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2026-07-02

结论与证据

全A收盘为2219家上涨、3162家下跌，上涨占比40.22%；成交3.4739万亿元，环比-5.67%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，32.1%样本位于MA20上方；159家封板、44家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方32% · 159家封板 · 温度35.5

支持证据

15方向中减速器当日+1.09%居前；227家触板、封板率70.0%，最高5板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-4.46%，玻璃基板方向-9.93%；成交额环比-5.67%，资金流分类代理-1218.0亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 3.4739 万亿
成交环比: -5.67%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2219 / 3162 / 136
上涨覆盖: 40.22%
中位涨幅: -0.49%
MA20上方: 32.14%
20日新高 / 新低: 259 / 348
涨停 / 跌停: 159 / 44
触板 / 未封: 227 / 68
封板率: 70.04%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 35.5

广度14.08
14.08
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势6.43
6.43
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态11.75
11.75
输入与公式
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量能3.25
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指数0
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 69.9

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
159.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率9.89
9.89
输入与公式
0.70 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率11.5
11.5
输入与公式
0.29 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.96
7.96
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":44,"largeLoss":295} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.03
6.03
输入与公式
0.40 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":159,"limitDown":44} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.28
7.28
输入与公式
1.06 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	4,028.90	-2.03%	1.5772 万亿
科创50	1,987.29	-7.70%	2,149.5 亿
深证成指	15,498.81	-3.85%	1.1241 万亿
创业板指	4,017.27	-5.71%	4,246.7 亿
中证1000	8,625.33	-2.83%	7,178.7 亿
国证2000	11,192.79	-2.36%	9,698.3 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	251	4.55%	+7.22%	+5.64%
趋势延续	307	5.56%	+1.80%	+1.51%
低位修复	1471	26.66%	+2.14%	+1.07%
中间状态	3488	63.22%	-2.50%	-1.81%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比40.22%，中位数涨幅-0.49%。

少数方向逆势承压

通信、电子分别为-3.73%、-4.46%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-5.67%，227家触板中68家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

减速器强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

玻璃基板弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日70.0%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 4,028.90 · MA5 4,067.38 · MA10 4,092.78 · MA20 4,064.55

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,064.55 · 近10日最低 3,992.55 · 近20日最低 3,927.85；压力：近10日最高 4,175.35 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2025-12-30	3,947.87	3,979.99	3,947.42	3,965.12	-0.00%
2025-12-31	3,968.73	3,977.54	3,955.49	3,968.84	+0.09%
2026-01-05	3,986.97	4,025.26	3,983.58	4,023.42	+1.38%
2026-01-06	4,026.02	4,083.67	4,025.09	4,083.67	+1.50%
2026-01-07	4,083.84	4,098.78	4,069.44	4,085.77	+0.05%
2026-01-08	4,077.72	4,093.87	4,067.12	4,082.98	-0.07%
2026-01-09	4,086.76	4,121.72	4,083.62	4,120.43	+0.92%
2026-01-12	4,134.89	4,168.36	4,119.88	4,165.29	+1.09%
2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

