历史详情 · A 股观测台

2026-07-03

结论与证据

全A收盘为3804家上涨、1628家下跌，上涨占比68.96%；成交3.2053万亿元，环比-7.73%。单日广度明显扩张，38.7%样本位于MA20上方；162家封板、28家跌停，广度与涨停生态相互印证。这确认了当日扩张，但持续性仍需下一交易日验证。

广度扩张 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方39% · 162家封板 · 温度53.9

支持证据

15方向中减速器当日+5.74%居前；226家触板、封板率71.7%，最高5板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-1.18%，电子化学品方向-5.37%；成交额环比-7.73%，资金流分类代理-175.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 3.2053 万亿
成交环比: -7.73%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3804 / 1628 / 84
上涨覆盖: 68.96%
中位涨幅: +1.22%
MA20上方: 38.72%
20日新高 / 新低: 407 / 214
涨停 / 跌停: 162 / 28
触板 / 未封: 226 / 64
封板率: 71.68%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 53.9

广度24.14
24.14
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势7.74
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态12.79
12.79
输入与公式
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1.7
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数7.5
7.5
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 71.7

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
162.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.12
10.12
输入与公式
0.72 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率12
12
输入与公式
0.31 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.69
7.69
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":28,"largeLoss":142} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.69 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":162,"limitDown":28} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.63
5.63
输入与公式
0.98 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	4,043.64	+0.37%	1.4656 万亿
科创50	1,975.60	-0.59%	1,748.5 亿
深证成指	15,597.51	+0.64%	1.0220 万亿
创业板指	4,019.93	+0.07%	3,702.4 亿
中证1000	8,620.79	-0.05%	6,749.9 亿
国证2000	11,189.64	-0.03%	9,034.4 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	639	11.58%	+6.84%	+5.69%
趋势延续	658	11.93%	+1.79%	+1.68%
低位修复	2314	41.95%	+2.17%	+1.80%
中间状态	1905	34.54%	-2.24%	-1.69%

三项风险

普涨后的广度持续性尚未确认

上涨占比68.96%、中位数涨幅+1.22%；单日扩张不等同连续扩张。

少数方向逆势承压

基础化工、电子分别为-0.61%、-1.18%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-7.73%，226家触板中64家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度扩张能否延续

上涨占比继续高于50%，且MA20上方比例不显著低于今日38.7%。

减速器强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日71.7%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 4,043.64 · MA5 4,070.66 · MA10 4,088.10 · MA20 4,063.84

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,063.84 · 近10日最低 3,992.55 · 近20日最低 3,927.85；压力：近10日最高 4,175.35 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2025-12-31	3,968.73	3,977.54	3,955.49	3,968.84	+0.09%
2026-01-05	3,986.97	4,025.26	3,983.58	4,023.42	+1.38%
2026-01-06	4,026.02	4,083.67	4,025.09	4,083.67	+1.50%
2026-01-07	4,083.84	4,098.78	4,069.44	4,085.77	+0.05%
2026-01-08	4,077.72	4,093.87	4,067.12	4,082.98	-0.07%
2026-01-09	4,086.76	4,121.72	4,083.62	4,120.43	+0.92%
2026-01-12	4,134.89	4,168.36	4,119.88	4,165.29	+1.09%
2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

