历史详情 · A 股观测台

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2026-07-06

结论与证据

全A收盘为1876家上涨、3541家下跌，上涨占比34.00%；成交3.1124万亿元，环比-2.90%。单日广度显著转弱，但36.0%样本仍站在MA20上方，同时有73家封板、54家跌停，更接近结构分歧，而不是所有趋势同步失效。

广度承压 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方36% · 73家封板 · 温度35.5

支持证据

15方向中创新药当日+1.10%居前；124家触板、封板率58.9%，最高6板。

反证与边界

有色金属当日等权-2.68%，金属新材料方向-5.10%；成交额环比-2.90%，资金流分类代理-872.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 3.1124 万亿
成交环比: -2.90%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 1876 / 3541 / 100
上涨覆盖: 34.00%
中位涨幅: -1.27%
MA20上方: 35.96%
20日新高 / 新低: 414 / 630
涨停 / 跌停: 73 / 54
触板 / 未封: 124 / 51
封板率: 58.87%
最高连板: 6 板

收盘温度 35.5

广度11.9
11.9
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势7.19
7.19
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态8.62
8.62
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数2.5
2.5
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 50.7

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.76
8.76
输入与公式
73.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率8.31
8.31
输入与公式
0.59 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率2.96
2.96
输入与公式
0.07 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价3.5
3.5
输入与公式
-0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":54,"largeLoss":304} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度5.1
5.1
输入与公式
0.34 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.11
4.11
输入与公式
{"limitUp":73,"limitDown":54} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.07
5.07
输入与公式
0.95 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	4,041.24	-0.06%	1.4321 万亿
科创50	1,996.10	+1.04%	1,735.4 亿
深证成指	15,416.80	-1.16%	9,788.0 亿
创业板指	3,948.86	-1.77%	3,468.7 亿
中证1000	8,472.60	-1.72%	6,550.1 亿
国证2000	10,990.10	-1.78%	8,728.5 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	340	6.16%	+6.79%	+5.83%
趋势延续	585	10.60%	+1.49%	+1.40%
低位修复	738	13.38%	+1.59%	+1.10%
中间状态	3854	69.86%	-2.87%	-2.44%

三项风险

单日市场广度明显承压

下跌3541家，上涨占比仅34.00%；中位数涨幅-1.27%。

少数方向逆势承压

国防军工、有色金属分别为-2.58%、-2.68%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-2.90%，124家触板中51家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度与趋势存量是否继续背离

若上涨占比修复且MA20上方比例保持高位，分歧仍偏结构性；两者同步下滑则风险升级。

创新药强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

金属新材料弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日58.9%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 4,041.24 · MA5 4,064.13 · MA10 4,075.91 · MA20 4,064.51

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,064.51 · 近10日最低 3,992.55 · 近20日最低 3,927.85；压力：近10日最高 4,175.35 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-05	3,986.97	4,025.26	3,983.58	4,023.42	+1.38%
2026-01-06	4,026.02	4,083.67	4,025.09	4,083.67	+1.50%
2026-01-07	4,083.84	4,098.78	4,069.44	4,085.77	+0.05%
2026-01-08	4,077.72	4,093.87	4,067.12	4,082.98	-0.07%
2026-01-09	4,086.76	4,121.72	4,083.62	4,120.43	+0.92%
2026-01-12	4,134.89	4,168.36	4,119.88	4,165.29	+1.09%
2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

