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2026-07-22

结论与证据

全A收盘为1530家上涨、3876家下跌，上涨占比27.69%；成交2.6686万亿元，环比-10.27%。单日广度显著转弱，但22.7%样本仍站在MA20上方，同时有48家封板、10家跌停，更接近结构分歧，而不是所有趋势同步失效。

广度承压 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方23% · 48家封板 · 温度29.2

支持证据

15方向中酿酒当日+0.36%居前；91家触板、封板率52.7%，最高5板。

反证与边界

传媒当日等权-2.03%，电子化学品方向-2.89%；成交额环比-10.27%，资金流分类代理-195.5亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.6686 万亿
成交环比: -10.27%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 1530 / 3876 / 120
上涨覆盖: 27.69%
中位涨幅: -1.28%
MA20上方: 22.73%
20日新高 / 新低: 257 / 1688
涨停 / 跌停: 48 / 10
触板 / 未封: 91 / 43
封板率: 52.75%
最高连板: 5 板

收盘温度 29.2

广度9.69
9.69
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势4.55
4.55
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态12.41
12.41
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数2.5
2.5
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 47.3

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数5.76
5.76
输入与公式
48.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率7.45
7.45
输入与公式
0.53 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率3.97
3.97
输入与公式
0.10 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.51
8.51
输入与公式
0.02 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":10,"largeLoss":77} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度4.15
4.15
输入与公式
0.28 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比2.7
2.7
输入与公式
{"limitUp":48,"limitDown":10} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.07
4.07
输入与公式
0.90 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,867.03	+0.07%	1.2581 万亿
科创50	1,860.08	-2.26%	1,929.2 亿
深证成指	14,061.44	-1.42%	9,089.9 亿
创业板指	3,566.73	-3.23%	3,401.1 亿
中证1000	7,158.76	-1.39%	5,183.6 亿
国证2000	9,187.62	-1.27%	6,526.4 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	146	2.64%	+7.03%	+6.05%
趋势延续	190	3.44%	+2.24%	+1.74%
低位修复	755	13.66%	+2.15%	+1.30%
中间状态	4435	80.26%	-1.85%	-1.76%

三项风险

单日市场广度明显承压

下跌3876家，上涨占比仅27.69%；中位数涨幅-1.28%。

少数方向逆势承压

机械设备、传媒分别为-1.87%、-2.03%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-10.27%，91家触板中43家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度与趋势存量是否继续背离

若上涨占比修复且MA20上方比例保持高位，分歧仍偏结构性；两者同步下滑则风险升级。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日52.7%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,867.03 · MA5 3,834.85 · MA10 3,904.35 · MA20 3,977.33

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,977.33 · 近10日最低 3,741.11 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 4,074.83 · 近20日最高 4,143.31

