低位修复	43	+2.22%	-0.02%	-9.25%	+1.93%	93.02%	41.86%	80.16 亿	0.29%	1	0	19.01	1.10
基础化工	低位修复	446	+2.09%	-4.97%	-10.93%	+2.04%	81.61%	13.90%	1,231.5 亿	4.53%	11	3	36.84	2.16
交通运输	修复延续	128	+1.93%	+0.73%	-4.66%	+1.69%	92.19%	52.34%	231.7 亿	0.85%	2	0	17.78	1.32
公用事业	低位修复	139	+1.92%	-0.35%	-13.50%	+1.71%	89.93%	25.18%	446.7 亿	1.64%	1	0	24.40	1.55
纺织服饰	低位修复	108	+1.81%	-2.39%	-7.16%	+2.05%	87.04%	30.56%	102.1 亿	0.38%	1	1	29.37	1.78
商贸零售	修复延续	99	+1.81%	+0.28%	-8.37%	+2.20%	86.87%	32.32%	124.2 亿	0.46%	1	2	29.93	1.73
环保	低位修复	134	+1.79%	-3.19%	-9.01%	+2.04%	83.58%	27.61%	168.2 亿	0.62%	1	0	28.52	1.89
电子	低位修复	513	+1.77%	-5.74%	-2.38%	+1.44%	66.67%	14.42%	9,377.4 亿	34.48%	13	2	99.43	5.68
美容护理	低位修复	30	+1.59%	-1.24%	-6.08%	+1.34%	80.00%	30.00%	30.65 亿	0.11%	0	0	25.87	2.25
轻工制造	低位修复	167	+1.52%	-2.96%	-9.63%	+1.55%	76.05%	24.55%	160.8 亿	0.59%	1	0	29.55	2.07
汽车	低位修复	319	+1.52%	-4.71%	-11.60%	+1.45%	79.00%	15.67%	607.9 亿	2.24%	7	1	29.85	2.37
社会服务	低位修复	86	+1.47%	-3.08%	-11.44%	+1.39%	80.23%	17.44%	88.17 亿	0.32%	1	0	35.38	2.56
机械设备	低位修复	605	+1.42%	-5.92%	-10.02%	+1.57%	75.04%	9.92%	1,857.7 亿	6.83%	5	7	49.80	3.08
电力设备	低位修复	413	+1.40%	-6.91%	-15.37%	+1.36%	77.48%	5.57%	1,781.9 亿	6.55%	7	3	43.66	2.73
房地产	修复延续	95	+1.39%	+1.24%	-8.85%	+1.67%	80.00%	30.53%	155.3 亿	0.57%	1	1	35.40	1.11
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+1.31%	+0.05%	-4.94%	+1.39%	69.30%	50.88%	154.1 亿	0.57%	1	0	36.66	2.24
建筑装饰	低位修复	155	+1.30%	-1.05%	-7.93%	+1.40%	76.77%	27.10%	318.6 亿	1.17%	4	1	30.63	1.84
食品饮料	修复延续	126	+1.28%	+0.80%	-7.00%	+1.47%	81.75%	49.21%	254.9 亿	0.94%	1	1	25.30	2.07
非银金融	低位修复	79	+1.21%	-0.88%	-1.74%	+0.93%	88.61%	27.85%	515.2 亿	1.89%	0	0	18.25	1.26
家用电器	低位修复	102	+1.16%	-3.18%	-8.77%	+1.53%	76.47%	22.55%	236.0 亿	0.87%	0	0	41.41	2.45
通信	低位修复	127	+0.77%	-2.25%	-12.67%	+0.84%	66.93%	12.60%	2,343.5 亿	8.62%	1	1	107.19	4.40
银行	修复延续	42	+0.55%	+2.03%	-4.42%	+0.57%	69.05%	90.48%	318.3 亿	1.17%	0	0	5.88	0.54
传媒	低位修复	131	+0.31%	-1.14%	-9.05%	+0.61%	63.36%	14.50%	399.2 亿	1.47%	1	0	37.24	2.73
计算机	低位修复	359	+0.07%	-1.25%	-10.42%	+0.11%	52.37%	14.76%	1,514.6 亿	5.57%	4	1	81.59	3.35
国防军工	退潮观察	140	-1.87%	-6.90%	-11.37%	-1.03%	36.43%	8.57%	802.6 亿	2.95%	0	4	75.03	3.72

