历史详情 · A 股观测台

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2026-07-17

结论与证据

全A收盘为482家上涨、5001家下跌，上涨占比8.73%；成交2.6716万亿元，环比+10.45%。单日广度显著转弱，但23.3%样本仍站在MA20上方，同时有35家封板、212家跌停，更接近结构分歧，而不是所有趋势同步失效。

广度承压 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方23% · 35家封板 · 温度24.8

支持证据

15方向中酿酒当日-1.12%居前；49家触板、封板率71.4%，最高5板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-8.42%，CPO方向-9.19%；成交额环比+10.45%，资金流分类代理-1568.8亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.6716 万亿
成交环比: +10.45%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 482 / 5001 / 39
上涨覆盖: 8.73%
中位涨幅: -4.12%
MA20上方: 23.29%
20日新高 / 新低: 121 / 2511
涨停 / 跌停: 35 / 212
触板 / 未封: 49 / 14
封板率: 71.43%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 24.8

广度3.06
3.06
输入与公式
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趋势4.66
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态2.13
2.13
输入与公式
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量能15
15
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指数0
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 41.5

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数4.2
4.2
输入与公式
35.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.08
10.08
输入与公式
0.71 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率7.5
7.5
输入与公式
0.19 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价3.29
3.29
输入与公式
-0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":212,"largeLoss":1353} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度1.31
1.31
输入与公式
0.09 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比1.97
1.97
输入与公式
{"limitUp":35,"limitDown":212} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能2.44
2.44
输入与公式
0.82 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,764.15	-3.05%	1.2464 万亿
科创50	1,715.40	-7.12%	1,914.7 亿
深证成指	13,706.88	-5.40%	8,743.4 亿
创业板指	3,428.63	-7.15%	3,585.0 亿
中证1000	7,168.00	-6.08%	5,109.1 亿
国证2000	9,271.69	-6.16%	6,855.2 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	79	1.43%	+7.92%	+7.36%
趋势延续	124	2.25%	+1.40%	+1.20%
低位修复	204	3.69%	+1.92%	+1.10%
中间状态	5115	92.63%	-5.15%	-4.44%

三项风险

单日市场广度明显承压

下跌5001家，上涨占比仅8.73%；中位数涨幅-4.12%。

少数方向逆势承压

医药生物、电子分别为-6.38%、-8.42%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+10.45%，49家触板中14家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度与趋势存量是否继续背离

若上涨占比修复且MA20上方比例保持高位，分歧仍偏结构性；两者同步下滑则风险升级。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

CPO弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日71.4%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,764.15 · MA5 3,896.61 · MA10 3,951.82 · MA20 4,019.96

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,019.96 · 近10日最低 3,745.17 · 近20日最低 3,745.17；压力：近10日最高 4,074.83 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