煤炭	修复延续	33	+3.06%	+5.47%	-17.74%	+2.33%	96.97%	24.24%	143.7 亿	0.46%	1	0	21.49	1.22
银行	修复延续	42	+2.31%	+2.04%	-3.99%	+2.20%	100.00%	26.19%	286.8 亿	0.92%	0	0	5.91	0.54
交通运输	修复延续	128	+0.87%	+4.29%	-4.55%	+1.02%	67.97%	42.97%	260.4 亿	0.84%	1	1	17.98	1.35
石油石化	修复延续	48	+0.73%	+4.08%	-7.74%	+0.32%	52.08%	31.25%	181.1 亿	0.58%	3	1	38.08	2.12
食品饮料	修复延续	126	+0.70%	+3.14%	-7.01%	+0.74%	62.70%	32.54%	275.7 亿	0.89%	3	0	25.01	2.14
医药生物	趋势扩散	503	+0.66%	+5.83%	+2.92%	+0.55%	62.62%	76.94%	1,835.8 亿	5.90%	3	0	38.18	2.39
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+0.65%	+5.35%	-3.88%	+0.83%	61.40%	52.63%	225.6 亿	0.72%	1	0	36.82	2.26
房地产	方向待明	95	+0.30%	+3.07%	-9.78%	0.00%	45.26%	23.16%	159.3 亿	0.51%	3	0	35.10	1.17
非银金融	趋势扩散	79	+0.05%	+3.12%	+5.47%	+0.31%	60.76%	73.42%	665.8 亿	2.14%	0	0	18.72	1.28
美容护理	方向待明	30	-0.21%	+4.47%	-3.31%	-0.40%	36.67%	50.00%	35.98 亿	0.12%	0	0	27.55	2.37
钢铁	方向待明	43	-0.37%	+2.18%	-8.03%	0.00%	46.51%	23.26%	78.43 亿	0.25%	0	0	18.30	1.11
社会服务	方向待明	85	-0.40%	+3.27%	-8.01%	-0.51%	36.47%	29.41%	98.62 亿	0.32%	1	1	37.74	2.70
轻工制造	方向待明	167	-0.81%	+3.27%	-7.46%	-0.92%	37.13%	31.74%	188.9 亿	0.61%	3	2	30.45	2.20
商贸零售	方向待明	99	-0.84%	+3.03%	-8.22%	-0.58%	33.33%	24.24%	137.3 亿	0.44%	0	1	31.95	1.75
环保	方向待明	134	-0.89%	+2.82%	-6.01%	-0.54%	39.55%	26.87%	228.1 亿	0.73%	2	2	29.58	2.00
家用电器	方向待明	102	-0.98%	+4.71%	-4.37%	-1.19%	36.27%	41.18%	364.5 亿	1.17%	2	0	42.27	2.62
公用事业	方向待明	138	-1.02%	+1.11%	-14.60%	-0.92%	28.26%	14.49%	495.5 亿	1.59%	1	0	25.69	1.59
纺织服饰	方向待明	107	-1.04%	+5.21%	-3.00%	-0.91%	31.78%	45.79%	132.4 亿	0.43%	1	2	30.01	1.81
传媒	方向待明	131	-1.10%	+1.44%	-10.20%	-1.26%	32.82%	23.66%	455.8 亿	1.46%	2	1	39.85	2.84
建筑装饰	方向待明	155	-1.24%	+2.37%	-7.17%	-1.07%	34.84%	25.16%	341.0 亿	1.10%	3	3	30.55	1.96
基础化工	方向待明	445	-1.35%	+1.52%	-2.11%	-1.29%	33.71%	33.71%	1,733.2 亿	5.57%	6	7	40.46	2.35
综合	方向待明	20	-1.48%	+2.28%	-6.48%	-1.21%	20.00%	15.00%	56.97 亿	0.18%	0	1	52.29	2.69
汽车	方向待明	318	-1.68%	+6.08%	-7.08%	-1.81%	25.16%	34.59%	1,058.1 亿	3.40%	2	0	32.19	2.64
计算机	方向待明	359	-1.95%	+1.87%	-9.05%	-2.19%	16.16%	18.11%	1,308.3 亿	4.20%	5	2	80.88	3.45
电子	方向待明	511	-2.02%	-2.92%	+8.06%	-2.35%	26.81%	43.44%	9,705.6 亿	31.18%	7	8	105.70	6.08
建筑材料	方向待明	76	-2.03%	-0.55%	-5.55%	-1.18%	28.95%	22.37%	486.2 亿	1.56%	1	3	45.94	1.80
机械设备	方向待明	604	-2.29%	+3.71%	-3.32%	-2.57%	20.53%	36.75%	2,829.8 亿	9.09%	12	7	55.00	3.41
电力设备	方向待明	413	-2.43%	+0.21%	-8.87%	-2.57%	15.01%	19.61%	2,395.4 亿	7.70%	5	5	49.62	3.00
通信	方向待明	127	-2.57%	-1.26%	-10.55%	-3.33%	18.11%	15.75%	2,037.2 亿	6.55%	3	0	108.85	4.64
国防军工	方向待明	140	-2.58%	+4.19%	-1.59%	-2.92%	15.71%	43.57%	968.8 亿	3.11%	2	1	79.34	4.03
有色金属	方向待明	145	-2.68%	-0.34%	-2.70%	-2.03%	24.83%	22.07%	1,954.1 亿	6.28%	0	6	42.30	3.55

