历史详情 · A 股观测台

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2026-09-01

结论与证据

全A收盘为3387家上涨、2040家下跌，上涨占比61.07%；成交2.0519万亿元，环比-4.35%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，63.9%样本位于MA20上方；86家封板、0家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方64% · 86家封板 · 温度53.4

支持证据

16方向中酿酒当日+2.58%居前；100家触板、封板率86.0%，最高7板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-1.98%，电子化学品方向-3.83%；成交额环比-4.35%，资金流分类代理-309.4亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.0519 万亿
成交环比: -4.35%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3387 / 2040 / 119
上涨覆盖: 61.07%
中位涨幅: +0.57%
MA20上方: 63.88%
20日新高 / 新低: 1310 / 279
涨停 / 跌停: 86 / 0
触板 / 未封: 100 / 14
封板率: 86.00%
最高连板: 7 板

收盘温度 53.4

广度21.37
21.37
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势12.78
12.78
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态15
15
输入与公式
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4.23
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指数0
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 81.3

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
7.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数10.32
10.32
输入与公式
86.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率12
12
输入与公式
0.86 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率8.09
8.09
输入与公式
0.20 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.37
8.37
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitDown":0,"largeLoss":44} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.61 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比9
9
输入与公式
{"limitUp":86,"limitDown":0} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.98
4.98
输入与公式
0.95 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,979.89	-0.16%	9,443.1 亿
科创50	1,647.53	-2.19%	710.8 亿
深证成指	13,872.38	-1.02%	5,743.6 亿
创业板指	3,393.43	-1.32%	2,148.7 亿
中证1000	7,691.37	-1.02%	4,346.7 亿
国证2000	10,052.63	-0.70%	6,144.1 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	495	8.93%	+6.07%	+4.73%
趋势延续	1149	20.72%	+1.65%	+1.58%
低位修复	796	14.35%	+1.86%	+1.00%
中间状态	3106	56.00%	-1.02%	-0.72%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比61.07%，中位数涨幅+0.57%。

少数方向逆势承压

有色金属、电子分别为-1.05%、-1.98%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-4.35%，100家触板中14家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日86.0%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,979.89 · MA5 3,957.49 · MA10 3,926.23 · MA20 3,932.78

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,932.78 · 近10日最低 3,850.86 · 近20日最低 3,815.12；压力：近10日最高 3,995.18 · 近20日最高 3,995.18

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%
2026-08-10	3,943.82	3,967.59	3,938.63	3,966.59	+0.67%
2026-08-11	3,950.71	3,966.39	3,930.64	3,934.09	-0.82%
2026-08-12	3,933.55	3,950.62	3,927.55	3,946.68	+0.32%
2026-08-13	3,957.16	3,968.48	3,924.64	3,926.96	-0.50%
2026-08-14	3,930.02	3,932.64	3,903.70	3,927.18	+0.01%
2026-08-17	3,930.10	3,983.51	3,924.47	3,982.65	+1.41%
2026-08-18	3,979.49	3,994.18	3,955.60	3,990.30	+0.19%
2026-08-19	3,952.12	3,961.14	3,879.58	3,894.42	-2.40%
2026-08-20	3,907.21	3,925.06	3,888.10	3,903.72	+0.24%
2026-08-21	3,891.18	3,912.13	3,883.79	3,905.20	+0.04%
2026-08-24	3,902.70	3,910.24	3,855.35	3,882.01	-0.59%
2026-08-25	3,863.37	3,896.21	3,850.86	3,889.44	+0.19%
2026-08-26	3,881.74	3,926.44	3,881.74	3,912.52	+0.59%
2026-08-27	3,911.89	3,958.03	3,909.31	3,956.57	+1.13%
2026-08-28	3,950.24	3,970.31	3,947.80	3,952.18	-0.11%
2026-08-31	3,926.53	3,986.30	3,926.50	3,986.30	+0.86%
2026-09-01	3,979.88	3,995.18	3,976.47	3,979.89	-0.16%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