公用事业	修复延续	139	+0.61%	+0.33%	-8.65%	+0.06%	50.36%	45.32%	674.9 亿	2.53%	9	2	25.67	1.58
银行	趋势扩散	42	+0.40%	+3.35%	+1.64%	+0.20%	57.14%	92.86%	400.4 亿	1.50%	0	0	5.88	0.54
石油石化	方向待明	48	-1.33%	-2.01%	-5.04%	-1.61%	29.17%	35.42%	200.5 亿	0.75%	0	0	36.89	1.92
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.40%	-0.56%	+0.93%	-1.26%	8.86%	30.38%	614.2 亿	2.30%	1	0	18.25	1.25
交通运输	方向待明	128	-1.43%	+0.06%	-2.46%	-1.02%	21.09%	54.69%	256.2 亿	0.96%	0	2	17.63	1.31
钢铁	方向待明	43	-2.01%	-0.06%	-7.12%	-1.58%	9.30%	51.16%	85.76 亿	0.32%	0	0	18.33	1.12
煤炭	方向待明	33	-2.19%	+0.81%	-2.85%	-2.19%	9.09%	42.42%	120.8 亿	0.45%	0	0	20.51	1.19
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-2.91%	+0.97%	-2.16%	-2.42%	7.14%	62.70%	374.6 亿	1.40%	0	4	24.93	2.13
农林牧渔	方向待明	114	-3.11%	-1.06%	-1.79%	-2.99%	4.39%	47.37%	193.4 亿	0.72%	0	1	36.96	2.23
综合	方向待明	20	-3.15%	-2.48%	-7.46%	-3.88%	5.00%	35.00%	45.25 亿	0.17%	1	1	49.14	2.62
商贸零售	方向待明	99	-3.25%	-1.18%	-5.14%	-2.79%	6.06%	41.41%	215.6 亿	0.81%	0	1	30.26	1.72
基础化工	退潮观察	446	-3.54%	-7.06%	-14.15%	-3.42%	12.11%	12.78%	1,166.9 亿	4.37%	5	6	35.29	2.07
纺织服饰	退潮观察	107	-3.58%	-3.76%	-6.98%	-3.75%	11.21%	32.71%	125.6 亿	0.47%	2	3	29.53	1.71
社会服务	退潮观察	86	-3.59%	-4.21%	-10.77%	-3.14%	4.65%	26.74%	105.9 亿	0.40%	2	2	33.60	2.54
建筑材料	退潮观察	76	-3.63%	-6.84%	-15.02%	-3.12%	7.89%	14.47%	298.9 亿	1.12%	0	1	41.33	1.54
美容护理	方向待明	30	-3.64%	-0.56%	-2.26%	-3.40%	10.00%	50.00%	56.80 亿	0.21%	0	0	26.36	2.18
房地产	退潮观察	95	-3.74%	-3.61%	-7.22%	-3.60%	3.16%	32.63%	180.0 亿	0.67%	1	2	34.94	1.10
家用电器	退潮观察	103	-3.88%	-5.72%	-10.36%	-3.35%	9.71%	27.18%	254.8 亿	0.95%	1	2	38.97	2.37
建筑装饰	退潮观察	154	-3.95%	-5.62%	-9.99%	-3.73%	5.19%	24.68%	286.0 亿	1.07%	2	12	28.69	1.83
轻工制造	退潮观察	167	-3.97%	-5.29%	-9.85%	-3.49%	5.99%	24.55%	166.6 亿	0.62%	0	3	29.26	2.02
电力设备	退潮观察	415	-4.14%	-10.24%	-21.05%	-4.00%	10.36%	2.65%	1,764.7 亿	6.61%	1	10	41.13	2.54
环保	退潮观察	134	-4.19%	-6.29%	-11.33%	-3.66%	5.22%	26.12%	184.7 亿	0.69%	0	1	27.62	1.83
传媒	退潮观察	131	-4.39%	-3.97%	-6.27%	-3.97%	4.58%	36.64%	595.3 亿	2.23%	1	2	37.61	2.78
汽车	退潮观察	319	-4.43%	-7.03%	-13.52%	-4.13%	6.27%	15.05%	711.0 亿	2.66%	2	13	28.40	2.23
计算机	退潮观察	358	-4.85%	-7.62%	-13.91%	-4.68%	7.82%	13.41%	1,555.8 亿	5.82%	1	8	74.51	3.24
国防军工	退潮观察	139	-5.11%	-15.69%	-18.44%	-4.75%	6.47%	4.32%	617.1 亿	2.31%	1	2	70.38	3.43
有色金属	退潮观察	145	-5.18%	-10.49%	-22.94%	-4.96%	2.76%	6.21%	1,167.5 亿	4.37%	0	8	33.89	2.90
机械设备	退潮观察	605	-5.21%	-10.96%	-17.46%	-4.88%	6.45%	9.09%	1,872.4 亿	7.01%	2	27	45.82	2.92
通信	退潮观察	127	-6.33%	-13.08%	-22.29%	-6.63%	9.45%	11.81%	2,301.8 亿	8.62%	1	13	96.88	4.15
医药生物	方向待明	501	-6.38%	-0.43%	+3.46%	-5.92%	3.39%	56.29%	1,947.7 亿	7.29%	2	28	37.21	2.37
电子	退潮观察	513	-8.42%	-19.10%	-22.65%	-8.89%	3.31%	3.90%	8,175.6 亿	30.60%	0	58	83.05	4.82