涨停生态

首板 60 家 · 多板 13 家 · 昨日涨停 162 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 7.41%

6 板 · 1 家 · *ST东智

5 板 · 2 家 · ST星农、恒尚节能

4 板 · 3 家 · ST洲际、宜宾纸业、ST海王

3 板 · 2 家 · 金科股份、ST龙大

2 板 · 5 家 · 星网锐捷、贤丰控股、晋拓股份、先锋电子、阿科力

1 板 · 60 家 · 紫光股份、黄河旋风、中国长城、中石科技、蔚蓝锂芯、航天电器、松发股份、万通发展

行业聚类

机械设备 · 12 家 · 最高 6 板 · *ST东智、ST星农、先锋电子、黄河旋风、洪田股份、大元泵业

电子 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 贤丰控股、中石科技、崇达技术、中电港、格林达、盛景微

基础化工 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 阿科力、振华股份、六国化工、新亚强、金浦钛业、爱普股份

电力设备 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 蔚蓝锂芯、白云电器、华通线缆、神力股份、时代万恒

计算机 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 紫光股份、中国长城、概伦电子、当虹科技、大恒科技

医药生物 · 3 家 · 最高 4 板 · ST海王、甘李药业、罗欣药业

建筑装饰 · 3 家 · 最高 5 板 · 恒尚节能、中天精装、交建股份

房地产 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · 金科股份、万通发展、京能置业

石油石化 · 3 家 · 最高 4 板 · ST洲际、东方盛虹、贝肯能源

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 4 板 · 宜宾纸业、华旺科技、爱丽家居

通信 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 星网锐捷、菲菱科思、共进股份

食品饮料 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST龙大、庄园牧场、皇氏集团

传媒 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 名臣健康、欢瑞世纪

国防军工 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 航天电器、松发股份

家用电器 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 星帅尔、爱仕达

汽车 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 晋拓股份、常润股份

环保 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中持股份、绿城水务

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · *ST瑞茂

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 德龙汇能

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 巨星农牧

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 青龙管业

煤炭 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 昊华能源

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中公教育

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华孚时尚

连续晋级与首板

*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	+9.96%	6	1,828.33 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	+10.08%	5	1,784.32 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+9.99%	5	1,372.13 万	主板	92502	92502	0	5/5	3.49 亿
ST洲际	600759.SH	石油石化	+9.91%	4	7.21 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宜宾纸业	600793.SH	轻工制造	+9.99%	4	3.21 亿	主板	93618	104242	9	5/10	1,706.59 万
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	+10.07%	4	2.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金科股份	000656.SZ	房地产	+10.00%	3	7.51 亿	主板	92500	93730	4	3/3	1.02 亿
ST龙大	002726.SZ	食品饮料	+9.70%	3	839.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
星网锐捷	002396.SZ	通信	+10.00%	2	11.55 亿	主板	92500	93857	1	4/5	2.01 亿
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	+9.92%	2	10.03 亿	主板	93203	110551	7	8/14	4,114.44 万
晋拓股份	603211.SH	汽车	+9.99%	2	5.39 亿	主板	93205	93835	4	3/5	1,161.39 万