基础化工	修复延续	444	+1.76%	+0.33%	+0.33%	+0.33%	54.05%	37.16%	2,244.9 亿	6.46%	22	1	41.12	2.39
纺织服饰	修复延续	107	+1.66%	+2.26%	-4.75%	+0.95%	68.22%	35.51%	139.4 亿	0.40%	14	1	29.48	1.82
美容护理	修复延续	30	+1.45%	+3.85%	-5.77%	+0.67%	70.00%	36.67%	39.19 亿	0.11%	1	0	27.95	2.34
银行	低位修复	42	+1.20%	-1.49%	-6.35%	+1.28%	92.86%	0.00%	290.5 亿	0.84%	0	0	5.73	0.52
交通运输	修复延续	128	+0.80%	+0.07%	-7.21%	+0.69%	68.75%	19.53%	272.4 亿	0.78%	5	1	17.58	1.34
传媒	方向待明	131	+0.75%	+0.16%	-9.13%	0.00%	49.62%	19.85%	613.7 亿	1.77%	4	1	40.39	2.88
煤炭	低位修复	33	+0.71%	-0.99%	-20.45%	+0.61%	60.61%	3.03%	133.6 亿	0.38%	0	0	20.82	1.22
汽车	低位修复	318	+0.70%	-0.07%	-8.93%	+0.35%	57.86%	21.38%	896.9 亿	2.58%	12	0	32.47	2.56
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+0.70%	+4.27%	-7.31%	+0.44%	60.53%	42.11%	219.9 亿	0.63%	7	0	35.69	2.26
食品饮料	低位修复	126	+0.35%	-0.21%	-10.59%	+0.30%	57.94%	14.29%	313.7 亿	0.90%	4	0	24.72	2.11
轻工制造	修复延续	167	+0.34%	+0.37%	-8.69%	+0.18%	53.89%	25.15%	216.7 亿	0.62%	6	1	30.90	2.18
钢铁	低位修复	43	+0.31%	-0.08%	-8.96%	0.00%	48.84%	16.28%	106.1 亿	0.31%	1	0	18.03	1.11
医药生物	修复延续	503	+0.29%	+4.37%	-1.03%	+0.17%	53.28%	57.06%	1,596.4 亿	4.60%	12	0	37.10	2.35
公用事业	低位修复	138	+0.06%	-1.18%	-18.64%	-0.65%	37.68%	9.42%	769.7 亿	2.22%	2	2	25.03	1.63
石油石化	方向待明	48	-0.01%	-1.16%	-11.73%	+0.17%	52.08%	20.83%	148.4 亿	0.43%	2	0	36.57	2.10
建筑装饰	方向待明	156	-0.14%	+0.26%	-8.14%	0.00%	46.15%	24.36%	410.4 亿	1.18%	10	4	29.95	1.96
有色金属	方向待明	145	-0.14%	-2.50%	-2.19%	-0.41%	42.76%	32.41%	2,116.4 亿	6.09%	4	1	43.23	3.60
家用电器	方向待明	102	-0.16%	+1.30%	-6.13%	-0.30%	39.22%	27.45%	343.0 亿	0.99%	3	0	41.38	2.52
商贸零售	方向待明	99	-0.19%	+1.21%	-9.30%	0.00%	38.38%	20.20%	198.2 亿	0.57%	1	0	32.63	1.73
综合	方向待明	20	-0.22%	-0.05%	-5.92%	-0.53%	35.00%	20.00%	88.69 亿	0.26%	1	0	52.33	2.65
环保	方向待明	134	-0.39%	-1.17%	-7.39%	-0.12%	45.52%	20.90%	216.9 亿	0.62%	4	1	30.15	1.98
房地产	方向待明	95	-0.50%	-0.69%	-11.46%	-0.78%	28.42%	15.79%	198.6 亿	0.57%	5	0	34.34	1.15
社会服务	方向待明	85	-0.53%	+0.58%	-8.63%	-0.20%	42.35%	16.47%	121.9 亿	0.35%	1	0	37.78	2.96
机械设备	方向待明	604	-0.57%	+0.12%	-1.78%	-0.44%	40.40%	32.95%	2,915.6 亿	8.39%	18	5	54.25	3.41
建筑材料	方向待明	76	-0.94%	-2.43%	-3.63%	-0.64%	31.58%	23.68%	427.2 亿	1.23%	4	1	48.36	1.86
电力设备	方向待明	414	-1.41%	-2.54%	-9.05%	-1.49%	26.09%	22.46%	2,576.7 亿	7.42%	5	0	50.18	3.09
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.79%	-1.58%	+2.23%	-1.85%	10.13%	72.15%	843.0 亿	2.43%	0	0	18.61	1.28
计算机	方向待明	359	-1.84%	-2.01%	-9.30%	-1.81%	19.22%	20.33%	1,552.3 亿	4.47%	2	0	83.55	3.47
国防军工	方向待明	140	-2.05%	+0.61%	-2.30%	-2.06%	14.29%	34.29%	889.9 亿	2.56%	3	1	83.60	4.04
通信	退潮观察	127	-3.73%	-6.77%	-8.78%	-3.35%	12.60%	21.26%	2,298.6 亿	6.62%	1	4	112.11	4.78
电子	方向待明	510	-4.46%	-1.67%	+12.45%	-4.16%	11.57%	59.80%	1.1540 万亿	33.22%	5	20	110.02	6.34