钢铁	修复延续	44	+7.52%	+2.63%	+2.39%	+1.01%	84.09%	81.82%	93.20 亿	0.45%	0	24.66	1.23
农林牧渔	趋势扩散	114	+3.99%	+8.25%	+17.21%	+2.65%	90.35%	90.35%	392.1 亿	1.91%	13	47.88	2.62
商贸零售	趋势扩散	100	+3.05%	+4.70%	+6.21%	+2.50%	91.00%	88.00%	221.9 亿	1.08%	7	33.23	2.00
传媒	趋势扩散	131	+2.66%	+7.45%	+2.27%	+2.11%	85.50%	78.63%	777.2 亿	3.79%	11	40.62	3.05
银行	趋势扩散	42	+2.15%	+3.07%	+3.82%	+2.05%	97.62%	92.86%	430.9 亿	2.10%	0	6.24	0.56
食品饮料	修复延续	126	+2.10%	+2.56%	+4.23%	+1.67%	88.10%	62.70%	339.4 亿	1.65%	3	25.99	2.35
非银金融	趋势扩散	79	+1.80%	+6.12%	+3.40%	+1.37%	88.61%	98.73%	560.9 亿	2.73%	3	15.77	1.29
计算机	趋势扩散	357	+1.47%	+4.99%	+2.51%	+1.26%	75.07%	65.83%	1,295.0 亿	6.31%	4	78.44	3.68
社会服务	趋势扩散	86	+1.38%	+4.21%	+6.57%	+1.46%	77.91%	86.05%	138.8 亿	0.68%	2	38.30	3.15
美容护理	修复延续	32	+1.28%	+1.52%	+0.03%	+1.14%	75.00%	56.25%	39.24 亿	0.19%	0	25.82	2.51
公用事业	修复延续	139	+1.15%	+2.15%	-0.43%	+1.13%	84.89%	49.64%	361.9 亿	1.76%	1	27.44	1.65
交通运输	修复延续	128	+1.11%	+2.42%	+3.75%	+1.08%	82.03%	80.47%	241.0 亿	1.17%	1	17.70	1.49
医药生物	低位修复	504	+1.09%	-0.08%	+5.38%	+0.97%	73.21%	40.48%	1,121.3 亿	5.46%	8	39.28	2.46
纺织服饰	趋势扩散	107	+0.99%	+3.40%	+8.10%	+0.93%	70.09%	68.22%	141.5 亿	0.69%	2	32.01	2.01
轻工制造	趋势扩散	168	+0.94%	+3.56%	+8.67%	+0.75%	68.45%	80.36%	212.6 亿	1.04%	4	34.87	2.36
综合	趋势扩散	20	+0.92%	+3.37%	+7.18%	+1.11%	80.00%	95.00%	34.79 亿	0.17%	0	49.63	3.12
汽车	修复延续	322	+0.77%	+2.52%	+4.40%	+0.60%	66.15%	67.70%	575.0 亿	2.80%	4	30.21	2.46
基础化工	趋势扩散	447	+0.60%	+4.56%	+9.64%	+0.57%	62.19%	73.38%	1,305.8 亿	6.36%	6	36.90	2.31
建筑装饰	修复延续	155	+0.57%	+2.61%	+6.13%	+0.74%	69.68%	71.61%	262.3 亿	1.28%	0	30.05	2.16
家用电器	修复延续	103	+0.54%	+2.77%	+5.96%	+0.50%	64.08%	66.99%	215.3 亿	1.05%	1	37.58	2.55
环保	修复延续	134	+0.47%	+2.45%	+6.20%	+0.56%	64.93%	74.63%	158.2 亿	0.77%	1	30.20	2.02
国防军工	修复延续	140	+0.44%	+4.04%	+3.03%	+0.25%	52.86%	60.00%	436.2 亿	2.13%	1	89.73	3.90
房地产	修复延续	95	+0.25%	+2.47%	+6.01%	+0.56%	63.16%	75.79%	240.1 亿	1.17%	1	35.25	1.17
建筑材料	修复延续	76	+0.17%	+2.33%	+5.58%	+0.50%	68.42%	73.68%	333.8 亿	1.63%	0	42.10	1.69
电力设备	方向待明	415	+0.14%	+0.42%	+0.85%	-0.22%	44.10%	37.35%	1,345.5 亿	6.56%	1	43.38	2.78
石油石化	修复延续	48	+0.09%	+4.30%	+8.99%	+0.07%	52.08%	91.67%	195.2 亿	0.95%	0	31.68	2.18
机械设备	高位分歧	613	-0.30%	+2.52%	+8.36%	-0.16%	47.15%	62.64%	1,592.8 亿	7.76%	3	52.46	3.20
通信	高位分歧	126	-0.38%	+3.03%	+10.34%	-0.20%	46.83%	66.67%	1,509.3 亿	7.36%	2	94.25	4.92
煤炭	高位分歧	33	-0.89%	+5.02%	+15.04%	-1.96%	27.27%	93.94%	215.3 亿	1.05%	2	27.51	1.34
有色金属	方向待明	145	-1.05%	+1.57%	+8.33%	-0.97%	31.72%	58.62%	1,107.4 亿	5.40%	1	31.87	3.32
电子	方向待明	517	-1.98%	+3.05%	+12.34%	-2.43%	22.44%	51.45%	4,625.5 亿	22.54%	4	73.66	5.06

