历史详情 · A 股观测台

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2026-09-07

结论与证据

全A收盘为3167家上涨、2196家下跌，上涨占比57.07%；成交1.9642万亿元，环比-4.23%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，54.4%样本位于MA20上方；95家封板、2家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方54% · 95家封板 · 温度64.9

支持证据

16方向中CPO当日+5.59%居前；120家触板、封板率79.2%，最高6板。

反证与边界

煤炭当日等权-1.66%，酿酒方向-0.78%；成交额环比-4.23%，资金流分类代理+382.2亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 1.9642 万亿
成交环比: -4.23%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3167 / 2196 / 186
上涨覆盖: 57.07%
中位涨幅: +0.34%
MA20上方: 54.35%
20日新高 / 新低: 583 / 326
涨停 / 跌停: 95 / 2
触板 / 未封: 120 / 25
封板率: 79.17%
最高连板: 6 板

收盘温度 64.9

广度19.98
19.98
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势10.87
10.87
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态14.69
14.69
输入与公式
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量能4.33
4.33
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 86.4

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数11.4
11.4
输入与公式
95.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.18
11.18
输入与公式
0.79 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率12
12
输入与公式
0.31 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.04 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应5.85
5.85
输入与公式
{"limitDown":2,"largeLoss":15} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.56
8.56
输入与公式
0.57 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比7.88
7.88
输入与公式
{"limitUp":95,"limitDown":2} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.66
4.66
输入与公式
0.93 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,932.70	+0.07%	8,979.0 亿
科创50	1,615.53	+2.42%	883.3 亿
深证成指	13,774.91	+1.91%	5,668.5 亿
创业板指	3,398.68	+3.41%	2,282.4 亿
中证1000	7,639.36	+1.75%	4,135.6 亿
国证2000	10,017.02	+1.67%	5,943.5 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	284	5.12%	+7.43%	+6.25%
趋势延续	451	8.13%	+2.33%	+1.78%
低位修复	1250	22.53%	+1.90%	+1.20%
中间状态	3564	64.23%	-0.09%	-0.35%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比57.07%，中位数涨幅+0.34%。

少数方向逆势承压

非银金融、煤炭分别为-1.46%、-1.66%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-4.23%，120家触板中25家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

CPO强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

酿酒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日79.2%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,932.70 · MA5 3,945.24 · MA10 3,942.32 · MA20 3,935.82

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,935.82 · 近10日最低 3,850.86 · 近20日最低 3,850.86；压力：近10日最高 3,995.18 · 近20日最高 3,995.18

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%
2026-08-10	3,943.82	3,967.59	3,938.63	3,966.59	+0.67%
2026-08-11	3,950.71	3,966.39	3,930.64	3,934.09	-0.82%
2026-08-12	3,933.55	3,950.62	3,927.55	3,946.68	+0.32%
2026-08-13	3,957.16	3,968.48	3,924.64	3,926.96	-0.50%
2026-08-14	3,930.02	3,932.64	3,903.70	3,927.18	+0.01%
2026-08-17	3,930.10	3,983.51	3,924.47	3,982.65	+1.41%
2026-08-18	3,979.49	3,994.18	3,955.60	3,990.30	+0.19%
2026-08-19	3,952.12	3,961.14	3,879.58	3,894.42	-2.40%
2026-08-20	3,907.21	3,925.06	3,888.10	3,903.72	+0.24%
2026-08-21	3,891.18	3,912.13	3,883.79	3,905.20	+0.04%
2026-08-24	3,902.70	3,910.24	3,855.35	3,882.01	-0.59%
2026-08-25	3,863.37	3,896.21	3,850.86	3,889.44	+0.19%
2026-08-26	3,881.74	3,926.44	3,881.74	3,912.52	+0.59%
2026-08-27	3,911.89	3,958.03	3,909.31	3,956.57	+1.13%
2026-08-28	3,950.24	3,970.31	3,947.80	3,952.18	-0.11%
2026-08-31	3,926.53	3,986.30	3,926.50	3,986.30	+0.86%
2026-09-01	3,979.88	3,995.18	3,976.47	3,979.89	-0.16%
2026-09-02	3,963.07	3,965.81	3,932.25	3,941.39	-0.97%
2026-09-03	3,952.79	3,968.11	3,930.45	3,942.09	+0.02%
2026-09-04	3,955.55	3,980.20	3,915.22	3,930.12	-0.30%
2026-09-07	3,942.51	3,948.42	3,916.49	3,932.70	+0.07%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

