历史详情 · A 股观测台

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2026-09-29

结论与证据

全A收盘为3471家上涨、1933家下跌，上涨占比62.44%；成交1.4216万亿元，环比-17.19%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，32.0%样本位于MA20上方；57家封板、12家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方32% · 57家封板 · 温度55.6

支持证据

16方向中文化传媒当日+2.19%居前；69家触板、封板率82.6%，最高6板。

反证与边界

石油石化当日等权-0.77%，酿酒方向-4.41%；成交额环比-17.19%，资金流分类代理+65.2亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 1.4216 万亿
成交环比: -17.19%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3471 / 1933 / 155
上涨覆盖: 62.44%
中位涨幅: +0.48%
MA20上方: 31.97%
20日新高 / 新低: 245 / 807
涨停 / 跌停: 57 / 12
触板 / 未封: 69 / 12
封板率: 82.61%
最高连板: 6 板

收盘温度 55.6

广度21.85
21.85
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势6.39
6.39
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态12.39
12.39
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 67.4

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数6.84
6.84
输入与公式
57.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.66
11.66
输入与公式
0.83 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率11.43
11.43
输入与公式
0.29 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价11
11
输入与公式
0.03 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":12,"largeLoss":37} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.62 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比3.21
3.21
输入与公式
{"limitUp":57,"limitDown":12} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.41
1.41
输入与公式
0.77 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,830.45	+0.18%	6,617.0 亿
科创50	1,569.34	+0.86%	645.3 亿
深证成指	12,901.95	+0.34%	3,497.2 亿
创业板指	3,142.56	+0.09%	1,340.3 亿
中证1000	7,325.35	+0.43%	2,689.5 亿
国证2000	9,692.49	+0.53%	4,216.8 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	117	2.10%	+8.22%	+8.11%
趋势延续	229	4.12%	+2.59%	+2.02%
低位修复	2232	40.15%	+1.71%	+1.02%
中间状态	2981	53.62%	-0.23%	-0.36%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比62.44%，中位数涨幅+0.48%。

少数方向逆势承压

煤炭、石油石化分别为-0.63%、-0.77%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-17.19%，69家触板中12家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

文化传媒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

酿酒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日82.6%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,830.45 · MA5 3,886.22 · MA10 3,892.44 · MA20 3,912.52

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,912.52 · 近10日最低 3,806.67 · 近20日最低 3,806.67；压力：近10日最高 3,967.68 · 近20日最高 3,995.18

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%
2026-08-10	3,943.82	3,967.59	3,938.63	3,966.59	+0.67%
2026-08-11	3,950.71	3,966.39	3,930.64	3,934.09	-0.82%
2026-08-12	3,933.55	3,950.62	3,927.55	3,946.68	+0.32%
2026-08-13	3,957.16	3,968.48	3,924.64	3,926.96	-0.50%
2026-08-14	3,930.02	3,932.64	3,903.70	3,927.18	+0.01%
2026-08-17	3,930.10	3,983.51	3,924.47	3,982.65	+1.41%
2026-08-18	3,979.49	3,994.18	3,955.60	3,990.30	+0.19%
2026-08-19	3,952.12	3,961.14	3,879.58	3,894.42	-2.40%
2026-08-20	3,907.21	3,925.06	3,888.10	3,903.72	+0.24%
2026-08-21	3,891.18	3,912.13	3,883.79	3,905.20	+0.04%
2026-08-24	3,902.70	3,910.24	3,855.35	3,882.01	-0.59%
2026-08-25	3,863.37	3,896.21	3,850.86	3,889.44	+0.19%
2026-08-26	3,881.74	3,926.44	3,881.74	3,912.52	+0.59%
2026-08-27	3,911.89	3,958.03	3,909.31	3,956.57	+1.13%
2026-08-28	3,950.24	3,970.31	3,947.80	3,952.18	-0.11%
2026-08-31	3,926.53	3,986.30	3,926.50	3,986.30	+0.86%
2026-09-01	3,979.88	3,995.18	3,976.47	3,979.89	-0.16%
2026-09-02	3,963.07	3,965.81	3,932.25	3,941.39	-0.97%
2026-09-03	3,952.79	3,968.11	3,930.45	3,942.09	+0.02%
2026-09-04	3,955.55	3,980.20	3,915.22	3,930.12	-0.30%
2026-09-07	3,942.51	3,948.42	3,916.49	3,932.70	+0.07%
2026-09-08	3,935.55	3,951.32	3,925.72	3,940.55	+0.20%
2026-09-09	3,943.92	3,958.12	3,933.47	3,951.51	+0.28%
2026-09-10	3,939.09	3,949.25	3,927.35	3,934.40	-0.43%
2026-09-11	3,910.92	3,912.32	3,852.03	3,888.11	-1.18%
2026-09-14	3,867.02	3,895.51	3,867.02	3,885.33	-0.07%
2026-09-15	3,879.73	3,891.62	3,858.15	3,864.28	-0.54%
2026-09-16	3,861.75	3,894.66	3,842.72	3,891.60	+0.71%
2026-09-17	3,877.00	3,898.84	3,866.89	3,875.60	-0.41%
2026-09-18	3,891.96	3,919.67	3,888.50	3,911.87	+0.94%
2026-09-21	3,920.27	3,950.94	3,918.13	3,949.91	+0.97%
2026-09-22	3,963.81	3,967.68	3,945.42	3,952.13	+0.06%
2026-09-23	3,951.37	3,951.52	3,934.46	3,936.52	-0.39%
2026-09-24	3,925.32	3,930.50	3,888.37	3,888.37	-1.22%
2026-09-28	3,878.41	3,878.41	3,806.67	3,823.62	-1.67%
2026-09-29	3,816.15	3,843.84	3,810.81	3,830.45	+0.18%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