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

煤炭	修复延续	33	+2.94%	+0.98%	+4.11%	+2.72%	90.91%	87.88%	154.9 亿	0.58%	1	0	23.49	1.27
石油石化	低位修复	48	+2.30%	-0.25%	-2.04%	+2.20%	72.92%	52.08%	232.0 亿	0.87%	1	0	38.06	1.99
公用事业	趋势扩散	139	+1.92%	+4.18%	-1.87%	+1.11%	71.22%	72.66%	770.3 亿	2.89%	8	0	26.34	1.65
银行	修复延续	42	+0.71%	+0.21%	+3.29%	+0.65%	78.57%	100.00%	314.9 亿	1.18%	0	0	5.95	0.54
有色金属	低位修复	145	+0.64%	-5.24%	-19.88%	-0.21%	48.28%	20.69%	1,620.1 亿	6.07%	4	0	33.68	3.18
美容护理	低位修复	30	+0.45%	-2.96%	-0.61%	-0.09%	46.67%	53.33%	48.56 亿	0.18%	0	1	26.83	2.23
房地产	低位修复	95	+0.44%	-5.28%	-6.77%	0.00%	43.16%	29.47%	164.5 亿	0.62%	1	0	34.56	1.09
钢铁	低位修复	43	+0.24%	-1.93%	-3.56%	0.00%	48.84%	65.12%	83.84 亿	0.31%	0	0	19.27	1.14
社会服务	退潮观察	86	+0.06%	-3.58%	-8.71%	-0.35%	37.21%	24.42%	93.82 亿	0.35%	1	0	33.10	2.46
交通运输	方向待明	128	-0.13%	-2.68%	-2.01%	-0.19%	36.72%	50.00%	245.6 亿	0.92%	1	0	17.22	1.26
农林牧渔	方向待明	114	-0.17%	-5.45%	-2.30%	0.00%	44.74%	36.84%	149.7 亿	0.56%	0	0	36.07	2.20
医药生物	退潮观察	503	-0.28%	-7.12%	+0.43%	-0.67%	35.19%	40.56%	1,536.7 亿	5.76%	6	0	35.70	2.31
食品饮料	退潮观察	126	-0.32%	-4.67%	-2.97%	-0.66%	34.13%	42.86%	359.2 亿	1.35%	1	0	24.29	2.08
轻工制造	退潮观察	167	-0.39%	-7.52%	-12.06%	-0.77%	31.74%	12.57%	147.4 亿	0.55%	3	0	28.77	1.90
综合	退潮观察	20	-0.45%	-7.01%	-11.40%	-1.07%	25.00%	25.00%	38.66 亿	0.14%	1	0	45.35	2.51
商贸零售	退潮观察	99	-0.80%	-4.76%	-5.78%	-0.91%	25.25%	30.30%	166.3 亿	0.62%	0	1	29.58	1.71
通信	退潮观察	127	-0.83%	-7.34%	-20.47%	-1.40%	30.71%	15.75%	2,391.7 亿	8.96%	3	0	96.89	4.06
环保	退潮观察	134	-0.92%	-7.83%	-13.47%	-1.43%	21.64%	17.16%	170.1 亿	0.64%	1	0	25.36	1.79
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.05%	-1.92%	-1.40%	-1.14%	17.72%	40.51%	504.8 亿	1.89%	0	0	18.48	1.27
计算机	退潮观察	358	-1.07%	-4.14%	-12.53%	-1.77%	25.14%	27.93%	1,786.0 亿	6.69%	3	0	73.11	3.17
基础化工	退潮观察	446	-1.09%	-8.20%	-18.00%	-1.60%	24.22%	16.37%	1,094.4 亿	4.10%	4	1	33.44	2.00
建筑装饰	退潮观察	155	-1.16%	-7.84%	-12.04%	-1.25%	25.81%	20.00%	280.0 亿	1.05%	0	2	29.58	1.74
建筑材料	退潮观察	76	-1.43%	-8.83%	-17.39%	-1.33%	19.74%	9.21%	313.6 亿	1.18%	0	1	40.00	1.47
汽车	退潮观察	320	-1.49%	-7.68%	-14.41%	-1.74%	15.63%	11.88%	575.4 亿	2.16%	0	0	26.98	2.16
国防军工	退潮观察	139	-1.51%	-7.91%	-17.61%	-1.77%	21.58%	11.51%	593.1 亿	2.22%	0	0	67.90	3.33
电力设备	退潮观察	415	-1.54%	-7.43%	-21.18%	-1.84%	17.35%	6.99%	1,639.0 亿	6.14%	4	2	40.54	2.52
纺织服饰	退潮观察	108	-1.68%	-8.60%	-11.24%	-1.54%	20.37%	21.30%	111.1 亿	0.42%	0	0	27.12	1.70
家用电器	退潮观察	103	-1.69%	-7.34%	-11.75%	-1.73%	15.53%	16.50%	201.9 亿	0.76%	0	1	35.46	2.27
电子	退潮观察	512	-1.72%	-12.63%	-25.16%	-2.30%	23.63%	4.88%	8,787.9 亿	32.93%	5	1	81.21	4.70
机械设备	退潮观察	605	-1.87%	-10.45%	-19.52%	-2.15%	15.54%	7.93%	1,691.5 亿	6.34%	0	0	43.65	2.81
传媒	退潮观察	131	-2.03%	-4.45%	-7.03%	-1.93%	10.69%	25.95%	419.3 亿	1.57%	0	0	36.36	2.70

涨停生态

首板 36 家 · 多板 12 家 · 昨日涨停 121 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 9.92%

