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2026-07-21

结论与证据

全A收盘为3107家上涨、2301家下跌，上涨占比56.24%；成交2.9742万亿元，环比+9.42%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，24.1%样本位于MA20上方；121家封板、29家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方24% · 121家封板 · 温度66.2

支持证据

15方向中存储芯片当日+8.98%居前；131家触板、封板率92.4%，最高4板。

反证与边界

石油石化当日等权-2.76%，酿酒方向-1.62%；成交额环比+9.42%，资金流分类代理+326.1亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.9742 万亿
成交环比: +9.42%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3107 / 2301 / 117
上涨覆盖: 56.24%
中位涨幅: +0.59%
MA20上方: 24.09%
20日新高 / 新低: 160 / 962
涨停 / 跌停: 121 / 29
触板 / 未封: 131 / 10
封板率: 92.37%
最高连板: 4 板

收盘温度 66.2

广度19.68
19.68
输入与公式
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趋势4.82
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态12.1
12.1
输入与公式
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14.57
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 62.5

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
121.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率12
12
输入与公式
0.92 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率3.64
3.64
输入与公式
0.09 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.79
7.79
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":29,"largeLoss":76} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.44
8.44
输入与公式
0.56 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":121,"limitDown":29} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.55
5.55
输入与公式
0.98 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,864.37	+1.79%	1.3965 万亿
科创50	1,903.16	+10.73%	2,130.6 亿
深证成指	14,264.29	+4.81%	9,848.7 亿
创业板指	3,685.97	+7.05%	3,888.4 亿
中证1000	7,259.86	+4.23%	5,728.7 亿
国证2000	9,305.66	+3.59%	7,465.9 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	116	2.10%	+7.83%	+6.56%
趋势延续	214	3.87%	+1.88%	+1.38%
低位修复	2582	46.73%	+4.35%	+2.96%
中间状态	2613	47.29%	-1.64%	-1.43%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比56.24%，中位数涨幅+0.59%。

少数方向逆势承压

煤炭、石油石化分别为-2.03%、-2.76%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+9.42%，131家触板中10家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

存储芯片强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

酿酒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日92.4%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,864.37 · MA5 3,852.56 · MA10 3,914.73 · MA20 3,989.52

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,989.52 · 近10日最低 3,741.11 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 4,074.83 · 近20日最高 4,143.31

