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2026-10-09

结论与证据

全A收盘为3297家上涨、2145家下跌，上涨占比59.31%；成交1.9167万亿元，环比+13.13%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，38.6%样本位于MA20上方；72家封板、11家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方39% · 72家封板 · 温度71.5

支持证据

16方向中文化传媒当日+3.98%居前；92家触板、封板率78.3%，最高9板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-1.53%，MLCC方向-2.62%；成交额环比+13.13%，资金流分类代理-174.7亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 1.9167 万亿
成交环比: +13.13%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3297 / 2145 / 117
上涨覆盖: 59.31%
中位涨幅: +0.60%
MA20上方: 38.64%
20日新高 / 新低: 379 / 909
涨停 / 跌停: 72 / 11
触板 / 未封: 92 / 20
封板率: 78.26%
最高连板: 9 板

收盘温度 71.5

广度20.76
20.76
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势7.73
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态13.01
13.01
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量能15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 77.1

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
9.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.64
8.64
输入与公式
72.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.05
11.05
输入与公式
0.78 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率10.67
10.67
输入与公式
0.27 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.03 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":11,"largeLoss":47} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.9
8.9
输入与公式
0.59 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.05
4.05
输入与公式
{"limitUp":72,"limitDown":11} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能6.78
6.78
输入与公式
1.04 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,813.79	+0.05%	8,885.6 亿
科创50	1,457.27	+0.06%	919.7 亿
深证成指	12,641.86	+0.17%	5,096.9 亿
创业板指	3,043.33	+0.22%	2,006.0 亿
中证1000	7,155.91	+0.24%	3,862.8 亿
国证2000	9,490.64	+0.22%	5,769.0 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	249	4.48%	+7.21%	+6.06%
趋势延续	506	9.10%	+2.29%	+1.90%
低位修复	1717	30.89%	+2.06%	+1.37%
中间状态	3087	55.53%	-0.86%	-0.75%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比59.31%，中位数涨幅+0.60%。

少数方向逆势承压

银行、电子分别为-1.06%、-1.53%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+13.13%，92家触板中20家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

文化传媒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

MLCC弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日78.3%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,813.79 · MA5 3,824.39 · MA10 3,876.08 · MA20 3,892.75

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,892.75 · 近10日最低 3,754.14 · 近20日最低 3,754.14；压力：近10日最高 3,967.68 · 近20日最高 3,980.20

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%
2026-08-10	3,943.82	3,967.59	3,938.63	3,966.59	+0.67%
2026-08-11	3,950.71	3,966.39	3,930.64	3,934.09	-0.82%
2026-08-12	3,933.55	3,950.62	3,927.55	3,946.68	+0.32%
2026-08-13	3,957.16	3,968.48	3,924.64	3,926.96	-0.50%
2026-08-14	3,930.02	3,932.64	3,903.70	3,927.18	+0.01%
2026-08-17	3,930.10	3,983.51	3,924.47	3,982.65	+1.41%
2026-08-18	3,979.49	3,994.18	3,955.60	3,990.30	+0.19%
2026-08-19	3,952.12	3,961.14	3,879.58	3,894.42	-2.40%
2026-08-20	3,907.21	3,925.06	3,888.10	3,903.72	+0.24%
2026-08-21	3,891.18	3,912.13	3,883.79	3,905.20	+0.04%
2026-08-24	3,902.70	3,910.24	3,855.35	3,882.01	-0.59%
2026-08-25	3,863.37	3,896.21	3,850.86	3,889.44	+0.19%
2026-08-26	3,881.74	3,926.44	3,881.74	3,912.52	+0.59%
2026-08-27	3,911.89	3,958.03	3,909.31	3,956.57	+1.13%
2026-08-28	3,950.24	3,970.31	3,947.80	3,952.18	-0.11%
2026-08-31	3,926.53	3,986.30	3,926.50	3,986.30	+0.86%
2026-09-01	3,979.88	3,995.18	3,976.47	3,979.89	-0.16%
2026-09-02	3,963.07	3,965.81	3,932.25	3,941.39	-0.97%
2026-09-03	3,952.79	3,968.11	3,930.45	3,942.09	+0.02%
2026-09-04	3,955.55	3,980.20	3,915.22	3,930.12	-0.30%
2026-09-07	3,942.51	3,948.42	3,916.49	3,932.70	+0.07%
2026-09-08	3,935.55	3,951.32	3,925.72	3,940.55	+0.20%
2026-09-09	3,943.92	3,958.12	3,933.47	3,951.51	+0.28%
2026-09-10	3,939.09	3,949.25	3,927.35	3,934.40	-0.43%
2026-09-11	3,910.92	3,912.32	3,852.03	3,888.11	-1.18%
2026-09-14	3,867.02	3,895.51	3,867.02	3,885.33	-0.07%
2026-09-15	3,879.73	3,891.62	3,858.15	3,864.28	-0.54%
2026-09-16	3,861.75	3,894.66	3,842.72	3,891.60	+0.71%
2026-09-17	3,877.00	3,898.84	3,866.89	3,875.60	-0.41%
2026-09-18	3,891.96	3,919.67	3,888.50	3,911.87	+0.94%
2026-09-21	3,920.27	3,950.94	3,918.13	3,949.91	+0.97%
2026-09-22	3,963.81	3,967.68	3,945.42	3,952.13	+0.06%
2026-09-23	3,951.37	3,951.52	3,934.46	3,936.52	-0.39%
2026-09-24	3,925.32	3,930.50	3,888.37	3,888.37	-1.22%
2026-09-28	3,878.41	3,878.41	3,806.67	3,823.62	-1.67%
2026-09-29	3,816.15	3,843.84	3,810.81	3,830.45	+0.18%
2026-09-30	3,839.25	3,851.22	3,833.09	3,842.19	+0.31%
2026-10-08	3,838.98	3,864.12	3,795.37	3,811.90	-0.79%
2026-10-09	3,804.09	3,824.71	3,754.14	3,813.79	+0.05%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