涨停生态

首板 93 家 · 多板 66 家 · 昨日涨停 226 家 · 今日晋级 65 家 · 晋级率 28.76%

5 板 · 1 家 · *ST瑞茂

4 板 · 5 家 · 海南海药、*ST美芝、恒久退、国华退、*ST东智

3 板 · 12 家 · 先导基电、京蓝科技、*ST联翔、*ST康佳A、ST同德、围海股份、*ST数源、神雾节能

2 板 · 48 家 · 金石资源、和远气体、亚威股份、益生股份、福莱新材、华映科技、争光股份、韶能股份

1 板 · 93 家 · 黄河旋风、永和股份、翔鹭钨业、模塑科技、赤峰黄金、滨化股份、圣阳股份、西陇科学

行业聚类

基础化工 · 22 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST同德、金石资源、和远气体、福莱新材、争光股份、ST海龙

机械设备 · 18 家 · 最高 4 板 · *ST东智、ST星农、亚威股份、*ST威领、黄河旋风、锋龙股份

纺织服饰 · 14 家 · 最高 3 板 · *ST步森、富春染织、ST际华、*ST起步、摩登大道、兴业科技

医药生物 · 12 家 · 最高 4 板 · 海南海药、美诺华、易明医药、ST海王、ST能特、ST复华

汽车 · 12 家 · 最高 2 板 · *ST春兴、S佳通、ST八菱、模塑科技、中国重汽、凌云股份

建筑装饰 · 10 家 · 最高 4 板 · *ST美芝、围海股份、恒尚节能、*ST美丽、*ST瑞和、*ST东珠

农林牧渔 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 益生股份、粤海饲料、平潭发展、百洋股份、天域生物、中基健康

轻工制造 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · *ST联翔、宜宾纸业、*ST华鹏、*ST集友、曲美家居、帝欧水华

交通运输 · 5 家 · 最高 5 板 · *ST瑞茂、凤凰航运、*ST长投、三羊马、ST海钦

房地产 · 5 家 · 最高 3 板 · *ST数源、*ST南置、ST海泰、*ST发展、金科股份

电力设备 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 圣阳股份、国晟科技、长城科技、ST京机、*ST亿晶