农林牧渔	趋势扩散	114	+3.13%	+6.72%	+14.81%	+2.45%	85.96%	88.60%	448.4 亿	2.28%	10	0	47.50	2.75
电子	低位修复	517	+3.01%	-2.38%	+1.40%	+2.44%	82.98%	46.23%	5,140.2 亿	26.17%	17	0	74.73	5.00
通信	低位修复	126	+2.76%	-0.16%	+5.53%	+1.16%	69.84%	61.90%	1,755.8 亿	8.94%	8	0	93.11	4.82
商贸零售	趋势扩散	100	+1.80%	+5.05%	+6.05%	+1.52%	79.00%	88.00%	246.5 亿	1.26%	6	0	33.01	2.05
传媒	趋势扩散	130	+1.57%	+4.00%	+3.39%	+1.13%	78.46%	88.46%	713.1 亿	3.63%	6	0	41.81	3.12
机械设备	低位修复	613	+1.55%	-0.24%	+2.54%	+0.65%	65.91%	57.75%	1,655.1 亿	8.43%	8	0	52.41	3.23
社会服务	修复延续	86	+1.49%	+2.61%	+4.78%	+1.20%	70.93%	72.09%	147.6 亿	0.75%	2	0	38.99	3.16
综合	修复延续	20	+1.35%	+0.31%	+5.22%	+0.80%	70.00%	75.00%	33.61 亿	0.17%	1	0	50.47	3.03
食品饮料	趋势扩散	126	+1.24%	+3.20%	+2.50%	+0.83%	67.46%	69.84%	292.0 亿	1.49%	3	0	26.02	2.36
汽车	修复延续	324	+1.11%	+0.74%	+1.26%	+0.25%	54.94%	56.79%	649.3 亿	3.31%	7	0	30.12	2.47
家用电器	修复延续	102	+0.96%	+0.39%	+2.72%	+0.46%	64.71%	58.82%	188.3 亿	0.96%	5	0	36.55	2.57
基础化工	低位修复	448	+0.90%	-1.25%	+1.71%	+0.50%	60.71%	55.36%	985.3 亿	5.02%	8	0	36.14	2.28
建筑装饰	修复延续	154	+0.85%	+1.00%	+3.82%	+0.28%	57.79%	62.99%	244.7 亿	1.25%	1	0	30.40	2.22
电力设备	低位修复	417	+0.70%	-0.79%	-2.90%	+0.32%	57.55%	36.45%	1,278.7 亿	6.51%	3	0	44.14	2.74
美容护理	趋势扩散	32	+0.69%	+3.37%	-0.72%	+0.18%	62.50%	78.13%	35.53 亿	0.18%	0	0	26.26	2.52
轻工制造	修复延续	168	+0.49%	+0.59%	+3.78%	+0.37%	62.50%	68.45%	191.4 亿	0.97%	1	1	33.88	2.36
建筑材料	低位修复	76	+0.39%	-0.20%	+0.33%	+0.18%	53.95%	59.21%	238.4 亿	1.21%	0	0	41.56	1.66
医药生物	低位修复	504	+0.38%	-0.47%	-2.39%	+0.10%	52.98%	27.78%	848.3 亿	4.32%	2	0	38.14	2.42
有色金属	低位修复	146	+0.36%	-3.22%	-3.92%	-0.03%	49.32%	32.19%	839.6 亿	4.27%	2	0	31.19	3.40
环保	低位修复	134	+0.33%	-0.73%	+1.20%	0.00%	49.25%	56.72%	134.4 亿	0.68%	0	0	30.40	2.01
房地产	方向待明	95	+0.27%	+0.34%	+2.93%	0.00%	46.32%	70.53%	166.2 亿	0.85%	1	0	33.70	1.19
纺织服饰	低位修复	107	+0.23%	-0.10%	+2.06%	+0.17%	54.21%	54.21%	116.9 亿	0.60%	2	1	31.35	1.94
交通运输	方向待明	128	+0.17%	+1.34%	+2.99%	0.00%	44.53%	76.56%	245.7 亿	1.25%	0	0	17.69	1.49
计算机	方向待明	357	-0.13%	+0.27%	-0.64%	-0.66%	32.77%	52.10%	1,070.5 亿	5.45%	2	0	75.94	3.62
石油石化	方向待明	48	-0.19%	-1.38%	+4.27%	-0.07%	45.83%	62.50%	162.5 亿	0.83%	0	0	30.02	2.12
公用事业	方向待明	139	-0.36%	+0.28%	-2.42%	-0.43%	28.78%	46.04%	310.0 亿	1.58%	0	0	27.73	1.64
国防军工	方向待明	140	-0.63%	+0.54%	-2.10%	-0.83%	27.86%	57.14%	497.7 亿	2.53%	0	0	88.62	3.86
钢铁	方向待明	44	-1.05%	-1.62%	-0.84%	-1.17%	13.64%	34.09%	73.07 亿	0.37%	0	0	24.05	1.21
银行	方向待明	42	-1.45%	+0.78%	+3.97%	-1.34%	0.00%	76.19%	327.1 亿	1.67%	0	0	6.15	0.55
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.46%	-0.60%	+1.81%	-1.39%	3.80%	60.76%	467.3 亿	2.38%	0	0	15.39	1.25
煤炭	退潮观察	33	-1.66%	-7.06%	+1.61%	-1.80%	15.15%	27.27%	138.9 亿	0.71%	0	0	26.28	1.26