涨停生态

首板 25 家 · 多板 10 家 · 昨日涨停 48 家 · 今日晋级 9 家 · 晋级率 18.75%

5 板 · 1 家 · 云创退

4 板 · 1 家 · 艾艾精工

3 板 · 3 家 · 智度股份、香江控股、浙江美大

2 板 · 5 家 · 道明光学、珍宝岛、星网宇达、立新能源、*ST萃华

1 板 · 25 家 · 九安医疗、共进股份、甘咨询、湘财股份、赤天化、湖南发展、亚泰集团、华银电力

行业聚类

公用事业 · 9 家 · 最高 2 板 · 立新能源、湖南发展、华银电力、宁波能源、赣能股份、桂冠电力

基础化工 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 艾艾精工、道明光学、赤天化、金牛化工、双欣材料

医药生物 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 珍宝岛、九安医疗

建筑装饰 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 甘咨询、中岩大地

机械设备 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 陕鼓动力、贵绳股份

汽车 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 索菱股份、科华控股

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 米奥会展、*ST高科

纺织服饰 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · *ST萃华、开润股份

传媒 · 1 家 · 最高 3 板 · 智度股份

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 星网宇达

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 3 板 · 浙江美大

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 3 板 · 香江控股

电力设备 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 信通电子

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 亚泰集团

计算机 · 1 家 · 最高 5 板 · 云创退

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 共进股份

非银金融 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 湘财股份

连续晋级与首板

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.49%	5	3,316.16 万	北交所	94707	101034	4	5/5	598.54 万
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	+9.99%	4	1,229.01 万	主板	92503	92503	0	6/7	1.92 亿
智度股份	000676.SZ	传媒	+9.97%	3	17.23 亿	主板	93103	140436	3	3/3	6,549.79 万
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	+10.07%	3	11.16 亿	主板	142721	142721	0	3/3	3,014.84 万
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	+9.96%	3	5,457.67 万	主板	92500	92500	0	4/6	9,070.63 万
道明光学	002632.SZ	基础化工	+9.97%	2	7.62 亿	主板	93009	102136	2	2/2	5,677.62 万
珍宝岛	603567.SH	医药生物	+10.04%	2	6.10 亿	主板	93646	142110	1	2/2	3,101.99 万
星网宇达	002829.SZ	国防军工	+9.98%	2	5.61 亿	主板	140924	141227	1	4/7	2,254.75 万
立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	+9.97%	2	4.60 亿	主板	94600	94624	1	2/2	8,067.72 万
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	+10.00%	2	1.76 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	1	35.94 亿	主板	92500	135900	2	3/4	4.09 亿
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	+10.01%	1	17.84 亿	主板	95016	105043	1	1/1	8,588.63 万
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	+9.98%	1	11.87 亿	主板	101854	150000	9	1/1	424.63 万
湘财股份	600095.SH	非银金融	+10.00%	1	9.80 亿	主板	103444	144659	3	1/1	5,158.56 万
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	+10.07%	1	7.53 亿	主板	93934	141746	1	3/4	3,242.59 万
湖南发展	000722.SZ	公用事业	+10.02%	1	7.30 亿	主板	145354	145354	0	2/3	3,949.38 万
亚泰集团	600881.SH	综合	+10.06%	1	5.51 亿	主板	130159	130159	0	1/1	3,248.60 万
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	+9.96%	1	5.01 亿	主板	94318	94318	0	1/1	1.80 亿
宁波能源	600982.SH	公用事业	+9.94%	1	4.64 亿	主板	111748	142306	1	1/1	6,362.14 万
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	+10.00%	1	4.57 亿	主板	94524	135800	7	4/5	2,071.30 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

