历史详情 · A 股观测台

2026-07-10

结论与证据

全A收盘为3772家上涨、1678家下跌，上涨占比68.32%；成交3.4107万亿元，环比+16.32%。单日广度明显扩张，25.7%样本位于MA20上方；95家封板、7家跌停，广度与涨停生态相互印证。这确认了当日扩张，但持续性仍需下一交易日验证。

广度扩张 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方26% · 95家封板 · 温度58.0

支持证据

15方向中创新药当日+3.03%居前；192家触板、封板率49.5%，最高3板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-1.43%，电子化学品方向-5.92%；成交额环比+16.32%，资金流分类代理-397.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 3.4107 万亿
成交环比: +16.32%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 3772 / 1678 / 71
上涨覆盖: 68.32%
中位涨幅: +1.23%
MA20上方: 25.72%
20日新高 / 新低: 168 / 467
涨停 / 跌停: 95 / 7
触板 / 未封: 192 / 97
封板率: 49.48%
最高连板: 3 板

收盘温度 58

广度23.91
23.91
输入与公式
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趋势5.14
5.14
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态13.97
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量能15
15
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 58.7

连板高度6.43
6.43
输入与公式
3.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数11.4
11.4
输入与公式
95.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率6.99
6.99
输入与公式
0.49 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率5.33
5.33
输入与公式
0.13 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价6.42
6.42
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应1.35
1.35
输入与公式
{"limitDown":7,"largeLoss":194} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.68 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比5.06
5.06
输入与公式
{"limitUp":95,"limitDown":7} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能6.67
6.67
输入与公式
1.03 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,996.16	-1.00%	1.5631 万亿
科创50	2,064.98	-5.53%	2,351.0 亿
深证成指	15,046.67	-2.29%	1.1441 万亿
创业板指	3,842.73	-4.37%	4,241.9 亿
中证1000	8,198.31	-1.23%	6,918.1 亿
国证2000	10,604.18	-0.81%	8,932.4 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	132	2.39%	+8.49%	+7.80%
趋势延续	191	3.46%	+3.41%	+2.29%
低位修复	2734	49.52%	+2.56%	+1.96%
中间状态	2464	44.63%	-1.23%	-1.06%

三项风险

普涨后的广度持续性尚未确认

上涨占比68.32%、中位数涨幅+1.23%；单日扩张不等同连续扩张。

少数方向逆势承压

非银金融、电子分别为-1.04%、-1.43%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+16.32%，192家触板中97家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度扩张能否延续

上涨占比继续高于50%，且MA20上方比例不显著低于今日25.7%。

创新药强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日49.5%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,996.16 · MA5 4,007.02 · MA10 4,038.84 · MA20 4,066.73

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,066.73 · 近10日最低 3,938.88 · 近20日最低 3,938.88；压力：近10日最高 4,143.31 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-09	4,086.76	4,121.72	4,083.62	4,120.43	+0.92%
2026-01-12	4,134.89	4,168.36	4,119.88	4,165.29	+1.09%
2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