涨停生态

首板 81 家 · 多板 8 家 · 昨日涨停 33 家 · 今日晋级 8 家 · 晋级率 24.24%

5 板 · 1 家 · ST龙元

3 板 · 1 家 · 哈药股份

2 板 · 6 家 · 宏桥控股、宿迁联盛、恒尚节能、ST海王、信通电子、云创退

1 板 · 81 家 · 东山精密、沪电股份、生益科技、风华高科、金安国纪、行云科技、华正新材、蔚蓝锂芯

行业聚类

电子 · 13 家 · 最高 1 板 · 东山精密、沪电股份、生益科技、风华高科、金安国纪、华正新材

基础化工 · 11 家 · 最高 2 板 · 宿迁联盛、和邦生物、道恩股份、赤天化、联化科技、ST海龙

医药生物 · 8 家 · 最高 3 板 · 哈药股份、ST海王、九安医疗、济民健康、迪哲医药、辰欣药业

汽车 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 飞龙股份、岱美股份、嵘泰股份、凯龙高科、保隆科技、常润股份

电力设备 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 信通电子、蔚蓝锂芯、华通线缆、福斯特、豪鹏科技、汇金通

石油石化 · 6 家 · 最高 1 板 · 通源石油、恒逸石化、中曼石油、ST洲际、蓝焰控股、泰山石油

有色金属 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 宏桥控股、天山铝业、驰宏锌锗、中孚实业、鑫科材料

机械设备 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 博杰股份、创力集团、天桥起重、拓山重工、神州高铁

建筑装饰 · 4 家 · 最高 5 板 · ST龙元、恒尚节能、中岩大地、成都路桥

计算机 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 云创退、行云科技、今天国际、淳中科技

煤炭 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 电投能源、昊华能源、大有能源

交通运输 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 富临运业、*ST瑞茂

建筑材料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 友邦吊顶、三峡新材

传媒 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 风语筑

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 世茂能源

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 敦煌种业

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中百集团

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华联控股

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 艾布鲁

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 力合科创

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 富春染织

轻工制造 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 悦心健康

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华脉科技

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 海南矿业

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST西王

连续晋级与首板

ST龙元	600491.SH	建筑装饰	+9.76%	5	2.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	+9.97%	3	17.42 亿	主板	94201	103543	1	3/3	1.14 亿
宏桥控股	002379.SZ	有色金属	+10.00%	2	18.28 亿	主板	135451	140851	5	2/2	9,670.15 万
宿迁联盛	603065.SH	基础化工	+10.00%	2	12.28 亿	主板	95637	103113	3	3/6	5,256.72 万
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+9.99%	2	11.31 亿	主板	143643	143643	0	10/11	3,890.95 万
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	+10.10%	2	7.69 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	+10.00%	2	1.02 亿	主板	93242	93242	0	2/2	6,495.32 万
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.17%	2	1,790.30 万	北交所	94507	130001	8	2/2	313.12 万
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	238.6 亿	主板	130339	130339	0	2/4	11.79 亿
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	125.5 亿	主板	130430	135730	2	1/1	2.53 亿
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	117.8 亿	主板	95306	130003	1	1/1	10.50 亿
风华高科	000636.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	73.31 亿	主板	145000	145000	0	1/1	7,477.75 万
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	47.09 亿	主板	131224	131224	0	1/1	1.17 亿
行云科技	300209.SZ	计算机	+20.00%	1	37.32 亿	创业板	130739	140133	5	1/1	9,484.77 万
华正新材	603186.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	35.83 亿	主板	101956	143829	4	1/1	6,598.93 万
蔚蓝锂芯	002245.SZ	电力设备	+10.01%	1	34.89 亿	主板	103200	130018	1	1/1	7,163.37 万
江海股份	002484.SZ	电子	+10.01%	1	32.43 亿	主板	132803	132900	1	1/1	1.86 亿
通源石油	300164.SZ	石油石化	+20.04%	1	27.30 亿	创业板	140054	140054	0	1/1	5,225.81 万
天山铝业	002532.SZ	有色金属	+9.96%	1	26.54 亿	主板	141224	142951	3	1/1	6,507.20 万
广合科技	001389.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	24.85 亿	主板	95203	112912	1	1/1	2.85 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