先锋电子	002767.SZ	机械设备	+9.98%	2	3,771.86 万	主板	93030	93030	0	2/2	3,442.14 万
阿科力	603722.SH	基础化工	+10.00%	2	2,590.30 万	主板	92502	92502	0	2/2	2.19 亿
紫光股份	000938.SZ	计算机	+10.01%	1	99.34 亿	主板	134624	134624	0	1/1	3.94 亿
黄河旋风	600172.SH	机械设备	+10.02%	1	52.48 亿	主板	94622	110046	3	2/3	1.05 亿
中国长城	000066.SZ	计算机	+9.99%	1	37.29 亿	主板	131221	131221	0	1/1	3.05 亿
中石科技	300684.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	33.57 亿	创业板	95012	142945	10	1/1	1,035.49 万
蔚蓝锂芯	002245.SZ	电力设备	+9.98%	1	30.23 亿	主板	93000	110530	1	1/1	1.72 亿
航天电器	002025.SZ	国防军工	+10.00%	1	25.22 亿	主板	111251	111251	0	1/1	3.02 亿
松发股份	603268.SH	国防军工	+10.00%	1	22.68 亿	主板	94435	150000	11	1/1	6,104.39 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	-8.89%	310.36 万	主板	93845	—	2	4/6	—
京蓝科技	000711.SZ	环保	-4.75%	6.60 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST康佳A	000016.SZ	家用电器	-4.12%	1.13 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	-2.57%	6,780.81 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	+5.73%	4,885.05 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST天箭	002977.SZ	国防军工	+6.16%	1.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中通国脉	603559.SH	通信	-9.38%	2.55 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST威领	002667.SZ	机械设备	-6.28%	6.47 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	-5.55%	6.35 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST文峰	601010.SH	商贸零售	-3.11%	8,582.85 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST兴化	002109.SZ	基础化工	-2.51%	3,799.54 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST嘉应	002198.SZ	医药生物	-2.28%	5,218.91 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST利达	603828.SH	建筑装饰	-0.65%	5,159.46 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST南置	002305.SZ	房地产	-0.50%	4,425.09 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
德豪润达	002005.SZ	家用电器	0.00%	3,892.48 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST海泰	600082.SH	房地产	0.00%	4,939.13 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

中国巨石	600176.SH	建筑材料	-10.00%	157.8 亿	主板	—	150000	8	—	2.75 亿
中钨高新	000657.SZ	有色金属	-10.00%	91.38 亿	主板	—	143654	0	—	1.47 亿
昊华科技	600378.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	70.10 亿	主板	—	150000	3	—	6,754.54 万
杭电股份	603618.SH	电力设备	-10.00%	44.49 亿	主板	—	131347	19	—	1.39 亿
远东股份	600869.SH	电力设备	-9.98%	43.64 亿	主板	—	150000	5	—	1,111.22 万
天娱数科	002354.SZ	传媒	-10.03%	43.07 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中材科技	002080.SZ	建筑材料	-10.00%	37.91 亿	主板	—	142000	12	—	3,760.08 万
彩虹股份	600707.SH	电子	-9.99%	31.55 亿	主板	—	132012	11	—	1.84 亿
五洲新春	603667.SH	机械设备	-9.99%	30.71 亿	主板	—	142755	2	—	8,681.94 万
沃格光电	603773.SH	电子	-10.00%	28.93 亿	主板	—	140535	3	—	1.46 亿
康强电子	002119.SZ	电子	-9.99%	28.34 亿	主板	—	144354	6	—	7,433.90 万
高能环境	603588.SH	环保	-10.00%	24.85 亿	主板	—	150000	13	—	2,694.38 万