涨停生态

首板 82 家 · 多板 13 家 · 昨日涨停 42 家 · 今日晋级 13 家 · 晋级率 30.95%

6 板 · 1 家 · 龙版传媒

3 板 · 3 家 · 爱仕达、百大集团、亚盛集团

2 板 · 9 家 · 中国出版、敦煌种业、华天酒店、罗牛山、中水渔业、安记食品、天沃科技、播恩集团

1 板 · 82 家 · 沪电股份、光迅科技、景旺电子、兴森科技、华正新材、江海股份、剑桥科技、深南电路

行业聚类

电子 · 17 家 · 最高 1 板 · 沪电股份、景旺电子、兴森科技、华正新材、江海股份、深南电路

农林牧渔 · 10 家 · 最高 3 板 · 亚盛集团、敦煌种业、罗牛山、中水渔业、播恩集团、金健米业

基础化工 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 集泰股份、金正大、百合花、红四方、福莱新材、长江材料

机械设备 · 8 家 · 最高 2 板 · 天沃科技、博杰股份、华兴源创、泰金新能、科瑞技术、万讯自控

通信 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 光迅科技、剑桥科技、汇绿生态、长江通信、共进股份、铭普光磁

汽车 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 斯菱智驱、光洋股份、北特科技、浙江荣泰、智慧农业、日盈电子

传媒 · 6 家 · 最高 6 板 · 龙版传媒、中国出版、博纳影业、三人行、上海电影、读者传媒

商贸零售 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · 百大集团、新华百货、中百集团、国芳集团、宁波中百、中央商场

家用电器 · 5 家 · 最高 3 板 · 爱仕达、盾安环境、禾盛新材、莱克电气、金海高科

电力设备 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华盛昌、中远通、清源股份

食品饮料 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 安记食品、海欣食品、金字火腿

医药生物 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 澳洋健康、ST海王

有色金属 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 江南新材、豪美新材

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 华天酒店、桂林旅游

纺织服饰 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天创时尚、红豆股份

计算机 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · *ST英飞、魅视科技

建筑装饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 豪尔赛

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 京能置业

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 综艺股份

轻工制造 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 青山纸业

连续晋级与首板

龙版传媒	605577.SH	传媒	+10.03%	6	2.51 亿	主板	93047	93047	0	6/6	1.12 亿
爱仕达	002403.SZ	家用电器	+10.02%	3	4.74 亿	主板	100754	100754	0	3/3	9,380.59 万
百大集团	600865.SH	商贸零售	+10.04%	3	2.20 亿	主板	93001	93001	0	3/3	3.69 亿
亚盛集团	600108.SH	农林牧渔	+10.09%	3	1.02 亿	主板	92502	92502	0	4/8	4.55 亿
中国出版	601949.SH	传媒	+9.95%	2	7.95 亿	主板	135605	135605	0	2/2	4,183.23 万
敦煌种业	600354.SH	农林牧渔	+10.05%	2	5.69 亿	主板	93209	93409	2	4/7	9,169.06 万
华天酒店	000428.SZ	社会服务	+10.02%	2	5.17 亿	主板	94627	94627	0	2/2	4,337.60 万
罗牛山	000735.SZ	农林牧渔	+9.95%	2	3.45 亿	主板	93009	93009	0	2/2	8,947.68 万
中水渔业	000798.SZ	农林牧渔	+9.96%	2	2.66 亿	主板	93306	93306	0	2/2	8,990.83 万
安记食品	603696.SH	食品饮料	+9.98%	2	2.55 亿	主板	93043	93155	1	2/2	4,570.19 万
天沃科技	002564.SZ	机械设备	+9.94%	2	1.82 亿	主板	93327	93327	0	2/2	5,668.67 万
播恩集团	001366.SZ	农林牧渔	+10.03%	2	8,831.67 万	主板	93000	93000	0	3/4	3.28 亿
海欣食品	002702.SZ	食品饮料	+9.98%	2	5,851.71 万	主板	92500	92500	0	2/2	1.68 亿
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	96.14 亿	主板	133157	142530	7	1/1	1.79 亿
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	+10.00%	1	76.91 亿	主板	131839	141027	1	1/1	2.46 亿
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	52.69 亿	主板	95813	103204	6	1/1	1.77 亿
兴森科技	002436.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	39.54 亿	主板	95324	95324	0	1/1	2.59 亿
华正新材	603186.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	37.17 亿	主板	101534	110434	4	1/1	1.38 亿
江海股份	002484.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	36.63 亿	主板	130009	140351	3	1/1	7,059.20 万
剑桥科技	603083.SH	通信	+10.00%	1	35.45 亿	主板	93001	93352	1	1/1	6.31 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