传媒	修复延续	131	+5.53%	+2.63%	+4.77%	+4.94%	97.71%	66.41%	543.0 亿	2.83%	15	0	41.62	3.05
通信	低位修复	128	+3.40%	-8.27%	-6.89%	+0.10%	52.34%	13.28%	1,307.8 亿	6.82%	0	0	85.01	4.46
商贸零售	修复延续	100	+2.83%	+1.16%	-0.92%	+2.47%	87.00%	54.00%	181.1 亿	0.94%	5	0	29.14	1.97
计算机	低位修复	357	+2.82%	-0.91%	-2.83%	+2.60%	84.31%	40.62%	938.2 亿	4.89%	6	0	73.38	3.58
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+2.43%	+1.64%	-0.30%	+1.71%	84.21%	31.58%	305.6 亿	1.59%	5	0	46.86	2.49
非银金融	低位修复	76	+2.00%	-0.05%	-5.40%	+1.81%	94.74%	11.84%	335.9 亿	1.75%	1	0	14.54	1.15
纺织服饰	低位修复	107	+1.59%	-0.69%	-1.38%	+1.28%	73.83%	56.07%	126.1 亿	0.66%	2	0	30.35	1.98
美容护理	修复延续	32	+1.53%	+1.12%	+1.87%	+1.71%	75.00%	59.38%	58.55 亿	0.31%	0	0	27.26	2.43
食品饮料	修复延续	126	+1.50%	+2.98%	+1.29%	+1.21%	77.78%	65.87%	301.4 亿	1.57%	1	0	26.17	2.32
医药生物	修复延续	507	+1.45%	+0.66%	+2.88%	+1.36%	78.11%	68.64%	1,395.3 亿	7.28%	7	0	38.73	2.59
煤炭	修复延续	33	+1.25%	+2.90%	+1.19%	+1.14%	81.82%	66.67%	143.5 亿	0.75%	1	0	25.76	1.26
社会服务	低位修复	86	+1.14%	-1.98%	-3.43%	+1.42%	79.07%	36.05%	117.0 亿	0.61%	0	0	37.03	2.92
轻工制造	低位修复	168	+0.85%	-1.44%	-0.62%	+0.88%	66.67%	45.24%	192.6 亿	1.01%	3	0	35.10	2.30
综合	修复延续	20	+0.75%	+1.62%	+1.16%	+0.49%	60.00%	55.00%	46.18 亿	0.24%	0	0	51.97	2.96
交通运输	修复延续	127	+0.71%	+1.29%	+0.72%	+0.62%	65.35%	56.69%	286.6 亿	1.50%	0	0	17.93	1.47
基础化工	低位修复	450	+0.64%	-1.44%	-1.72%	+0.72%	63.11%	42.44%	1,036.5 亿	5.41%	5	3	36.18	2.25
有色金属	低位修复	147	+0.59%	-2.83%	-8.60%	+0.89%	65.99%	12.93%	935.5 亿	4.88%	1	0	29.20	3.20
钢铁	修复延续	44	+0.56%	+1.06%	-3.04%	+0.49%	70.45%	18.18%	66.63 亿	0.35%	0	0	22.30	1.17
家用电器	低位修复	101	+0.40%	-1.36%	+0.31%	+0.61%	60.40%	43.56%	212.1 亿	1.11%	1	0	35.75	2.59
环保	低位修复	134	+0.37%	-0.78%	-2.64%	+0.24%	54.48%	42.54%	153.2 亿	0.80%	2	0	28.23	1.96
电力设备	低位修复	418	+0.31%	-0.05%	-1.91%	+0.28%	54.31%	40.43%	1,845.3 亿	9.63%	9	3	42.45	2.70
汽车	低位修复	325	+0.23%	-1.99%	-3.76%	+0.26%	52.62%	32.92%	652.9 亿	3.41%	0	0	29.28	2.42
房地产	修复延续	94	+0.20%	+2.58%	+5.12%	+0.32%	56.38%	73.40%	234.4 亿	1.22%	1	0	33.65	1.19
建筑装饰	方向待明	155	-0.02%	-1.69%	-1.99%	+0.24%	55.48%	39.35%	220.3 亿	1.15%	3	2	30.37	2.16
建筑材料	方向待明	75	-0.04%	-1.60%	-1.09%	+0.47%	56.00%	42.67%	242.3 亿	1.26%	0	0	42.01	1.56
公用事业	方向待明	139	-0.16%	+2.08%	+0.34%	-0.18%	37.41%	46.76%	378.3 亿	1.97%	1	0	27.25	1.61
石油石化	方向待明	48	-0.19%	+0.43%	-2.88%	-0.09%	43.75%	37.50%	154.6 亿	0.81%	0	0	28.90	2.10
机械设备	方向待明	617	-0.45%	-5.27%	-5.46%	-0.29%	44.57%	24.64%	1,290.7 亿	6.73%	2	1	49.52	3.09
国防军工	退潮观察	140	-1.01%	-5.62%	-6.05%	-1.04%	31.43%	7.14%	438.2 亿	2.29%	0	0	79.77	3.53
银行	方向待明	42	-1.06%	+1.27%	-0.33%	-1.06%	4.76%	52.38%	331.3 亿	1.73%	0	0	6.18	0.55
电子	退潮观察	518	-1.53%	-10.70%	-6.34%	-1.51%	24.71%	10.42%	4,695.8 亿	24.50%	1	2	69.78	4.78