涨停生态

首板 68 家 · 多板 18 家 · 昨日涨停 89 家 · 今日晋级 18 家 · 晋级率 20.22%

7 板 · 1 家 · 海鸥住工

6 板 · 2 家 · 万向德农、捷荣技术

4 板 · 1 家 · 新赛股份

3 板 · 5 家 · 我爱我家、时代出版、国芳集团、福建金森、竞业达

2 板 · 9 家 · 芒果超媒、博纳影业、郑州煤电、掌阅科技、集泰股份、龙版传媒、中广天择、欢瑞世纪

1 板 · 68 家 · 青山纸业、协鑫能科、神农种业、华胜天成、金健米业、楚天龙、浙江世宝、千金药业

行业聚类

农林牧渔 · 13 家 · 最高 6 板 · 万向德农、新赛股份、福建金森、神农种业、金健米业、敦煌种业

传媒 · 11 家 · 最高 3 板 · 时代出版、芒果超媒、博纳影业、掌阅科技、龙版传媒、中广天择

医药生物 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 千金药业、开开实业、透景生命、精华制药、澳洋健康、瑞康医药

商贸零售 · 7 家 · 最高 3 板 · 国芳集团、供销大集、新华百货、翠微股份、东百集团、国光连锁

基础化工 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 集泰股份、江天化学、吉华集团、金正大、双象股份、英力特

汽车 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 浙江世宝、埃泰克、明新旭腾、大明电子

电子 · 4 家 · 最高 6 板 · 捷荣技术、华映科技、鸿合科技、波导股份

计算机 · 4 家 · 最高 3 板 · 竞业达、华胜天成、常山北明、华信永道

轻工制造 · 4 家 · 最高 7 板 · 海鸥住工、青山纸业、爱丽家居、*ST华鹏

机械设备 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 花溪科技、浙江大农、*ST宝馨

非银金融 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华林证券、新力金融、香溢融通

食品饮料 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 一鸣食品、古井贡酒、佳禾食品

煤炭 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 郑州煤电、云煤能源

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 西安饮食、*ST西旅

纺织服饰 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金一文化、九牧王

通信 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 楚天龙、恒宝股份

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 普路通

公用事业 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 协鑫能科

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 内蒙一机

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 立达信

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 3 板 · 我爱我家

有色金属 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 精艺股份

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 京蓝科技

电力设备 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金龙羽

连续晋级与首板

海鸥住工	002084.SZ	轻工制造	+10.03%	7	6.25 亿	主板	92500	92500	0	7/7	1.72 亿
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	+10.01%	6	6.28 亿	主板	93224	93427	2	8/11	1.19 亿
捷荣技术	002855.SZ	电子	+10.00%	6	4.35 亿	主板	93006	95815	5	6/6	7,956.39 万
新赛股份	600540.SH	农林牧渔	+10.07%	4	4.03 亿	主板	93000	93000	0	4/4	2.01 亿
我爱我家	000560.SZ	房地产	+10.00%	3	27.22 亿	主板	93300	112651	5	5/10	4,694.27 万
时代出版	600551.SH	传媒	+10.06%	3	9.76 亿	主板	93045	102833	9	3/3	4,344.47 万
国芳集团	601086.SH	商贸零售	+10.03%	3	3.04 亿	主板	93139	93139	0	3/3	1.96 亿
福建金森	002679.SZ	农林牧渔	+9.97%	3	7,894.37 万	主板	92500	92500	0	3/3	3.53 亿
竞业达	003005.SZ	计算机	+9.98%	3	7,365.46 万	主板	92500	92500	0	3/3	2.12 亿
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	+20.02%	2	27.94 亿	创业板	93000	102100	1	2/2	1.71 亿
博纳影业	001330.SZ	传媒	+9.98%	2	14.26 亿	主板	104933	112936	1	2/2	7,973.86 万
郑州煤电	600121.SH	煤炭	+9.98%	2	12.74 亿	主板	95308	145217	6	2/2	952.43 万
掌阅科技	603533.SH	传媒	+10.00%	2	12.50 亿	主板	93036	102418	3	2/2	4,148.71 万
集泰股份	002909.SZ	基础化工	+9.97%	2	3.64 亿	主板	130803	130803	0	2/2	7,036.23 万
龙版传媒	605577.SH	传媒	+9.98%	2	2.99 亿	主板	93037	94334	4	2/2	3,782.80 万
中广天择	603721.SH	传媒	+10.00%	2	1.02 亿	主板	92502	92502	0	2/2	8,138.43 万
欢瑞世纪	000892.SZ	传媒	+10.00%	2	6,156.61 万	主板	92500	92500	0	2/2	3.27 亿
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	+9.95%	2	3,911.57 万	主板	92504	92504	0	2/2	7,779.35 万
青山纸业	600103.SH	轻工制造	+9.97%	1	30.39 亿	主板	130807	142555	4	4/6	5,554.57 万
协鑫能科	002015.SZ	公用事业	+9.97%	1	23.70 亿	主板	101033	141342	1	1/1	1.24 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