哈药股份	600664.SH	医药生物	+7.89%	45.23 亿	主板	93544	—	2	5/6	—
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	-10.05%	17.04 亿	主板	—	145524	0	—	1,618.83 万
南华生物	000504.SZ	医药生物	-8.65%	2.55 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新华百货	600785.SH	商贸零售	-7.73%	4.65 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
永安药业	002365.SZ	医药生物	-4.40%	8.49 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
儒意电影	002739.SZ	传媒	-2.23%	37.55 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
逸豪新材	301176.SZ	电子	-14.81%	12.71 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
ST西王	000639.SZ	食品饮料	-10.18%	1.95 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
长裕集团	603407.SH	有色金属	-9.99%	3.63 亿	主板	—	150000	13	—	263.50 万
福日电子	600203.SH	电子	-9.98%	6.87 亿	主板	—	142933	22	—	1,244.04 万
ST海龙	000677.SZ	基础化工	-9.09%	1.70 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
天海电子	001365.SZ	汽车	-7.51%	5.98 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
电声股份	300805.SZ	传媒	-7.36%	4.40 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
欢瑞世纪	000892.SZ	传媒	-7.24%	5.20 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
文科股份	002775.SZ	建筑装饰	-6.86%	9,231.36 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
北京科锐	002350.SZ	电力设备	-6.60%	6.29 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-10.00%	321.2 亿	主板	—	144257	4	—	3.95 亿
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	-10.00%	267.7 亿	主板	—	141757	14	—	10.34 亿
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	-9.99%	140.4 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中兴通讯	000063.SZ	通信	-10.00%	128.7 亿	主板	—	141621	3	—	3.00 亿
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	-10.00%	102.2 亿	主板	—	143811	7	—	1.09 亿
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	-10.00%	100.7 亿	主板	—	143627	11	—	3.73 亿
中天科技	600522.SH	通信	-10.00%	91.63 亿	主板	—	150000	17	—	4,646.62 万
中科曙光	603019.SH	计算机	-10.00%	89.99 亿	主板	—	150000	1	—	4,564.17 万
华工科技	000988.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	76.83 亿	主板	—	143530	10	—	3.38 亿
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	-9.99%	65.14 亿	主板	—	144918	5	—	2,111.67 万
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	-10.00%	64.79 亿	主板	—	142024	6	—	3.46 亿
长光华芯	688048.SH	电子	-20.00%	61.63 亿	科创板	—	142044	11	—	2.00 亿