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

电子	低位修复	513	+7.38%	-14.71%	-22.18%	+6.67%	95.13%	5.65%	9,242.6 亿	31.08%	49	2	82.97	4.77
有色金属	低位修复	145	+3.96%	-7.80%	-20.65%	+3.97%	83.45%	14.48%	1,432.0 亿	4.81%	8	0	32.25	3.07
通信	低位修复	127	+3.94%	-7.84%	-20.89%	+2.90%	83.46%	14.96%	2,647.7 亿	8.90%	5	0	96.33	4.11
机械设备	低位修复	605	+2.71%	-9.09%	-19.19%	+1.62%	72.07%	8.76%	2,069.7 亿	6.96%	10	2	44.60	2.84
电力设备	低位修复	415	+2.52%	-6.81%	-21.00%	+1.94%	80.48%	7.95%	1,991.9 亿	6.70%	7	3	40.88	2.54
计算机	低位修复	358	+2.13%	-2.54%	-13.37%	+1.92%	83.24%	29.89%	1,808.9 亿	6.08%	7	1	74.56	3.23
国防军工	低位修复	139	+2.10%	-7.47%	-16.38%	+1.64%	80.58%	10.79%	679.1 亿	2.28%	2	1	71.83	3.43
基础化工	低位修复	446	+1.24%	-7.11%	-17.79%	+0.67%	56.95%	13.90%	1,309.4 亿	4.40%	7	6	34.13	2.02
汽车	低位修复	319	+0.94%	-5.90%	-14.46%	+0.44%	57.68%	15.99%	737.0 亿	2.48%	8	0	27.33	2.20
建筑材料	低位修复	76	+0.71%	-7.53%	-17.63%	0.00%	48.68%	11.84%	357.9 亿	1.20%	2	1	40.50	1.50
家用电器	低位修复	103	+0.68%	-5.03%	-11.97%	+0.41%	52.43%	20.39%	279.0 亿	0.94%	1	4	36.12	2.31
社会服务	低位修复	86	+0.63%	-2.39%	-11.47%	-0.26%	39.53%	22.09%	113.4 亿	0.38%	2	1	33.81	2.49
传媒	修复延续	131	+0.60%	+0.31%	-7.18%	+0.50%	58.78%	42.75%	516.2 亿	1.74%	0	0	37.36	2.75
环保	低位修复	134	+0.54%	-6.61%	-14.68%	-0.59%	44.78%	21.64%	205.9 亿	0.69%	1	0	25.78	1.82
非银金融	修复延续	79	+0.48%	+1.52%	-2.69%	+0.21%	55.70%	64.56%	690.6 亿	2.32%	0	0	18.70	1.29
建筑装饰	低位修复	155	+0.31%	-6.18%	-12.60%	-0.13%	46.45%	21.94%	338.1 亿	1.14%	3	1	30.32	1.75
钢铁	低位修复	43	+0.05%	-0.18%	-5.45%	0.00%	32.56%	60.47%	102.6 亿	0.35%	0	0	18.57	1.14
轻工制造	退潮观察	167	-0.41%	-6.36%	-13.80%	-0.95%	33.53%	15.57%	197.1 亿	0.66%	2	0	28.62	1.92
商贸零售	方向待明	99	-0.45%	-1.63%	-7.54%	-1.08%	29.29%	36.36%	202.7 亿	0.68%	1	0	30.07	1.72
交通运输	方向待明	128	-0.55%	-1.41%	-3.61%	-0.83%	28.91%	52.34%	284.1 亿	0.96%	0	0	17.22	1.29
美容护理	方向待明	30	-0.64%	-0.17%	-3.63%	-0.74%	30.00%	50.00%	53.17 亿	0.18%	0	1	25.98	2.20
医药生物	退潮观察	502	-0.70%	-3.88%	-0.50%	-1.58%	24.50%	43.82%	1,675.5 亿	5.63%	3	4	35.99	2.34
纺织服饰	退潮观察	108	-1.10%	-6.03%	-11.60%	-1.47%	25.00%	25.93%	140.1 亿	0.47%	0	1	27.92	1.71
房地产	退潮观察	95	-1.13%	-4.40%	-10.26%	-1.34%	20.00%	23.16%	179.9 亿	0.60%	0	0	34.43	1.08
综合	退潮观察	20	-1.37%	-6.17%	-13.23%	-1.51%	25.00%	20.00%	47.78 亿	0.16%	0	1	46.30	2.54
公用事业	高位分歧	139	-1.38%	+3.20%	-6.20%	-1.69%	25.90%	66.91%	891.8 亿	3.00%	2	0	25.36	1.62
农林牧渔	退潮观察	114	-1.44%	-3.53%	-5.39%	-1.69%	13.16%	37.72%	198.4 亿	0.67%	1	0	36.78	2.18
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-1.50%	-1.64%	-5.24%	-1.67%	15.08%	45.24%	477.0 亿	1.60%	0	0	24.49	2.09
银行	方向待明	42	-1.88%	+0.97%	-0.34%	-1.86%	0.00%	97.62%	456.2 亿	1.53%	0	0	5.91	0.54
煤炭	方向待明	33	-2.03%	+0.34%	-2.41%	-2.20%	12.12%	69.70%	168.7 亿	0.57%	0	0	22.00	1.24
石油石化	退潮观察	48	-2.76%	-4.27%	-6.12%	-2.43%	6.25%	43.75%	247.6 亿	0.83%	0	0	36.54	1.94

涨停生态

首板 116 家 · 多板 5 家 · 昨日涨停 55 家 · 今日晋级 5 家 · 晋级率 9.09%

4 板 · 1 家 · 立新能源

3 板 · 1 家 · 华银电力

2 板 · 3 家 · 美利云、联创电子、中嘉博创

1 板 · 116 家 · 兆易创新、长电科技、紫光股份、通富微电、华虹宏力、长川科技、生益科技、北方华创

行业聚类

电子 · 49 家 · 最高 2 板 · 联创电子、兆易创新、长电科技、通富微电、华虹宏力、长川科技

机械设备 · 10 家 · 最高 1 板 · 大族激光、精智达、正帆科技、华兴源创、深科达、天准科技

有色金属 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 赤峰黄金、博迁新材、东方锆业、兴业银锡、盛达资源、海亮股份

汽车 · 8 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华懋科技、长源东谷、鑫宏业、嵘泰股份、中原内配、万通智控