5 板 · 1 家 · 立新能源

4 板 · 1 家 · 华银电力

3 板 · 1 家 · 美利云

2 板 · 9 家 · 托伦斯、共进股份、利通电子、盛达资源、长缆科技、大为股份、证通电子、长裕集团

1 板 · 36 家 · 瑞芯微、华电辽能、华电能源、华勤技术、山金国际、惠城环保、金牛化工、招金黄金

行业聚类

公用事业 · 8 家 · 最高 5 板 · 立新能源、华银电力、华电辽能、华电能源、乐山电力、新中港

医药生物 · 6 家 · 最高 1 板 · 海南海药、汉森制药、罗欣药业、益佰制药、哈三联、五洲医疗

电子 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 托伦斯、利通电子、大为股份、瑞芯微、华勤技术

基础化工 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金牛化工、艾艾精工、东方铁塔、星辉环材

有色金属 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 盛达资源、长裕集团、山金国际、招金黄金

电力设备 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 长缆科技、华通线缆、中电电机、日丰股份

计算机 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · 美利云、证通电子、云创退

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 爱丽家居、天安新材、西大门

通信 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 共进股份、国安股份、瑞斯康达

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 海通发展

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · *ST发展

煤炭 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 大有能源

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 惠城环保

石油石化 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中曼石油

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 创业黑马

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 群兴玩具

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金字火腿

连续晋级与首板

立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	+9.99%	5	6.63 亿	主板	93257	93257	0	5/5	2.37 亿
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	+9.97%	4	29.00 亿	主板	144100	144336	1	4/4	2,503.61 万
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	+10.03%	3	14.48 亿	主板	92500	93609	3	3/3	2.07 亿
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	+20.00%	2	26.07 亿	创业板	93424	141639	23	2/2	4,205.01 万
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	+9.98%	2	18.13 亿	主板	93123	141305	4	3/4	1.26 亿
利通电子	603629.SH	电子	+10.00%	2	14.97 亿	主板	93204	93204	0	2/2	3.98 亿
盛达资源	000603.SZ	有色金属	+9.99%	2	9.20 亿	主板	95051	95227	2	2/2	7,037.08 万
长缆科技	002879.SZ	电力设备	+10.03%	2	4.49 亿	主板	93236	145036	4	2/2	497.28 万
大为股份	002213.SZ	电子	+10.00%	2	2.40 亿	主板	93330	93330	0	2/2	9,471.02 万
证通电子	002197.SZ	计算机	+9.94%	2	1.35 亿	主板	93003	93003	0	2/2	1.51 亿
长裕集团	603407.SH	有色金属	+10.00%	2	1.22 亿	主板	92502	92502	0	3/5	1.08 亿
爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	+9.98%	2	144.39 万	主板	92502	92502	0	2/2	2.52 亿
瑞芯微	603893.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	83.37 亿	主板	102623	141741	17	1/1	1.63 亿
华电辽能	600396.SH	公用事业	+10.03%	1	35.52 亿	主板	101607	130058	3	2/3	1.56 亿
华电能源	600726.SH	公用事业	+10.00%	1	24.21 亿	主板	143628	143628	0	2/3	1.30 亿
华勤技术	603296.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	24.18 亿	主板	94554	94554	0	1/1	1.83 亿
山金国际	000975.SZ	有色金属	+10.01%	1	20.73 亿	主板	95503	141618	7	1/1	4,949.79 万
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	+20.00%	1	17.27 亿	创业板	102021	145042	6	1/1	1,812.58 万
金牛化工	600722.SH	基础化工	+9.99%	1	13.30 亿	主板	95847	135138	6	3/4	2,648.25 万
招金黄金	000506.SZ	有色金属	+9.97%	1	10.90 亿	主板	112257	112257	0	1/1	4,107.55 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

联创电子	002036.SZ	电子	+0.28%	8.88 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中嘉博创	000889.SZ	通信	+5.00%	7.62 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
鑫汇科	920267.BJ	电子	-9.61%	1.29 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
华兴源创	688001.SH	机械设备	-7.93%	7.60 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	-7.13%	109.5 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
黑猫股份	002068.SZ	基础化工	-6.69%	4.21 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
惠科股份	001399.SZ	电子	-6.28%	23.25 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
火炬电子	603678.SH	国防军工	-5.92%	12.56 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
联动科技	301369.SZ	电子	-5.66%	5.99 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	-5.58%	17.67 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
京基智农	000048.SZ	农林牧渔	-5.29%	6.40 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
微导纳米	688147.SH	电力设备	-4.71%	13.43 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
广合科技	001389.SZ	电子	-4.31%	17.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
天准科技	688003.SH	机械设备	-4.15%	7.29 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
精智达	688627.SH	机械设备	-3.96%	32.89 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
长源东谷	603950.SH	汽车	-3.79%	4.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