锦龙股份	000712.SZ	非银金融	+4.01%	28.53 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
沃特股份	002886.SZ	基础化工	-3.44%	21.09 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
星网锐捷	002396.SZ	通信	-1.51%	52.70 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海鸥股份	603269.SH	机械设备	+3.85%	27.79 亿	主板	93420	—	2	3/4	—
深物业A	000011.SZ	房地产	-9.04%	5.08 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	+2.58%	24.88 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中通国脉	603559.SH	通信	+3.61%	6.52 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
潞化科技	600691.SH	基础化工	+4.02%	8.22 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金牛化工	600722.SH	基础化工	+7.50%	31.15 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金螳螂	002081.SZ	建筑装饰	-7.63%	28.37 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
泰坦股份	003036.SZ	机械设备	-6.74%	8.23 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
茂硕电源	002660.SZ	电子	-5.85%	3.02 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宏盛股份	603090.SH	机械设备	-5.79%	3.23 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
名雕股份	002830.SZ	建筑装饰	-5.77%	1.62 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宇环数控	002903.SZ	机械设备	-5.18%	6.36 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
艾华集团	603989.SH	电子	-5.12%	13.01 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

大跌样本

方邦股份	688020.SH	电子	-11.06%	6.54 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧科亿	688308.SH	机械设备	-10.85%	14.27 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧陆通	300870.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	21.55 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
联域股份	001326.SZ	家用电器	-9.58%	2.68 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
科威尔	688551.SH	电力设备	-9.37%	2.57 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
国际复材	301526.SZ	建筑材料	-9.19%	55.46 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
精智达	688627.SH	机械设备	-9.06%	35.96 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
海泰新光	688677.SH	医药生物	-9.04%	8.48 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
深物业A	000011.SZ	房地产	-9.04%	5.08 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
菲沃泰	688371.SH	电子	-8.83%	3.32 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中船特气	688146.SH	电子	-8.82%	33.64 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
联瑞新材	688300.SH	基础化工	-8.73%	30.74 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

马矿股份	601123.SH	钢铁	+290.98%	0	19.79 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
贝特利	301697.SZ	电力设备	+196.69%	0	13.45 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
浙江大农	920855.BJ	机械设备	+29.98%	1	1.05 亿	北交所	95040	95828	1	1/1	1,669.29 万
花溪科技	920895.BJ	机械设备	+29.98%	1	2.47 亿	北交所	130004	130004	0	3/4	2,798.15 万
华信永道	920592.BJ	计算机	+29.96%	1	3.35 亿	北交所	110452	141113	2	1/1	2,901.19 万
绿亨科技	920866.BJ	基础化工	+21.70%	0	1.47 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
康农种业	920403.BJ	农林牧渔	+21.30%	0	3.60 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
神农种业	300189.SZ	农林牧渔	+20.03%	1	23.41 亿	创业板	94957	94957	0	1/1	1.80 亿
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	+20.02%	2	27.94 亿	创业板	93000	102100	1	2/2	1.71 亿
江天化学	300927.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	1	8.83 亿	创业板	103903	103903	0	1/1	9,469.32 万
透景生命	300642.SZ	医药生物	+19.99%	1	8.07 亿	创业板	133515	135012	1	1/1	8,630.76 万
秋乐种业	920087.BJ	农林牧渔	+19.63%	0	6.68 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