大跌样本

吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	-29.99%	10.61 亿	北交所	—	145643	10	—	242.51 万
*ST禾信	688622.SH	机械设备	-20.00%	2.00 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
聚石化学	688669.SH	基础化工	-20.00%	7.26 亿	科创板	—	145537	7	—	330.78 万
工大科雅	301197.SZ	机械设备	-19.99%	2.57 亿	创业板	—	95936	3	—	2,043.24 万
旗天科技	300061.SZ	传媒	-17.25%	4.22 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华润新能源	001248.SZ	公用事业	-16.58%	71.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新锐股份	688257.SH	机械设备	-15.91%	29.75 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
索辰科技	688507.SH	计算机	-15.03%	26.13 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
拓斯达	300607.SZ	机械设备	-15.01%	38.61 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
丰光精密	920510.BJ	机械设备	-14.84%	6.75 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
申昊科技	300853.SZ	电力设备	-14.13%	6.05 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
奥比中光	688322.SH	电子	-13.66%	47.41 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

概伦电子	688206.SH	计算机	+20.01%	1	11.52 亿	科创板	94309	111130	1	1/1	6,725.43 万
鑫磊股份	301317.SZ	机械设备	+20.00%	1	3.68 亿	创业板	130615	130615	0	1/1	7,176.47 万
当虹科技	688039.SH	计算机	+20.00%	1	3.36 亿	科创板	112758	112758	0	1/1	2,758.96 万
菲菱科思	301191.SZ	通信	+20.00%	1	17.00 亿	创业板	133915	133915	0	1/1	1.28 亿
中石科技	300684.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	33.57 亿	创业板	95012	142945	10	1/1	1,035.49 万
*ST清越	688496.SH	电子	+19.77%	1	1,929.63 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST泉为	300716.SZ	电力设备	+19.07%	0	3.59 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
银河微电	688689.SH	电子	+18.70%	0	12.38 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
国力电子	688103.SH	电子	+16.78%	0	7.51 亿	科创板	130355	—	1	0/0	—
海达尔	920699.BJ	家用电器	+15.26%	0	2.59 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
首药控股	688197.SH	医药生物	+14.67%	0	4.29 亿	科创板	101448	—	2	0/0	—
华大九天	301269.SZ	计算机	+14.05%	0	39.00 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	-29.99%	10.61 亿	北交所	—	145643	10	—	242.51 万
*ST禾信	688622.SH	机械设备	-20.00%	2.00 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
聚石化学	688669.SH	基础化工	-20.00%	7.26 亿	科创板	—	145537	7	—	330.78 万
工大科雅	301197.SZ	机械设备	-19.99%	2.57 亿	创业板	—	95936	3	—	2,043.24 万
旗天科技	300061.SZ	传媒	-17.25%	4.22 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华润新能源	001248.SZ	公用事业	-16.58%	71.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新锐股份	688257.SH	机械设备	-15.91%	29.75 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
索辰科技	688507.SH	计算机	-15.03%	26.13 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
拓斯达	300607.SZ	机械设备	-15.01%	38.61 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
丰光精密	920510.BJ	机械设备	-14.84%	6.75 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
申昊科技	300853.SZ	电力设备	-14.13%	6.05 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
奥比中光	688322.SH	电子	-13.66%	47.41 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	-0.72%	40.97%	36.02%	+1.91%
创业板	1396	-1.91%	24.28%	34.81%	+3.56%
科创板	608	-1.78%	28.13%	48.85%	+3.09%
北交所	323	-2.03%	18.27%	16.10%	+2.31%