涨停生态

首板 60 家 · 多板 12 家 · 昨日涨停 45 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 26.67%

9 板 · 1 家 · 新华传媒

5 板 · 2 家 · 九阳股份、时代万恒

4 板 · 1 家 · 紫竹高科

2 板 · 8 家 · 安泰集团、红豆股份、领湃科技、华北制药、丰元股份、雄韬股份、楚环科技、三柏硕

1 板 · 60 家 · 金健米业、东岳硅材、芒果超媒、海南橡胶、中文在线、振华股份、博纳影业、众生药业

行业聚类

传媒 · 15 家 · 最高 9 板 · 新华传媒、芒果超媒、中文在线、博纳影业、新华文轩、掌阅科技

电力设备 · 9 家 · 最高 5 板 · 时代万恒、紫竹高科、领湃科技、丰元股份、雄韬股份、科力远

医药生物 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 华北制药、众生药业、贝瑞基因、中红医疗、东诚药业、东亚药业

计算机 · 6 家 · 最高 1 板 · 绿盟科技、天融信、大智慧、中新赛克、麒麟信安、格尔软件

农林牧渔 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金健米业、海南橡胶、敦煌种业、万向德农、百洋股份

商贸零售 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 国芳集团、百大集团、国光连锁、丽人丽妆、汇嘉时代

基础化工 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 东岳硅材、振华股份、吉林化纤、新亚强、晨光新材