基础化工 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 三祥新材、新金路、黑猫股份、康达新材、嘉德利、乐通股份

电力设备 · 7 家 · 最高 1 板 · 麦格米特、蔚蓝锂芯、微导纳米、杉杉股份、扬电科技、金刚光伏

计算机 · 7 家 · 最高 2 板 · 美利云、紫光股份、淳中科技、证通电子、神州信息、锐明技术

通信 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 中嘉博创、星网锐捷、联特科技、共进股份、中瓷电子

医药生物 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 九安医疗、哈药股份、爱迪特

建筑装饰 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 太极实业、亚翔集成、同济科技

公用事业 · 2 家 · 最高 4 板 · 立新能源、华银电力

国防军工 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 睿创微纳、火炬电子

建筑材料 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 宏和科技、法狮龙

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 米奥会展、学大教育

轻工制造 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 美新科技、爱丽家居

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 京基智农

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 翠微股份

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金海高科

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 先河环保

连续晋级与首板

立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	+10.00%	4	15.79 亿	主板	92500	130130	17	4/4	5,205.48 万
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	+10.06%	3	25.52 亿	主板	132251	144754	7	3/3	916.00 万
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	+9.98%	2	4.44 亿	主板	93000	93000	0	2/2	2.15 亿
联创电子	002036.SZ	电子	+10.08%	2	3.03 亿	主板	93633	93633	0	2/2	6,154.46 万
中嘉博创	000889.SZ	通信	+10.14%	2	2.58 亿	主板	93442	93515	1	3/5	5,387.15 万
兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	330.9 亿	主板	140805	140805	0	1/1	10.49 亿
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	209.0 亿	主板	143654	145036	7	1/1	1.20 亿
紫光股份	000938.SZ	计算机	+10.00%	1	193.1 亿	主板	112933	134006	3	1/1	5.95 亿
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	134.3 亿	主板	131057	134800	1	1/1	4.42 亿
华虹宏力	688347.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	128.8 亿	科创板	143607	143607	0	1/1	4.49 亿
长川科技	300604.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	120.5 亿	创业板	143545	144130	1	1/1	1.52 亿
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	115.1 亿	主板	143228	143228	0	1/1	2.65 亿
北方华创	002371.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	105.9 亿	主板	103639	104657	1	1/1	10.90 亿
拓荆科技	688072.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	80.78 亿	科创板	143725	143725	0	1/1	5,840.40 万
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	+9.99%	1	65.85 亿	主板	130036	131915	1	1/1	3.50 亿
星网锐捷	002396.SZ	通信	+9.99%	1	65.50 亿	主板	130003	142133	4	1/1	8,423.76 万
国瓷材料	300285.SZ	电子	+19.99%	1	61.00 亿	创业板	110300	110300	0	1/1	1.78 亿
雅克科技	002409.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	59.45 亿	主板	100815	134900	0	1/1	1.86 亿
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	+10.02%	1	55.81 亿	主板	100755	144104	3	1/1	5,015.68 万
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	55.70 亿	科创板	140648	140648	0	1/1	1.65 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	-10.09%	3.32 亿	主板	—	94118	4	—	5,129.64 万
湖南发展	000722.SZ	公用事业	-5.79%	9.70 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
深南电A	000037.SZ	公用事业	-4.94%	5.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金牛化工	600722.SH	基础化工	-3.94%	11.20 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
桂冠电力	600236.SH	公用事业	-3.68%	8.35 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
乐山电力	600644.SH	公用事业	-2.72%	8.02 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
双枪科技	001211.SZ	轻工制造	-9.96%	1.80 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
麒盛科技	603610.SH	轻工制造	-8.36%	2.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
三晖电气	002857.SZ	电力设备	-8.34%	1.59 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金达莱	688057.SH	环保	-6.60%	2.71 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
山东墨龙	002490.SZ	机械设备	-6.03%	6.06 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
淮北矿业	600985.SH	煤炭	-4.74%	5.21 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
浙江新能	600032.SH	公用事业	-4.24%	5.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国海油	600938.SH	石油石化	-2.95%	32.93 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
博迈科	603727.SH	石油石化	-2.41%	1.63 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海正药业	600267.SH	医药生物	-2.17%	11.14 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