市值分层

小盘	2759	-1.39%	26.75%	33.28 亿
中盘	1655	-1.20%	37.76%	98.85 亿
大盘	828	-1.00%	43.12%	308.2 亿
超大盘	275	-0.22%	56.73%	1,427.6 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+1.10%	+6.87%	+7.44%	+1.07%	+6.78%	+6.38%	-0.03%	69.64%	84.29%	1,483.7 亿	4.77%	100.00%	+2.32%	3	0	29.66 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+1.03%	+0.95%	-6.52%	+0.56%	+2.56%	-8.88%	-0.46%	63.33%	23.33%	134.6 亿	0.43%	45.00%	+2.24%	0	0	3.42 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/228	-1.00%	+0.81%	+1.36%	-1.06%	+0.82%	+0.16%	-0.06%	34.21%	39.91%	3,721.4 亿	11.96%	30.00%	+0.22%	8	3	-90.66 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	高位分歧	197/197	-1.04%	+3.06%	-9.51%	-1.04%	+3.00%	-10.15%	+0.00%	28.43%	26.40%	505.1 亿	1.62%	30.00%	+0.18%	4	1	-23.13 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/201	-1.32%	-4.39%	+19.99%	-1.38%	-4.31%	+18.44%	-0.06%	34.33%	59.20%	6,037.6 亿	19.40%	40.00%	-0.10%	4	2	-180.5 亿	98.54%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/200	-1.95%	-5.23%	+13.84%	-2.02%	-4.79%	+12.49%	-0.06%	29.50%	46.00%	4,730.2 亿	15.20%	35.00%	-0.74%	3	3	-170.1 亿	99.02%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/42	-2.38%	-6.23%	+21.80%	-2.38%	-6.26%	+19.11%	0.00%	26.19%	52.38%	778.4 亿	2.50%	25.00%	-1.16%	2	0	-56.04 亿	97.67%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/79	-2.40%	-3.93%	+16.47%	-2.40%	-3.87%	+14.08%	-0.00%	17.72%	50.63%	844.3 亿	2.71%	35.00%	-1.18%	2	2	-45.57 亿	98.75%
物理AI	高位分歧	463/461	-2.83%	+5.48%	-0.52%	-2.80%	+5.29%	-1.99%	+0.03%	20.39%	44.47%	4,951.2 亿	15.91%	70.00%	-1.61%	6	5	-226.3 亿	99.57%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-2.91%	-4.58%	+1.10%	-2.88%	-4.18%	-0.77%	+0.04%	18.87%	25.94%	5,857.8 亿	18.82%	15.00%	-1.70%	6	2	-274.3 亿	100.00%
商业航天	方向待明	507/505	-3.08%	+0.55%	-3.22%	-3.09%	+0.53%	-4.19%	-0.01%	18.02%	29.70%	4,656.3 亿	14.96%	15.00%	-1.86%	6	16	-230.3 亿	99.80%
减速器	高位分歧	139/139	-3.52%	+9.32%	-2.13%	-3.47%	+9.18%	-3.25%	+0.05%	13.67%	49.64%	1,021.5 亿	3.28%	95.00%	-2.30%	1	2	-41.77 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-3.57%	-4.58%	+5.22%	-3.58%	-4.59%	+2.30%	-0.00%	15.74%	23.83%	3,653.8 亿	11.74%	20.00%	-2.35%	4	7	-257.2 亿	99.58%
玻璃基板	方向待明	57/57	-4.33%	—	—	-3.94%	-8.13%	+1.45%	+0.39%	17.54%	29.82%	1,541.8 亿	4.95%	35.00%	-3.11%	1	4	-81.88 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	-5.10%	-1.16%	-3.41%	-5.10%	-1.08%	-4.51%	+0.00%	2.94%	23.53%	191.4 亿	0.61%	10.00%	-3.88%	0	1	-15.51 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：首药控股（688197.SH）+14.67%、三元基因（920344.BJ）+13.46%、诚达药业（301201.SZ）+12.83%

领跌：维康药业（300878.SZ）-12.60%、海思科（002653.SZ）-8.66%、贵研铂业（600459.SH）-6.56%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：*ST尼雅（600084.SH）+8.02%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）+3.55%、山西汾酒（600809.SH）+2.28%

领跌：威龙股份（603779.SH）-4.85%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）-2.27%、酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）-1.66%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：中石科技（300684.SZ）+20.00%、华丰科技（688629.SH）+11.81%、高澜股份（300499.SZ）+10.11%

领跌：豪尔赛（002963.SZ）-10.00%、昊华科技（600378.SH）-10.00%、远东股份（600869.SH）-9.98%

文化传媒 · 高位分歧

领涨：当虹科技（688039.SH）+20.00%、皇氏集团（002329.SZ）+10.10%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：金利华电（300069.SZ）-10.58%、天娱数科（002354.SZ）-10.03%、易点天下（301171.SZ）-8.28%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：概伦电子（688206.SH）+20.01%、华大九天（301269.SZ）+14.05%、伟测科技（688372.SH）+11.45%