建筑装饰 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华建集团、郑中设计、德才股份

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 三柏硕、梦天家居、*ST四通

机械设备 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 雷赛智能、上工申贝

环保 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 楚环科技、金圆股份

纺织服饰 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 红豆股份、九牧王

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 新筑股份

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 5 板 · 九阳股份

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中交发展

有色金属 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 西部黄金

煤炭 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 安泰集团

电子 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 澳弘电子

非银金融 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华鑫股份

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 妙可蓝多

连续晋级与首板

新华传媒	600825.SH	传媒	+10.01%	9	6.26 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	9/9	14.21 亿
九阳股份	002242.SZ	家用电器	+10.04%	5	20.63 亿	主板	93027	132851	6	5/5	7,400.57 万
时代万恒	600241.SH	电力设备	+10.01%	5	6,893.91 万	主板	92500	92500	0	5/5	2.29 亿
紫竹高科	002058.SZ	电力设备	+9.99%	4	1.01 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	4/4	8,930.25 万
安泰集团	600408.SH	煤炭	+9.88%	2	7.50 亿	主板	104317	104317	0	2/2	3,415.04 万
红豆股份	600400.SH	纺织服饰	+9.94%	2	7.44 亿	主板	144612	144612	0	2/2	3,298.38 万
领湃科技	300530.SZ	电力设备	+20.02%	2	7.23 亿	创业板	95427	104436	3	2/2	3,802.30 万
华北制药	600812.SH	医药生物	+10.04%	2	6.88 亿	主板	93058	93058	0	2/2	1.19 亿
丰元股份	002805.SZ	电力设备	+10.02%	2	6.07 亿	主板	93621	93751	1	2/2	8,844.42 万
雄韬股份	002733.SZ	电力设备	+10.01%	2	4.34 亿	主板	93103	93103	0	2/2	1.98 亿
楚环科技	001336.SZ	环保	+10.02%	2	3.48 亿	主板	93730	93815	1	2/2	3.36 亿
三柏硕	001300.SZ	轻工制造	+9.99%	2	1.22 亿	主板	93018	93018	0	2/2	1,710.83 万
金健米业	600127.SH	农林牧渔	+10.00%	1	29.59 亿	主板	95039	100551	2	1/1	1.94 亿
东岳硅材	300821.SZ	基础化工	+20.01%	1	24.88 亿	创业板	93839	102827	1	1/1	1.51 亿
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	+19.98%	1	23.85 亿	创业板	141733	142551	1	1/1	8,095.76 万
海南橡胶	601118.SH	农林牧渔	+9.98%	1	19.31 亿	主板	145236	145236	0	2/3	6,450.58 万
中文在线	300364.SZ	传媒	+20.01%	1	18.50 亿	创业板	140851	140851	0	1/1	2.07 亿
振华股份	603067.SH	基础化工	+10.01%	1	16.58 亿	主板	131112	140557	1	1/1	1.12 亿
博纳影业	001330.SZ	传媒	+9.94%	1	16.16 亿	主板	141615	141654	1	1/1	6,124.47 万
众生药业	002317.SZ	医药生物	+10.01%	1	12.21 亿	主板	140815	140815	0	1/1	1.03 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

传艺科技	002866.SZ	电子	-1.45%	14.53 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
园林股份	605303.SH	建筑装饰	+2.16%	8.49 亿	主板	92502	—	1	3/4	—
上海洗霸	603200.SH	环保	+9.57%	18.38 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
陆家嘴	600663.SH	房地产	-8.72%	9.40 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
兴业股份	603928.SH	基础化工	-4.80%	8.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
龙蟠科技	603906.SH	电力设备	+2.05%	23.42 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
彩蝶实业	603073.SH	基础化工	-10.01%	2.01 亿	主板	—	—	13	—	—
宁波高发	603788.SH	汽车	-5.60%	1.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
必得科技	605298.SH	机械设备	-4.83%	7,797.76 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	-4.65%	3.24 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
贝特利	301697.SZ	电力设备	-4.47%	6.12 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
招商南油	601975.SH	交通运输	-3.82%	20.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东贝集团	601956.SH	家用电器	-3.62%	2.07 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金时科技	002951.SZ	电力设备	-3.03%	2.81 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
广西能源	600310.SH	公用事业	-2.41%	6.66 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
山东墨龙	002490.SZ	机械设备	-2.24%	4.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

大金重工	002487.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	49.58 亿	主板	—	—	3	—	—
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	-10.00%	28.08 亿	主板	—	—	12	—	—
天顺风能	002531.SZ	电力设备	-9.94%	13.98 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宏柏新材	605366.SH	基础化工	-9.96%	10.33 亿	主板	—	—	2	—	—
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	8.55 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
五方光电	002962.SZ	电子	-10.01%	3.34 亿	主板	—	—	1	—	—
泰永长征	002927.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	2.90 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
华之杰	603400.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	2.87 亿	主板	—	—	7	—	—
彩蝶实业	603073.SH	基础化工	-10.01%	2.01 亿	主板	—	—	13	—	—
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	-9.97%	1.38 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.71%	146.70 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

大跌样本

力勤资源	001246.SZ	有色金属	-15.87%	34.66 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
雄塑科技	300599.SZ	建筑材料	-13.22%	5.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.71%	146.70 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
通合科技	300491.SZ	电力设备	-10.16%	5.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
彩蝶实业	603073.SH	基础化工	-10.01%	2.01 亿	主板	—	—	13	—	—
五方光电	002962.SZ	电子	-10.01%	3.34 亿	主板	—	—	1	—	—
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	8.55 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
泰永长征	002927.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	2.90 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
华之杰	603400.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	2.87 亿	主板	—	—	7	—	—
大金重工	002487.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	49.58 亿	主板	—	—	3	—	—
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	-10.00%	28.08 亿	主板	—	—	12	—	—
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	-9.97%	1.38 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