贵绳股份	600992.SH	机械设备	-9.98%	3.60 亿	主板	—	150000	5	—	319.67 万
亚联机械	001395.SZ	机械设备	-4.13%	2.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
立方制药	003020.SZ	医药生物	+0.92%	10.07 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中信重工	601608.SH	机械设备	-7.40%	9.46 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
九丰能源	605090.SH	公用事业	-5.70%	27.65 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
沃顿科技	000920.SZ	基础化工	-1.64%	5.63 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华建集团	600629.SH	建筑装饰	+1.71%	9.70 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
联环药业	600513.SH	医药生物	+4.58%	8.80 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
万邦医药	301520.SZ	医药生物	-9.65%	7.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天目药业	600671.SH	医药生物	-7.48%	2.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
睿能科技	603933.SH	电子	-6.92%	5.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
肯特催化	603120.SH	基础化工	-4.07%	3.22 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国软件	600536.SH	计算机	-2.33%	16.05 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
奇精机械	603677.SH	家用电器	+0.58%	8,963.91 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
亚泰集团	600881.SH	综合	+1.21%	3.56 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
晋亿实业	601002.SH	机械设备	+2.89%	3.24 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

惠科股份	001399.SZ	电子	-9.99%	22.91 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国卫星	600118.SH	国防军工	-10.00%	21.34 亿	主板	—	93154	0	—	11.22 亿
铖昌科技	001270.SZ	国防军工	-10.00%	12.06 亿	主板	—	133400	6	—	1.42 亿
凯美特气	002549.SZ	基础化工	-10.01%	11.44 亿	主板	—	142009	11	—	2,032.47 万
苏州固锝	002079.SZ	电力设备	-9.99%	8.23 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
兴业股份	603928.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	7.23 亿	主板	—	140414	14	—	3,476.20 万
青龙管业	002457.SZ	建筑材料	-10.01%	5.10 亿	主板	—	132830	9	—	6,915.47 万
莲花控股	600186.SH	食品饮料	-9.95%	4.70 亿	主板	—	93130	1	—	3.53 亿
合肥城建	002208.SZ	房地产	-10.01%	3.82 亿	主板	—	93054	1	—	3.91 亿
魅视科技	001229.SZ	计算机	-9.99%	3.78 亿	主板	—	134115	0	—	2,656.72 万
贵绳股份	600992.SH	机械设备	-9.98%	3.60 亿	主板	—	150000	5	—	319.67 万
三维通信	002115.SZ	通信	-10.00%	3.55 亿	主板	—	93130	1	—	1.20 亿

大跌样本

双杰电气	300444.SZ	电力设备	-20.00%	2.00 亿	创业板	—	93245	1	—	3.35 亿
美硕科技	301295.SZ	电力设备	-19.86%	2.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	-19.28%	32.89 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
海兰信	300065.SZ	国防军工	-17.78%	28.98 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
优机股份	920943.BJ	机械设备	-14.59%	1.13 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
航天环宇	688523.SH	国防军工	-13.94%	7.07 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
超捷股份	301005.SZ	汽车	-11.83%	14.50 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华丰科技	688629.SH	国防军工	-11.81%	76.94 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
国博电子	688375.SH	国防军工	-10.93%	7.76 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
信科移动	688387.SH	通信	-10.91%	18.22 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
卓易信息	688258.SH	计算机	-10.75%	11.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
冰川网络	300533.SZ	传媒	-10.63%	2.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