领跌：德福科技（301511.SZ）-13.59%、屹唐股份（688729.SH）-12.20%、臻宝科技（688797.SH）-11.30%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：银河微电（688689.SH）+18.70%、华大九天（301269.SZ）+14.05%、伟测科技（688372.SH）+11.45%

领跌：凯格精机（301338.SZ）-11.66%、臻宝科技（688797.SH）-11.30%、唯特偶（301319.SZ）-11.01%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：中石科技（300684.SZ）+20.00%、龙辰科技（920161.BJ）+11.14%、格林达（603931.SH）+10.00%

领跌：唯特偶（301319.SZ）-11.01%、中巨芯（688549.SH）-10.67%、方邦股份（688020.SH）-9.68%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：新亚强（603155.SH）+10.01%、格林达（603931.SH）+10.00%、百合花（603823.SH）+9.99%

领跌：吉和昌（920193.BJ）-29.99%、聚石化学（688669.SH）-20.00%、亚威股份（002559.SZ）-6.95%

物理AI · 高位分歧

领涨：当虹科技（688039.SH）+20.00%、涛涛车业（301345.SZ）+11.69%、华依科技（688071.SH）+11.27%

领跌：索辰科技（688507.SH）-15.03%、拓斯达（300607.SZ）-15.01%、丰光精密（920510.BJ）-14.84%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：中石科技（300684.SZ）+20.00%、华丰科技（688629.SH）+11.81%、崇达技术（002815.SZ）+10.02%

领跌：拓斯达（300607.SZ）-15.01%、凌云光（688400.SH）-13.60%、德福科技（301511.SZ）-13.59%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：当虹科技（688039.SH）+20.00%、国力电子（688103.SH）+16.78%、华丰科技（688629.SH）+11.81%

领跌：索辰科技（688507.SH）-15.03%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-13.39%、欧科亿（688308.SH）-12.60%

减速器 · 高位分歧

领涨：爱仕达（002403.SZ）+9.99%、星源卓镁（301398.SZ）+9.78%、韶能股份（000601.SZ）+8.94%

领跌：丰光精密（920510.BJ）-14.84%、三瑞智能（301696.SZ）-10.97%、横河精密（300539.SZ）-10.26%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：天山电子（301379.SZ）+10.73%、崇达技术（002815.SZ）+10.02%、洪田股份（603800.SH）+10.01%

领跌：吉和昌（920193.BJ）-29.99%、新锐股份（688257.SH）-15.91%、德福科技（301511.SZ）-13.59%

玻璃基板 · 方向待明

领涨：洪田股份（603800.SH）+10.01%、德邦科技（688035.SH）+5.99%、长电科技（600584.SH）+4.63%

领跌：凌云光（688400.SH）-13.60%、凯格精机（301338.SZ）-11.66%、联得装备（300545.SZ）-10.94%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：铂科新材（300811.SZ）+0.57%

领跌：斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-13.39%、天力复合（920576.BJ）-10.33%、深圳新星（603978.SH）-10.01%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