920157.BJ	920157.BJ	通信	+449.45%	0	9.59 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
力王股份	920627.BJ	电力设备	+24.12%	0	3.57 亿	北交所	105812	—	2	1/2	—
流金科技	920021.BJ	传媒	+20.14%	0	4.10 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
绿盟科技	300369.SZ	计算机	+20.02%	1	10.07 亿	创业板	130509	130509	0	1/1	9,640.34 万
领湃科技	300530.SZ	电力设备	+20.02%	2	7.23 亿	创业板	95427	104436	3	2/2	3,802.30 万
东岳硅材	300821.SZ	基础化工	+20.01%	1	24.88 亿	创业板	93839	102827	1	1/1	1.51 亿
中文在线	300364.SZ	传媒	+20.01%	1	18.50 亿	创业板	140851	140851	0	1/1	2.07 亿
麒麟信安	688152.SH	计算机	+19.99%	1	4.83 亿	科创板	141550	141550	0	1/1	5,384.89 万
中红医疗	300981.SZ	医药生物	+19.98%	1	7.32 亿	创业板	104700	105624	1	1/1	6,439.29 万
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	+19.98%	1	23.85 亿	创业板	141733	142551	1	1/1	8,095.76 万
华信永道	920592.BJ	计算机	+19.75%	0	2.29 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
花溪科技	920895.BJ	机械设备	+19.13%	0	2.07 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

力勤资源	001246.SZ	有色金属	-15.87%	34.66 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
雄塑科技	300599.SZ	建筑材料	-13.22%	5.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.71%	146.70 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
通合科技	300491.SZ	电力设备	-10.16%	5.94 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
彩蝶实业	603073.SH	基础化工	-10.01%	2.01 亿	主板	—	—	13	—	—
五方光电	002962.SZ	电子	-10.01%	3.34 亿	主板	—	—	1	—	—
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-10.00%	8.55 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
泰永长征	002927.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	2.90 亿	主板	—	—	17	—	—
华之杰	603400.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	2.87 亿	主板	—	—	7	—	—
大金重工	002487.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	49.58 亿	主板	—	—	3	—	—
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	-10.00%	28.08 亿	主板	—	—	12	—	—
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	-9.97%	1.38 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3187	+0.73%	63.10%	42.58%	+1.85%
创业板	1406	+0.28%	50.36%	36.49%	+3.07%
科创板	617	-0.21%	43.76%	32.09%	+2.36%
北交所	349	+3.51%	88.25%	22.92%	+2.13%

市值分层

小盘	2780	+0.95%	61.22%	34.12 亿
中盘	1668	+0.56%	58.87%	91.21 亿
大盘	834	+0.35%	57.07%	277.1 亿
超大盘	277	-0.18%	49.46%	1,252.5 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-09。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

文化传媒	方向待明	197/197	+3.98%	+1.29%	+1.68%	+3.98%	+1.36%	+2.06%	-0.00%	89.34%	55.33%	624.6 亿	3.26%	75.00%	+3.29%	16	1	33.19 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	+1.40%	+0.97%	+1.68%	+1.39%	+0.90%	+1.64%	-0.01%	77.50%	69.29%	963.4 亿	5.03%	80.00%	+0.71%	4	0	-14.43 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+0.35%	+3.98%	+26.25%	+0.69%	+2.31%	+3.87%	+0.34%	66.67%	46.67%	130.7 亿	0.68%	85.00%	-0.34%	0	0	8,161.06 万	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/462	+0.08%	-5.01%	-5.13%	+0.07%	-5.05%	-5.46%	-0.01%	50.00%	21.86%	2,110.0 亿	11.01%	55.00%	-0.61%	2	0	-62.56 亿	100.00%
减速器	趋势转弱	139/139	-0.08%	-3.85%	-4.68%	-0.08%	-3.81%	-4.86%	+0.00%	51.80%	28.06%	352.5 亿	1.84%	60.00%	-0.77%	0	0	-16.68 亿	100.00%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/507	-0.44%	-5.62%	-4.28%	-0.45%	-5.56%	-4.48%	-0.01%	43.59%	20.71%	2,385.6 亿	12.45%	20.00%	-1.13%	4	1	-101.8 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势转弱	34/34	-0.61%	-5.91%	-5.94%	-0.61%	-5.87%	-6.19%	-0.00%	44.12%	14.71%	64.47 亿	0.34%	40.00%	-1.30%	0	0	-2.60 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/80	-0.76%	-7.96%	-3.75%	-0.78%	-7.91%	-4.11%	-0.02%	32.50%	25.00%	377.1 亿	1.97%	75.00%	-1.45%	1	1	-15.92 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/229	-0.82%	-8.30%	-10.24%	-0.73%	-7.91%	-10.17%	+0.09%	40.61%	12.23%	1,722.0 亿	8.98%	35.00%	-1.51%	0	0	-68.54 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/205	-1.55%	-11.74%	-6.94%	-1.53%	-11.73%	-7.12%	+0.03%	22.44%	8.78%	2,413.0 亿	12.59%	40.00%	-2.24%	0	0	-85.18 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-1.87%	-12.56%	-5.93%	-1.94%	-12.88%	-6.42%	-0.07%	19.34%	6.60%	3,120.4 亿	16.28%	25.00%	-2.56%	1	0	-134.2 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/204	-1.90%	-11.66%	-6.62%	-1.89%	-11.60%	-6.89%	+0.01%	19.12%	9.31%	2,056.4 亿	10.73%	35.00%	-2.59%	0	0	-81.65 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/234	-2.48%	-10.31%	-3.42%	-2.51%	-10.22%	-3.26%	-0.02%	18.38%	16.67%	2,064.2 亿	10.77%	20.00%	-3.17%	1	2	-91.75 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/56	-2.51%	-11.48%	-7.38%	-2.46%	-11.37%	-7.85%	+0.06%	17.86%	7.14%	561.1 亿	2.93%	30.00%	-3.20%	0	0	-33.40 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-2.60%	-14.13%	-9.47%	-2.83%	-14.17%	-9.79%	-0.23%	11.63%	2.33%	345.4 亿	1.80%	40.00%	-3.29%	0	0	-18.36 亿	100.00%
MLCC	趋势转弱	35/35	-2.62%	-11.60%	-4.82%	-2.64%	-12.33%	-7.41%	-0.02%	8.57%	8.57%	384.2 亿	2.00%	45.00%	-3.31%	0	0	-32.06 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：流金科技（920021.BJ）+20.14%、中文在线（300364.SZ）+20.01%、芒果超媒（300413.SZ）+19.98%