大跌样本

龙鑫智能	920117.BJ	电力设备	-22.24%	3.47 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
先河环保	300137.SZ	环保	-20.03%	1.49 亿	创业板	—	93118	0	—	2.31 亿
创业黑马	300688.SZ	社会服务	-20.02%	3.41 亿	创业板	—	95315	4	—	1,560.66 万
菲沃泰	688371.SH	电子	-20.01%	4.58 亿	科创板	—	150000	5	—	506.09 万
探路者	300005.SZ	纺织服饰	-20.01%	15.53 亿	创业板	—	130654	28	—	3,180.40 万
江苏北人	688218.SH	机械设备	-20.01%	3.40 亿	科创板	—	144241	1	—	1,305.07 万
实朴检测	301228.SZ	社会服务	-20.01%	3.52 亿	创业板	—	144624	21	—	292.62 万
安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-20.00%	4.26 亿	创业板	—	150000	8	—	129.15 万
百诚医药	301096.SZ	医药生物	-20.00%	3.93 亿	创业板	—	130151	7	—	621.35 万
药康生物	688046.SH	医药生物	-20.00%	5.32 亿	科创板	—	150000	2	—	747.66 万
长光华芯	688048.SH	电子	-20.00%	61.63 亿	科创板	—	142044	11	—	2.00 亿
联讯仪器	688808.SH	机械设备	-20.00%	39.65 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+29.49%	5	3,316.16 万	北交所	94707	101034	4	5/5	598.54 万
米奥会展	300795.SZ	社会服务	+20.05%	1	1.68 亿	创业板	93839	93839	0	1/1	6,849.17 万
开润股份	300577.SZ	纺织服饰	+19.98%	1	3.44 亿	创业板	92500	130233	2	1/1	3,703.28 万
珈伟新能	300317.SZ	公用事业	+16.01%	0	6.82 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
山大电力	301609.SZ	电力设备	+14.67%	0	2.15 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
立方控股	920130.BJ	计算机	+13.92%	0	9,328.97 万	北交所	93907	—	2	0/0	—
*ST天喻	300205.SZ	通信	+13.13%	0	3,683.59 万	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
新锦动力	300157.SZ	机械设备	+11.92%	0	6.53 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
争光股份	301092.SZ	基础化工	+11.13%	0	8.46 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
亿能电力	920046.BJ	电力设备	+10.09%	0	2.00 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	+10.07%	3	11.16 亿	主板	142721	142721	0	3/3	3,014.84 万
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	+10.07%	1	7.53 亿	主板	93934	141746	1	3/4	3,242.59 万

跌幅居前

龙鑫智能	920117.BJ	电力设备	-22.24%	3.47 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
先河环保	300137.SZ	环保	-20.03%	1.49 亿	创业板	—	93118	0	—	2.31 亿
创业黑马	300688.SZ	社会服务	-20.02%	3.41 亿	创业板	—	95315	4	—	1,560.66 万
菲沃泰	688371.SH	电子	-20.01%	4.58 亿	科创板	—	150000	5	—	506.09 万
探路者	300005.SZ	纺织服饰	-20.01%	15.53 亿	创业板	—	130654	28	—	3,180.40 万
江苏北人	688218.SH	机械设备	-20.01%	3.40 亿	科创板	—	144241	1	—	1,305.07 万
实朴检测	301228.SZ	社会服务	-20.01%	3.52 亿	创业板	—	144624	21	—	292.62 万
安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-20.00%	4.26 亿	创业板	—	150000	8	—	129.15 万
百诚医药	301096.SZ	医药生物	-20.00%	3.93 亿	创业板	—	130151	7	—	621.35 万
药康生物	688046.SH	医药生物	-20.00%	5.32 亿	科创板	—	150000	2	—	747.66 万
长光华芯	688048.SH	电子	-20.00%	61.63 亿	科创板	—	142044	11	—	2.00 亿
联讯仪器	688808.SH	机械设备	-20.00%	39.65 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	-3.56%	10.16%	30.69%	+2.18%
创业板	1397	-5.97%	5.01%	14.32%	+3.76%
科创板	608	-8.05%	1.81%	9.21%	+3.21%
北交所	327	-1.72%	23.55%	15.60%	+2.38%