美诺华	603538.SH	医药生物	-10.01%	20.07 亿	主板	—	142341	8	—	1.07 亿
贤丰控股	002141.SZ	电子	-9.93%	14.01 亿	主板	—	145306	17	—	737.11 万
宿迁联盛	603065.SH	基础化工	-9.97%	6.33 亿	主板	—	150000	9	—	737.26 万
依依股份	001206.SZ	美容护理	-9.98%	4.18 亿	主板	—	105118	0	—	7,647.81 万
塞力医疗	603716.SH	医药生物	-10.00%	3.90 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	-10.09%	3.32 亿	主板	—	94118	4	—	5,129.64 万
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	-10.23%	3.11 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
肯特催化	603120.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	2.95 亿	主板	—	150000	10	—	479.89 万
贵绳股份	600992.SH	机械设备	-9.97%	2.62 亿	主板	—	150000	32	—	18.07 万
得邦照明	603303.SH	家用电器	-10.00%	2.33 亿	主板	—	150000	24	—	59.33 万
*ST高科	600730.SH	社会服务	-10.01%	2.09 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
艾艾精工	603580.SH	基础化工	-9.99%	2.00 亿	主板	—	93059	1	—	1.04 亿

大跌样本

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-29.58%	82.40 万	北交所	—	92502	0	—	1,749.70 万
智明达	688636.SH	国防军工	-20.02%	4,254.86 万	科创板	—	92504	0	—	2.29 亿
万邦医药	301520.SZ	医药生物	-12.01%	8.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-11.53%	6.29 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
龙源技术	300105.SZ	环保	-10.70%	6.47 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	-10.23%	3.11 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	-10.09%	3.32 亿	主板	—	94118	4	—	5,129.64 万
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.09%	1,300.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	-10.06%	6,038.11 万	主板	—	93118	0	—	4,886.29 万
ST标准	600302.SH	机械设备	-10.05%	5,578.12 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
亚泰集团	600881.SH	综合	-10.05%	1.22 亿	主板	—	93115	0	—	1.10 亿
*ST沐邦	603398.SH	电力设备	-10.03%	1.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

泰诺麦博	688806.SH	医药生物	+211.89%	0	16.10 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
鑫汇科	920267.BJ	电子	+29.99%	1	1.06 亿	北交所	135102	135102	0	1/1	1,481.58 万
戈碧迦	920438.BJ	电子	+25.36%	0	9.51 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
格科微	688728.SH	电子	+20.03%	1	11.64 亿	科创板	111643	111643	0	1/1	1.12 亿
万通智控	300643.SZ	汽车	+20.03%	1	2.50 亿	创业板	110503	110503	0	1/1	1.28 亿
扬电科技	301012.SZ	电力设备	+20.02%	1	5.41 亿	创业板	93657	103357	1	1/1	1.08 亿
米奥会展	300795.SZ	社会服务	+20.02%	1	5.72 亿	创业板	130436	130933	2	2/3	2,557.19 万
美新科技	301588.SZ	轻工制造	+20.01%	1	2.92 亿	创业板	144545	144545	0	1/1	3,006.52 万
波长光电	301421.SZ	电子	+20.01%	1	5.99 亿	创业板	131036	131036	0	1/1	6,158.57 万
深科达	688328.SH	机械设备	+20.01%	1	8.44 亿	科创板	140732	150000	6	1/1	1,084.29 万
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	20.01 亿	科创板	112715	135536	1	1/1	3,386.02 万
东芯股份	688110.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	43.89 亿	科创板	140610	140640	1	1/1	9,159.80 万

跌幅居前

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-29.58%	82.40 万	北交所	—	92502	0	—	1,749.70 万
智明达	688636.SH	国防军工	-20.02%	4,254.86 万	科创板	—	92504	0	—	2.29 亿
万邦医药	301520.SZ	医药生物	-12.01%	8.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
安联锐视	301042.SZ	计算机	-11.53%	6.29 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
龙源技术	300105.SZ	环保	-10.70%	6.47 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	-10.23%	3.11 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
赤天化	600227.SH	基础化工	-10.09%	3.32 亿	主板	—	94118	4	—	5,129.64 万
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.09%	1,300.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	-10.06%	6,038.11 万	主板	—	93118	0	—	4,886.29 万
ST标准	600302.SH	机械设备	-10.05%	5,578.12 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
亚泰集团	600881.SH	综合	-10.05%	1.22 亿	主板	—	93115	0	—	1.10 亿
*ST沐邦	603398.SH	电力设备	-10.03%	1.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3192	+0.39%	46.21%	31.77%	+2.39%
创业板	1397	+2.43%	66.14%	15.03%	+4.49%
科创板	609	+5.00%	77.50%	11.00%	+3.44%
北交所	327	+1.75%	72.17%	12.23%	+2.82%