海通发展	603162.SH	交通运输	-3.48%	15.50 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新炬网络	605398.SH	计算机	+4.99%	5.44 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒盛能源	605580.SH	公用事业	+8.63%	9.09 亿	主板	132932	—	4	2/3	—
柏星龙	920075.BJ	轻工制造	-5.96%	1.84 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
古越龙山	600059.SH	食品饮料	-2.94%	5.82 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
统一股份	600506.SH	石油石化	-2.76%	7.15 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
润贝航科	001316.SZ	石油石化	-1.86%	2.31 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
会稽山	601579.SH	食品饮料	-1.54%	10.19 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
湖南天雁	600698.SH	汽车	-0.89%	5.87 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
我爱我家	000560.SZ	房地产	-0.63%	24.87 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST标准	600302.SH	机械设备	-0.58%	5,126.22 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
绿康生化	002868.SZ	农林牧渔	-0.54%	2.99 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华阳国际	002949.SZ	建筑装饰	-0.14%	2.65 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
实丰文化	002862.SZ	轻工制造	+0.06%	3.01 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
福建水泥	600802.SH	建筑材料	+0.19%	2.85 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
邦基科技	603151.SH	农林牧渔	+1.43%	2.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兴业科技	002674.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.02%	0	3,205.22 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	3.36 亿
康欣新材	600076.SH	轻工制造	-10.09%	0	1,682.93 万	主板	—	92504	0	—	1.53 亿

大跌样本

华汇智能	920289.BJ	电力设备	-24.69%	2.49 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
摩尔线程	688795.SH	电子	-20.00%	34.67 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
酷特智能	300840.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.49%	4.86 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
亿田智能	300911.SZ	家用电器	-10.47%	7.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
康欣新材	600076.SH	轻工制造	-10.09%	1,682.93 万	主板	—	92504	0	—	1.53 亿
兴业科技	002674.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.02%	3,205.22 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	3.36 亿
沐曦股份	688802.SH	电子	-9.67%	15.42 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
ST亚光	300123.SZ	国防军工	-8.85%	3.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
东亚药业	605177.SH	医药生物	-8.74%	3.54 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
鄂尔多斯	600295.SH	钢铁	-7.41%	3.30 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
全新好	000007.SZ	商贸零售	-7.41%	2.44 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
美能能源	001299.SZ	公用事业	-7.26%	3.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

杰锋动力	920269.BJ	汽车	+34.36%	0	3.76 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
天博智能	603448.SH	汽车	+33.25%	0	15.54 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
则成电子	920821.BJ	电子	+29.97%	1	3.29 亿	北交所	103715	132336	2	1/1	1,017.94 万
万讯自控	300112.SZ	机械设备	+20.02%	1	3.89 亿	创业板	104030	104030	0	1/1	8,599.09 万
华兴源创	688001.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	10.92 亿	科创板	95242	103842	6	1/1	1,998.43 万
迅捷兴	688655.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	6.21 亿	科创板	93601	94540	4	1/1	7,124.88 万
中远通	301516.SZ	电力设备	+20.00%	1	5.39 亿	创业板	133103	133103	0	1/1	3,789.60 万
泰金新能	688813.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	10.10 亿	科创板	134217	142141	10	1/1	2,694.80 万
斯菱智驱	301550.SZ	汽车	+20.00%	1	15.89 亿	创业板	100427	100545	1	1/1	6,187.23 万
蘅东光	920045.BJ	通信	+18.86%	0	12.25 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
福赛科技	301529.SZ	汽车	+17.48%	0	7.62 亿	创业板	103057	—	2	0/0	—
中石科技	300684.SZ	电子	+17.39%	0	45.16 亿	创业板	133536	—	1	0/0	—