市值分层

小盘	2762	-4.28%	6.95%	30.52 亿
中盘	1656	-5.07%	7.37%	87.67 亿
大盘	828	-4.73%	12.20%	271.8 亿
超大盘	276	-3.68%	24.28%	1,288.1 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	高位分歧	31/30	-1.12%	+3.22%	+1.55%	-2.75%	+1.27%	-1.75%	-1.63%	3.33%	66.67%	185.1 亿	0.69%	85.00%	+3.43%	0	0	-14.92 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	趋势转弱	197/197	-4.16%	-4.33%	-7.31%	-4.16%	-4.24%	-7.47%	-0.00%	6.60%	34.52%	641.7 亿	2.40%	90.00%	+0.39%	1	8	-24.06 亿	100.00%
减速器	趋势转弱	139/139	-5.70%	-11.60%	-17.48%	-5.70%	-11.54%	-17.94%	-0.00%	2.16%	2.88%	527.9 亿	1.98%	15.00%	-1.14%	0	5	-44.28 亿	100.00%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/506	-5.84%	-15.39%	-20.78%	-5.81%	-15.10%	-21.12%	+0.02%	6.32%	6.32%	3,430.2 亿	12.84%	15.00%	-1.29%	3	35	-282.1 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势转弱	34/34	-5.96%	-15.25%	-28.18%	-5.96%	-15.04%	-28.50%	-0.00%	2.94%	0.00%	104.6 亿	0.39%	15.00%	-1.41%	0	2	-7.98 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势转弱	463/461	-6.61%	-13.26%	-19.21%	-6.63%	-13.22%	-19.91%	-0.02%	2.82%	6.72%	3,522.0 亿	13.18%	15.00%	-2.05%	1	35	-306.9 亿	99.78%
创新药	方向待明	281/279	-6.89%	-0.29%	+7.46%	-6.89%	-0.45%	+7.14%	-0.01%	2.51%	58.42%	1,516.7 亿	5.68%	90.00%	-2.33%	2	20	-118.3 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/229	-7.05%	-14.66%	-19.67%	-7.07%	-14.59%	-20.19%	-0.02%	4.80%	8.73%	3,217.9 亿	12.04%	20.00%	-2.49%	1	30	-272.6 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/80	-7.15%	-18.04%	-18.92%	-7.19%	-18.12%	-19.34%	-0.04%	3.75%	5.00%	606.6 亿	2.27%	15.00%	-2.60%	0	5	-47.09 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/57	-7.21%	-20.26%	—	-7.02%	-19.53%	-27.39%	+0.19%	10.53%	0.00%	1,191.6 亿	4.46%	10.00%	-2.66%	0	7	-71.23 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-7.58%	-16.65%	-28.29%	-7.48%	-16.48%	-28.68%	+0.10%	4.68%	4.26%	2,797.4 亿	10.47%	10.00%	-3.03%	3	26	-222.9 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-7.90%	-20.92%	-25.80%	-7.90%	-21.01%	-26.27%	-0.00%	2.33%	0.00%	519.3 亿	1.94%	10.00%	-3.34%	0	4	-30.90 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/203	-8.08%	-22.18%	-24.55%	-8.09%	-21.99%	-24.01%	-0.01%	3.94%	1.97%	3,875.9 亿	14.51%	10.00%	-3.53%	1	28	-236.2 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/203	-8.84%	-22.54%	-20.29%	-8.81%	-22.37%	-20.62%	+0.03%	1.97%	0.49%	4,767.0 亿	17.84%	10.00%	-4.28%	0	31	-317.1 亿	99.03%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-9.19%	-19.06%	-28.72%	-9.18%	-19.04%	-28.88%	+0.01%	2.83%	3.30%	5,291.5 亿	19.81%	20.00%	-4.64%	1	37	-441.9 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 高位分歧

领涨：百润股份（002568.SZ）+0.66%

领跌：金徽酒（603919.SH）-5.16%、*ST尼雅（600084.SH）-4.91%、舍得酒业（600702.SH）-4.88%

文化传媒 · 趋势转弱

领涨：智度股份（000676.SZ）+9.97%、*ST岭南（002717.SZ）+5.83%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）+5.05%

领跌：金利华电（300069.SZ）-13.16%、幸福蓝海（300528.SZ）-11.12%、线上线下（300959.SZ）-10.93%

减速器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：韶能股份（000601.SZ）+5.54%、易实精密（920221.BJ）+1.76%、晟楠科技（920006.BJ）+1.35%

领跌：斯莱克（300382.SZ）-18.97%、绿的谐波（688017.SH）-13.87%、美利信（301307.SZ）-13.66%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：贵绳股份（600992.SH）+10.05%、星网宇达（002829.SZ）+9.98%、陕鼓动力（601369.SH）+9.95%