市值分层

小盘	2763	+0.06%	44.12%	29.29 亿
中盘	1658	+2.32%	67.01%	87.67 亿
大盘	828	+3.86%	73.31%	275.9 亿
超大盘	276	+3.68%	61.59%	1,317.7 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

存储芯片	低位修复	206/203	+8.98%	-17.34%	-19.82%	+8.89%	-17.22%	-19.93%	-0.08%	95.57%	3.45%	5,540.8 亿	18.63%	35.00%	+7.49%	30	0	162.8 亿	99.03%
电子化学品	低位修复	43/43	+8.92%	-19.91%	-28.22%	+8.92%	-20.00%	-29.19%	-0.00%	97.67%	0.00%	606.0 亿	2.04%	30.00%	+7.43%	5	0	5.49 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	低位修复	57/57	+8.63%	-15.62%	—	+8.53%	-14.96%	-26.19%	-0.09%	98.25%	3.51%	1,343.1 亿	4.52%	30.00%	+7.13%	7	0	52.35 亿	100.00%
先进封装	低位修复	204/203	+8.44%	-16.86%	-23.62%	+8.36%	-16.75%	-23.06%	-0.08%	97.04%	2.96%	4,373.2 亿	14.70%	35.00%	+6.95%	30	1	155.4 亿	100.00%
CPO	低位修复	212/212	+7.66%	-15.14%	-26.46%	+7.63%	-15.03%	-26.38%	-0.03%	97.17%	4.72%	6,285.3 亿	21.13%	60.00%	+6.17%	22	0	138.9 亿	100.00%
PCB	低位修复	236/235	+6.61%	-14.76%	-27.54%	+6.56%	-14.82%	-27.92%	-0.05%	91.49%	4.68%	3,225.7 亿	10.85%	45.00%	+5.12%	19	3	42.43 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	低位修复	80/80	+6.16%	-15.57%	-23.11%	+6.21%	-15.86%	-23.39%	+0.05%	90.00%	2.50%	721.7 亿	2.43%	35.00%	+4.67%	4	1	6.17 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	低位修复	229/229	+4.57%	-11.01%	-19.53%	+4.54%	-11.03%	-19.83%	-0.03%	87.77%	10.04%	3,641.2 亿	12.24%	45.00%	+3.08%	10	2	82.91 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+4.15%	-11.23%	-28.05%	+4.15%	-11.24%	-28.47%	+0.00%	94.12%	0.00%	111.6 亿	0.38%	25.00%	+2.66%	1	0	-1,185.52 万	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/461	+3.68%	-9.18%	-18.40%	+3.66%	-9.24%	-19.11%	-0.02%	84.38%	9.33%	3,865.2 亿	13.00%	30.00%	+2.19%	14	1	75.63 亿	99.78%
商业航天	低位修复	507/506	+3.35%	-9.31%	-19.64%	+3.33%	-9.18%	-20.03%	-0.02%	83.60%	9.88%	3,793.2 亿	12.75%	35.00%	+1.86%	15	2	37.69 亿	100.00%
减速器	低位修复	139/139	+2.36%	-8.61%	-17.68%	+2.36%	-8.71%	-18.17%	-0.00%	77.70%	5.04%	524.3 亿	1.76%	20.00%	+0.87%	1	0	10.12 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	低位修复	197/197	+0.74%	-1.39%	-8.01%	+0.74%	-1.39%	-8.24%	+0.00%	53.30%	36.55%	604.6 亿	2.03%	85.00%	-0.75%	4	0	5.56 亿	100.00%
创新药	趋势转弱	281/280	-0.95%	-3.43%	+3.66%	-0.19%	-3.64%	+3.48%	+0.76%	27.86%	51.43%	1,278.0 亿	4.30%	70.00%	-2.44%	1	4	-2.04 亿	100.00%
酿酒	高位分歧	31/30	-1.62%	+6.75%	+5.48%	-1.79%	+2.64%	-1.24%	-0.17%	6.67%	60.00%	264.2 亿	0.89%	95.00%	-3.11%	0	0	-17.74 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