房地产	修复延续	95	+3.69%	+1.11%	+4.05%	+3.43%	93.68%	76.84%	287.1 亿	2.02%	6	0	34.72	1.23
传媒	低位修复	131	+2.70%	-0.82%	+1.93%	+2.26%	91.60%	40.46%	389.2 亿	2.74%	7	0	41.13	3.01
电子	低位修复	518	+2.24%	-5.09%	-1.58%	+0.56%	63.51%	37.64%	3,611.8 亿	25.41%	8	0	75.85	5.28
电力设备	低位修复	418	+1.47%	-3.09%	-3.70%	+1.00%	72.49%	29.19%	1,157.7 亿	8.14%	7	1	42.04	2.67
计算机	低位修复	357	+1.42%	-1.79%	-2.61%	+1.30%	79.55%	35.01%	686.1 亿	4.83%	3	0	74.12	3.58
汽车	低位修复	326	+1.36%	-1.68%	-2.07%	+0.36%	62.58%	36.20%	533.9 亿	3.76%	5	0	29.86	2.38
有色金属	低位修复	146	+1.28%	-5.73%	-9.75%	+1.22%	78.77%	10.27%	585.3 亿	4.12%	0	0	29.63	3.23
综合	低位修复	20	+1.27%	-1.78%	-1.95%	+1.22%	80.00%	40.00%	25.01 亿	0.18%	0	0	47.89	2.92
建筑装饰	低位修复	155	+1.14%	-2.98%	-1.85%	+1.11%	74.19%	28.39%	163.9 亿	1.15%	1	1	29.73	2.20
通信	低位修复	126	+1.12%	-6.78%	-4.01%	+0.86%	68.25%	19.05%	1,076.6 亿	7.57%	1	0	94.08	4.52
环保	低位修复	134	+1.03%	-2.20%	-3.48%	+0.86%	70.90%	27.61%	98.16 亿	0.69%	2	0	28.78	1.96
钢铁	低位修复	44	+0.99%	-3.53%	-5.19%	+0.94%	86.36%	9.09%	51.74 亿	0.36%	0	0	21.67	1.15
建筑材料	低位修复	75	+0.98%	-2.96%	-1.19%	+1.02%	74.67%	36.00%	191.2 亿	1.34%	1	0	42.20	1.57
非银金融	低位修复	77	+0.51%	-4.13%	-6.18%	+0.36%	77.92%	6.49%	207.1 亿	1.46%	0	0	14.20	1.16
美容护理	低位修复	32	+0.48%	-1.86%	+1.76%	+0.06%	50.00%	37.50%	39.90 亿	0.28%	1	0	26.93	2.48
轻工制造	低位修复	168	+0.47%	-2.24%	-0.69%	+0.48%	61.31%	39.29%	154.5 亿	1.09%	3	1	35.48	2.31
商贸零售	低位修复	100	+0.39%	-3.83%	-0.90%	+0.54%	65.00%	19.00%	133.4 亿	0.94%	0	1	30.66	1.91
银行	低位修复	42	+0.36%	-0.25%	+0.09%	+0.36%	69.05%	23.81%	235.9 亿	1.66%	0	0	6.03	0.55
基础化工	低位修复	450	+0.35%	-3.74%	-3.88%	+0.33%	58.89%	28.89%	721.1 亿	5.07%	3	2	34.70	2.22
交通运输	低位修复	128	+0.30%	-2.07%	-1.00%	+0.45%	61.72%	25.00%	180.6 亿	1.27%	0	0	17.49	1.44
机械设备	低位修复	617	+0.24%	-3.22%	-3.38%	+0.38%	60.13%	33.55%	1,105.6 亿	7.78%	0	1	50.68	3.18
家用电器	低位修复	101	+0.24%	-0.47%	+0.62%	+0.21%	53.47%	41.58%	153.9 亿	1.08%	1	0	35.98	2.52
纺织服饰	低位修复	107	+0.22%	-2.58%	-2.67%	+0.32%	58.88%	35.51%	90.11 亿	0.63%	1	2	30.72	1.92
社会服务	低位修复	86	+0.20%	-3.34%	-3.00%	+0.19%	53.49%	19.77%	93.54 亿	0.66%	0	0	36.99	2.83
国防军工	低位修复	139	+0.17%	-5.16%	-2.48%	-0.13%	46.76%	17.99%	338.5 亿	2.38%	1	0	79.58	3.67
公用事业	低位修复	139	+0.03%	-3.23%	-1.37%	0.00%	46.76%	17.99%	246.2 亿	1.73%	2	0	26.07	1.59
医药生物	方向待明	507	-0.07%	-2.04%	+0.81%	-0.18%	41.62%	47.53%	1,028.4 亿	7.23%	1	0	38.42	2.52
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-0.08%	-1.98%	-2.16%	-0.22%	41.27%	26.19%	194.4 亿	1.37%	2	1	24.66	2.24
农林牧渔	方向待明	114	-0.33%	-5.04%	-3.38%	-0.25%	42.98%	14.04%	200.8 亿	1.41%	1	2	43.12	2.47
煤炭	方向待明	33	-0.63%	-2.32%	-7.33%	-0.80%	30.30%	21.21%	105.5 亿	0.74%	0	0	24.99	1.20
石油石化	退潮观察	48	-0.77%	-3.83%	-5.96%	-0.53%	37.50%	14.58%	128.8 亿	0.91%	0	0	27.92	2.09