汽车	修复延续	318	+3.83%	+6.91%	-4.69%	+3.30%	90.88%	43.08%	1,153.4 亿	3.60%	21	0	33.00	2.61
国防军工	趋势扩散	140	+3.66%	+5.58%	+1.80%	+3.74%	86.43%	62.14%	1,008.4 亿	3.15%	6	1	81.65	4.16
机械设备	修复延续	604	+2.65%	+5.11%	+0.78%	+2.48%	77.48%	45.70%	2,953.6 亿	9.21%	28	2	56.31	3.50
家用电器	修复延续	102	+2.48%	+6.69%	-2.61%	+2.06%	79.41%	45.10%	414.2 亿	1.29%	7	0	42.44	2.60
纺织服饰	修复延续	107	+2.10%	+6.33%	-1.41%	+2.25%	85.05%	46.73%	156.2 亿	0.49%	4	2	30.20	1.84
医药生物	趋势扩散	503	+1.83%	+10.49%	+2.55%	+1.72%	85.09%	73.96%	1,483.6 亿	4.63%	8	0	37.51	2.40
轻工制造	修复延续	167	+1.37%	+4.04%	-5.83%	+1.45%	73.65%	31.14%	200.9 亿	0.63%	4	2	31.55	2.24
石油石化	修复延续	48	+1.34%	+2.73%	-8.07%	+1.48%	77.08%	25.00%	159.9 亿	0.50%	3	0	37.60	2.11
电力设备	修复延续	414	+1.30%	+2.07%	-6.88%	+1.25%	67.63%	25.85%	2,403.1 亿	7.50%	12	0	50.60	3.12
交通运输	修复延续	128	+1.23%	+3.29%	-4.73%	+1.08%	80.47%	29.69%	246.5 亿	0.77%	3	0	17.59	1.34
环保	修复延续	134	+1.22%	+3.01%	-5.06%	+1.51%	71.64%	25.37%	227.5 亿	0.71%	4	3	30.28	2.01
建筑装饰	修复延续	155	+1.20%	+3.25%	-5.65%	+1.52%	75.48%	28.39%	372.4 亿	1.16%	5	1	30.33	1.98
煤炭	修复延续	33	+1.12%	+3.48%	-21.22%	+0.85%	75.76%	9.09%	99.55 亿	0.31%	0	0	21.05	1.20
食品饮料	修复延续	126	+1.11%	+3.28%	-7.38%	+1.03%	80.16%	19.05%	260.7 亿	0.81%	6	0	25.32	2.11
房地产	修复延续	95	+1.04%	+2.09%	-9.49%	+0.98%	75.79%	17.89%	164.4 亿	0.51%	7	1	34.93	1.17
建筑材料	低位修复	76	+1.01%	-0.17%	-1.96%	+1.53%	72.37%	31.58%	512.4 亿	1.60%	2	1	48.11	1.83
美容护理	修复延续	30	+0.97%	+7.16%	-2.65%	+1.25%	66.67%	43.33%	39.07 亿	0.12%	0	0	27.58	2.36
社会服务	修复延续	85	+0.90%	+3.16%	-6.55%	+1.07%	78.82%	27.06%	99.52 亿	0.31%	2	0	37.82	2.89
商贸零售	修复延续	99	+0.75%	+4.42%	-6.63%	+1.09%	73.74%	24.24%	157.7 亿	0.49%	2	0	32.13	1.74
计算机	修复延续	359	+0.74%	+2.79%	-6.90%	+0.84%	68.25%	21.17%	1,283.5 亿	4.00%	3	0	84.00	3.51
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+0.73%	+6.35%	-4.64%	+0.82%	63.16%	49.12%	195.2 亿	0.61%	3	1	36.15	2.21
非银金融	趋势扩散	79	+0.71%	+3.53%	+4.72%	+0.58%	81.01%	75.95%	658.4 亿	2.05%	0	0	18.85	1.28
通信	低位修复	127	+0.64%	-1.48%	-7.19%	+0.32%	57.48%	19.69%	2,052.2 亿	6.40%	4	0	111.64	4.82
有色金属	修复延续	145	+0.61%	+2.19%	-0.07%	+0.99%	60.69%	35.17%	2,057.3 亿	6.42%	7	2	43.52	3.74
公用事业	修复延续	138	+0.60%	+1.41%	-17.05%	+0.76%	63.77%	11.59%	542.3 亿	1.69%	3	1	25.94	1.61
综合	修复延续	20	+0.37%	+2.69%	-4.65%	+0.98%	65.00%	20.00%	58.56 亿	0.18%	0	0	51.44	2.74
钢铁	方向待明	43	+0.04%	+2.93%	-7.64%	0.00%	46.51%	13.95%	91.36 亿	0.29%	0	0	18.13	1.13
银行	低位修复	42	+0.01%	-0.23%	-5.09%	0.00%	47.62%	0.00%	244.2 亿	0.76%	0	0	5.76	0.52
传媒	修复延续	131	-0.59%	+2.43%	-7.93%	+0.19%	51.91%	19.08%	516.5 亿	1.61%	2	1	40.37	2.89
基础化工	方向待明	444	-0.61%	+1.77%	+0.12%	-0.29%	46.17%	37.16%	1,947.3 亿	6.08%	9	4	41.24	2.37
电子	方向待明	510	-1.18%	-1.52%	+9.17%	-1.45%	39.41%	52.75%	1.0293 万亿	32.11%	7	6	108.19	6.26