跌幅居前

华汇智能	920289.BJ	电力设备	-24.69%	2.49 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
摩尔线程	688795.SH	电子	-20.00%	34.67 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
酷特智能	300840.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.49%	4.86 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
亿田智能	300911.SZ	家用电器	-10.47%	7.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
康欣新材	600076.SH	轻工制造	-10.09%	1,682.93 万	主板	—	92504	0	—	1.53 亿
兴业科技	002674.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.02%	3,205.22 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	3.36 亿
沐曦股份	688802.SH	电子	-9.67%	15.42 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
ST亚光	300123.SZ	国防军工	-8.85%	3.27 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
东亚药业	605177.SH	医药生物	-8.74%	3.54 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
鄂尔多斯	600295.SH	钢铁	-7.41%	3.30 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
全新好	000007.SZ	商贸零售	-7.41%	2.44 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
美能能源	001299.SZ	公用事业	-7.26%	3.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3189	+0.69%	54.22%	57.51%	+1.51%
创业板	1403	+1.39%	66.07%	51.96%	+2.49%
科创板	615	+1.72%	62.44%	34.47%	+1.81%
北交所	342	+0.02%	37.13%	70.47%	+2.21%

市值分层

小盘	2775	+0.76%	60.61%	34.34 亿
中盘	1665	+1.18%	56.82%	94.28 亿
大盘	832	+1.13%	50.72%	287.2 亿
超大盘	277	+0.71%	42.24%	1,319.4 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

CPO	低位修复	212/212	+5.59%	-0.31%	+6.88%	+5.59%	-0.32%	+7.02%	-0.00%	93.40%	58.02%	4,142.8 亿	21.09%	55.00%	+4.65%	20	392.3 亿	100.00%
PCB	低位修复	236/235	+4.23%	-1.63%	+2.33%	+4.23%	-1.72%	+2.21%	+0.00%	86.81%	48.51%	2,299.1 亿	11.70%	50.00%	+3.29%	19	180.2 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	低位修复	43/43	+4.10%	-4.43%	-3.62%	+4.10%	-4.44%	-2.90%	-0.00%	97.67%	27.91%	372.6 亿	1.90%	30.00%	+3.16%	1	10.08 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	低位修复	206/204	+3.65%	-3.87%	-1.72%	+3.65%	-3.80%	-1.72%	+0.00%	87.75%	28.92%	2,780.8 亿	14.16%	40.00%	+2.71%	5	149.8 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	低位修复	57/57	+3.50%	-2.75%	+0.38%	+3.61%	-2.71%	+0.35%	+0.12%	91.23%	38.60%	635.7 亿	3.24%	30.00%	+2.56%	2	28.12 亿	100.00%
先进封装	低位修复	204/204	+3.44%	-3.30%	-0.75%	+3.47%	-3.32%	-0.72%	+0.03%	87.75%	35.29%	2,244.5 亿	11.43%	35.00%	+2.50%	11	160.1 亿	100.00%
MLCC	低位修复	35/35	+2.72%	-4.98%	-7.25%	+2.80%	-5.71%	-8.12%	+0.08%	85.71%	14.29%	352.2 亿	1.79%	25.00%	+1.78%	1	15.45 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	低位修复	80/80	+2.64%	-3.99%	-4.20%	+2.62%	-4.07%	-4.61%	-0.02%	87.50%	18.75%	296.8 亿	1.51%	15.00%	+1.70%	1	8.23 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+2.32%	-0.85%	-2.25%	+2.32%	-0.97%	-2.38%	+0.00%	82.35%	47.06%	87.64 亿	0.45%	75.00%	+1.38%	1	2.81 亿	100.00%
减速器	方向待明	139/139	+2.08%	+1.31%	+1.24%	+2.08%	+1.27%	+0.96%	+0.00%	74.10%	58.27%	446.1 亿	2.27%	70.00%	+1.14%	6	17.65 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/229	+1.89%	+0.05%	+5.40%	+1.96%	-0.14%	+5.22%	+0.08%	68.12%	60.70%	2,440.2 亿	12.42%	55.00%	+0.95%	9	138.9 亿	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/462	+1.77%	-0.56%	+0.14%	+1.79%	-0.61%	-0.02%	+0.03%	69.26%	45.67%	2,371.6 亿	12.07%	40.00%	+0.83%	14	90.74 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/196	+1.29%	+2.84%	+3.69%	+1.29%	+2.84%	+3.41%	-0.00%	72.45%	79.59%	760.0 亿	3.87%	80.00%	+0.35%	8	-6.33 亿	100.00%
商业航天	低位修复	507/507	+1.18%	-0.64%	-0.63%	+1.18%	-0.77%	-0.55%	-0.01%	54.04%	49.31%	2,542.3 亿	12.94%	40.00%	+0.24%	13	92.23 亿	100.00%
创新药	低位修复	281/280	+0.34%	-0.57%	-3.17%	+0.34%	-0.68%	-3.69%	+0.01%	53.57%	23.57%	583.7 亿	2.97%	5.00%	-0.60%	1	-3.85 亿	100.00%
酿酒	高位分歧	31/30	-0.78%	+6.61%	+5.72%	+0.03%	+4.41%	+1.51%	+0.82%	53.33%	66.67%	112.1 亿	0.57%	50.00%	-1.72%	0	-3.86 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