电子 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 恒久退、先导基电、华映科技、西陇科学、气派科技

传媒 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天娱数科、福石控股、天地在线、欢瑞世纪

建筑材料 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 北京利尔、宁夏建材、扬子新材、海南瑞泽

有色金属 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 翔鹭钨业、赤峰黄金、招金黄金、鹏欣资源

环保 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 京蓝科技、神雾节能、法尔胜、海天股份

食品饮料 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST西王、ST龙大、ST绝味、*ST尼雅

国防军工 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · *ST天箭、立航科技、甘化科工

家用电器 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · *ST康佳A、德豪润达、宏昌科技

公用事业 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 韶能股份、新能股份

石油石化 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST沈化、ST洲际

计算机 · 2 家 · 最高 4 板 · 国华退、ST达华

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST文峰

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST东时

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · ST三木

美容护理 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 水羊股份

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 中通国脉

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · *ST八钢

连续晋级与首板

*ST瑞茂	600180.SH	交通运输	+5.34%	5	484.06 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	+10.02%	4	7.45 亿	主板	93000	101600	1	6/8	1.21 亿
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	+4.98%	4	5,373.86 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒久退	002808.SZ	电子	+8.70%	4	536.78 万	主板	92500	143957	11	3/3	1.90 万
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	+10.81%	4	382.39 万	主板	130351	—	11	3/4	—
*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	+5.06%	4	280.62 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
先导基电	600641.SH	电子	+10.01%	3	32.82 亿	主板	92503	93651	2	3/3	4.61 亿
京蓝科技	000711.SZ	环保	+5.03%	3	2.22 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST联翔	603272.SH	轻工制造	+5.01%	3	6,311.92 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST康佳A	000016.SZ	家用电器	+4.96%	3	5,804.24 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	+5.06%	3	3,608.52 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
围海股份	002586.SZ	建筑装饰	+4.92%	3	3,560.55 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	+5.06%	3	3,164.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	+4.90%	3	2,120.33 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST步森	002569.SZ	纺织服饰	+5.01%	3	972.64 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+9.98%	3	568.41 万	主板	92503	92503	0	3/3	3.90 亿
*ST天箭	002977.SZ	国防军工	+4.98%	3	564.15 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	+5.03%	3	44.29 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金石资源	603505.SH	基础化工	+10.01%	2	25.15 亿	主板	112822	144655	4	2/2	2,913.02 万
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	+10.00%	2	17.17 亿	主板	94057	94503	3	2/2	6,965.61 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

ST中装	002822.SZ	建筑装饰	-2.68%	2.02 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
浙江东日	600113.SH	商贸零售	-0.96%	11.60 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
多氟多	002407.SZ	基础化工	-0.78%	206.8 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新迅达	300518.SZ	商贸零售	-14.22%	14.76 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
云南能投	002053.SZ	公用事业	-9.34%	3.89 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
润建股份	002929.SZ	通信	-5.33%	26.03 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
赛伍技术	603212.SH	电力设备	-5.05%	3.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
盈新发展	000620.SZ	房地产	-4.16%	24.90 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
格科微	688728.SH	电子	-3.13%	31.40 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
盛达资源	000603.SZ	有色金属	-2.72%	23.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
领先股份	603991.SH	电子	-2.69%	15.47 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
鲁信创投	600783.SH	机械设备	-2.56%	12.13 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST宝馨	002514.SZ	机械设备	-1.69%	1.54 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
康欣新材	600076.SH	轻工制造	-1.10%	4.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
埃斯顿	002747.SZ	机械设备	-0.88%	72.31 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
胜通能源	001331.SZ	公用事业	-0.68%	12.11 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-10.00%	321.2 亿	主板	—	132019	0	—	21.43 亿
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	-10.00%	188.5 亿	主板	—	131148	3	—	5.81 亿
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	-10.00%	186.9 亿	主板	—	142015	3	—	6.47 亿
华工科技	000988.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	129.9 亿	主板	—	144345	2	—	8,475.71 万
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	-10.00%	117.7 亿	主板	—	144706	7	—	5,359.24 万
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	-10.00%	115.6 亿	主板	—	144737	8	—	8,148.19 万
北方华创	002371.SZ	电子	-10.00%	103.5 亿	主板	—	130936	10	—	11.19 亿
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	-10.01%	99.41 亿	主板	—	131157	4	—	8.22 亿
雅克科技	002409.SZ	电子	-10.00%	91.87 亿	主板	—	140439	8	—	2.94 亿
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	-10.00%	79.90 亿	主板	—	132339	1	—	4.72 亿
风华高科	000636.SZ	电子	-10.00%	58.91 亿	主板	—	143557	9	—	1.55 亿
永鼎股份	600105.SH	通信	-10.01%	55.15 亿	主板	—	142821	1	—	1.10 亿

大跌样本

珂玛科技	301611.SZ	电子	-16.49%	40.91 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
莱伯泰科	688056.SH	机械设备	-16.18%	2.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
富创精密	688409.SH	电子	-16.01%	48.92 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	-15.64%	74.46 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
昀冢科技	688260.SH	电子	-15.16%	5.27 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
方邦股份	688020.SH	电子	-15.11%	13.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华峰测控	688200.SH	电子	-15.07%	42.12 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华海清科	688120.SH	电子	-14.85%	71.35 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
澜起科技	688008.SH	电子	-14.80%	256.4 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
神工股份	688233.SH	电子	-14.50%	51.21 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
新迅达	300518.SZ	商贸零售	-14.22%	14.76 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
微导纳米	688147.SH	电力设备	-13.90%	21.53 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