方邦股份	688020.SH	电子	-11.06%	6.54 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧科亿	688308.SH	机械设备	-10.85%	14.27 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
欧陆通	300870.SZ	电力设备	-10.00%	21.55 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
联域股份	001326.SZ	家用电器	-9.58%	2.68 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
科威尔	688551.SH	电力设备	-9.37%	2.57 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
国际复材	301526.SZ	建筑材料	-9.19%	55.46 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
精智达	688627.SH	机械设备	-9.06%	35.96 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
海泰新光	688677.SH	医药生物	-9.04%	8.48 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
深物业A	000011.SZ	房地产	-9.04%	5.08 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
菲沃泰	688371.SH	电子	-8.83%	3.32 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中船特气	688146.SH	电子	-8.82%	33.64 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
联瑞新材	688300.SH	基础化工	-8.73%	30.74 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3191	+0.82%	67.03%	68.94%	+1.85%
创业板	1401	+0.21%	52.89%	61.10%	+2.85%
科创板	615	-1.26%	34.96%	41.14%	+1.99%
北交所	339	+3.16%	86.14%	69.03%	+3.14%

市值分层

小盘	2774	+1.17%	70.15%	34.37 亿
中盘	1663	+0.30%	56.40%	94.53 亿
大盘	832	-0.38%	46.15%	289.4 亿
超大盘	277	-0.81%	42.96%	1,348.7 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+2.58%	+2.00%	+2.48%	+2.62%	+2.01%	+1.33%	+0.04%	93.33%	56.67%	138.6 亿	0.68%	70.00%	+2.00%	1	8.36 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	趋势扩散	197/197	+2.21%	+6.34%	+4.72%	+2.21%	+6.33%	+4.43%	+0.00%	82.23%	81.22%	898.1 亿	4.38%	95.00%	+1.63%	11	2.41 亿	100.00%
创新药	低位修复	281/280	+1.01%	-0.56%	+4.92%	+0.98%	-0.64%	+4.48%	-0.02%	72.86%	33.57%	780.0 亿	3.80%	5.00%	+0.43%	6	12.84 亿	100.00%
减速器	方向待明	139/139	-0.26%	+2.26%	+3.44%	-0.26%	+2.19%	+3.21%	-0.00%	41.01%	51.80%	391.4 亿	1.91%	40.00%	-0.84%	1	-5.55 亿	100.00%
商业航天	高位分歧	507/507	-0.55%	+3.13%	+4.95%	-0.54%	+3.01%	+4.96%	+0.00%	42.80%	51.48%	2,501.7 亿	12.19%	25.00%	-1.13%	0	-102.5 亿	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/462	-0.60%	+2.33%	+4.83%	-0.62%	+2.22%	+4.78%	-0.02%	38.31%	48.48%	2,271.1 亿	11.07%	20.00%	-1.18%	3	-87.86 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	高位分歧	229/229	-1.17%	+3.63%	+10.59%	-1.18%	+3.63%	+10.66%	-0.01%	35.37%	58.52%	2,271.5 亿	11.07%	30.00%	-1.75%	1	-66.02 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	-1.49%	+0.59%	+4.59%	-1.49%	+0.57%	+4.40%	-0.00%	23.53%	50.00%	67.90 亿	0.33%	15.00%	-2.07%	0	-1.28 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	方向待明	80/80	-2.16%	+0.61%	+9.74%	-2.16%	+0.56%	+9.22%	-0.01%	20.00%	32.50%	357.6 亿	1.74%	15.00%	-2.73%	0	-15.77 亿	100.00%
CPO	方向待明	212/212	-2.64%	+2.54%	+14.43%	-2.58%	+2.47%	+14.42%	+0.06%	14.62%	53.30%	3,346.5 亿	16.31%	15.00%	-3.21%	2	-133.0 亿	100.00%
PCB	方向待明	236/236	-2.81%	+2.83%	+12.93%	-2.82%	+2.80%	+12.79%	-0.01%	16.53%	48.73%	2,263.6 亿	11.03%	30.00%	-3.39%	0	-128.1 亿	100.00%
先进封装	方向待明	204/204	-2.88%	+1.53%	+11.41%	-2.88%	+1.63%	+11.62%	+0.00%	9.80%	38.24%	2,095.8 亿	10.21%	10.00%	-3.45%	0	-120.1 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	方向待明	206/205	-2.94%	+1.85%	+11.95%	-2.91%	+1.96%	+11.51%	+0.03%	13.17%	41.95%	2,550.0 亿	12.43%	10.00%	-3.52%	0	-146.7 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	方向待明	57/57	-3.00%	+1.44%	+9.77%	-3.00%	+1.30%	+9.84%	+0.00%	14.04%	43.86%	622.1 亿	3.03%	15.00%	-3.58%	0	-38.15 亿	100.00%
MLCC	方向待明	35/35	-3.23%	+0.77%	+5.95%	-3.26%	-0.12%	+4.45%	-0.03%	2.86%	22.86%	397.5 亿	1.94%	15.00%	-3.81%	0	-30.59 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	方向待明	43/43	-3.83%	+1.06%	+13.16%	-3.83%	+1.00%	+13.31%	-0.00%	9.30%	32.56%	387.3 亿	1.89%	15.00%	-4.41%	0	-8.93 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：古井贡酒（000596.SZ）+10.00%、会稽山（601579.SH）+6.98%、今世缘（603369.SH）+5.40%