CPO · 低位修复

领涨：则成电子（920821.BJ）+29.97%、迅捷兴（688655.SH）+20.00%、泰金新能（688813.SH）+20.00%

领跌：三安光电（600703.SH）-1.36%、飞荣达（300602.SZ）-1.36%、通宇通讯（002792.SZ）-1.25%

PCB · 低位修复

领涨：则成电子（920821.BJ）+29.97%、迅捷兴（688655.SH）+20.00%、泰金新能（688813.SH）+20.00%

领跌：荣亿精密（920223.BJ）-5.50%、东方材料（603110.SH）-5.44%、裕兴股份（300305.SZ）-3.25%

电子化学品 · 低位修复

领涨：中石科技（300684.SZ）+17.39%、天通股份（600330.SH）+10.02%、德邦科技（688035.SH）+8.47%

领跌：康美特（920189.BJ）-0.18%

存储芯片 · 低位修复

领涨：德福科技（301511.SZ）+16.97%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）+16.62%、阿莱德（301419.SZ）+14.26%

领跌：凯瑞德（002072.SZ）-3.82%、杭氧股份（002430.SZ）-2.38%、中青宝（300052.SZ）-1.55%

玻璃基板 · 低位修复

领涨：东威科技（688700.SH）+15.09%、兴森科技（002436.SZ）+10.00%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：鸿利智汇（300219.SZ）-1.28%、中科信息（300678.SZ）-0.93%、瑞丰光电（300241.SZ）-0.51%

先进封装 · 低位修复

领涨：华兴源创（688001.SH）+20.00%、智立方（301312.SZ）+15.04%、明阳电路（300739.SZ）+11.36%

领跌：沐曦股份（688802.SH）-9.67%、创达新材（920012.BJ）-2.06%、流金科技（920021.BJ）-1.96%

MLCC · 低位修复

领涨：博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%、达利凯普（301566.SZ）+6.72%、东材科技（601208.SH）+6.61%

领跌：裕兴股份（300305.SZ）-3.25%、和顺科技（301237.SZ）-0.62%、国风新材（000859.SZ）-0.56%

光刻胶 · 低位修复

领涨：芯碁微装（688630.SH）+10.59%、百合花（603823.SH）+10.01%、世名科技（300522.SZ）+7.48%

领跌：航天智造（300446.SZ）-1.07%、高盟新材（300200.SZ）-1.04%、迦南科技（300412.SZ）-0.88%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：铂科新材（300811.SZ）+16.62%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）+12.52%、江南新材（603124.SH）+10.00%

领跌：昆工科技（920152.BJ）-2.66%、深圳新星（603978.SH）-2.24%、天力复合（920576.BJ）-1.68%

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：斯菱智驱（301550.SZ）+20.00%、恒锋工具（300488.SZ）+15.57%、智慧农业（000816.SZ）+10.17%

领跌：晟楠科技（920006.BJ）-3.48%、内蒙一机（600967.SH）-2.34%、苏轴股份（920418.BJ）-2.21%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：中石科技（300684.SZ）+17.39%、阿莱德（301419.SZ）+14.26%、中际旭创（300308.SZ）+10.38%