涨停生态

首板 47 家 · 多板 10 家 · 昨日涨停 35 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 28.57%

6 板 · 1 家 · 新华传媒

4 板 · 1 家 · 雪龙集团

3 板 · 1 家 · 襄阳轴承

2 板 · 7 家 · 津药药业、中新赛克、善水科技、深物业A、浙江新能、九阳股份、时代万恒

1 板 · 47 家 · 万科A、超声电子、崇达技术、国轩高科、澳弘电子、新华文轩、美盈森、迅捷兴

行业聚类

电子 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 超声电子、崇达技术、澳弘电子、迅捷兴、奥士康、依顿电子

传媒 · 7 家 · 最高 6 板 · 新华传媒、新华文轩、掌阅科技、引力传媒、中国出版、华媒控股

电力设备 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 时代万恒、国轩高科、金龙羽、维科技术、武汉蓝电、尚水智能

房地产 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 深物业A、万科A、滨江集团、华发股份、信达地产、华联控股

汽车 · 5 家 · 最高 4 板 · 雪龙集团、襄阳轴承、众捷股份、路畅科技、广汽集团

基础化工 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 善水科技、吉华集团、亚邦股份

计算机 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 中新赛克、南威软件、大智慧

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 美盈森、英联股份、环球印务

公用事业 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 浙江新能、宁波能源

环保 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 上海洗霸、华控赛格

食品饮料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 泉阳泉、均瑶健康

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 安德利

医药生物 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 津药药业

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 迈信林

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 九阳股份

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 国统股份

建筑装饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 园林股份

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华斯股份

美容护理 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 拉芳家化

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 超讯科技

连续晋级与首板

新华传媒	600825.SH	传媒	+10.06%	6	1.47 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	6/6	18.53 亿
雪龙集团	603949.SH	汽车	+10.01%	4	7,200.24 万	主板	92501	92501	0	4/4	1.46 亿
襄阳轴承	000678.SZ	汽车	+10.05%	3	1.11 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	3/3	1.50 亿
津药药业	600488.SH	医药生物	+10.05%	2	9.56 亿	主板	93006	93927	1	2/2	4,622.25 万
中新赛克	002912.SZ	计算机	+10.01%	2	7.89 亿	主板	93330	100830	3	7/13	6,566.77 万
善水科技	301190.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	2	5.93 亿	创业板	94633	94833	2	2/2	4,703.11 万
深物业A	000011.SZ	房地产	+9.98%	2	4.68 亿	主板	92500	93942	1	2/2	5,747.75 万
浙江新能	600032.SH	公用事业	+9.96%	2	4.55 亿	主板	93138	93208	1	2/2	7,967.81 万
九阳股份	002242.SZ	家用电器	+9.97%	2	2.14 亿	主板	93030	93030	0	2/2	1.85 亿
时代万恒	600241.SH	电力设备	+9.95%	2	1.52 亿	主板	92502	92502	0	2/2	9,064.30 万
万科A	000002.SZ	房地产	+9.97%	1	31.77 亿	主板	100827	140724	2	1/1	2.20 亿
超声电子	000823.SZ	电子	+10.01%	1	27.49 亿	主板	103121	103242	1	1/1	1.17 亿
崇达技术	002815.SZ	电子	+9.99%	1	19.36 亿	主板	112745	135424	1	1/1	1.57 亿
国轩高科	002074.SZ	电力设备	+10.01%	1	13.02 亿	主板	93754	93754	0	1/1	6.25 亿
澳弘电子	605058.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	12.36 亿	主板	140252	140252	0	8/12	9,576.53 万
新华文轩	601811.SH	传媒	+9.99%	1	9.92 亿	主板	110930	110930	0	6/7	7,543.21 万
美盈森	002303.SZ	轻工制造	+10.02%	1	9.54 亿	主板	141439	141527	1	3/6	7,504.87 万
迅捷兴	688655.SH	电子	+20.01%	1	9.53 亿	科创板	104433	104433	0	1/1	7,225.13 万
奥士康	002913.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	8.06 亿	主板	94027	94342	2	1/1	1.65 亿
滨江集团	002244.SZ	房地产	+10.00%	1	7.68 亿	主板	112100	112100	0	1/1	1.21 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