领跌：

文化传媒 · 趋势扩散

领涨：芒果超媒（300413.SZ）+20.02%、凯撒文化（002425.SZ）+10.09%、遥望科技（002291.SZ）+10.07%

领跌：禾盛新材（002290.SZ）-3.82%、海看股份（301262.SZ）-3.72%、德才股份（605287.SH）-3.56%

创新药 · 低位修复

领涨：透景生命（300642.SZ）+19.99%、新赣江（920367.BJ）+10.24%、瑞康医药（002589.SZ）+10.06%

领跌：百诚医药（301096.SZ）-6.05%、汉森制药（002412.SZ）-5.58%、百花医药（600721.SH）-5.11%

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：内蒙一机（600967.SH）+10.02%、晟楠科技（920006.BJ）+8.10%、旺成科技（920896.BJ）+6.20%

领跌：精研科技（300709.SZ）-6.77%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-5.84%、宇环数控（002903.SZ）-5.18%

商业航天 · 高位分歧

领涨：数码视讯（300079.SZ）+9.58%、七丰精工（920169.BJ）+8.22%、天润科技（920564.BJ）+7.52%

领跌：欧科亿（688308.SH）-10.85%、国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-8.52%、有研粉材（688456.SH）-8.12%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：骏创科技（920533.BJ）+10.95%、*ST宝馨（002514.SZ）+10.16%、内蒙一机（600967.SH）+10.02%

领跌：欧科亿（688308.SH）-10.85%、胜蓝股份（300843.SZ）-8.18%、旭光电子（600353.SH）-7.98%

液冷服务器 · 高位分歧

领涨：集泰股份（002909.SZ）+9.97%、凯添燃气（920010.BJ）+7.42%、利欧股份（002131.SZ）+7.37%

领跌：欧陆通（300870.SZ）-10.00%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-8.83%、胜蓝股份（300843.SZ）-8.18%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：昆工科技（920152.BJ）+5.17%、惠同新材（920751.BJ）+3.54%、合金投资（000633.SZ）+1.83%

领跌：有研粉材（688456.SH）-8.12%、悦安新材（688786.SH）-5.71%、江南新材（603124.SH）-5.38%

光刻胶 · 方向待明

领涨：华融化学（301256.SZ）+9.42%、七彩化学（300758.SZ）+6.23%、天龙集团（300063.SZ）+3.30%

领跌：聚和材料（688503.SH）-7.86%、华特气体（688268.SH）-7.79%、芯源微（688037.SH）-7.57%

CPO · 方向待明

领涨：青山纸业（600103.SH）+9.97%、华胜天成（600410.SH）+9.97%、天洋新材（603330.SH）+6.16%

领跌：菲沃泰（688371.SH）-8.83%、南亚新材（688519.SH）-8.69%、国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-8.52%

PCB · 方向待明

领涨：奥克股份（300082.SZ）+4.10%、威贸电子（920346.BJ）+3.79%、则成电子（920821.BJ）+3.65%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-11.06%、欧科亿（688308.SH）-10.85%、国际复材（301526.SZ）-9.19%

先进封装 · 方向待明

领涨：流金科技（920021.BJ）+5.65%、华维设计（920427.BJ）+4.93%、山子高科（000981.SZ）+3.73%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-11.06%、联瑞新材（688300.SH）-8.73%、英诺激光（301021.SZ）-8.58%

存储芯片 · 方向待明

领涨：杭州柯林（688611.SH）+4.37%、怡亚通（002183.SZ）+2.46%、中青宝（300052.SZ）+2.40%

领跌：精智达（688627.SH）-9.06%、联瑞新材（688300.SH）-8.73%、南亚新材（688519.SH）-8.69%

玻璃基板 · 方向待明

领涨：中科信息（300678.SZ）+3.97%、奥来德（688378.SH）+3.09%、三峡新材（600293.SH）+2.01%

领跌：汇成真空（301392.SZ）-8.48%、东威科技（688700.SH）-7.73%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-7.59%