领跌：华新精科（603370.SH）-5.92%、荣亿精密（920223.BJ）-5.50%、超频三（300647.SZ）-4.94%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：华兴源创（688001.SH）+20.00%、斯菱智驱（301550.SZ）+20.00%、恒锋工具（300488.SZ）+15.57%

领跌：摩尔线程（688795.SH）-20.00%、火星人（300894.SZ）-6.82%、华是科技（301218.SZ）-5.29%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：博纳影业（001330.SZ）+10.05%、龙版传媒（605577.SH）+10.03%、上海电影（601595.SH）+10.03%

领跌：柏星龙（920075.BJ）-5.96%、海峡创新（300300.SZ）-3.61%、科新发展（600234.SH）-3.15%

商业航天 · 低位修复

领涨：太力科技（301595.SZ）+16.73%、长盈通（688143.SH）+11.17%、长光华芯（688048.SH）+10.28%

领跌：ST亚光（300123.SZ）-8.85%、招标股份（301136.SZ）-4.28%、国睿科技（600562.SH）-4.00%

创新药 · 低位修复

领涨：ST海王（000078.SZ）+10.34%、德展健康（000813.SZ）+9.33%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）+9.07%

领跌：京新药业（002020.SZ）-6.62%、万泽股份（000534.SZ）-4.21%、联化科技（002250.SZ）-3.70%

酿酒 · 高位分歧

领涨：华致酒行（300755.SZ）+2.44%、金徽酒（603919.SH）+1.69%、*ST莫高（600543.SH）+1.62%

领跌：古越龙山（600059.SH）-2.94%、金枫酒业（600616.SH）-1.95%、ST椰岛（600238.SH）-1.66%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

AI与半导体	131	+3.60%	+2.31%	-2.94%	-5.14%	351.4 亿	100.00%	55/51	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · -2.98%
中小盘宽基	141	+2.58%	+1.70%	-1.32%	-2.77%	335.1 亿	100.00%	62/16	易方达创业板ETF · +1.32%
消费	47	+1.04%	+0.24%	+1.84%	-0.94%	17.23 亿	100.00%	10/21	鹏华中证酒ETF · +0.63%
大盘宽基	83	+0.05%	+0.35%	-0.73%	-2.34%	110.6 亿	98.80%	34/10	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +1.16%
医药健康	53	-0.52%	-0.31%	-0.60%	-5.79%	22.37 亿	100.00%	22/10	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +1.01%
红利防御	100	-0.96%	-0.79%	-0.43%	-0.69%	45.76 亿	99.00%	26/23	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · +0.44%
资源周期	62	-1.26%	-0.72%	-3.95%	-5.58%	43.63 亿	100.00%	26/18	国泰中证煤炭ETF · -1.61%
金融地产	51	-1.27%	-1.26%	-0.87%	-0.38%	66.13 亿	100.00%	16/20	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.89%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

AI硬件与数字经济	电子、通信、计算机	1000	+1.86%	-1.15%	+1.20%	63.40%	50.30%	40.56%	27
大消费	农林牧渔、商贸零售、社会服务、食品饮料、家用电器	528	+1.74%	+3.67%	+6.24%	73.67%	75.57%	6.73%	26
高端制造	机械设备、汽车、电力设备、国防军工	1494	+1.01%	-0.11%	+0.31%	57.63%	51.54%	20.78%	18
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	230	+0.70%	+0.60%	+2.67%	56.52%	61.74%	2.46%	1
资源周期	基础化工、有色金属、石油石化、钢铁、煤炭	719	+0.48%	-1.94%	+0.58%	52.43%	48.54%	11.20%	10
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	536	+0.40%	-0.24%	-2.29%	53.54%	30.78%	4.50%	2
公用防御	环保、交通运输、公用事业	401	+0.04%	+0.28%	+0.52%	40.65%	59.35%	3.51%	0
金融地产	房地产、银行、非银金融	216	-0.70%	+0.08%	+2.72%	21.76%	68.06%	4.89%	1

近五个交易日

2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7
2026-09-02	34.1	48.5	27.78%	1.8203 万亿	55	5
2026-09-03	51.2	45.9	33.27%	1.7802 万亿	46	5
2026-09-04	52.8	46.3	44.05%	2.0510 万亿	42	5
2026-09-07	64.9	86.4	57.07%	1.9642 万亿	95	6

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -4.23%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +13.02%

涨停家数：扩张 · 53

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：1.9642 万亿 · 温度区间：34.1–64.9 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：CPO 2次、减速器 2次、创新药 2次、文化传媒 2次、液冷服务器 2次、酿酒 2次