红利防御	92	+1.42%	+0.58%	+1.76%	-4.46%	61.62 亿	98.91%	29/25	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · +0.50%
金融地产	47	+0.60%	+0.55%	+2.99%	+10.01%	96.44 亿	100.00%	27/9	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.76%
医药健康	51	+0.56%	+0.47%	+4.52%	+12.07%	103.6 亿	100.00%	28/19	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.17%
大盘宽基	82	+0.30%	0.00%	-1.37%	+0.80%	112.3 亿	100.00%	16/21	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -1.46%
资源周期	53	-0.43%	-1.34%	+0.05%	-3.35%	83.73 亿	100.00%	30/11	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +5.15%
消费	44	-0.63%	+0.91%	+2.39%	-1.33%	27.94 亿	100.00%	13/11	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -4.65%
AI与半导体	123	-1.59%	-1.39%	-5.20%	+4.84%	627.7 亿	100.00%	58/44	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · +4.62%
中小盘宽基	138	-1.68%	-1.78%	-1.84%	+0.24%	287.2 亿	100.00%	39/21	易方达创业板ETF · -1.10%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	533	+0.61%	+5.76%	+2.57%	61.16%	75.42%	6.01%	3	0
金融地产	银行、房地产、非银金融	216	+0.60%	+2.89%	-3.08%	61.57%	42.13%	3.57%	3	0
大消费	食品饮料、农林牧渔、社会服务、商贸零售、家用电器	526	-0.10%	+3.92%	-6.21%	47.53%	36.50%	3.54%	7	2
公用防御	交通运输、环保、公用事业	400	-0.37%	+2.70%	-8.51%	44.75%	27.75%	3.16%	4	3
资源周期	煤炭、石油石化、钢铁、基础化工、有色金属	714	-1.22%	+1.54%	-3.69%	36.83%	30.11%	13.14%	10	14
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	-1.50%	+1.41%	-6.63%	32.90%	24.24%	2.66%	4	6
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、电子、通信	997	-2.06%	-0.98%	-0.47%	21.87%	30.79%	41.93%	15	10
高端制造	汽车、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工	1475	-2.23%	+3.29%	-5.52%	19.53%	32.14%	23.30%	21	13

近五个交易日

2026-06-30	55.3	77.5	55.45%	3.2938 万亿	172	6
2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -2.90%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -34.96%

涨停家数：压缩 · -89

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：3.2938 万亿 · 温度区间：35.5–70.6 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 4次、减速器 3次、文化传媒 2次、CPO 1次、先进封装 1次、存储芯片 1次

行业：国防军工 2次、交通运输 1次、农林牧渔 1次、医药生物 1次、基础化工 1次、机械设备 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-2.9%，上涨覆盖34.0%，五日成交中位32938.2亿元。

方向承接 · 创新药当日收益+1.10%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 机械设备涨停12家，最高6板。

负反馈 · 跌停54家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 32938.2亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 创新药

确认：创新药继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 7.4%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖34.0%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 4 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6

情绪九维 50.7

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.76
8.76
输入与公式
73 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率8.31
8.31
输入与公式
0.5887096774193549 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率2.96
2.96
输入与公式
0.07407407407407407 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价3.5
3.5
输入与公式
-0.005401135802469137 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":54,"largeLoss":304} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度5.1
5.1
输入与公式
0.34003987674460756 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.11
4.11
输入与公式
{"limitUp":73,"limitDown":54} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.07
5.07
输入与公式
0.9532833009544075 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	340	6.16%	+6.79%	+5.83%
趋势延续	585	10.60%	+1.49%	+1.40%
低位修复	738	13.38%	+1.59%	+1.10%
中间状态	3854	69.86%	-2.87%	-2.44%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 162 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 7.41%

晋级名单

*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	6	+9.96%
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	5	+10.08%
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	5	+9.99%
ST洲际	600759.SH	石油石化	4	+9.91%
宜宾纸业	600793.SH	轻工制造	4	+9.99%
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	4	+10.07%
金科股份	000656.SZ	房地产	3	+10.00%
ST龙大	002726.SZ	食品饮料	3	+9.70%
星网锐捷	002396.SZ	通信	2	+10.00%
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	2	+9.92%
晋拓股份	603211.SH	汽车	2	+9.99%
先锋电子	002767.SZ	机械设备	2	+9.98%
阿科力	603722.SH	基础化工	2	+10.00%
紫光股份	000938.SZ	计算机	1	+10.01%
黄河旋风	600172.SH	机械设备	1	+10.02%
中国长城	000066.SZ	计算机	1	+9.99%
中石科技	300684.SZ	电子	1	+20.00%
蔚蓝锂芯	002245.SZ	电力设备	1	+9.98%
航天电器	002025.SZ	国防军工	1	+10.00%
松发股份	603268.SH	国防军工	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:00:34.147613+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。