则成电子	920821.BJ	电子	+29.97%	1	1.77 亿	北交所	132116	135431	2	1/1	1,481.10 万
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.17%	2	1,790.30 万	北交所	94507	130001	8	2/2	313.12 万
科力股份	920088.BJ	石油石化	+24.21%	0	5.22 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
科莱瑞迪	920072.BJ	医药生物	+23.51%	0	1.65 亿	北交所	105028	—	1	0/0	—
今天国际	300532.SZ	计算机	+20.07%	1	4.02 亿	创业板	93139	—	3	0/0	—
通源石油	300164.SZ	石油石化	+20.04%	1	27.30 亿	创业板	140054	140054	0	1/1	5,225.81 万
激智科技	300566.SZ	电子	+20.01%	1	10.51 亿	创业板	132203	133239	2	1/1	9,074.54 万
药易购	300937.SZ	医药生物	+20.01%	1	2.40 亿	创业板	100624	102636	1	1/1	3,910.89 万
气派科技	688216.SH	电子	+20.01%	1	6.28 亿	科创板	100306	130006	2	1/1	8,996.55 万
迪哲医药	688192.SH	医药生物	+20.00%	1	4.37 亿	科创板	130017	130017	0	1/1	1.23 亿
行云科技	300209.SZ	计算机	+20.00%	1	37.32 亿	创业板	130739	140133	5	1/1	9,484.77 万
风光股份	301100.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	1	1.05 亿	创业板	140312	140312	0	1/1	4,594.86 万

跌幅居前

双杰电气	300444.SZ	电力设备	-20.00%	2.00 亿	创业板	—	93245	1	—	3.35 亿
美硕科技	301295.SZ	电力设备	-19.86%	2.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	-19.28%	32.89 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
海兰信	300065.SZ	国防军工	-17.78%	28.98 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
优机股份	920943.BJ	机械设备	-14.59%	1.13 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
航天环宇	688523.SH	国防军工	-13.94%	7.07 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
超捷股份	301005.SZ	汽车	-11.83%	14.50 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华丰科技	688629.SH	国防军工	-11.81%	76.94 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
国博电子	688375.SH	国防军工	-10.93%	7.76 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
信科移动	688387.SH	通信	-10.91%	18.22 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
卓易信息	688258.SH	计算机	-10.75%	11.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
冰川网络	300533.SZ	传媒	-10.63%	2.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3191	+1.56%	78.25%	29.80%	+1.81%
创业板	1396	+1.57%	74.00%	17.62%	+3.06%
科创板	610	+1.12%	63.77%	22.46%	+2.63%
北交所	327	+2.34%	89.30%	11.62%	+1.84%

市值分层

小盘	2763	+1.70%	80.78%	31.50 亿
中盘	1657	+1.20%	70.55%	92.34 亿
大盘	828	+1.61%	72.83%	290.3 亿
超大盘	276	+2.15%	75.00%	1,370.4 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