金辰股份	603396.SH	电力设备	-10.00%	5.31 亿	主板	—	95741	3	—	7,546.42 万
福建水泥	600802.SH	建筑材料	-4.67%	7.42 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
大业股份	603278.SH	机械设备	-2.04%	8.64 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
吉鑫科技	601218.SH	电力设备	+1.32%	17.60 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
通达创智	001368.SZ	轻工制造	-10.00%	6,697.73 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	8,943.85 万
会稽山	601579.SH	食品饮料	-9.99%	2.70 亿	主板	—	93112	0	—	3.75 亿
醋化股份	603968.SH	基础化工	-4.13%	2.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宏柏新材	605366.SH	基础化工	-3.85%	8.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
道道全	002852.SZ	农林牧渔	-3.37%	1.92 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST万邦	002082.SZ	医药生物	-2.95%	3.44 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
巨力索具	002342.SZ	机械设备	-2.65%	15.96 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东瑞股份	001201.SZ	农林牧渔	-2.54%	2.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新筑股份	002480.SZ	公用事业	-2.12%	2.11 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
众泰汽车	000980.SZ	汽车	-0.89%	13.58 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
跨境通	002640.SZ	商贸零售	-0.51%	19.14 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
五方光电	002962.SZ	电子	-0.41%	7.85 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

金健米业	600127.SH	农林牧渔	-9.97%	19.84 亿	主板	—	143910	7	—	1.42 亿
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	-10.00%	14.81 亿	主板	—	150000	9	—	1,170.69 万
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	10.52 亿	主板	—	143541	15	—	1,437.37 万
国芳集团	601086.SH	商贸零售	-9.97%	9.59 亿	主板	—	133415	36	—	9,143.50 万
厦工股份	600815.SH	机械设备	-10.02%	6.99 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
泰慕士	001234.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.01%	5.87 亿	主板	—	143948	5	—	1,673.75 万
金辰股份	603396.SH	电力设备	-10.00%	5.31 亿	主板	—	95741	3	—	7,546.42 万
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	-10.02%	4.40 亿	主板	—	100429	10	—	7,784.29 万
会稽山	601579.SH	食品饮料	-9.99%	2.70 亿	主板	—	93112	0	—	3.75 亿
通达创智	001368.SZ	轻工制造	-10.00%	6,697.73 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	8,943.85 万
华茂股份	000850.SZ	纺织服饰	-9.92%	6,390.05 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	2.10 亿
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.39%	1,239.05 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

大跌样本

中塑股份	301686.SZ	基础化工	-17.10%	9.65 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
凯达重工	920025.BJ	机械设备	-12.89%	2.67 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
世纪数码	920229.BJ	机械设备	-12.06%	2.75 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
百瑞吉	920201.BJ	医药生物	-11.50%	1.70 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.39%	1,239.05 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
厦工股份	600815.SH	机械设备	-10.02%	6.99 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	-10.02%	4.40 亿	主板	—	100429	10	—	7,784.29 万
泰慕士	001234.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.01%	5.87 亿	主板	—	143948	5	—	1,673.75 万
通达创智	001368.SZ	轻工制造	-10.00%	6,697.73 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	8,943.85 万
金辰股份	603396.SH	电力设备	-10.00%	5.31 亿	主板	—	95741	3	—	7,546.42 万
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	-10.00%	14.81 亿	主板	—	150000	9	—	1,170.69 万
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	10.52 亿	主板	—	143541	15	—	1,437.37 万

涨幅居前

C鸿富诚	301716.SZ	电子	+653.16%	0	62.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
安达股份	920202.BJ	汽车	+246.49%	0	6.44 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
武汉蓝电	920779.BJ	电力设备	+29.98%	1	1.63 亿	北交所	104713	104713	0	1/1	2,125.97 万
众捷股份	301560.SZ	汽车	+20.01%	1	4.56 亿	创业板	102239	102239	0	1/1	1,629.48 万
迈信林	688685.SH	国防军工	+20.01%	1	3.33 亿	科创板	103140	104337	1	1/1	4,329.74 万
迅捷兴	688655.SH	电子	+20.01%	1	9.53 亿	科创板	104433	104433	0	1/1	7,225.13 万
善水科技	301190.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	2	5.93 亿	创业板	94633	94833	2	2/2	4,703.11 万
尚水智能	301513.SZ	电力设备	+20.00%	1	1.44 亿	创业板	93745	93745	0	1/1	5,419.64 万
金禄电子	301282.SZ	电子	+13.64%	0	8.91 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
特发服务	300917.SZ	房地产	+13.49%	0	10.46 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST香雪	300147.SZ	医药生物	+13.46%	0	1.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华是科技	301218.SZ	计算机	+13.18%	0	12.62 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