领跌：探路者（300005.SZ）-20.01%、长光华芯（688048.SH）-20.00%、鼎通科技（688668.SH）-20.00%

金属新材料 · 趋势转弱

领涨：鑫科材料（600255.SH）+1.33%

领跌：斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-12.56%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）-10.99%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-10.99%

物理AI · 趋势转弱

领涨：星网宇达（002829.SZ）+9.98%、许继电气（000400.SZ）+4.36%、美格智能（002881.SZ）+4.17%

领跌：江苏北人（688218.SH）-20.01%、安联锐视（301042.SZ）-20.00%、斯莱克（300382.SZ）-18.97%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：亚泰集团（600881.SH）+10.06%、珍宝岛（603567.SH）+10.04%、哈药股份（600664.SH）+7.89%

领跌：百诚医药（301096.SZ）-20.00%、华纳药厂（688799.SH）-17.30%、峆一药业（920478.BJ）-16.97%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：道明光学（002632.SZ）+9.97%、光环新网（300383.SZ）+4.73%、华新精科（603370.SH）+3.87%

领跌：菲沃泰（688371.SH）-20.01%、鼎通科技（688668.SH）-20.00%、中石科技（300684.SZ）-18.44%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：肯特催化（603120.SH）+6.41%、锦华新材（920015.BJ）+3.45%、百合花（603823.SH）+0.75%

领跌：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-22.24%、茂莱光学（688502.SH）-14.97%、联合化学（301209.SZ）-14.92%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：长电科技（600584.SH）+2.74%、戈碧迦（920438.BJ）+2.17%、旗滨集团（601636.SH）+0.82%

领跌：沃尔德（688028.SH）-13.51%、三孚新科（688359.SH）-12.40%、汇成真空（301392.SZ）-12.38%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：立方控股（920130.BJ）+13.92%、中岩大地（003001.SZ）+10.01%、共进股份（603118.SH）+10.01%

领跌：科翔股份（300903.SZ）-16.35%、南亚新材（688519.SH）-16.15%、奕东电子（301123.SZ）-16.04%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：中巨芯（688549.SH）+4.23%

领跌：菲沃泰（688371.SH）-20.01%、中石科技（300684.SZ）-18.44%、思泉新材（301489.SZ）-14.63%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：共进股份（603118.SH）+10.01%、中巨芯（688549.SH）+4.23%、长电科技（600584.SH）+2.74%

领跌：探路者（300005.SZ）-20.01%、光智科技（300489.SZ）-18.17%、利扬芯片（688135.SH）-17.37%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：有研硅（688432.SH）+5.19%、中巨芯（688549.SH）+4.23%、长电科技（600584.SH）+2.74%

领跌：联讯仪器（688808.SH）-20.00%、恒烁股份（688416.SH）-18.91%、普冉股份（688766.SH）-18.63%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：共进股份（603118.SH）+10.01%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）+5.05%、长电科技（600584.SH）+2.74%

领跌：菲沃泰（688371.SH）-20.01%、长光华芯（688048.SH）-20.00%、联讯仪器（688808.SH）-20.00%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

红利防御	93	+0.33%	+0.09%	+1.47%	-1.24%	71.46 亿	100.00%	38/24	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.97%
金融地产	48	-0.76%	-1.23%	-0.91%	+4.09%	127.6 亿	100.00%	27/12	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.26%
大盘宽基	83	-3.16%	-2.79%	-3.99%	-6.26%	341.5 亿	100.00%	53/7	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +10.23%
资源周期	55	-3.27%	-4.73%	-6.15%	-18.32%	63.94 亿	98.18%	25/15	国泰中证煤炭ETF · -7.00%
消费	44	-3.89%	-2.18%	+1.42%	+1.31%	31.80 亿	100.00%	20/10	鹏华中证酒ETF · -1.57%
中小盘宽基	139	-6.59%	-5.87%	-10.84%	-18.00%	626.7 亿	100.00%	79/4	易方达创业板ETF · +4.56%
医药健康	51	-6.65%	-5.30%	0.00%	+9.75%	106.2 亿	100.00%	31/17	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +1.06%
AI与半导体	128	-7.64%	-8.03%	-17.04%	-17.24%	701.1 亿	100.00%	82/28	嘉实上证科创板芯片ETF · +4.26%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