存储芯片 · 低位修复

领涨：深科达（688328.SH）+20.01%、正帆科技（688596.SH）+20.00%、东芯股份（688110.SH）+20.00%

领跌：时空科技（605178.SH）-9.01%、凯瑞德（002072.SZ）-5.87%、*ST中迪（000609.SZ）-5.61%

电子化学品 · 低位修复

领涨：国瓷材料（300285.SZ）+19.99%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）+19.99%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）+17.36%

领跌：格林达（603931.SH）-2.01%

玻璃基板 · 低位修复

领涨：戈碧迦（920438.BJ）+25.36%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）+17.36%、三孚新科（688359.SH）+17.18%

领跌：

先进封装 · 低位修复

领涨：戈碧迦（920438.BJ）+25.36%、深科达（688328.SH）+20.01%、中科飞测（688361.SH）+20.00%

领跌：亿道信息（001314.SZ）-10.01%、*ST和科（002816.SZ）-8.10%、探路者（300005.SZ）-7.23%

CPO · 低位修复

领涨：深科达（688328.SH）+20.01%、联特科技（301205.SZ）+20.00%、天准科技（688003.SH）+20.00%

领跌：雷迪克（300652.SZ）-10.00%、ST得润（002055.SZ）-1.88%、全信股份（300447.SZ）-0.72%

PCB · 低位修复

领涨：波长光电（301421.SZ）+20.01%、天准科技（688003.SH）+20.00%、中富电路（300814.SZ）+20.00%

领跌：亿道信息（001314.SZ）-10.01%、信通电子（001388.SZ）-9.99%、贤丰控股（002141.SZ）-9.93%

光刻胶 · 低位修复

领涨：芯源微（688037.SH）+20.00%、艾森股份（688720.SH）+17.44%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）+17.36%

领跌：肯特催化（603120.SH）-9.99%、迦南科技（300412.SZ）-2.80%、新华医疗（600587.SH）-2.78%

液冷服务器 · 低位修复

领涨：东微半导（688261.SH）+20.00%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）+19.99%、骄成超声（688392.SH）+18.33%

领跌：小崧股份（002723.SZ）-10.00%、道明光学（002632.SZ）-9.97%、凯添燃气（920010.BJ）-5.61%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：龙磁科技（300835.SZ）+13.31%、春光集团（301531.SZ）+11.47%、悦安新材（688786.SH）+11.40%

领跌：族兴新材（920078.BJ）-4.37%、合金投资（000633.SZ）-2.94%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：鑫宏业（301310.SZ）+20.00%、东微半导（688261.SH）+20.00%、华兴源创（688001.SH）+20.00%

领跌：安联锐视（301042.SZ）-11.53%、晶华新材（603683.SH）-10.00%、雷迪克（300652.SZ）-10.00%

商业航天 · 低位修复

领涨：戈碧迦（920438.BJ）+25.36%、美新科技（301588.SZ）+20.01%、睿创微纳（688002.SH）+20.00%

领跌：智明达（688636.SH）-20.02%、贵绳股份（600992.SH）-9.97%、探路者（300005.SZ）-7.23%

减速器 · 低位修复

领涨：斯莱克（300382.SZ）+18.06%、昊志机电（300503.SZ）+13.32%、美利信（301307.SZ）+11.99%

领跌：*ST春兴（002547.SZ）-9.41%、永茂泰（605208.SH）-7.81%、韶能股份（000601.SZ）-3.83%

文化传媒 · 低位修复

领涨：线上线下（300959.SZ）+17.03%、乐通股份（002319.SZ）+10.05%、盛达资源（000603.SZ）+10.03%

领跌：若羽臣（003010.SZ）-7.00%、ST华闻（000793.SZ）-4.60%、安妮股份（002235.SZ）-4.46%

创新药 · 趋势转弱

领涨：泰诺麦博（688806.SH）+211.89%、陇神戎发（300534.SZ）+14.62%、新赣江（920367.BJ）+11.43%

领跌：万邦医药（301520.SZ）-12.01%、ST海王（000078.SZ）-10.23%、亚泰集团（600881.SH）-10.05%

酿酒 · 高位分歧

领涨：古井贡酒（000596.SZ）+2.31%、张裕A（000869.SZ）+0.53%

领跌：皇台酒业（000995.SZ）-5.21%、*ST尼雅（600084.SH）-4.07%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）-3.82%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