中塑股份	301686.SZ	基础化工	-17.10%	9.65 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
凯达重工	920025.BJ	机械设备	-12.89%	2.67 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
世纪数码	920229.BJ	机械设备	-12.06%	2.75 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
百瑞吉	920201.BJ	医药生物	-11.50%	1.70 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
*ST岭南	002717.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.39%	1,239.05 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
厦工股份	600815.SH	机械设备	-10.02%	6.99 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	-10.02%	4.40 亿	主板	—	100429	10	—	7,784.29 万
泰慕士	001234.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.01%	5.87 亿	主板	—	143948	5	—	1,673.75 万
通达创智	001368.SZ	轻工制造	-10.00%	6,697.73 万	主板	—	93021	0	—	8,943.85 万
金辰股份	603396.SH	电力设备	-10.00%	5.31 亿	主板	—	95741	3	—	7,546.42 万
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	-10.00%	14.81 亿	主板	—	150000	9	—	1,170.69 万
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	10.52 亿	主板	—	143541	15	—	1,437.37 万

上市板分层

主板	3189	+0.56%	59.99%	28.13%	+1.28%
创业板	1405	+1.48%	67.90%	39.36%	+2.07%
科创板	617	+0.86%	63.86%	45.87%	+1.62%
北交所	348	+0.84%	60.34%	12.64%	+1.29%

市值分层

小盘	2780	+0.96%	68.63%	34.11 亿
中盘	1668	+0.57%	57.01%	92.04 亿
大盘	834	+1.24%	55.52%	277.8 亿
超大盘	277	+0.21%	53.79%	1,243.5 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

文化传媒	低位修复	197/197	+2.19%	-1.61%	+0.01%	+2.19%	-1.58%	+0.08%	-0.00%	87.31%	34.01%	460.7 亿	3.24%	30.00%	+1.35%	7	1	11.36 亿	100.00%
PCB	低位修复	236/234	+1.71%	-5.45%	+0.06%	+1.77%	-5.56%	+0.51%	+0.06%	72.65%	34.62%	1,594.4 亿	11.22%	5.00%	+0.86%	8	0	31.87 亿	100.00%
CPO	低位修复	212/212	+1.60%	-7.08%	-0.88%	+1.66%	-7.39%	-0.89%	+0.06%	66.98%	24.53%	2,511.6 亿	17.67%	5.00%	+0.75%	6	0	11.73 亿	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/463	+0.65%	-3.32%	-3.12%	+0.68%	-3.43%	-3.25%	+0.03%	61.77%	31.32%	1,617.9 亿	11.38%	5.00%	-0.20%	2	0	4.31 亿	100.00%
商业航天	低位修复	507/506	+0.59%	-4.45%	-2.45%	+0.58%	-4.48%	-2.60%	-0.02%	57.11%	27.08%	1,876.1 亿	13.20%	5.00%	-0.25%	5	0	-10.28 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+0.57%	-4.69%	-4.63%	+0.57%	-4.72%	-4.74%	+0.00%	61.76%	20.59%	46.42 亿	0.33%	5.00%	-0.28%	0	0	-5,200.87 万	100.00%
存储芯片	低位修复	206/205	+0.52%	-6.09%	-3.69%	+0.52%	-6.24%	-3.79%	-0.00%	59.51%	30.73%	1,831.2 亿	12.88%	5.00%	-0.32%	1	0	16.81 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	低位修复	229/229	+0.41%	-6.42%	-5.51%	+0.50%	-6.30%	-5.84%	+0.09%	58.95%	18.34%	1,251.0 亿	8.80%	5.00%	-0.43%	2	0	-11.89 亿	100.00%
MLCC	低位修复	35/35	+0.36%	-7.78%	-3.01%	+0.04%	-9.04%	-6.32%	-0.32%	54.29%	22.86%	273.3 亿	1.92%	5.00%	-0.48%	0	0	-4.95 亿	100.00%
先进封装	低位修复	204/204	+0.30%	-5.93%	-3.24%	+0.30%	-6.03%	-3.41%	-0.00%	52.94%	30.39%	1,612.5 亿	11.34%	5.00%	-0.55%	1	0	5.01 亿	100.00%
减速器	低位修复	139/139	+0.29%	-1.76%	-1.79%	+0.29%	-1.75%	-1.95%	+0.00%	54.68%	38.85%	276.4 亿	1.94%	5.00%	-0.56%	1	0	-3.55 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	低位修复	80/80	+0.25%	-5.80%	-4.33%	+0.27%	-5.78%	-4.55%	+0.02%	51.25%	31.25%	256.9 亿	1.81%	5.00%	-0.59%	0	1	-3.09 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	-0.02%	-2.88%	-0.39%	+0.03%	-2.77%	-0.36%	+0.05%	42.50%	41.79%	719.6 亿	5.06%	60.00%	-0.87%	2	0	13.03 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-0.28%	-7.79%	-5.97%	-0.28%	-7.83%	-6.28%	-0.00%	34.88%	23.26%	242.1 亿	1.70%	5.00%	-1.13%	0	0	-14.47 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/56	-0.47%	-5.72%	-3.24%	-0.58%	-6.11%	-3.97%	-0.12%	41.07%	28.57%	496.4 亿	3.49%	20.00%	-1.31%	0	0	-8.57 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	-4.41%	+0.12%	+22.90%	-0.72%	-3.33%	+1.79%	+3.69%	30.00%	26.67%	86.12 亿	0.61%	30.00%	-5.25%	0	1	1.47 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