吉和昌	920193.BJ	基础化工	+616.55%	0	14.78 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
华润新能源	001248.SZ	公用事业	+136.89%	0	176.9 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
易实精密	920221.BJ	汽车	+29.95%	1	1.67 亿	北交所	101830	145233	1	1/1	331.04 万
先锋新材	300163.SZ	基础化工	+20.04%	1	2.13 亿	创业板	95800	95800	0	1/1	6,152.58 万
宁波色母	301019.SZ	基础化工	+20.01%	1	1.05 亿	创业板	100139	100139	0	1/1	4,378.16 万
争光股份	301092.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	2	5.40 亿	创业板	93536	94203	5	2/2	1,948.75 万
气派科技	688216.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	10.24 亿	科创板	101137	—	4	0/0	—
兆丰股份	300695.SZ	汽车	+20.00%	1	2.10 亿	创业板	142315	142315	0	1/1	7,829.20 万
宏昌科技	301008.SZ	家用电器	+19.99%	1	5.28 亿	创业板	100945	135730	1	1/1	2,259.32 万
水羊股份	300740.SZ	美容护理	+19.99%	1	7.44 亿	创业板	112348	112942	2	1/1	7,611.44 万
福石控股	300071.SZ	传媒	+19.89%	1	7.08 亿	创业板	93215	140803	1	1/1	812.02 万
热景生物	688068.SH	医药生物	+18.46%	0	9.48 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

珂玛科技	301611.SZ	电子	-16.49%	40.91 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
莱伯泰科	688056.SH	机械设备	-16.18%	2.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
富创精密	688409.SH	电子	-16.01%	48.92 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	-15.64%	74.46 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
昀冢科技	688260.SH	电子	-15.16%	5.27 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
方邦股份	688020.SH	电子	-15.11%	13.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华峰测控	688200.SH	电子	-15.07%	42.12 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华海清科	688120.SH	电子	-14.85%	71.35 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
澜起科技	688008.SH	电子	-14.80%	256.4 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
神工股份	688233.SH	电子	-14.50%	51.21 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
新迅达	300518.SZ	商贸零售	-14.22%	14.76 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
微导纳米	688147.SH	电力设备	-13.90%	21.53 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	-0.10%	47.49%	28.50%	+2.16%
创业板	1396	-1.22%	32.45%	34.96%	+3.94%
科创板	608	-2.57%	23.85%	54.44%	+3.31%
北交所	323	+1.18%	32.82%	13.93%	+2.67%

市值分层

小盘	2759	+0.04%	45.45%	33.18 亿
中盘	1655	-0.56%	38.07%	99.32 亿
大盘	828	-2.08%	30.56%	314.0 亿
超大盘	275	-2.48%	29.82%	1,416.0 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