AI与半导体	128	+11.45%	+7.69%	-7.38%	-8.18%	752.2 亿	100.00%	38/75	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · -1.40%
中小盘宽基	140	+5.63%	+5.06%	-5.58%	-12.88%	661.2 亿	99.29%	77/21	易方达创业板ETF · +18.22%
资源周期	55	+2.92%	+4.09%	-3.04%	-12.08%	60.42 亿	100.00%	22/21	国泰中证煤炭ETF · +2.89%
大盘宽基	83	+2.59%	+2.52%	+0.59%	-0.55%	286.4 亿	100.00%	35/19	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.27%
消费	44	+2.14%	-0.23%	+1.87%	+0.33%	35.83 亿	100.00%	12/17	鹏华中证酒ETF · +1.05%
医药健康	51	+0.97%	+0.74%	+1.41%	+12.02%	68.79 亿	100.00%	22/25	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.31%
金融地产	48	-0.24%	0.00%	+1.57%	-0.67%	96.97 亿	100.00%	22/16	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.66%
红利防御	94	-0.76%	-0.68%	+2.20%	+1.72%	107.0 亿	100.00%	41/29	广发中证全指电力公用事业ETF · +3.22%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

AI硬件与数字经济	电子、通信、计算机	998	+5.06%	-9.47%	-18.86%	89.38%	15.53%	46.06%	61	3
高端制造	机械设备、电力设备、国防军工、汽车	1478	+2.22%	-7.61%	-18.41%	72.12%	10.28%	18.42%	27	6
资源周期	有色金属、基础化工、钢铁、煤炭、石油石化	715	+1.30%	-6.30%	-16.14%	55.38%	21.40%	10.96%	15	6
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	231	+0.44%	-6.62%	-14.25%	47.19%	18.61%	2.34%	5	2
公用防御	环保、交通运输、公用事业	401	-0.47%	-1.55%	-8.20%	33.17%	47.13%	4.65%	3	0
大消费	家用电器、社会服务、商贸零售、农林牧渔、食品饮料	528	-0.52%	-2.83%	-8.03%	28.60%	33.33%	4.27%	5	5
金融地产	非银金融、房地产、银行	216	-0.69%	-1.19%	-5.56%	29.17%	52.78%	4.46%	0	0
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	532	-0.69%	-3.67%	-0.68%	24.81%	44.17%	5.81%	3	5

近五个交易日

2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +9.42%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +24.74%

涨停家数：扩张 · 66

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.6716 万亿 · 温度区间：24.8–66.2 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：文化传媒 4次、酿酒 4次、创新药 3次、减速器 1次、存储芯片 1次、玻璃基板 1次

行业：公用事业 2次、医药生物 2次、石油石化 2次、传媒 1次、商贸零售 1次、有色金属 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+9.4%，上涨覆盖56.2%，五日成交中位26716.5亿元。

方向承接 · 存储芯片当日收益+8.98%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停49家，最高2板。

负反馈 · 跌停29家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 26716.5亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 存储芯片

确认：存储芯片继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 9.1%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖56.2%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 15 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4

情绪九维 62.5

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数12
12
输入与公式
121 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率12
12
输入与公式
0.9236641221374046 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率3.64
3.64
输入与公式
0.09090909090909091 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.79
7.79
输入与公式
0.012441818181818182 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":29,"largeLoss":76} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度8.44
8.44
输入与公式
0.5623529411764706 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":121,"limitDown":29} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能5.55
5.55
输入与公式
0.9772888672506495 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	116	2.10%	+7.83%	+6.56%
趋势延续	214	3.87%	+1.88%	+1.38%
低位修复	2582	46.73%	+4.35%	+2.96%
中间状态	2613	47.29%	-1.64%	-1.43%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 55 家 · 今日晋级 5 家 · 晋级率 9.09%

晋级名单

立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	4	+10.00%
华银电力	600744.SH	公用事业	3	+10.06%
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	2	+9.98%
联创电子	002036.SZ	电子	2	+10.08%
中嘉博创	000889.SZ	通信	2	+10.14%
兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
紫光股份	000938.SZ	计算机	1	+10.00%
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
华虹宏力	688347.SH	电子	1	+20.00%
长川科技	300604.SZ	电子	1	+20.00%
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
北方华创	002371.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
拓荆科技	688072.SH	电子	1	+20.00%
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	1	+9.99%
星网锐捷	002396.SZ	通信	1	+9.99%
国瓷材料	300285.SZ	电子	1	+19.99%
雅克科技	002409.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	1	+10.02%
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	1	+20.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:26.345931+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。