领跌：*ST岭南（002717.SZ）-10.71%、金利华电（300069.SZ）-4.77%、若羽臣（003010.SZ）-3.02%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：泰诺麦博（688806.SH）+11.75%、华北制药（600812.SH）+10.04%、ST万邦（002082.SZ）+10.02%

领跌：艾力斯（688578.SH）-7.57%、益诺思（688710.SH）-6.91%、普洛药业（000739.SZ）-6.82%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：金徽酒（603919.SH）+3.80%、张裕A（000869.SZ）+3.30%、威龙股份（603779.SH）+2.75%

领跌：古越龙山（600059.SH）-1.85%、ST通葡（600365.SH）-1.75%、泸州老窖（000568.SZ）-1.53%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：力王股份（920627.BJ）+24.12%、麒麟信安（688152.SH）+19.99%、华是科技（301218.SZ）+11.35%

领跌：能辉科技（301046.SZ）-8.78%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）-7.73%、新益昌（688383.SH）-7.17%

减速器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：斯菱智驱（301550.SZ）+7.09%、苏轴股份（920418.BJ）+6.13%、宁波东力（002164.SZ）+5.85%

领跌：威力传动（300904.SZ）-8.22%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）-7.73%、金雷股份（300443.SZ）-7.39%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：流金科技（920021.BJ）+20.14%、麒麟信安（688152.SH）+19.99%、永信至诚（688244.SH）+16.22%

领跌：泰永长征（002927.SZ）-10.00%、豪美新材（002988.SZ）-8.61%、雷曼光电（300162.SZ）-8.23%

金属新材料 · 趋势转弱

领涨：昆工科技（920152.BJ）+8.44%、族兴新材（920078.BJ）+2.00%、惠同新材（920751.BJ）+1.94%

领跌：江南新材（603124.SH）-6.12%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）-5.48%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）-4.43%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：锦华新材（920015.BJ）+10.03%、新亚强（603155.SH）+9.98%、天龙集团（300063.SZ）+6.84%

领跌：百合花（603823.SH）-10.00%、思泰克（301568.SZ）-6.83%、聚和材料（688503.SH）-5.37%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：上海洗霸（603200.SH）+9.57%、汤姆猫（300459.SZ）+5.87%、天铁科技（300587.SZ）+5.07%

领跌：鸿富瀚（301086.SZ）-7.16%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-6.86%、博敏电子（603936.SH）-6.65%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：华大九天（301269.SZ）+7.96%、有研新材（600206.SH）+7.41%、多氟多（002407.SZ）+6.12%

领跌：科翔股份（300903.SZ）-7.80%、康强电子（002119.SZ）-7.46%、德福科技（301511.SZ）-7.32%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：联特科技（301205.SZ）+12.86%、澳弘电子（605058.SH）+10.00%、本川智能（300964.SZ）+9.55%

领跌：强达电路（301628.SZ）-8.22%、科翔股份（300903.SZ）-7.80%、广合科技（001389.SZ）-7.49%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：流金科技（920021.BJ）+20.14%、华大九天（301269.SZ）+7.96%、有研新材（600206.SH）+7.41%

领跌：雷曼光电（300162.SZ）-8.23%、华正新材（603186.SH）-7.93%、科翔股份（300903.SZ）-7.80%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：澳弘电子（605058.SH）+10.00%、本川智能（300964.SZ）+9.55%、晨丰科技（603685.SH）+7.37%

领跌：泰永长征（002927.SZ）-10.00%、金安国纪（002636.SZ）-10.00%、同宇新材（301630.SZ）-9.65%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：捷佳伟创（300724.SZ）+3.63%、中科信息（300678.SZ）+2.78%、利亚德（300296.SZ）+1.30%