涨停生态

首板 113 家 · 多板 49 家 · 昨日涨停 159 家 · 今日晋级 49 家 · 晋级率 30.82%

5 板 · 2 家 · *ST东智、国华退

4 板 · 7 家 · 京蓝科技、*ST康佳A、ST同德、*ST数源、*ST天箭、恒尚节能、ST星农

3 板 · 19 家 · ST洲际、富春染织、中通国脉、ST西王、ST海王、*ST中岩、*ST南置、德豪润达

2 板 · 21 家 · 赤峰黄金、浙江鼎力、石药景峰、日盈电子、雷赛智能、天域生物、招金黄金、艾艾精工

1 板 · 113 家 · 埃斯顿、拓普集团、双环传动、卧龙电驱、飞龙股份、杰瑞股份、信立泰、恒立液压

行业聚类

机械设备 · 28 家 · 最高 5 板 · *ST东智、ST星农、*ST威领、浙江鼎力、雷赛智能、ST汇洲

汽车 · 21 家 · 最高 2 板 · 日盈电子、拓普集团、双环传动、飞龙股份、贝斯特、岱美股份

电力设备 · 12 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST京机、卧龙电驱、科达利、中元股份、兆威机电、泰胜风能

基础化工 · 9 家 · 最高 4 板 · ST同德、ST兴化、艾艾精工、宁科生物、ST嘉澳、金发科技

医药生物 · 8 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST海王、ST嘉应、ST葫芦娃、ST复华、石药景峰、信立泰

家用电器 · 7 家 · 最高 4 板 · *ST康佳A、德豪润达、朗迪集团、得邦照明、联合精密、振邦智能

房地产 · 7 家 · 最高 4 板 · *ST数源、*ST南置、ST海泰、*ST发展、金科股份、首开股份

有色金属 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 赤峰黄金、招金黄金、山金国际、西部黄金、四川黄金、豪美新材

电子 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天山电子、安洁科技、贤丰控股、ST合力泰、福蓉科技、朝阳科技

国防军工 · 6 家 · 最高 4 板 · *ST天箭、甘化科工、铖昌科技、航发科技、盟升电子、四创电子

食品饮料 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST西王、ST龙大、*ST尼雅、ST交昂、ST加加、ST椰岛

建筑装饰 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 恒尚节能、*ST中岩、*ST利达、ST中装、*ST岭南