国防军工	低位修复	140	+3.39%	-3.10%	+2.48%	+3.26%	84.29%	45.00%	1,267.5 亿	3.72%	10	0	82.52	3.95
传媒	修复延续	131	+2.87%	+0.65%	-2.82%	+2.75%	90.08%	37.40%	709.0 亿	2.08%	2	0	38.29	2.91
医药生物	低位修复	502	+2.84%	-1.93%	+4.57%	+2.43%	89.24%	63.35%	1,525.0 亿	4.47%	12	0	36.52	2.34
房地产	低位修复	95	+2.50%	-0.05%	-6.04%	+2.88%	85.26%	29.47%	237.0 亿	0.69%	4	0	36.36	1.14
农林牧渔	低位修复	114	+2.28%	-1.29%	-3.19%	+2.20%	90.35%	48.25%	175.3 亿	0.51%	3	0	36.23	2.25
商贸零售	低位修复	99	+2.11%	-2.23%	-4.43%	+2.40%	86.87%	23.23%	169.9 亿	0.50%	1	0	30.83	1.74
建筑装饰	低位修复	155	+2.03%	-2.92%	-4.24%	+1.88%	80.65%	21.94%	393.2 亿	1.15%	6	0	30.87	1.93
食品饮料	低位修复	126	+2.02%	-1.61%	-6.02%	+2.21%	89.68%	21.43%	330.0 亿	0.97%	0	0	24.52	2.10
钢铁	低位修复	43	+1.71%	-2.84%	-6.44%	+2.08%	86.05%	16.28%	94.21 亿	0.28%	0	0	18.50	1.09
家用电器	低位修复	102	+1.58%	-4.81%	-4.50%	+1.32%	73.53%	22.55%	279.0 亿	0.82%	2	0	41.55	2.45
社会服务	低位修复	86	+1.42%	-3.92%	-6.14%	+1.79%	82.56%	10.47%	116.8 亿	0.34%	0	0	36.25	2.71
计算机	低位修复	360	+1.42%	-1.42%	-2.89%	+1.73%	76.67%	26.39%	2,153.8 亿	6.31%	4	0	83.07	3.50
综合	低位修复	20	+1.34%	-3.64%	-7.23%	+2.47%	75.00%	15.00%	60.49 亿	0.18%	0	0	54.31	2.65
美容护理	低位修复	30	+1.33%	-2.29%	-1.68%	+1.43%	90.00%	30.00%	33.83 亿	0.10%	0	0	26.35	2.26
公用事业	低位修复	139	+1.31%	-4.12%	-11.92%	+1.25%	79.86%	10.07%	519.1 亿	1.52%	3	1	24.09	1.55
汽车	低位修复	319	+1.18%	-5.87%	-5.90%	+1.22%	71.79%	18.81%	832.2 亿	2.44%	4	0	31.04	2.47
石油石化	低位修复	48	+1.18%	-1.08%	-5.27%	+1.09%	70.83%	20.83%	181.8 亿	0.53%	3	0	36.32	2.02
环保	低位修复	134	+1.11%	-3.45%	-5.39%	+1.00%	70.15%	22.39%	191.0 亿	0.56%	1	0	28.79	1.94
轻工制造	低位修复	167	+1.06%	-3.55%	-5.89%	+1.33%	71.86%	21.56%	177.0 亿	0.52%	1	0	30.58	2.14
纺织服饰	低位修复	108	+1.02%	-4.73%	-3.06%	+0.88%	68.52%	33.33%	116.4 亿	0.34%	1	1	29.45	1.78
交通运输	低位修复	128	+1.02%	-1.57%	-2.77%	+0.96%	75.78%	31.25%	201.6 亿	0.59%	2	0	17.49	1.32
机械设备	低位修复	603	+0.72%	-6.46%	-2.83%	+1.08%	63.35%	20.23%	2,617.1 亿	7.67%	9	2	51.06	3.24
建筑材料	低位修复	76	+0.70%	-5.23%	-6.42%	+1.66%	71.05%	11.84%	444.6 亿	1.30%	1	0	44.86	1.75
通信	低位修复	127	+0.64%	-2.97%	-4.45%	+0.93%	62.99%	23.62%	2,849.2 亿	8.35%	5	0	110.27	4.62
煤炭	低位修复	33	+0.52%	-1.13%	-14.08%	+0.48%	54.55%	18.18%	96.70 亿	0.28%	0	0	20.60	1.20
电力设备	低位修复	413	+0.52%	-7.61%	-8.37%	+0.84%	64.65%	7.99%	2,364.2 亿	6.93%	11	1	45.80	2.83
银行	修复延续	42	+0.43%	+1.40%	-6.59%	+0.50%	66.67%	19.05%	260.1 亿	0.76%	0	0	5.78	0.52
有色金属	低位修复	145	+0.13%	-9.11%	-6.80%	+0.04%	50.34%	8.28%	1,529.4 亿	4.48%	1	1	37.10	3.42
基础化工	低位修复	444	+0.09%	-6.91%	-6.55%	+0.60%	59.91%	11.49%	1,524.8 亿	4.47%	5	0	38.04	2.20
非银金融	方向待明	79	-1.04%	-2.79%	+4.86%	-0.98%	29.11%	34.18%	563.3 亿	1.65%	0	0	18.63	1.24
电子	退潮观察	513	-1.43%	-4.08%	+7.19%	-3.21%	25.15%	29.82%	1.2093 万亿	35.46%	4	1	104.52	6.05

涨停生态

首板 84 家 · 多板 11 家 · 昨日涨停 75 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 13.33%

3 板 · 1 家 · ST龙元

2 板 · 10 家 · 高德红外、中鼎股份、欢瑞世纪、立方制药、星网宇达、柘中股份、贵绳股份、亚联机械

1 板 · 84 家 · 航天电子、金风科技、中国卫星、海兰信、神火股份、航天发展、昭衍新药、盈新发展

行业聚类

医药生物 · 12 家 · 最高 2 板 · 立方制药、昭衍新药、美诺华、众生药业、常山药业、双成药业

电力设备 · 11 家 · 最高 2 板 · 柘中股份、金风科技、钧达股份、华菱线缆、金利华电、中船科技

国防军工 · 10 家 · 最高 2 板 · 高德红外、星网宇达、航天电子、中国卫星、海兰信、航天发展

机械设备 · 9 家 · 最高 2 板 · 贵绳股份、亚联机械、巨力索具、航天工程、航天动力、中信重工

建筑装饰 · 6 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST龙元、华建集团、上海港湾、中天精装、时空科技、中岩大地