德明利	001309.SZ	电子	-10.00%	121.1 亿	主板	—	133748	2	—	9.92 亿
中国巨石	600176.SH	建筑材料	-10.00%	113.4 亿	主板	—	150000	11	—	896.56 万
晶华新材	603683.SH	基础化工	-9.98%	8.00 亿	主板	—	103421	18	—	7,541.19 万
中岩大地	003001.SZ	建筑装饰	-9.99%	4.22 亿	主板	—	143545	4	—	395.64 万
*ST沐邦	603398.SH	电力设备	-9.95%	1.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
汇通能源	600605.SH	商贸零售	-9.98%	1.31 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
立霸股份	603519.SH	家用电器	-9.97%	8,100.80 万	主板	—	93124	1	—	7,740.11 万
信通电子	001388.SZ	电力设备	-9.98%	5,610.81 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	1.02 亿
依依股份	001206.SZ	美容护理	-10.02%	2,812.61 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	1.74 亿
甘咨询	000779.SZ	建筑装饰	-9.99%	2,122.96 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	1.85 亿

大跌样本

泰诺麦博	688806.SH	医药生物	-26.65%	12.13 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
鸿仕达	920125.BJ	机械设备	-14.08%	2.80 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
智明达	688636.SH	国防军工	-13.64%	7.09 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
开润股份	300577.SZ	纺织服饰	-12.76%	3.53 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
龙鑫智能	920117.BJ	电力设备	-12.69%	1.99 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
鹏辉能源	300438.SZ	电力设备	-12.48%	24.22 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
铜冠铜箔	301217.SZ	电力设备	-11.33%	61.80 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
新睿电子	920211.BJ	机械设备	-11.31%	1.45 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
南亚新材	688519.SH	电子	-11.12%	24.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
依依股份	001206.SZ	美容护理	-10.02%	2,812.61 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	1.74 亿
九州一轨	688485.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	1.90 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
德明利	001309.SZ	电子	-10.00%	121.1 亿	主板	—	133748	2	—	9.92 亿

涨幅居前

乔路铭	920079.BJ	汽车	+30.99%	0	7.72 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	+30.00%	1	2,844.52 万	北交所	92500	144706	8	6/8	3.63 万
星辉环材	300834.SZ	基础化工	+20.01%	1	2.22 亿	创业板	111112	111112	0	1/1	5,910.61 万
创业黑马	300688.SZ	社会服务	+20.01%	1	5.53 亿	创业板	94812	141457	14	1/1	697.53 万
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	+20.00%	1	17.27 亿	创业板	102021	145042	6	1/1	1,812.58 万
五洲医疗	301234.SZ	医药生物	+20.00%	1	2,197.49 万	创业板	92500	92500	0	1/1	4.22 亿
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	+20.00%	2	26.07 亿	创业板	93424	141639	23	2/2	4,205.01 万
龙源技术	300105.SZ	环保	+17.51%	0	8.66 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
莱美药业	300006.SZ	医药生物	+16.59%	0	5.75 亿	创业板	93945	—	4	0/0	—
炬芯科技	688049.SH	电子	+15.09%	0	9.63 亿	科创板	105810	—	3	0/0	—
锐捷网络	301165.SZ	通信	+13.66%	0	63.61 亿	创业板	102151	—	2	0/0	—
津荣天宇	300988.SZ	机械设备	+13.56%	0	2.50 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

泰诺麦博	688806.SH	医药生物	-26.65%	12.13 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
鸿仕达	920125.BJ	机械设备	-14.08%	2.80 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
智明达	688636.SH	国防军工	-13.64%	7.09 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
开润股份	300577.SZ	纺织服饰	-12.76%	3.53 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
龙鑫智能	920117.BJ	电力设备	-12.69%	1.99 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
鹏辉能源	300438.SZ	电力设备	-12.48%	24.22 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
铜冠铜箔	301217.SZ	电力设备	-11.33%	61.80 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
新睿电子	920211.BJ	机械设备	-11.31%	1.45 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
南亚新材	688519.SH	电子	-11.12%	24.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
依依股份	001206.SZ	美容护理	-10.02%	2,812.61 万	主板	—	92500	0	—	1.74 亿
九州一轨	688485.SH	机械设备	-10.00%	1.90 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
德明利	001309.SZ	电子	-10.00%	121.1 亿	主板	—	133748	2	—	9.92 亿