环保 · 4 家 · 最高 4 板 · 京蓝科技、惠城环保、祥龙电业、*ST国中

纺织服饰 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 富春染织、*ST起步、ST际华、ST如意

轻工制造 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 宜宾纸业、景兴纸业、荣晟环保、海象新材

通信 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 中通国脉、星网锐捷、*ST实达、北纬科技

交通运输 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 三羊马、密尔克卫、ST雪发

公用事业 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 新能股份、世茂能源、万憬能源

农林牧渔 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 天域生物、绿康生化、*ST景谷

石油石化 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST洲际、国创高新、康普顿

计算机 · 3 家 · 最高 5 板 · 国华退、真视通、*ST英飞

传媒 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 风语筑、奥飞娱乐

商贸零售 · 2 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST文峰、凯瑞德

建筑材料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华新建材、*ST亚士

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST东时、*ST高科

连续晋级与首板

*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	+4.82%	5	488.40 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	+9.76%	5	267.31 万	主板	93118	145142	3	4/5	1.54 万
京蓝科技	000711.SZ	环保	+4.99%	4	6.03 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST康佳A	000016.SZ	家用电器	+5.12%	4	1.22 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	+5.01%	4	2,166.75 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	+5.06%	4	1,168.78 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST天箭	002977.SZ	国防军工	+5.00%	4	1,142.24 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+10.03%	4	1,042.64 万	主板	92503	92503	0	4/4	3.68 亿
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	+4.96%	4	412.05 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST洲际	600759.SH	石油石化	+4.95%	3	6.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	+10.01%	3	3.56 亿	主板	131824	131824	0	3/3	4,429.14 万
中通国脉	603559.SH	通信	+9.99%	3	1.41 亿	主板	93352	93758	1	3/3	2,669.56 万
ST西王	000639.SZ	食品饮料	+4.92%	3	9,743.32 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	+4.93%	3	9,311.88 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST中岩	002542.SZ	建筑装饰	+4.80%	3	8,734.26 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST南置	002305.SZ	房地产	+5.24%	3	8,309.90 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
德豪润达	002005.SZ	家用电器	+4.94%	3	6,957.44 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宜宾纸业	600793.SH	轻工制造	+10.03%	3	5,854.48 万	主板	93001	93001	0	3/3	6,476.08 万
ST文峰	601010.SH	商贸零售	+5.23%	3	5,697.45 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST嘉应	002198.SZ	医药生物	+5.09%	3	4,807.02 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

晋级未完成（最多16只）

*ST瑞茂	600180.SH	交通运输	+1.45%	9,240.04 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	-4.98%	2.00 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒久退	002808.SZ	电子	-4.00%	253.45 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	+1.66%	21.94 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST联翔	603272.SH	轻工制造	-4.99%	1.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
先导基电	600641.SH	电子	-1.51%	88.44 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
围海股份	002586.SZ	建筑装饰	-0.25%	4,005.18 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	+4.00%	2,735.49 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST步森	002569.SZ	纺织服饰	+4.45%	7,022.40 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
粤海饲料	001313.SZ	农林牧渔	-9.44%	2.85 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金石资源	603505.SH	基础化工	-9.23%	21.21 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
争光股份	301092.SZ	基础化工	-8.13%	6.26 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
亚威股份	002559.SZ	机械设备	-7.41%	23.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
韶能股份	000601.SZ	公用事业	-6.78%	9.89 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	-4.58%	26.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
益生股份	002458.SZ	农林牧渔	-3.72%	14.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

多氟多	002407.SZ	基础化工	-10.00%	119.6 亿	主板	—	135951	14	—	3.85 亿
巨化股份	600160.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	69.44 亿	主板	—	141042	7	—	1.88 亿
立昂微	605358.SH	电子	-10.01%	56.92 亿	主板	—	143529	2	—	8,372.25 万
彩虹股份	600707.SH	电子	-10.01%	42.63 亿	主板	—	142318	4	—	2.28 亿
江钨装备	600397.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	38.39 亿	主板	—	150000	0	—	666.90 万
三美股份	603379.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	30.78 亿	主板	—	141859	14	—	3,604.59 万
滨化股份	601678.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	30.52 亿	主板	—	142514	6	—	4,376.39 万
翔鹭钨业	002842.SZ	有色金属	-10.01%	30.42 亿	主板	—	144600	4	—	2,024.98 万
泰晶科技	603738.SH	电子	-9.99%	29.94 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
平潭发展	000592.SZ	农林牧渔	-10.05%	18.64 亿	主板	—	144039	25	—	909.22 万
光电股份	600184.SH	国防军工	-10.00%	11.69 亿	主板	—	142243	1	—	2,618.13 万
惠科股份	001399.SZ	电子	-10.00%	11.46 亿	主板	—	93215	0	—	11.56 亿

大跌样本

气派科技	688216.SH	电子	-20.00%	9.16 亿	科创板	—	150000	4	—	453.06 万
京源环保	688096.SH	环保	-19.98%	3.16 亿	科创板	—	141651	14	—	746.79 万
臻宝科技	688797.SH	电子	-19.15%	62.90 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
金宏气体	688106.SH	电子	-16.21%	41.65 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
银河微电	688689.SH	电子	-14.96%	11.39 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华灿光电	300323.SZ	电子	-13.24%	30.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
晶瑞电材	300655.SZ	电子	-12.59%	36.89 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
矽电股份	301629.SZ	电子	-11.38%	8.72 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
唯特偶	301319.SZ	电子	-11.07%	18.23 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
迪阿股份	301177.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.55%	1.78 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
泰和科技	300801.SZ	基础化工	-10.49%	6.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
易点天下	301171.SZ	传媒	-10.41%	23.04 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