MLCC · 方向待明

领涨：国风新材（000859.SZ）+3.02%

领跌：国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-8.52%、东材科技（601208.SH）-7.49%、洁美科技（002859.SZ）-7.27%

电子化学品 · 方向待明

领涨：海星股份（603115.SH）+3.23%、奥来德（688378.SH）+3.09%、硅烷科技（920402.BJ）+2.03%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-11.06%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）-8.83%、中船特气（688146.SH）-8.82%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

金融地产	50	+1.07%	+0.78%	+3.75%	+1.03%	75.52 亿	100.00%	7/32	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · -0.69%
红利防御	99	+0.68%	+0.79%	+1.57%	+0.53%	64.06 亿	98.99%	10/43	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -2.71%
消费	47	+0.31%	+1.02%	+1.08%	+0.23%	20.80 亿	100.00%	9/15	鹏华中证酒ETF · -1.27%
大盘宽基	83	+0.17%	0.00%	+1.32%	+0.62%	104.2 亿	100.00%	11/23	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -2.14%
医药健康	53	-0.05%	+0.31%	-1.74%	+1.07%	30.19 亿	100.00%	23/15	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +2.13%
中小盘宽基	140	-1.04%	-0.99%	+1.79%	+2.25%	244.6 亿	100.00%	26/40	易方达创业板ETF · +0.82%
资源周期	61	-1.38%	-0.77%	+1.76%	+5.57%	59.96 亿	100.00%	13/26	国泰中证煤炭ETF · -5.54%
AI与半导体	129	-2.57%	-1.33%	+3.27%	-1.14%	295.2 亿	100.00%	44/58	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · +3.28%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

大消费	农林牧渔、商贸零售、食品饮料、社会服务、家用电器	529	+2.27%	+4.50%	+8.12%	82.80%	78.07%	6.37%	26
金融地产	银行、非银金融、房地产	216	+1.19%	+3.92%	+4.63%	79.17%	87.50%	6.00%	4
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	536	+1.10%	+0.02%	+5.06%	73.32%	41.42%	5.66%	8
公用防御	公用事业、交通运输、环保	401	+0.91%	+2.33%	+3.12%	77.31%	67.83%	3.71%	3
资源周期	钢铁、基础化工、石油石化、煤炭、有色金属	717	+0.59%	+3.84%	+9.14%	55.09%	73.08%	14.22%	9
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	+0.44%	+2.52%	+5.95%	69.26%	72.29%	2.91%	0
高端制造	汽车、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备	1490	+0.13%	+2.08%	+4.91%	50.94%	56.44%	19.25%	9
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	1000	-0.54%	+3.74%	+8.58%	44.30%	58.50%	36.21%	10

近五个交易日

2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -4.35%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +3.70%

涨停家数：压缩 · -3

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.1177 万亿 · 温度区间：51.9–77.3 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：文化传媒 4次、酿酒 3次、创新药 2次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、商业航天 1次

行业：农林牧渔 2次、煤炭 2次、电子 2次、钢铁 2次、传媒 1次、公用事业 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-4.4%，上涨覆盖61.1%，五日成交中位21177.3亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益+2.58%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 农林牧渔涨停13家，最高6板。

负反馈 · 跌停0家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 21177.3亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 20.2%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖61.1%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 45 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4
2026-08-10	71.3	74.4	73.46%	2.5387 万亿	103	5
2026-08-11	46.3	62.7	29.16%	2.3356 万亿	60	6
2026-08-12	76.2	92.4	74.53%	2.1672 万亿	97	7
2026-08-13	53.4	61.8	20.63%	2.5680 万亿	62	5
2026-08-14	56.3	55	43.32%	2.1566 万亿	64	5
2026-08-17	89	84.8	78.26%	2.4025 万亿	110	4
2026-08-18	56.6	62.7	38.29%	2.4198 万亿	81	4
2026-08-19	27.1	35.8	8.10%	2.5300 万亿	38	3
2026-08-20	63.1	50.9	73.92%	2.0939 万亿	84	4
2026-08-21	53.7	45.7	45.19%	1.8923 万亿	58	3
2026-08-24	41.8	47.2	26.33%	2.0212 万亿	48	4
2026-08-25	62.5	63.9	76.34%	1.8443 万亿	70	5
2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7