公用防御	公用事业、交通运输、环保	401	-1.65%	-1.97%	-7.57%	25.94%	41.90%	4.18%	9	5
金融地产	银行、非银金融、房地产	216	-2.08%	-1.14%	-2.52%	15.74%	43.52%	4.47%	2	2
大消费	食品饮料、农林牧渔、商贸零售、社会服务、家用电器	528	-3.32%	-2.02%	-5.64%	6.44%	42.61%	4.28%	3	10
资源周期	石油石化、钢铁、煤炭、基础化工、有色金属	715	-3.57%	-6.63%	-14.38%	11.05%	16.64%	10.26%	5	14
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	230	-3.85%	-6.02%	-11.66%	6.09%	21.30%	2.19%	2	13
高端制造	电力设备、汽车、国防军工、机械设备	1478	-4.73%	-10.36%	-17.71%	7.51%	8.12%	18.58%	6	52
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	531	-6.22%	-0.44%	+3.13%	3.77%	55.93%	7.50%	2	28
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	998	-6.87%	-14.21%	-19.47%	5.71%	8.32%	45.04%	2	79

近五个交易日

2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +10.45%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -36.51%

涨停家数：压缩 · -13

最高连板：持平 · 0

五日成交中位：2.6716 万亿 · 温度区间：10.8–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：文化传媒 4次、酿酒 4次、创新药 3次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、减速器 1次

行业：医药生物 3次、煤炭 2次、石油石化 2次、银行 2次、传媒 1次、公用事业 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+10.4%，上涨覆盖8.7%，五日成交中位26716.5亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益-1.12%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 公用事业涨停9家，最高2板。

负反馈 · 跌停212家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 26716.5亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 18.8%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖8.7%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 13 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5

情绪九维 41.5

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数4.2
4.2
输入与公式
35 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.08
10.08
输入与公式
0.7142857142857143 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率7.5
7.5
输入与公式
0.1875 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价3.29
3.29
输入与公式
-0.006294000000000001 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":212,"largeLoss":1353} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度1.31
1.31
输入与公式
0.08728721477725462 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比1.97
1.97
输入与公式
{"limitUp":35,"limitDown":212} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能2.44
2.44
输入与公式
0.8221621253394287 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	79	1.43%	+7.92%	+7.36%
趋势延续	124	2.25%	+1.40%	+1.20%
低位修复	204	3.69%	+1.92%	+1.10%
中间状态	5115	92.63%	-5.15%	-4.44%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 48 家 · 今日晋级 9 家 · 晋级率 18.75%

晋级名单

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	5	+29.49%
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	4	+9.99%
智度股份	000676.SZ	传媒	3	+9.97%
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	3	+10.07%
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	3	+9.96%
道明光学	002632.SZ	基础化工	2	+9.97%
珍宝岛	603567.SH	医药生物	2	+10.04%
星网宇达	002829.SZ	国防军工	2	+9.98%
立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	2	+9.97%
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	2	+10.00%
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	1	+10.00%
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	1	+10.01%
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	1	+9.98%
湘财股份	600095.SH	非银金融	1	+10.00%
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	1	+10.07%
湖南发展	000722.SZ	公用事业	1	+10.02%
亚泰集团	600881.SH	综合	1	+10.06%
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	1	+9.96%
宁波能源	600982.SH	公用事业	1	+9.94%
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:16.993704+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。