PCB	低位修复	236/235	+4.13%	-6.57%	-10.06%	+4.14%	-6.47%	-11.43%	+0.01%	84.68%	7.66%	3,197.2 亿	11.76%	20.00%	+2.57%	12	0	183.2 亿	99.58%
CPO	低位修复	212/212	+3.31%	-5.06%	-8.30%	+3.23%	-5.26%	-9.49%	-0.08%	81.13%	10.85%	6,076.2 亿	22.34%	25.00%	+1.75%	5	0	175.9 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	低位修复	57/56	+2.93%	-7.75%	—	+2.87%	-7.81%	-6.48%	-0.06%	80.36%	7.14%	1,411.5 亿	5.19%	15.00%	+1.37%	2	0	-4.27 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	低位修复	43/43	+2.91%	-8.67%	-1.27%	+2.91%	-8.16%	-2.12%	-0.00%	76.74%	16.28%	594.3 亿	2.19%	5.00%	+1.35%	0	0	-12.73 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	+2.53%	+4.20%	+9.38%	+2.56%	+4.21%	+8.55%	+0.03%	85.00%	80.71%	1,248.1 亿	4.59%	85.00%	+0.97%	6	0	24.72 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+1.90%	-9.48%	-16.23%	+1.90%	-9.64%	-16.80%	+0.00%	82.35%	2.94%	118.4 亿	0.44%	5.00%	+0.34%	1	0	8,812.26 万	100.00%
先进封装	低位修复	204/202	+1.42%	-6.37%	-0.50%	+1.36%	-6.54%	-0.51%	-0.06%	65.35%	15.35%	4,701.0 亿	17.29%	20.00%	-0.14%	4	4	-65.39 亿	99.51%
液冷服务器	低位修复	229/229	+1.31%	-4.66%	-6.16%	+1.39%	-4.64%	-7.30%	+0.08%	72.05%	16.16%	3,450.8 亿	12.69%	15.00%	-0.25%	6	2	16.09 亿	100.00%
减速器	低位修复	139/139	+1.14%	-8.00%	-10.48%	+1.14%	-8.04%	-11.48%	-0.00%	70.50%	8.63%	541.0 亿	1.99%	5.00%	-0.42%	1	0	-12.62 亿	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/461	+1.03%	-6.94%	-8.70%	+1.02%	-7.12%	-9.91%	-0.01%	66.59%	10.41%	3,603.9 亿	13.25%	5.00%	-0.53%	9	2	44.67 亿	99.57%
存储芯片	低位修复	206/202	+1.01%	-5.55%	+5.31%	+1.00%	-5.93%	+4.27%	-0.01%	56.93%	19.31%	5,838.7 亿	21.47%	20.00%	-0.55%	3	1	-83.28 亿	99.03%
光刻胶	低位修复	80/79	+0.74%	-7.40%	-0.98%	+0.70%	-7.58%	-1.95%	-0.03%	56.96%	15.19%	664.7 亿	2.44%	5.00%	-0.82%	0	1	-26.98 亿	98.75%
文化传媒	低位修复	197/197	+0.66%	-0.48%	-8.99%	+0.66%	-0.62%	-9.46%	+0.00%	71.07%	19.29%	457.7 亿	1.68%	10.00%	-0.90%	1	2	-11.25 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+0.48%	+2.02%	-5.81%	+1.00%	+1.54%	-8.16%	+0.52%	83.33%	43.33%	121.1 亿	0.45%	30.00%	-1.08%	0	0	5,381.01 万	100.00%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/506	-0.46%	-5.67%	-10.80%	-0.45%	-5.93%	-11.81%	+0.01%	53.16%	8.70%	4,017.5 亿	14.77%	15.00%	-2.02%	5	10	-60.57 亿	99.80%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

PCB · 低位修复

领涨：则成电子（920821.BJ）+29.97%、鸿仕达（920125.BJ）+18.51%、南亚新材（688519.SH）+18.43%

领跌：天海电子（001365.SZ）-9.16%、洪田股份（603800.SH）-7.77%、普天科技（002544.SZ）-5.95%

CPO · 低位修复

领涨：则成电子（920821.BJ）+29.97%、南亚新材（688519.SH）+18.43%、生益电子（688183.SH）+14.21%

领跌：华丰科技（688629.SH）-11.81%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-10.60%、ST臻镭（688270.SH）-10.34%

玻璃基板 · 低位修复

领涨：博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%、三峡新材（600293.SH）+9.96%、大族数控（301200.SZ）+7.92%