上市板分层

主板	3191	-0.54%	32.72%	30.21%	+1.81%
创业板	1398	-1.40%	19.17%	13.81%	+3.12%
科创板	609	-1.91%	19.70%	9.85%	+2.60%
北交所	328	-0.91%	29.88%	11.89%	+1.91%

市值分层

小盘	2764	-1.18%	20.26%	28.90 亿
中盘	1657	-0.96%	27.64%	86.73 亿
大盘	829	-0.36%	42.58%	274.7 亿
超大盘	276	+0.06%	57.61%	1,339.9 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+0.37%	+3.25%	+7.66%	+0.92%	-0.32%	+3.01%	+0.56%	70.00%	63.33%	202.8 亿	0.76%	85.00%	+1.29%	0	0	778.91 万	100.00%
创新药	趋势转弱	281/280	-0.04%	-6.86%	+4.22%	-0.04%	-7.02%	+4.10%	+0.00%	42.86%	49.64%	1,172.2 亿	4.39%	45.00%	+0.89%	5	0	-16.23 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/229	-0.81%	-9.90%	-20.92%	-0.78%	-9.87%	-20.81%	+0.03%	30.57%	11.35%	3,386.4 亿	12.69%	35.00%	+0.12%	3	1	-22.48 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	趋势转弱	197/197	-1.27%	-4.34%	-6.77%	-1.27%	-4.39%	-6.95%	+0.00%	21.32%	26.90%	508.6 亿	1.91%	40.00%	-0.34%	2	0	-11.87 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-1.53%	-13.07%	-29.44%	-1.47%	-12.95%	-28.88%	+0.05%	28.30%	4.72%	5,742.1 亿	21.52%	40.00%	-0.60%	4	1	-159.0 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/203	-1.61%	-14.21%	-24.17%	-1.62%	-14.23%	-24.23%	-0.00%	24.14%	4.93%	5,435.4 亿	20.37%	35.00%	-0.68%	2	2	-10.35 亿	99.03%
商业航天	趋势转弱	507/506	-1.63%	-9.62%	-20.96%	-1.62%	-9.45%	-20.99%	+0.01%	20.95%	9.49%	3,428.4 亿	12.85%	20.00%	-0.70%	1	0	-12.95 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	趋势转弱	34/34	-1.67%	-10.95%	-27.94%	-1.67%	-11.04%	-28.21%	+0.00%	11.76%	0.00%	95.33 亿	0.36%	10.00%	-0.74%	0	0	9,533.87 万	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/203	-1.94%	-14.03%	-27.44%	-1.98%	-14.05%	-26.88%	-0.03%	21.18%	2.96%	4,208.9 亿	15.77%	30.00%	-1.01%	2	0	-28.12 亿	100.00%
物理AI	趋势转弱	463/461	-2.04%	-10.28%	-19.78%	-2.05%	-10.37%	-20.26%	-0.01%	14.75%	8.24%	3,464.5 亿	12.98%	15.00%	-1.11%	2	1	-34.61 亿	99.78%
减速器	趋势转弱	139/139	-2.17%	-10.40%	-18.57%	-2.17%	-10.50%	-18.92%	-0.00%	9.35%	4.32%	418.7 亿	1.57%	5.00%	-1.25%	0	0	-6.59 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/57	-2.22%	-13.31%	—	-2.31%	-13.07%	-29.05%	-0.10%	21.05%	1.75%	1,288.8 亿	4.83%	25.00%	-1.29%	0	0	-8.54 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-2.54%	-13.92%	-30.82%	-2.56%	-14.07%	-30.71%	-0.02%	17.87%	4.68%	2,895.9 亿	10.85%	25.00%	-1.62%	2	3	-70.56 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/80	-2.79%	-15.35%	-27.53%	-2.73%	-15.48%	-27.45%	+0.06%	8.75%	2.50%	618.4 亿	2.32%	20.00%	-1.86%	0	0	11.39 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-2.89%	-18.15%	-32.38%	-2.89%	-18.16%	-33.27%	+0.00%	11.63%	0.00%	563.2 亿	2.11%	25.00%	-1.96%	0	0	8,213.01 万	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：舍得酒业（600702.SH）+4.24%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）+4.05%、金种子酒（600199.SH）+3.90%