文化传媒 · 低位修复

领涨：华媒控股（000607.SZ）+10.13%、中国出版（601949.SH）+10.07%、新华传媒（600825.SH）+10.06%

领跌：*ST岭南（002717.SZ）-10.39%、内蒙新华（603230.SH）-7.88%、海峡创新（300300.SZ）-3.16%

PCB · 低位修复

领涨：迅捷兴（688655.SH）+20.01%、金禄电子（301282.SZ）+13.64%、金百泽（301041.SZ）+12.12%

领跌：海目星（688559.SH）-9.86%、大亚圣象（000910.SZ）-5.85%、四方达（300179.SZ）-5.54%

CPO · 低位修复

领涨：迈信林（688685.SH）+20.01%、迅捷兴（688655.SH）+20.01%、金禄电子（301282.SZ）+13.64%

领跌：沃格光电（603773.SH）-9.39%、亨通光电（600487.SH）-5.82%、均胜电子（600699.SH）-5.29%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：华是科技（301218.SZ）+13.18%、利元亨（688499.SH）+12.27%、四会富仕（300852.SZ）+11.46%

领跌：丰光精密（920510.BJ）-7.32%、亨通光电（600487.SH）-5.82%、均胜电子（600699.SH）-5.29%

商业航天 · 低位修复

领涨：迈信林（688685.SH）+20.01%、金禄电子（301282.SZ）+13.64%、金百泽（301041.SZ）+12.12%

领跌：沃格光电（603773.SH）-9.39%、天马新材（920971.BJ）-7.58%、海能达（002583.SZ）-6.86%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：龙磁科技（300835.SZ）+4.54%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）+3.36%、惠同新材（920751.BJ）+2.81%

领跌：天力复合（920576.BJ）-2.44%、新莱福（301323.SZ）-1.54%、有研复材（688811.SH）-1.28%

存储芯片 · 低位修复

领涨：信宇人（688573.SH）+11.43%、满坤科技（301132.SZ）+10.30%、园林股份（605303.SH）+10.01%

领跌：沃格光电（603773.SH）-9.39%、天马新材（920971.BJ）-7.58%、有研硅（688432.SH）-7.51%

液冷服务器 · 低位修复

领涨：众捷股份（301560.SZ）+20.01%、上海洗霸（603200.SH）+10.01%、真视通（002771.SZ）+5.41%

领跌：海目星（688559.SH）-9.86%、亨通光电（600487.SH）-5.82%、集泰股份（002909.SZ）-5.50%

MLCC · 低位修复

领涨：三环集团（300408.SZ）+2.67%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+2.05%、双星新材（002585.SZ）+2.01%

领跌：康达新材（002669.SZ）-4.95%、凯盛科技（600552.SH）-4.07%、雅创电子（301099.SZ）-3.90%

先进封装 · 低位修复

领涨：利元亨（688499.SH）+12.27%、崇达技术（002815.SZ）+9.99%、盛美上海（688082.SH）+6.09%

领跌：海目星（688559.SH）-9.86%、沃格光电（603773.SH）-9.39%、天马新材（920971.BJ）-7.58%

减速器 · 低位修复

领涨：襄阳轴承（000678.SZ）+10.05%、*ST纳川（300198.SZ）+9.55%、*ST春兴（002547.SZ）+4.58%

领跌：丰光精密（920510.BJ）-7.32%、运机集团（001288.SZ）-4.29%、三协电机（920100.BJ）-4.14%

光刻胶 · 低位修复

领涨：宝丽迪（300905.SZ）+8.81%、理奇智能（301599.SZ）+6.89%、天龙集团（300063.SZ）+4.50%

领跌：百合花（603823.SH）-9.99%、莱伯泰科（688056.SH）-6.90%、彤程新材（603650.SH）-3.50%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：*ST香雪（300147.SZ）+13.46%、津药药业（600488.SH）+10.05%、吉华集团（603980.SH）+9.95%