领跌：洪田股份（603800.SH）-7.77%、鸿利智汇（300219.SZ）-4.08%、维信诺（002387.SZ）-2.23%

电子化学品 · 低位修复

领涨：国瓷材料（300285.SZ）+9.37%、宏和科技（603256.SH）+9.02%、同宇新材（301630.SZ）+7.87%

领跌：强力新材（300429.SZ）-3.92%、广钢气体（688548.SH）-3.77%、瑞联新材（688550.SH）-2.95%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：迪哲医药（688192.SH）+20.00%、陇神戎发（300534.SZ）+16.33%、ST南新（688189.SH）+15.10%

领跌：万邦医药（301520.SZ）-9.65%、诺思兰德（920047.BJ）-7.13%、益诺思（688710.SH）-3.50%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：鑫科材料（600255.SH）+10.00%、中科三环（000970.SZ）+7.37%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）+7.21%

领跌：斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-10.60%、天力复合（920576.BJ）-8.55%、上大股份（301522.SZ）-3.97%

先进封装 · 低位修复

领涨：气派科技（688216.SH）+20.01%、鸿仕达（920125.BJ）+18.51%、光智科技（300489.SZ）+14.35%

领跌：托伦斯（301583.SZ）-19.28%、国博电子（688375.SH）-10.93%、苏州固锝（002079.SZ）-9.99%

液冷服务器 · 低位修复

领涨：行云科技（300209.SZ）+20.00%、同飞股份（300990.SZ）+14.69%、凯添燃气（920010.BJ）+13.94%

领跌：华丰科技（688629.SH）-11.81%、四方科技（603339.SH）-10.01%、江顺科技（001400.SZ）-10.00%

减速器 · 低位修复

领涨：博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%、斯莱克（300382.SZ）+7.58%、长龄液压（605389.SH）+6.81%

领跌：创元科技（000551.SZ）-7.62%、中信重工（601608.SH）-7.40%、领益智造（002600.SZ）-4.91%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：凯龙高科（300912.SZ）+19.98%、美芯晟（688458.SH）+18.24%、雅创电子（301099.SZ）+11.32%

领跌：超捷股份（301005.SZ）-11.83%、星网宇达（002829.SZ）-10.00%、苏州固锝（002079.SZ）-9.99%

存储芯片 · 低位修复

领涨：气派科技（688216.SH）+20.01%、南亚新材（688519.SH）+18.43%、雅创电子（301099.SZ）+11.32%

领跌：托伦斯（301583.SZ）-19.28%、天奥电子（002935.SZ）-10.01%、杭氧股份（002430.SZ）-8.09%

光刻胶 · 低位修复

领涨：锦华新材（920015.BJ）+12.42%、东材科技（601208.SH）+9.01%、国恩股份（002768.SZ）+8.39%

领跌：兴业股份（603928.SH）-9.99%、国林科技（300786.SZ）-6.76%、航天智造（300446.SZ）-5.59%

文化传媒 · 低位修复

领涨：风语筑（603466.SH）+10.05%、皇氏集团（002329.SZ）+7.41%、迅游科技（300467.SZ）+7.34%

领跌：三维通信（002115.SZ）-10.00%、实益达（002137.SZ）-9.98%、儒意电影（002739.SZ）-9.16%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：威龙股份（603779.SH）+6.82%、金枫酒业（600616.SH）+3.90%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）+2.93%

领跌：*ST尼雅（600084.SH）-3.18%、百润股份（002568.SZ）-1.83%、舍得酒业（600702.SH）-1.36%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：长光华芯（688048.SH）+13.70%、风语筑（603466.SH）+10.05%、福斯特（603806.SH）+10.04%

领跌：海兰信（300065.SZ）-17.78%、优机股份（920943.BJ）-14.59%、航天环宇（688523.SH）-13.94%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