减速器	方向待明	139/139	+1.09%	+2.88%	-1.23%	+1.09%	+2.79%	-2.27%	+0.01%	58.99%	33.81%	900.8 亿	2.59%	85.00%	+1.67%	8	0	4.81 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/197	+0.48%	+0.88%	-9.77%	+0.48%	+0.76%	-10.34%	+0.00%	45.18%	19.80%	645.7 亿	1.86%	100.00%	+1.07%	9	0	20.07 亿	100.00%
创新药	趋势扩散	281/280	+0.45%	+6.00%	+2.89%	+0.45%	+5.50%	+1.75%	+0.00%	56.43%	70.00%	1,270.6 亿	3.66%	95.00%	+1.04%	8	0	9.42 亿	100.00%
酿酒	低位修复	31/30	+0.10%	-0.99%	-8.38%	-0.38%	-0.14%	-13.26%	-0.48%	43.33%	6.67%	150.0 亿	0.43%	65.00%	+0.69%	1	0	9,247.47 万	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	-0.23%	-1.65%	+5.42%	-0.23%	-1.64%	+4.26%	-0.00%	47.06%	44.12%	245.5 亿	0.71%	80.00%	+0.36%	0	0	-6,622.02 万	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/461	-0.64%	+0.51%	+0.34%	-0.65%	+0.16%	-1.00%	-0.01%	41.65%	39.26%	4,896.1 亿	14.09%	65.00%	-0.06%	14	6	-224.6 亿	99.57%
商业航天	方向待明	507/505	-2.31%	-1.10%	-0.92%	-2.25%	-1.12%	-1.66%	+0.05%	22.57%	33.66%	5,084.5 亿	14.64%	30.00%	-1.72%	4	5	-301.5 亿	99.80%
光刻胶	高位分歧	80/79	-2.35%	+4.30%	+27.82%	+5.45%	+4.27%	+25.43%	+7.80%	31.65%	73.42%	1,157.5 亿	3.33%	85.00%	-1.76%	3	3	-52.38 亿	98.75%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/228	-2.49%	-2.92%	+2.54%	-2.41%	-3.04%	+1.23%	+0.08%	21.49%	39.47%	3,885.2 亿	11.18%	55.00%	-1.90%	5	6	-214.4 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-3.83%	-6.55%	+10.29%	-1.16%	-6.40%	+7.51%	+2.67%	19.57%	42.98%	4,046.5 亿	11.65%	35.00%	-3.25%	2	9	-276.6 亿	99.58%
电子化学品	高位分歧	43/42	-3.95%	+3.07%	+38.29%	-3.95%	+2.94%	+36.02%	-0.00%	16.67%	80.95%	1,007.6 亿	2.90%	80.00%	-3.37%	1	0	-54.46 亿	97.67%
先进封装	方向待明	204/200	-4.90%	-1.66%	+19.71%	-4.85%	-1.10%	+18.32%	+0.04%	12.00%	64.50%	5,680.5 亿	16.35%	70.00%	-4.31%	2	10	-405.8 亿	99.02%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-5.10%	-7.68%	+4.39%	-5.01%	-7.27%	+2.99%	+0.09%	9.43%	42.45%	6,758.7 亿	19.46%	40.00%	-4.51%	0	12	-524.4 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	方向待明	206/201	-5.67%	+0.09%	+24.88%	-5.60%	+0.20%	+23.80%	+0.07%	10.45%	73.63%	6,971.5 亿	20.07%	75.00%	-5.08%	4	9	-650.3 亿	98.54%
玻璃基板	方向待明	57/57	-9.93%	—	—	-5.78%	-1.39%	+15.57%	+4.15%	3.51%	63.16%	2,180.7 亿	6.28%	80.00%	-9.35%	0	4	-138.3 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：易实精密（920221.BJ）+29.95%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+19.99%、三瑞智能（301696.SZ）+14.24%

领跌：大族激光（002008.SZ）-9.40%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-8.65%、昊志机电（300503.SZ）-6.50%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：福石控股（300071.SZ）+19.89%、金利华电（300069.SZ）+18.02%、欢瑞世纪（000892.SZ）+10.14%

领跌：实益达（002137.SZ）-8.17%、平治信息（300571.SZ）-7.68%、万润科技（002654.SZ）-7.23%

创新药 · 趋势扩散

领涨：热景生物（688068.SH）+18.46%、石药创新（300765.SZ）+12.16%、石药景峰（000908.SZ）+10.04%

领跌：八亿时空（688181.SH）-10.84%、华兰股份（301093.SZ）-10.44%、圣泉集团（605589.SH）-8.58%

酿酒 · 低位修复

领涨：*ST尼雅（600084.SH）+4.94%、ST椰岛（600238.SH）+2.46%、ST通葡（600365.SH）+2.43%

领跌：酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）-5.66%、金种子酒（600199.SH）-3.27%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）-2.40%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：大地熊（688077.SH）+10.74%、金力永磁（300748.SZ）+6.62%、宁波韵升（600366.SH）+4.00%