领跌：威龙股份（603779.SH）-4.18%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）-1.94%、ST椰岛（600238.SH）-1.49%

创新药 · 趋势转弱

领涨：莱美药业（300006.SZ）+16.59%、博瑞医药（688166.SH）+13.14%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）+12.99%

领跌：泰诺麦博（688806.SH）-26.65%、ST万邦（002082.SZ）-7.55%、热景生物（688068.SH）-6.33%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：锐捷网络（301165.SZ）+13.66%、同飞股份（300990.SZ）+10.26%、长缆科技（002879.SZ）+10.03%

领跌：汇通能源（600605.SH）-9.98%、爱克股份（300889.SZ）-8.83%、亨通光电（600487.SH）-8.07%

文化传媒 · 趋势转弱

领涨：国安股份（000839.SZ）+10.00%、盛达资源（000603.SZ）+9.99%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）+9.43%

领跌：欢瑞世纪（000892.SZ）-7.76%、风语筑（603466.SH）-6.35%、中文在线（300364.SZ）-5.49%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：锐捷网络（301165.SZ）+13.66%、瑞斯康达（603803.SH）+10.05%、华勤技术（603296.SH）+10.00%

领跌：南亚新材（688519.SH）-11.12%、德明利（001309.SZ）-10.00%、长飞光纤（601869.SH）-9.92%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+20.00%、全志科技（300458.SZ）+11.14%、大为股份（002213.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：南亚新材（688519.SH）-11.12%、德明利（001309.SZ）-10.00%、汇通能源（600605.SH）-9.98%

商业航天 · 趋势转弱

领涨：长缆科技（002879.SZ）+10.03%、红板科技（603459.SH）+8.86%、中兴通讯（000063.SZ）+7.51%

领跌：智明达（688636.SH）-13.64%、长盈通（688143.SH）-9.09%、探路者（300005.SZ）-9.06%

金属新材料 · 趋势转弱

领涨：江南新材（603124.SH）+4.22%、中科三环（000970.SZ）+2.52%、天力复合（920576.BJ）+2.09%

领跌：族兴新材（920078.BJ）-8.45%、图南股份（300855.SZ）-5.34%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-5.29%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+20.00%、共进股份（603118.SH）+9.98%、通富微电（002156.SZ）+8.08%

领跌：鸿仕达（920125.BJ）-14.08%、探路者（300005.SZ）-9.06%、佰维存储（688525.SH）-8.37%

物理AI · 趋势转弱

领涨：华依科技（688071.SH）+11.71%、裕太微（688515.SH）+11.17%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+10.45%

领跌：晶华新材（603683.SH）-9.98%、长飞光纤（601869.SH）-9.92%、中控技术（688777.SH）-9.07%

减速器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+10.45%、大族激光（002008.SZ）+4.00%、*ST春兴（002547.SZ）+3.28%

领跌：永茂泰（605208.SH）-8.62%、昊志机电（300503.SZ）-6.56%、步科股份（688160.SH）-5.86%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：通富微电（002156.SZ）+8.08%、兴森科技（002436.SZ）+7.13%、大族激光（002008.SZ）+4.00%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-9.02%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-8.24%、蓝特光学（688127.SH）-6.88%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：大为股份（002213.SZ）+10.00%、共进股份（603118.SH）+9.98%、红板科技（603459.SH）+8.86%

领跌：鸿仕达（920125.BJ）-14.08%、铜冠铜箔（301217.SZ）-11.33%、南亚新材（688519.SH）-11.12%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：聚石化学（688669.SH）+10.74%、国恩股份（002768.SZ）+6.82%、肯特催化（603120.SH）+6.24%

领跌：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）-12.69%、吉和昌（920193.BJ）-8.16%、茂莱光学（688502.SH）-7.45%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：莱尔科技（688683.SH）+6.92%、嘉德利（603435.SH）+3.33%、龙辰科技（920161.BJ）+1.24%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-9.02%、康美特（920189.BJ）-7.93%、海星股份（603115.SH）-7.00%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