领跌：三元基因（920344.BJ）-6.66%、赛伦生物（688163.SH）-6.54%、泰诺麦博（688806.SH）-4.84%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：三孚新科（688359.SH）+3.15%、光华科技（002741.SZ）+2.95%、嘉德利（603435.SH）+1.96%

领跌：中船特气（688146.SH）-3.89%、奥来德（688378.SH）-2.95%、飞凯材料（300398.SZ）-1.85%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：利元亨（688499.SH）+12.27%、赛微电子（300456.SZ）+3.79%、三孚新科（688359.SH）+3.15%

领跌：海目星（688559.SH）-9.86%、沃格光电（603773.SH）-9.39%、彩虹股份（600707.SH）-7.80%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：今世缘（603369.SH）+1.84%、*ST尼雅（600084.SH）+1.39%、古井贡酒（000596.SZ）+1.29%

领跌：会稽山（601579.SH）-9.99%、古越龙山（600059.SH）-4.94%、金枫酒业（600616.SH）-3.28%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

金融地产	51	+1.38%	+0.18%	-3.81%	-6.27%	53.98 亿	100.00%	18/21	华宝中证银行ETF · +0.28%
AI与半导体	142	+0.57%	+0.73%	-4.91%	-6.14%	269.4 亿	100.00%	85/18	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · -0.04%
资源周期	65	+0.54%	+1.12%	-5.61%	-11.49%	34.75 亿	100.00%	32/17	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · -0.63%
中小盘宽基	152	+0.44%	+0.52%	-5.17%	-5.98%	223.1 亿	100.00%	79/12	易方达创业板ETF · +4.51%
消费	48	+0.32%	-0.05%	-2.06%	-2.94%	11.34 亿	100.00%	8/12	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -1.51%
医药健康	53	+0.14%	+0.10%	-2.16%	-0.64%	37.09 亿	100.00%	11/22	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -0.37%
大盘宽基	86	+0.05%	+0.07%	-3.82%	-5.59%	75.08 亿	100.00%	20/27	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.06%
红利防御	101	-0.03%	0.00%	-1.30%	-2.20%	32.31 亿	100.00%	20/28	华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF · +0.04%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

金融地产	房地产、非银金融、银行	214	+1.89%	-1.04%	-0.41%	83.18%	41.12%	5.14%	6	0
AI硬件与数字经济	电子、计算机、通信	1001	+1.81%	-4.12%	-2.26%	69.83%	34.37%	37.81%	12	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	230	+1.09%	-2.97%	-1.63%	74.35%	30.87%	2.50%	2	1
高端制造	电力设备、汽车、机械设备、国防军工	1500	+0.82%	-3.03%	-3.10%	62.87%	31.47%	22.06%	13	2
资源周期	有色金属、钢铁、基础化工、煤炭、石油石化	721	+0.46%	-4.07%	-5.45%	61.86%	22.61%	11.20%	3	2
公用防御	环保、交通运输、公用事业	401	+0.45%	-2.51%	-1.95%	59.60%	23.44%	3.69%	4	0
大消费	商贸零售、家用电器、社会服务、食品饮料、农林牧渔	527	+0.06%	-2.92%	-1.79%	50.47%	24.10%	5.46%	4	4
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	539	-0.03%	-2.02%	+0.87%	42.12%	46.94%	7.51%	2	0

近五个交易日

2026-09-22	61.1	73.2	42.74%	2.1537 万亿	65	6
2026-09-23	33.2	47	34.04%	1.7831 万亿	51	4
2026-09-24	29.1	54	20.15%	1.6691 万亿	53	5
2026-09-28	26.1	39	16.16%	1.7167 万亿	35	5
2026-09-29	55.6	67.4	62.44%	1.4216 万亿	57	6

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -17.19%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +46.28%

涨停家数：扩张 · 22

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：1.7167 万亿 · 温度区间：26.1–61.1 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：文化传媒 3次、减速器 2次、创新药 2次、酿酒 2次、CPO 1次、MLCC 1次

行业：传媒 2次、房地产 2次、电子 2次、银行 2次、公用事业 1次、基础化工 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-17.2%，上涨覆盖62.4%，五日成交中位17167.1亿元。

方向承接 · 文化传媒当日收益+2.19%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停8家，最高1板。

负反馈 · 跌停12家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 17167.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 文化传媒