领跌：龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-9.25%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）-8.07%、江南新材（603124.SH）-6.17%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：兆丰股份（300695.SZ）+20.00%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+19.99%、三瑞智能（301696.SZ）+14.24%

领跌：利和兴（301013.SZ）-12.71%、四会富仕（300852.SZ）-12.64%、一博科技（301366.SZ）-11.55%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：金利华电（300069.SZ）+18.02%、科德数控（688305.SH）+12.37%、滨化股份（601678.SH）+10.00%

领跌：多浦乐（301528.SZ）-13.52%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-13.44%、一博科技（301366.SZ）-11.55%

光刻胶 · 高位分歧

领涨：吉和昌（920193.BJ）+616.55%、亚威股份（002559.SZ）+10.01%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：莱伯泰科（688056.SH）-16.18%、阿拉丁（688179.SH）-13.04%、芯源微（688037.SH）-11.76%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：华升股份（600156.SH）+10.05%、圣阳股份（002580.SZ）+10.02%、金石资源（603505.SH）+10.01%

领跌：利和兴（301013.SZ）-12.71%、八亿时空（688181.SH）-10.84%、鼎通科技（688668.SH）-10.39%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：吉和昌（920193.BJ）+616.55%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）+10.00%、方正科技（600601.SH）+6.80%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-15.11%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-13.44%、利和兴（301013.SZ）-12.71%

电子化学品 · 高位分歧

领涨：西陇科学（002584.SZ）+10.00%、江化微（603078.SH）+8.05%、晶瑞电材（300655.SZ）+5.89%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-15.11%、兴福电子（688545.SH）-10.88%、天承科技（688603.SH）-10.84%

先进封装 · 方向待明

领涨：气派科技（688216.SH）+20.00%、兴业股份（603928.SH）+10.00%、江化微（603078.SH）+8.05%

领跌：中科飞测（688361.SH）-15.64%、方邦股份（688020.SH）-15.11%、华海清科（688120.SH）-14.85%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：安孚科技（603031.SH）+7.10%、方正科技（600601.SH）+6.80%、天洋新材（603330.SH）+4.58%

领跌：德龙激光（688170.SH）-13.44%、三环集团（300408.SZ）-13.06%、利和兴（301013.SZ）-12.71%

存储芯片 · 方向待明

领涨：气派科技（688216.SH）+20.00%、亚威股份（002559.SZ）+10.01%、先导基电（600641.SH）+10.01%

领跌：珂玛科技（301611.SZ）-16.49%、中科飞测（688361.SH）-15.64%、华海清科（688120.SH）-14.85%

玻璃基板 · 方向待明

领涨：京东方A（000725.SZ）+3.76%、深天马A（000050.SZ）+1.15%

领跌：德龙激光（688170.SH）-13.44%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-11.09%、蓝特光学（688127.SH）-11.01%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

资源周期	53	+0.84%	+0.45%	-3.05%	-7.74%	74.90 亿	100.00%	11/27	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +6.49%
红利防御	91	+0.47%	+0.09%	-0.47%	-7.63%	63.17 亿	100.00%	37/30	华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF · +3.83%
医药健康	51	-0.01%	-0.48%	+5.51%	+8.08%	82.27 亿	100.00%	23/24	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +2.22%
金融地产	47	-1.60%	-1.98%	-0.18%	+7.63%	128.0 亿	100.00%	23/16	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +3.04%
大盘宽基	82	-2.66%	-2.49%	-3.11%	-2.27%	204.4 亿	100.00%	29/16	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +0.74%
消费	44	-3.91%	-0.29%	0.00%	-4.70%	27.90 亿	100.00%	11/11	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -0.19%
中小盘宽基	138	-4.58%	-3.61%	-2.69%	+0.36%	331.6 亿	100.00%	36/43	易方达创业板ETF · -0.48%
AI与半导体	121	-8.33%	-7.03%	-3.78%	+2.93%	758.0 亿	100.00%	75/38	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · +2.34%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