丰光精密	920510.BJ	机械设备	+30.00%	1	8.75 亿	北交所	130847	144905	13	1/1	722.75 万
新睿电子	920211.BJ	机械设备	+29.99%	1	2.95 亿	北交所	100317	100620	1	1/1	6,023.00 万
吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	+29.99%	1	12.87 亿	北交所	145538	145538	0	1/1	3,446.29 万
万达轴承	920002.BJ	机械设备	+25.13%	0	3.46 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
嘉晨智能	920096.BJ	机械设备	+20.66%	0	2.15 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
迈赫股份	301199.SZ	机械设备	+20.02%	1	2.07 亿	创业板	140551	140551	0	1/1	670.84 万
贝斯特	300580.SZ	汽车	+20.02%	1	10.79 亿	创业板	130421	133439	7	1/1	3,640.37 万
致远新能	300985.SZ	机械设备	+20.00%	1	3.70 亿	创业板	130139	130139	0	1/1	5,917.50 万
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	+20.00%	1	7.24 亿	创业板	101709	101709	0	1/1	8,465.08 万
天山电子	301379.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	15.60 亿	创业板	93833	143930	6	2/4	3,250.39 万
维科精密	301499.SZ	汽车	+20.00%	1	2.92 亿	创业板	134651	134651	0	1/1	3,316.51 万
凯龙高科	300912.SZ	汽车	+20.00%	1	2.36 亿	创业板	94503	94757	1	1/1	5,769.01 万

跌幅居前

气派科技	688216.SH	电子	-20.00%	9.16 亿	科创板	—	150000	4	—	453.06 万
京源环保	688096.SH	环保	-19.98%	3.16 亿	科创板	—	141651	14	—	746.79 万
臻宝科技	688797.SH	电子	-19.15%	62.90 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
金宏气体	688106.SH	电子	-16.21%	41.65 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
银河微电	688689.SH	电子	-14.96%	11.39 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华灿光电	300323.SZ	电子	-13.24%	30.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
晶瑞电材	300655.SZ	电子	-12.59%	36.89 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
矽电股份	301629.SZ	电子	-11.38%	8.72 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
唯特偶	301319.SZ	电子	-11.07%	18.23 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
迪阿股份	301177.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.55%	1.78 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
泰和科技	300801.SZ	基础化工	-10.49%	6.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
易点天下	301171.SZ	传媒	-10.41%	23.04 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3189	+1.13%	70.81%	36.06%	+2.05%
创业板	1396	+1.29%	67.26%	41.33%	+3.76%
科创板	608	+0.23%	54.28%	55.92%	+3.07%
北交所	323	+2.40%	85.76%	21.36%	+2.69%

市值分层

小盘	2759	+1.64%	77.31%	33.79 亿
中盘	1654	+0.75%	61.97%	100.6 亿
大盘	828	+0.43%	56.76%	309.9 亿
超大盘	275	+0.70%	64.00%	1,427.9 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