确认：文化传媒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 28.6%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖62.4%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 60 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4
2026-08-10	71.3	74.4	73.46%	2.5387 万亿	103	5
2026-08-11	46.3	62.7	29.16%	2.3356 万亿	60	6
2026-08-12	76.2	92.4	74.53%	2.1672 万亿	97	7
2026-08-13	53.4	61.8	20.63%	2.5680 万亿	62	5
2026-08-14	56.3	55	43.32%	2.1566 万亿	64	5
2026-08-17	89	84.8	78.26%	2.4025 万亿	110	4
2026-08-18	56.6	62.7	38.29%	2.4198 万亿	81	4
2026-08-19	27.1	35.8	8.10%	2.5300 万亿	38	3
2026-08-20	63.1	50.9	73.92%	2.0939 万亿	84	4
2026-08-21	53.7	45.7	45.19%	1.8923 万亿	58	3
2026-08-24	41.8	47.2	26.33%	2.0212 万亿	48	4
2026-08-25	62.5	63.9	76.34%	1.8443 万亿	70	5
2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7
2026-09-02	34.1	48.5	27.78%	1.8203 万亿	55	5
2026-09-03	51.2	45.9	33.27%	1.7802 万亿	46	5
2026-09-04	52.8	46.3	44.05%	2.0510 万亿	42	5
2026-09-07	64.9	86.4	57.07%	1.9642 万亿	95	6
2026-09-08	63.9	75	61.58%	1.9782 万亿	75	4
2026-09-09	43.6	53.3	32.32%	1.8731 万亿	49	5
2026-09-10	25.9	41	17.21%	1.6623 万亿	40	4
2026-09-11	34.2	46.1	11.59%	1.9870 万亿	40	4
2026-09-14	41.7	61	56.32%	1.6430 万亿	57	4
2026-09-15	27.6	40.4	20.19%	1.6253 万亿	32	5
2026-09-16	76	85.4	75.14%	1.8525 万亿	91	6
2026-09-17	42.9	59.5	46.39%	1.8365 万亿	50	5
2026-09-18	79	82.2	76.25%	2.0929 万亿	80	4
2026-09-21	75	86.2	81.69%	2.0481 万亿	106	5
2026-09-22	61.1	73.2	42.74%	2.1537 万亿	65	6
2026-09-23	33.2	47	34.04%	1.7831 万亿	51	4
2026-09-24	29.1	54	20.15%	1.6691 万亿	53	5
2026-09-28	26.1	39	16.16%	1.7167 万亿	35	5
2026-09-29	55.6	67.4	62.44%	1.4216 万亿	57	6

情绪九维 67.4

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数6.84
6.84
输入与公式
57 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.66
11.66
输入与公式
0.8260869565217391 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率11.43
11.43
输入与公式
0.2857142857142857 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价11
11
输入与公式
0.0258322 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":12,"largeLoss":37} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.6243928764166217 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比3.21
3.21
输入与公式
{"limitUp":57,"limitDown":12} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.41
1.41
输入与公式
0.7707190208359732 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	117	2.10%	+8.22%	+8.11%
趋势延续	229	4.12%	+2.59%	+2.02%
低位修复	2232	40.15%	+1.71%	+1.02%
中间状态	2981	53.62%	-0.23%	-0.36%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 35 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 28.57%

晋级名单

新华传媒	600825.SH	传媒	6	+10.06%
雪龙集团	603949.SH	汽车	4	+10.01%
襄阳轴承	000678.SZ	汽车	3	+10.05%
津药药业	600488.SH	医药生物	2	+10.05%
中新赛克	002912.SZ	计算机	2	+10.01%
善水科技	301190.SZ	基础化工	2	+20.00%
深物业A	000011.SZ	房地产	2	+9.98%
浙江新能	600032.SH	公用事业	2	+9.96%
九阳股份	002242.SZ	家用电器	2	+9.97%
时代万恒	600241.SH	电力设备	2	+9.95%
万科A	000002.SZ	房地产	1	+9.97%
超声电子	000823.SZ	电子	1	+10.01%
崇达技术	002815.SZ	电子	1	+9.99%
国轩高科	002074.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.01%
澳弘电子	605058.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
新华文轩	601811.SH	传媒	1	+9.99%
美盈森	002303.SZ	轻工制造	1	+10.02%
迅捷兴	688655.SH	电子	1	+20.01%
奥士康	002913.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
滨江集团	002244.SZ	房地产	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	31	7	15	9	22.58%	48.39%	29.03%
弱势方向修复	31	15	0	16	48.39%	0.00%	51.61%
方向剪刀差	20	15	1	4	75.00%	5.00%	20.00%
涨停生态	31	8	10	13	25.81%	32.26%	41.94%
市场持续性	31	2	13	16	6.45%	41.94%	51.61%

近20个交易日

强势方向延续	20	6	9	5	30.00%	45.00%	25.00%
弱势方向修复	20	10	0	10	50.00%	0.00%	50.00%
方向剪刀差	14	9	1	4	64.29%	7.14%	28.57%
涨停生态	20	6	8	6	30.00%	40.00%	30.00%
市场持续性	20	1	9	10	5.00%	45.00%	50.00%

共 160 条假设