领跌：雷曼光电（300162.SZ）-8.23%、天承科技（688603.SH）-6.99%、帝尔激光（300776.SZ）-6.49%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：硅烷科技（920402.BJ）+4.77%、中石科技（300684.SZ）+3.20%、康美特（920189.BJ）+1.62%

领跌：同宇新材（301630.SZ）-9.65%、天承科技（688603.SH）-6.99%、国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-6.91%

MLCC · 趋势转弱

领涨：皖维高新（600063.SH）+3.36%、龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）+3.32%、贵研铂业（600459.SH）+0.67%

领跌：国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-6.91%、风华高科（000636.SZ）-6.41%、宏达电子（300726.SZ）-6.08%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

资源周期	66	+2.60%	+1.93%	-0.49%	-8.58%	51.28 亿	60.61%	4/15	国泰中证煤炭ETF · —
金融地产	51	+1.03%	+0.70%	-0.96%	-5.49%	75.58 亿	33.33%	7/4	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · —
红利防御	103	+0.26%	+0.24%	+2.28%	+0.35%	49.18 亿	29.13%	9/13	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · —
中小盘宽基	153	+0.19%	+0.25%	-5.34%	-6.28%	410.5 亿	73.86%	57/11	易方达创业板ETF · +3.39%
医药健康	53	+0.13%	+0.48%	+0.44%	+0.10%	43.89 亿	52.83%	15/5	国泰上证科创板创新药ETF · —
消费	48	+0.11%	+0.83%	+0.91%	-1.85%	15.13 亿	45.83%	3/7	鹏华中证酒ETF · —
大盘宽基	86	+0.06%	+0.23%	-1.95%	-4.94%	138.3 亿	22.09%	9/3	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · —
AI与半导体	143	-0.39%	+0.18%	-9.62%	-7.72%	374.3 亿	48.25%	57/8	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · —

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

大消费	商贸零售、农林牧渔、食品饮料、社会服务、家用电器	527	+1.69%	+0.70%	-0.43%	77.80%	47.06%	5.83%	12	0
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	539	+1.46%	+0.68%	+2.82%	77.92%	68.09%	7.59%	7	0
AI硬件与数字经济	通信、计算机、电子	1003	+0.65%	-6.91%	-5.16%	49.45%	21.54%	36.22%	7	2
资源周期	煤炭、基础化工、有色金属、钢铁、石油石化	722	+0.60%	-1.25%	-3.14%	63.71%	35.73%	12.19%	7	3
金融地产	非银金融、房地产、银行	212	+0.60%	+1.38%	+0.27%	59.91%	47.17%	4.70%	2	0
公用防御	交通运输、环保、公用事业	400	+0.29%	+0.87%	-0.54%	52.00%	48.50%	4.27%	3	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	230	-0.02%	-1.66%	-1.70%	55.65%	40.43%	2.41%	3	2
高端制造	电力设备、汽车、机械设备、国防军工	1500	-0.15%	-3.14%	-4.16%	47.80%	29.20%	22.05%	11	4

近五个交易日

2026-09-28	26.1	39	16.16%	1.7167 万亿	35	5
2026-09-29	55.6	67.4	62.44%	1.4216 万亿	57	6
2026-09-30	46.3	61.3	46.16%	1.4501 万亿	56	7
2026-10-08	42.7	52.1	30.56%	1.6943 万亿	45	8
2026-10-09	71.5	77.1	59.31%	1.9167 万亿	72	9

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +13.13%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +28.75%

涨停家数：扩张 · 27

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：1.6943 万亿 · 温度区间：26.1–71.5 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：酿酒 4次、创新药 3次、减速器 2次、文化传媒 2次、CPO 1次、MLCC 1次

行业：传媒 2次、公用事业 2次、食品饮料 2次、医药生物 1次、商贸零售 1次、房地产 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+13.1%，上涨覆盖59.3%，五日成交中位16942.9亿元。

方向承接 · 文化传媒当日收益+3.98%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 传媒涨停15家，最高9板。

负反馈 · 跌停11家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 16942.9亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 文化传媒