减速器	趋势扩散	139/139	+5.74%	+12.31%	+4.76%	+5.71%	+12.28%	+3.68%	-0.03%	92.81%	64.03%	1,147.3 亿	3.58%	100.00%	+4.59%	15	0	76.28 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势扩散	463/461	+3.46%	+7.37%	+3.89%	+3.43%	+7.16%	+2.25%	-0.03%	78.52%	56.18%	5,402.3 亿	16.85%	95.00%	+2.32%	33	4	128.4 亿	99.57%
创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+1.82%	+12.12%	+6.49%	+1.80%	+12.08%	+5.29%	-0.02%	83.57%	80.71%	1,163.2 亿	3.63%	85.00%	+0.68%	6	0	17.84 亿	100.00%
商业航天	方向待明	507/505	+1.68%	+2.44%	+0.94%	+1.66%	+2.45%	-0.09%	-0.02%	69.50%	41.98%	4,912.2 亿	15.33%	20.00%	+0.54%	14	3	25.97 亿	99.80%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/228	+0.46%	+0.59%	+2.33%	+0.53%	+0.59%	+1.08%	+0.07%	57.89%	41.67%	3,772.1 亿	11.77%	45.00%	-0.68%	6	1	9.85 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/197	+0.24%	+3.86%	-7.95%	+0.24%	+3.76%	-8.59%	-0.00%	60.91%	22.34%	562.0 亿	1.75%	65.00%	-0.91%	7	1	-22.55 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	+0.06%	+2.03%	+4.59%	+0.06%	+2.13%	+3.39%	-0.00%	61.76%	44.12%	227.3 亿	0.71%	60.00%	-1.08%	0	1	6,727.00 万	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-0.10%	-4.13%	+8.66%	-0.12%	-4.16%	+5.54%	-0.02%	45.96%	38.72%	3,930.9 亿	12.26%	25.00%	-1.25%	9	0	-5.98 亿	99.58%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-0.32%	-4.48%	+2.82%	-0.28%	-4.15%	+1.19%	+0.04%	44.81%	37.26%	6,140.3 亿	19.16%	15.00%	-1.47%	3	3	-111.2 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	-0.40%	+1.92%	-7.25%	+0.96%	+3.46%	-9.37%	+1.36%	76.67%	13.33%	120.6 亿	0.38%	20.00%	-1.55%	2	0	-4.47 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	方向待明	206/201	-1.97%	-1.41%	+19.52%	-1.89%	-1.41%	+18.05%	+0.08%	33.83%	64.68%	6,351.1 亿	19.81%	60.00%	-3.12%	3	4	-256.1 亿	98.54%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/200	-2.31%	-3.49%	+15.00%	-2.22%	-3.15%	+13.56%	+0.09%	26.50%	54.50%	4,824.9 亿	15.05%	45.00%	-3.45%	2	4	-210.4 亿	99.02%
玻璃基板	方向待明	57/57	-3.44%	—	—	-3.28%	-6.28%	+7.26%	+0.16%	14.04%	49.12%	1,671.8 亿	5.22%	40.00%	-4.58%	1	2	-121.1 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	方向待明	80/79	-4.18%	-0.03%	+20.38%	-3.75%	-0.61%	+17.91%	+0.43%	12.66%	60.76%	1,024.2 亿	3.20%	60.00%	-5.33%	1	0	-83.32 亿	98.75%
电子化学品	方向待明	43/42	-5.37%	-2.72%	+23.89%	-5.37%	-3.01%	+22.10%	+0.00%	11.90%	66.67%	895.7 亿	2.79%	60.00%	-6.51%	0	0	-75.97 亿	97.67%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

减速器 · 趋势扩散

领涨：丰光精密（920510.BJ）+30.00%、瑞迪智驱（301596.SZ）+20.00%、绿的谐波（688017.SH）+18.15%

领跌：韶能股份（000601.SZ）-6.78%、阿尔特（300825.SZ）-3.98%、恒锋工具（300488.SZ）-2.82%

物理AI · 趋势扩散

领涨：丰光精密（920510.BJ）+30.00%、万达轴承（920002.BJ）+25.13%、贝斯特（300580.SZ）+20.02%

领跌：立昂微（605358.SH）-10.01%、光电股份（600184.SH）-10.00%、泰晶科技（603738.SH）-9.99%

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：申联生物（688098.SH）+13.30%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）+13.22%、热景生物（688068.SH）+11.62%

领跌：贵研铂业（600459.SH）-8.76%、瑞联新材（688550.SH）-8.04%、八亿时空（688181.SH）-6.27%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：盟升电子（688311.SH）+19.99%、泰胜风能（300129.SZ）+19.98%、昊志机电（300503.SZ）+16.99%

领跌：金宏气体（688106.SH）-16.21%、立昂微（605358.SH）-10.01%、滨化股份（601678.SH）-10.00%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：江苏雷利（300660.SZ）+14.36%、锐捷网络（301165.SZ）+11.31%、长盈精密（300115.SZ）+10.78%