情绪九维 81.3

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
7 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数10.32
10.32
输入与公式
86 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率12
12
输入与公式
0.86 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率8.09
8.09
输入与公式
0.20224719101123595 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.37
8.37
输入与公式
0.014865325842696626 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitDown":0,"largeLoss":44} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.6107104219257122 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比9
9
输入与公式
{"limitUp":86,"limitDown":0} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.98
4.98
输入与公式
0.9491533902369701 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	495	8.93%	+6.07%	+4.73%
趋势延续	1149	20.72%	+1.65%	+1.58%
低位修复	796	14.35%	+1.86%	+1.00%
中间状态	3106	56.00%	-1.02%	-0.72%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 89 家 · 今日晋级 18 家 · 晋级率 20.22%

晋级名单

海鸥住工	002084.SZ	轻工制造	7	+10.03%
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	6	+10.01%
捷荣技术	002855.SZ	电子	6	+10.00%
新赛股份	600540.SH	农林牧渔	4	+10.07%
我爱我家	000560.SZ	房地产	3	+10.00%
时代出版	600551.SH	传媒	3	+10.06%
国芳集团	601086.SH	商贸零售	3	+10.03%
福建金森	002679.SZ	农林牧渔	3	+9.97%
竞业达	003005.SZ	计算机	3	+9.98%
芒果超媒	300413.SZ	传媒	2	+20.02%
博纳影业	001330.SZ	传媒	2	+9.98%
郑州煤电	600121.SH	煤炭	2	+9.98%
掌阅科技	603533.SH	传媒	2	+10.00%
集泰股份	002909.SZ	基础化工	2	+9.97%
龙版传媒	605577.SH	传媒	2	+9.98%
中广天择	603721.SH	传媒	2	+10.00%
欢瑞世纪	000892.SZ	传媒	2	+10.00%
大晟文化	600892.SH	传媒	2	+9.95%
青山纸业	600103.SH	轻工制造	1	+9.97%
协鑫能科	002015.SZ	公用事业	1	+9.97%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	12	2	6	4	16.67%	50.00%	33.33%
弱势方向修复	12	6	0	6	50.00%	0.00%	50.00%
方向剪刀差	7	7	0	0	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
涨停生态	12	3	2	7	25.00%	16.67%	58.33%
市场持续性	12	2	4	6	16.67%	33.33%	50.00%

近20个交易日

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	12	2	6	4	16.67%	50.00%	33.33%
弱势方向修复	12	6	0	6	50.00%	0.00%	50.00%
方向剪刀差	7	7	0	0	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
涨停生态	12	3	2	7	25.00%	16.67%	58.33%
市场持续性	12	2	4	6	16.67%	33.33%	50.00%

共 71 条假设

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02 · 待结算 · 今日生成

电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 电子化学品相对全A落后幅度收窄至0.5个百分点以内，上涨覆盖回到45%以上，且方向中位收益不再为负。
失效条件: 电子化学品继续取得负相对收益且上涨覆盖低于35%，弱势扩散到方向中位数。
风险: 低位方向可能仅受风格轮换扰动；单日收敛不等于中期修复。
反证: 生成日收益-3.83%、相对全A-4.41%、上涨覆盖9.3%。

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02 · 待结算 · 今日生成

酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 酿酒继续取得正相对全A收益、上涨覆盖不低于65.3%，成交占比不低于生成日的75%。
失效条件: 酿酒相对收益转负且上涨覆盖低于45%，或方向中位收益转负。
风险: 同花顺方向成员是当前快照，不是点时历史；次日若成员发生变化，结算质量必须降级为证据不足。
反证: 生成日单日收益+2.58%、相对全A+2.00%，短期拥挤与分化风险上升。

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02 · 待结算 · 今日生成

广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 上涨覆盖不低于50%，MA20上方比例不低于60.0%，且成交额不低于当日的90%。
失效条件: 上涨覆盖低于40%，或成交额收缩超过15%且MA20上方比例同步下降。
风险: 强扩散后的自然均值回归可能造成单日回落，确认规则只描述次日延续，不外推中期趋势。
反证: 生成日上涨覆盖61.1%、MA20上方63.9%，高基数提高了延续难度。

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02 · 待结算 · 今日生成

封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调

截至该归档日尚未结算；后续结果请到验证中心查看。

查看确认、失效与反证

确认条件: 封板率不低于78.0%、多板梯队不少于13家、跌停不超过3家。
失效条件: 封板率低于65%，或多板梯队缩减过半且跌停家数明显增加。
风险: 不同交易板与ST状态涨跌幅制度不同，必须沿用逐股涨跌停价口径。
反证: 生成日封板率86.0%、多板18家、跌停0家；强基数可能快速回落。

2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02 · 待结算 · 今日生成