确认：文化传媒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 26.7%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖59.3%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 60 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4
2026-08-10	71.3	74.4	73.46%	2.5387 万亿	103	5
2026-08-11	46.3	62.7	29.16%	2.3356 万亿	60	6
2026-08-12	76.2	92.4	74.53%	2.1672 万亿	97	7
2026-08-13	53.4	61.8	20.63%	2.5680 万亿	62	5
2026-08-14	56.3	55	43.32%	2.1566 万亿	64	5
2026-08-17	89	84.8	78.26%	2.4025 万亿	110	4
2026-08-18	56.6	62.7	38.29%	2.4198 万亿	81	4
2026-08-19	27.1	35.8	8.10%	2.5300 万亿	38	3
2026-08-20	63.1	50.9	73.92%	2.0939 万亿	84	4
2026-08-21	53.7	45.7	45.19%	1.8923 万亿	58	3
2026-08-24	41.8	47.2	26.33%	2.0212 万亿	48	4
2026-08-25	62.5	63.9	76.34%	1.8443 万亿	70	5
2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7
2026-09-02	34.1	48.5	27.78%	1.8203 万亿	55	5
2026-09-03	51.2	45.9	33.27%	1.7802 万亿	46	5
2026-09-04	52.8	46.3	44.05%	2.0510 万亿	42	5
2026-09-07	64.9	86.4	57.07%	1.9642 万亿	95	6
2026-09-08	63.9	75	61.58%	1.9782 万亿	75	4
2026-09-09	43.6	53.3	32.32%	1.8731 万亿	49	5
2026-09-10	25.9	41	17.21%	1.6623 万亿	40	4
2026-09-11	34.2	46.1	11.59%	1.9870 万亿	40	4
2026-09-14	41.7	61	56.32%	1.6430 万亿	57	4
2026-09-15	27.6	40.4	20.19%	1.6253 万亿	32	5
2026-09-16	76	85.4	75.14%	1.8525 万亿	91	6
2026-09-17	42.9	59.5	46.39%	1.8365 万亿	50	5
2026-09-18	79	82.2	76.25%	2.0929 万亿	80	4
2026-09-21	75	86.2	81.69%	2.0481 万亿	106	5
2026-09-22	61.1	73.2	42.74%	2.1537 万亿	65	6
2026-09-23	33.2	47	34.04%	1.7831 万亿	51	4
2026-09-24	29.1	54	20.15%	1.6691 万亿	53	5
2026-09-28	26.1	39	16.16%	1.7167 万亿	35	5
2026-09-29	55.6	67.4	62.44%	1.4216 万亿	57	6
2026-09-30	46.3	61.3	46.16%	1.4501 万亿	56	7
2026-10-08	42.7	52.1	30.56%	1.6943 万亿	45	8
2026-10-09	71.5	77.1	59.31%	1.9167 万亿	72	9

情绪九维 77.1

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
9 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.64
8.64
输入与公式
72 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.05
11.05
输入与公式
0.782608695652174 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率10.67
10.67
输入与公式
0.26666666666666666 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.030840933333333334 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":11,"largeLoss":47} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.9
8.9
输入与公式
0.5930922827846735 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.05
4.05
输入与公式
{"limitUp":72,"limitDown":11} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能6.78
6.78
输入与公式
1.0391351017578483 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	249	4.48%	+7.21%	+6.06%
趋势延续	506	9.10%	+2.29%	+1.90%
低位修复	1717	30.89%	+2.06%	+1.37%
中间状态	3087	55.53%	-0.86%	-0.75%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 45 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 26.67%

晋级名单

新华传媒	600825.SH	传媒	9	+10.01%
九阳股份	002242.SZ	家用电器	5	+10.04%
时代万恒	600241.SH	电力设备	5	+10.01%
紫竹高科	002058.SZ	电力设备	4	+9.99%
安泰集团	600408.SH	煤炭	2	+9.88%
红豆股份	600400.SH	纺织服饰	2	+9.94%
领湃科技	300530.SZ	电力设备	2	+20.02%
华北制药	600812.SH	医药生物	2	+10.04%
丰元股份	002805.SZ	电力设备	2	+10.02%
雄韬股份	002733.SZ	电力设备	2	+10.01%
楚环科技	001336.SZ	环保	2	+10.02%
三柏硕	001300.SZ	轻工制造	2	+9.99%
金健米业	600127.SH	农林牧渔	1	+10.00%
东岳硅材	300821.SZ	基础化工	1	+20.01%
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	1	+19.98%
海南橡胶	601118.SH	农林牧渔	1	+9.98%
中文在线	300364.SZ	传媒	1	+20.01%
振华股份	603067.SH	基础化工	1	+10.01%
博纳影业	001330.SZ	传媒	1	+9.94%
众生药业	002317.SZ	医药生物	1	+10.01%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	34	7	16	11	20.59%	47.06%	32.35%
弱势方向修复	34	16	0	18	47.06%	0.00%	52.94%
方向剪刀差	23	16	1	6	69.57%	4.35%	26.09%
涨停生态	34	10	11	13	29.41%	32.35%	38.24%
市场持续性	34	2	14	18	5.88%	41.18%	52.94%

近20个交易日

强势方向延续	20	4	9	7	20.00%	45.00%	35.00%
弱势方向修复	20	9	0	11	45.00%	0.00%	55.00%
方向剪刀差	15	8	1	6	53.33%	6.67%	40.00%
涨停生态	20	7	8	5	35.00%	40.00%	25.00%
市场持续性	20	0	8	12	0.00%	40.00%	60.00%

共 175 条假设