资源周期	54	+4.67%	+4.29%	-0.82%	-12.08%	77.54 亿	100.00%	20/21	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +2.10%
医药健康	51	+3.00%	+2.51%	+4.02%	+11.55%	75.13 亿	100.00%	24/16	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +1.15%
消费	44	+2.35%	+0.45%	+0.13%	-3.06%	22.43 亿	100.00%	10/12	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -2.84%
中小盘宽基	139	+2.35%	+1.80%	-2.89%	-5.05%	473.3 亿	100.00%	80/8	易方达创业板ETF · +4.55%
大盘宽基	83	+1.86%	+1.86%	+0.50%	-1.53%	203.1 亿	100.00%	28/25	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +0.88%
红利防御	92	+1.61%	+1.22%	+1.47%	-3.41%	66.31 亿	100.00%	22/29	华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF · -0.25%
AI与半导体	127	+1.26%	+0.89%	-0.68%	+4.20%	708.8 亿	100.00%	87/19	嘉实上证科创板芯片ETF · +0.52%
金融地产	48	+0.43%	+0.32%	-1.49%	-0.76%	78.77 亿	100.00%	24/17	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.14%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

资源周期	石油石化、煤炭、有色金属、钢铁、基础化工	715	+2.64%	-3.80%	-11.16%	85.45%	20.28%	11.68%	26	3
医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	532	+2.60%	+2.98%	+4.13%	86.65%	70.11%	5.95%	8	0
公用防御	交通运输、公用事业、环保	401	+1.88%	-0.95%	-9.18%	88.53%	34.66%	3.11%	4	0
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	231	+1.65%	-1.77%	-8.99%	77.49%	20.35%	2.56%	6	2
大消费	商贸零售、社会服务、农林牧渔、食品饮料、家用电器	527	+1.39%	-0.86%	-7.88%	78.75%	36.05%	3.15%	4	3
金融地产	房地产、非银金融、银行	216	+1.16%	+0.62%	-5.39%	81.02%	41.20%	3.64%	1	1
高端制造	汽车、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工	1477	+1.13%	-6.03%	-11.98%	72.92%	9.82%	18.57%	19	15
AI硬件与数字经济	电子、通信、计算机	999	+1.03%	-3.68%	-6.57%	61.56%	14.31%	48.67%	18	4

近五个交易日

2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -4.06%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +61.73%

涨停家数：扩张 · 56

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.8347 万亿 · 温度区间：10.8–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 3次、文化传媒 3次、酿酒 3次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、先进封装 1次

行业：医药生物 2次、国防军工 2次、煤炭 2次、石油石化 2次、银行 2次、传媒 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-4.1%，上涨覆盖76.2%，五日成交中位28347.1亿元。

方向承接 · PCB当日收益+4.13%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停13家，最高1板。

负反馈 · 跌停29家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 28347.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · PCB

确认：PCB继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 24.2%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖76.2%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 10 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5

情绪九维 70.4

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数10.68
10.68
输入与公式
89 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.32
11.32
输入与公式
0.8018018018018018 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率9.7
9.7
输入与公式
0.24242424242424243 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.0364415 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":29,"largeLoss":96} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.7623099203475743 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":89,"limitDown":29} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能2.48
2.48
输入与公式
0.8239944336208553 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	231	4.18%	+7.43%	+6.45%
趋势延续	377	6.82%	+2.46%	+2.23%
低位修复	3092	55.97%	+2.50%	+2.03%
中间状态	1824	33.02%	-0.97%	-0.73%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 33 家 · 今日晋级 8 家 · 晋级率 24.24%

晋级名单

ST龙元	600491.SH	建筑装饰	5	+9.76%
哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	3	+9.97%
宏桥控股	002379.SZ	有色金属	2	+10.00%
宿迁联盛	603065.SH	基础化工	2	+10.00%
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	2	+9.99%
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.10%
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	2	+10.00%
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	2	+29.17%
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
风华高科	000636.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
行云科技	300209.SZ	计算机	1	+20.00%
华正新材	603186.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
蔚蓝锂芯	002245.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.01%
江海股份	002484.SZ	电子	1	+10.01%
通源石油	300164.SZ	石油石化	1	+20.04%
天山铝业	002532.SZ	有色金属	1	+9.96%
广合科技	001389.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:02.971186+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。