资源周期	55	+3.20%	+2.68%	+1.32%	-11.09%	70.69 亿	100.00%	8/36	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · +0.81%
红利防御	95	+1.05%	+0.69%	+1.65%	+2.86%	80.89 亿	98.95%	33/37	广发中证全指电力公用事业ETF · +4.12%
医药健康	51	+0.03%	0.00%	-1.93%	+10.48%	70.58 亿	100.00%	24/18	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.26%
消费	44	-0.08%	-0.17%	-1.69%	+0.61%	30.80 亿	100.00%	19/9	鹏华中证酒ETF · +0.03%
金融地产	48	-0.11%	-0.25%	-1.25%	+0.39%	72.77 亿	100.00%	21/17	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.76%
大盘宽基	83	-0.22%	-0.22%	-0.24%	-1.08%	168.3 亿	100.00%	25/34	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -1.28%
AI与半导体	128	-1.70%	-1.62%	-5.99%	-12.39%	744.2 亿	100.00%	36/71	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · +9.61%
中小盘宽基	140	-2.18%	-1.60%	-6.28%	-16.61%	498.8 亿	100.00%	34/69	易方达创业板ETF · -3.38%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

公用防御	公用事业、交通运输、环保	401	+0.32%	-2.02%	-5.79%	43.64%	46.88%	4.44%	10	0
金融地产	银行、房地产、非银金融	216	-0.05%	-2.98%	-2.85%	40.74%	47.22%	3.69%	1	0
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	533	-0.24%	-6.88%	+0.37%	35.83%	41.28%	5.94%	6	1
资源周期	煤炭、石油石化、有色金属、钢铁、基础化工	715	-0.25%	-6.26%	-15.42%	36.92%	25.87%	11.94%	10	1
大消费	社会服务、农林牧渔、食品饮料、商贸零售、家用电器	528	-0.58%	-5.20%	-6.00%	31.63%	31.06%	3.64%	2	2
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	-1.25%	-8.17%	-13.80%	23.81%	16.45%	2.22%	0	3
AI硬件与数字经济	通信、计算机、电子	997	-1.37%	-8.91%	-20.02%	25.08%	14.54%	48.58%	11	1
高端制造	汽车、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备	1479	-1.66%	-8.77%	-18.70%	16.63%	8.86%	16.86%	4	2

近五个交易日

2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -10.27%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -28.55%

涨停家数：压缩 · -73

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.6716 万亿 · 温度区间：24.8–66.2 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：酿酒 4次、创新药 3次、文化传媒 3次、减速器 1次、存储芯片 1次、液冷服务器 1次

行业：公用事业 3次、石油石化 3次、煤炭 2次、传媒 1次、医药生物 1次、商贸零售 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-10.3%，上涨覆盖27.7%，五日成交中位26716.5亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益+0.36%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 公用事业涨停8家，最高5板。

负反馈 · 跌停10家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 26716.5亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 9.9%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖27.7%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 16 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5

情绪九维 47.3

连板高度10.71
10.71
输入与公式
5 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数5.76
5.76
输入与公式
48 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率7.45
7.45
输入与公式
0.5274725274725275 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率3.97
3.97
输入与公式
0.09917355371900827 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价8.51
8.51
输入与公式
0.015446809917355375 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":10,"largeLoss":77} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度4.15
4.15
输入与公式
0.2768729641693811 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比2.7
2.7
输入与公式
{"limitUp":48,"limitDown":10} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能4.07
4.07
输入与公式
0.9036346208855186 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	146	2.64%	+7.03%	+6.05%
趋势延续	190	3.44%	+2.24%	+1.74%
低位修复	755	13.66%	+2.15%	+1.30%
中间状态	4435	80.26%	-1.85%	-1.76%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 121 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 9.92%

晋级名单

立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	5	+9.99%
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	4	+9.97%
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	3	+10.03%
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	2	+20.00%
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	2	+9.98%
利通电子	603629.SH	电子	2	+10.00%
盛达资源	000603.SZ	有色金属	2	+9.99%
长缆科技	002879.SZ	电力设备	2	+10.03%
大为股份	002213.SZ	电子	2	+10.00%
证通电子	002197.SZ	计算机	2	+9.94%
长裕集团	603407.SH	有色金属	2	+10.00%
爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	2	+9.98%
瑞芯微	603893.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
华电辽能	600396.SH	公用事业	1	+10.03%
华电能源	600726.SH	公用事业	1	+10.00%
华勤技术	603296.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
山金国际	000975.SZ	有色金属	1	+10.01%
惠城环保	300779.SZ	环保	1	+20.00%
金牛化工	600722.SH	基础化工	1	+9.99%
招金黄金	000506.SZ	有色金属	1	+9.97%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:30.999872+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。