资源周期	基础化工、煤炭、钢铁、石油石化、有色金属	713	+1.12%	-0.43%	-2.51%	51.61%	32.26%	13.67%	29	2
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	533	+0.35%	+4.34%	-1.30%	54.22%	55.91%	4.71%	13	0
公用防御	交通运输、公用事业、环保	400	+0.15%	-0.77%	-11.21%	50.25%	16.50%	3.62%	11	4
大消费	农林牧渔、食品饮料、家用电器、商贸零售、社会服务	526	+0.08%	+1.45%	-8.45%	48.67%	24.33%	3.44%	16	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	232	-0.40%	-0.62%	-6.67%	41.38%	24.14%	2.41%	14	5
金融地产	银行、房地产、非银金融	216	-0.64%	-1.17%	-5.46%	34.26%	33.33%	3.83%	5	0
高端制造	汽车、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工	1476	-0.67%	-0.62%	-5.41%	37.67%	27.64%	20.95%	38	6
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	996	-3.43%	-2.44%	+1.91%	14.46%	40.66%	44.31%	8	24

近五个交易日

2026-06-26	25.1	55.9	14.33%	3.5754 万亿	73	6
2026-06-29	46.3	68.9	44.81%	3.5393 万亿	127	5
2026-06-30	55.3	77.5	55.45%	3.2938 万亿	172	6
2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -5.67%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -38.33%

涨停家数：压缩 · -67

最高连板：压缩 · -2

五日成交中位：3.5393 万亿 · 温度区间：25.1–70.6 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 3次、先进封装 2次、减速器 2次、存储芯片 2次、文化传媒 2次、CPO 1次

行业：农林牧渔 3次、医药生物 2次、电子 2次、美容护理 2次、国防军工 1次、基础化工 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-5.7%，上涨覆盖40.2%，五日成交中位35393.4亿元。

方向承接 · 减速器当日收益+1.09%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 基础化工涨停22家，最高3板。

负反馈 · 跌停44家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 35393.4亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 减速器

确认：减速器继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 28.8%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖40.2%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 2 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5

情绪九维 69.9

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
159 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率9.89
9.89
输入与公式
0.7004405286343612 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率11.5
11.5
输入与公式
0.28761061946902655 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.96
7.96
输入与公式
0.013170283185840707 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":44,"largeLoss":295} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.03
6.03
输入与公式
0.4022113467464202 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":159,"limitDown":44} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.28
7.28
输入与公式
1.0640009799608885 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	251	4.55%	+7.22%	+5.64%
趋势延续	307	5.56%	+1.80%	+1.51%
低位修复	1471	26.66%	+2.14%	+1.07%
中间状态	3488	63.22%	-2.50%	-1.81%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 226 家 · 今日晋级 65 家 · 晋级率 28.76%

晋级名单

*ST瑞茂	600180.SH	交通运输	5	+5.34%
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	4	+10.02%
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	4	+4.98%
恒久退	002808.SZ	电子	4	+8.70%
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	4	+10.81%
*ST东智	002175.SZ	机械设备	4	+5.06%
先导基电	600641.SH	电子	3	+10.01%
京蓝科技	000711.SZ	环保	3	+5.03%
*ST联翔	603272.SH	轻工制造	3	+5.01%
*ST康佳A	000016.SZ	家用电器	3	+4.96%
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	3	+5.06%
围海股份	002586.SZ	建筑装饰	3	+4.92%
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	3	+5.06%
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	3	+4.90%
*ST步森	002569.SZ	纺织服饰	3	+5.01%
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	3	+9.98%
*ST天箭	002977.SZ	国防军工	3	+4.98%
ST星农	603789.SH	机械设备	3	+5.03%
金石资源	603505.SH	基础化工	2	+10.01%
和远气体	002971.SZ	基础化工	2	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

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沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:00:21.880549+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。