领跌：巨化股份（600160.SH）-9.99%、沃顿科技（000920.SZ）-9.89%、金石资源（603505.SH）-9.23%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：风语筑（603466.SH）+10.03%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）+10.01%、奥飞娱乐（002292.SZ）+9.96%

领跌：易点天下（301171.SZ）-10.41%、欢瑞世纪（000892.SZ）-10.00%、福石控股（300071.SZ）-10.00%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：大地熊（688077.SH）+8.55%、图南股份（300855.SZ）+8.29%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）+5.03%

领跌：深圳新星（603978.SH）-10.00%、悦安新材（688786.SH）-9.48%、有研复材（688811.SH）-7.34%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：吉和昌（920193.BJ）+29.99%、贝斯特（300580.SZ）+20.02%、天山电子（301379.SZ）+20.00%

领跌：泰和科技（300801.SZ）-10.49%、广信材料（300537.SZ）-10.40%、瑞丰高材（300243.SZ）-10.34%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：ST臻镭（688270.SH）+13.56%、拓斯达（300607.SZ）+13.55%、锐捷网络（301165.SZ）+11.31%

领跌：华灿光电（300323.SZ）-13.24%、唯特偶（301319.SZ）-11.07%、立昂微（605358.SH）-10.01%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：ST椰岛（600238.SH）+5.02%、*ST尼雅（600084.SH）+4.95%、威龙股份（603779.SH）+3.90%

领跌：酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）-2.41%、百润股份（002568.SZ）-1.63%、会稽山（601579.SH）-1.20%

存储芯片 · 方向待明

领涨：天山电子（301379.SZ）+20.00%、君正股份（300223.SZ）+10.61%、蓝晓科技（300487.SZ）+10.49%

领跌：气派科技（688216.SH）-20.00%、臻宝科技（688797.SH）-19.15%、金宏气体（688106.SH）-16.21%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：盟升电子（688311.SH）+19.99%、鼎智科技（920593.BJ）+11.71%、朗迪集团（603726.SH）+9.99%

领跌：气派科技（688216.SH）-20.00%、臻宝科技（688797.SH）-19.15%、银河微电（688689.SH）-14.96%

玻璃基板 · 方向待明

领涨：亚玛顿（002623.SZ）+10.01%、凌云光（688400.SH）+9.02%、利亚德（300296.SZ）+4.44%

领跌：力诺药包（301188.SZ）-10.25%、彩虹股份（600707.SH）-10.01%、莱宝高科（002106.SZ）-9.97%

光刻胶 · 方向待明

领涨：吉和昌（920193.BJ）+29.99%、聚石化学（688669.SH）+6.57%、岱勒新材（300700.SZ）+4.53%

领跌：晶瑞电材（300655.SZ）-12.59%、泰和科技（300801.SZ）-10.49%、广信材料（300537.SZ）-10.40%

电子化学品 · 方向待明

领涨：方邦股份（688020.SH）+7.13%、中石科技（300684.SZ）+6.91%、龙辰科技（920161.BJ）+3.38%

领跌：金宏气体（688106.SH）-16.21%、晶瑞电材（300655.SZ）-12.59%、唯特偶（301319.SZ）-11.07%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

医药健康	51	+2.49%	+1.97%	+10.70%	+11.60%	79.83 亿	100.00%	19/25	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.34%
资源周期	53	+1.91%	+1.09%	+1.51%	-4.01%	79.48 亿	100.00%	24/18	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · +2.35%
消费	44	+0.79%	+0.39%	+3.04%	-2.78%	28.18 亿	100.00%	13/14	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -2.35%
红利防御	91	+0.68%	+0.65%	+1.29%	-6.18%	50.19 亿	100.00%	37/16	华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF · +0.51%
大盘宽基	82	+0.65%	+0.59%	-0.03%	-0.77%	295.5 亿	100.00%	19/20	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -7.89%
金融地产	47	+0.39%	+0.35%	+3.27%	+8.87%	98.47 亿	100.00%	26/12	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +1.09%
中小盘宽基	138	+0.16%	+0.39%	+0.10%	+1.15%	258.7 亿	100.00%	56/19	易方达创业板ETF · +4.40%
AI与半导体	123	-0.16%	0.00%	-1.68%	+4.63%	666.4 亿	98.37%	85/19	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · +0.81%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