行业：农林牧渔 3次、交通运输 1次、传媒 1次、商贸零售 1次、国防军工 1次、有色金属 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-4.2%，上涨覆盖57.1%，五日成交中位19642.4亿元。

方向承接 · CPO当日收益+5.59%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停17家，最高1板。

负反馈 · 跌停2家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 19642.4亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · CPO

确认：CPO继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 31.0%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖57.1%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 49 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4
2026-08-10	71.3	74.4	73.46%	2.5387 万亿	103	5
2026-08-11	46.3	62.7	29.16%	2.3356 万亿	60	6
2026-08-12	76.2	92.4	74.53%	2.1672 万亿	97	7
2026-08-13	53.4	61.8	20.63%	2.5680 万亿	62	5
2026-08-14	56.3	55	43.32%	2.1566 万亿	64	5
2026-08-17	89	84.8	78.26%	2.4025 万亿	110	4
2026-08-18	56.6	62.7	38.29%	2.4198 万亿	81	4
2026-08-19	27.1	35.8	8.10%	2.5300 万亿	38	3
2026-08-20	63.1	50.9	73.92%	2.0939 万亿	84	4
2026-08-21	53.7	45.7	45.19%	1.8923 万亿	58	3
2026-08-24	41.8	47.2	26.33%	2.0212 万亿	48	4
2026-08-25	62.5	63.9	76.34%	1.8443 万亿	70	5
2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7
2026-09-02	34.1	48.5	27.78%	1.8203 万亿	55	5
2026-09-03	51.2	45.9	33.27%	1.7802 万亿	46	5
2026-09-04	52.8	46.3	44.05%	2.0510 万亿	42	5
2026-09-07	64.9	86.4	57.07%	1.9642 万亿	95	6

情绪九维 86.4

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数11.4
11.4
输入与公式
95 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.18
11.18
输入与公式
0.7916666666666666 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率12
12
输入与公式
0.30952380952380953 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价12
12
输入与公式
0.044087523809523806 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应5.85
5.85
输入与公式
{"limitDown":2,"largeLoss":15} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.56
8.56
输入与公式
0.5707334654892774 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比7.88
7.88
输入与公式
{"limitUp":95,"limitDown":2} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.66
4.66
输入与公式
0.9327649583792785 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	284	5.12%	+7.43%	+6.25%
趋势延续	451	8.13%	+2.33%	+1.78%
低位修复	1250	22.53%	+1.90%	+1.20%
中间状态	3564	64.23%	-0.09%	-0.35%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 42 家 · 今日晋级 13 家 · 晋级率 30.95%

晋级名单

龙版传媒	605577.SH	传媒	6	+10.03%
爱仕达	002403.SZ	家用电器	3	+10.02%
百大集团	600865.SH	商贸零售	3	+10.04%
亚盛集团	600108.SH	农林牧渔	3	+10.09%
中国出版	601949.SH	传媒	2	+9.95%
敦煌种业	600354.SH	农林牧渔	2	+10.05%
华天酒店	000428.SZ	社会服务	2	+10.02%
罗牛山	000735.SZ	农林牧渔	2	+9.95%
中水渔业	000798.SZ	农林牧渔	2	+9.96%
安记食品	603696.SH	食品饮料	2	+9.98%
天沃科技	002564.SZ	机械设备	2	+9.94%
播恩集团	001366.SZ	农林牧渔	2	+10.03%
海欣食品	002702.SZ	食品饮料	2	+9.98%
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	1	+10.00%
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
兴森科技	002436.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
华正新材	603186.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
江海股份	002484.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
剑桥科技	603083.SH	通信	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	16	3	8	5	18.75%	50.00%	31.25%
弱势方向修复	16	9	0	7	56.25%	0.00%	43.75%
方向剪刀差	9	9	0	0	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
涨停生态	16	4	4	8	25.00%	25.00%	50.00%
市场持续性	16	2	6	8	12.50%	37.50%	50.00%

近20个交易日

手写（无规则）	8	3	2	3	37.50%	25.00%	37.50%
强势方向延续	16	3	8	5	18.75%	50.00%	31.25%
弱势方向修复	16	9	0	7	56.25%	0.00%	43.75%
方向剪刀差	9	9	0	0	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
涨停生态	16	4	4	8	25.00%	25.00%	50.00%
市场持续性	16	2	6	8	12.50%	37.50%	50.00%

共 89 条假设