高端制造	汽车、国防军工、机械设备、电力设备	1476	+2.62%	+4.69%	-2.45%	78.46%	41.12%	23.46%	67	3
医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	533	+1.78%	+10.30%	+2.26%	84.05%	72.23%	4.75%	8	0
大消费	家用电器、食品饮料、社会服务、商贸零售、农林牧渔	526	+1.19%	+4.80%	-5.59%	74.90%	32.89%	3.52%	20	1
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	+1.14%	+2.13%	-4.44%	74.46%	29.44%	2.76%	7	2
公用防御	交通运输、环保、公用事业	400	+1.01%	+2.55%	-9.09%	71.75%	22.00%	3.17%	10	4
金融地产	房地产、非银金融、银行	216	+0.72%	+2.16%	-3.44%	72.22%	35.65%	3.33%	7	1
资源周期	石油石化、煤炭、有色金属、钢铁、基础化工	713	-0.11%	+2.07%	-1.92%	52.59%	33.24%	13.59%	19	6
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	996	-0.25%	+0.04%	+1.29%	52.11%	37.15%	42.52%	14	6

近五个交易日

2026-06-29	46.3	68.9	44.81%	3.5393 万亿	127	5
2026-06-30	55.3	77.5	55.45%	3.2938 万亿	172	6
2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -7.73%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +28.74%

涨停家数：扩张 · 3

最高连板：持平 · 0

五日成交中位：3.4739 万亿 · 温度区间：35.5–70.6 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 4次、减速器 3次、存储芯片 2次、文化传媒 2次、CPO 1次、先进封装 1次

行业：农林牧渔 2次、医药生物 2次、国防军工 2次、美容护理 2次、基础化工 1次、机械设备 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-7.7%，上涨覆盖69.0%，五日成交中位34739.3亿元。

方向承接 · 减速器当日收益+5.74%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 机械设备涨停28家，最高5板。

负反馈 · 跌停28家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 34739.3亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 减速器

确认：减速器继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 30.8%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖69.0%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 3 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5

情绪九维 71.7

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
162 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.12
10.12
输入与公式
0.7168141592920354 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率12
12
输入与公式
0.3081761006289308 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.69
7.69
输入与公式
0.012054405063291142 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":28,"largeLoss":142} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.6896301667875272 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":162,"limitDown":28} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.63
5.63
输入与公式
0.9817138619235524 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	639	11.58%	+6.84%	+5.69%
趋势延续	658	11.93%	+1.79%	+1.68%
低位修复	2314	41.95%	+2.17%	+1.80%
中间状态	1905	34.54%	-2.24%	-1.69%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 159 家 · 今日晋级 49 家 · 晋级率 30.82%

晋级名单

*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	5	+4.82%
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	5	+9.76%
京蓝科技	000711.SZ	环保	4	+4.99%
*ST康佳A	000016.SZ	家用电器	4	+5.12%
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	4	+5.01%
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	4	+5.06%
*ST天箭	002977.SZ	国防军工	4	+5.00%
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	4	+10.03%
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	4	+4.96%
ST洲际	600759.SH	石油石化	3	+4.95%
富春染织	605189.SH	纺织服饰	3	+10.01%
中通国脉	603559.SH	通信	3	+9.99%
ST西王	000639.SZ	食品饮料	3	+4.92%
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	3	+4.93%
*ST中岩	002542.SZ	建筑装饰	3	+4.80%
*ST南置	002305.SZ	房地产	3	+5.24%
德豪润达	002005.SZ	家用电器	3	+4.94%
宜宾纸业	600793.SH	轻工制造	3	+10.03%
ST文峰	601010.SH	商贸零售	3	+5.23%
ST嘉应	002198.SZ	医药生物	3	+5.09%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

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工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

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国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

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国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

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沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:00:28.907478+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。