基础化工 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 神剑股份、东方材料、同益中、新亚强、沃顿科技

通信 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 移远通信、普天科技、超讯科技、三维通信、中通国脉

房地产 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 盈新发展、首开股份、*ST发展、粤宏远A

汽车 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 中鼎股份、航天科技、晋拓股份、日盈电子

电子 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 和而泰、奋达科技、鑫汇科、恒久退

计算机 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 国华退、华胜天成、ST佳缘、锐明技术

公用事业 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 九丰能源、金开新能、富春环保

农林牧渔 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 京基智农、金新农、邦基科技

石油石化 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 贝肯能源、恒通股份、渤海化学

交通运输 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 海通发展、中远海特

传媒 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 欢瑞世纪、中国科传

家用电器 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 创维数字、三星新材

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 浙江东日

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 三峡新材

有色金属 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 神火股份

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 国林科技

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 宏达高科

轻工制造 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 好莱客

连续晋级与首板

ST龙元	600491.SH	建筑装饰	+9.80%	3	83.50 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
高德红外	002414.SZ	国防军工	+9.99%	2	29.79 亿	主板	92500	95142	5	2/2	1.07 亿
中鼎股份	000887.SZ	汽车	+10.00%	2	22.34 亿	主板	93203	143215	24	2/2	278.16 万
欢瑞世纪	000892.SZ	传媒	+9.95%	2	5.75 亿	主板	100330	100406	1	4/7	3,053.61 万
立方制药	003020.SZ	医药生物	+9.98%	2	3.24 亿	主板	94812	95906	2	2/2	3,583.61 万
星网宇达	002829.SZ	国防军工	+9.98%	2	2.80 亿	主板	95318	95318	0	2/2	5,518.90 万
柘中股份	002346.SZ	电力设备	+9.98%	2	2.06 亿	主板	93036	93633	1	2/2	7,328.79 万
贵绳股份	600992.SH	机械设备	+10.02%	2	1.78 亿	主板	100328	100328	0	2/2	6,199.90 万
亚联机械	001395.SZ	机械设备	+9.99%	2	1.08 亿	主板	93145	93345	2	2/2	1,794.04 万
好莱客	603898.SH	轻工制造	+10.01%	2	8,565.19 万	主板	94010	94010	0	2/2	5,007.03 万
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	+9.52%	2	166.72 万	主板	93103	94806	6	6/10	82.56 万
航天电子	600879.SH	国防军工	+10.01%	1	58.17 亿	主板	130521	131133	2	1/1	1.43 亿
金风科技	002202.SZ	电力设备	+9.99%	1	58.10 亿	主板	131242	145512	19	1/1	4,706.70 万
中国卫星	600118.SH	国防军工	+10.00%	1	53.10 亿	主板	130029	130029	0	1/1	8.60 亿
海兰信	300065.SZ	国防军工	+20.01%	1	32.79 亿	创业板	130021	130021	0	1/1	2.40 亿
神火股份	000933.SZ	有色金属	+10.02%	1	24.26 亿	主板	104806	134912	17	1/1	2,302.47 万
航天发展	000547.SZ	国防军工	+9.99%	1	23.43 亿	主板	130106	130315	2	1/1	1.83 亿
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	+10.00%	1	22.73 亿	主板	101538	143326	26	1/1	497.00 万
盈新发展	000620.SZ	房地产	+10.00%	1	21.57 亿	主板	94030	145615	16	1/1	753.26 万
美诺华	603538.SH	医药生物	+10.01%	1	21.35 亿	主板	100758	132658	9	1/1	5,593.85 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+6.15%	10.67 亿	主板	93024	—	22	8/9	—
视源股份	002841.SZ	电子	+0.61%	24.25 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
山东墨龙	002490.SZ	机械设备	+0.13%	7.78 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
浪潮信息	000977.SZ	计算机	+4.11%	260.8 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
兴业股份	603928.SH	基础化工	+4.44%	15.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
上峰材料	000672.SZ	建筑材料	-9.86%	10.70 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金海通	603061.SH	电子	-7.96%	18.49 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-7.76%	593.8 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
兴森科技	002436.SZ	电子	-7.47%	60.35 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	-7.28%	311.0 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华安证券	600909.SH	非银金融	-6.63%	38.55 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	-6.51%	23.27 亿	主板	93342	—	3	1/2	—
养元饮品	603156.SH	食品饮料	-5.97%	8.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金富科技	003018.SZ	轻工制造	-5.43%	6.28 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
合百集团	000417.SZ	商贸零售	-4.89%	8.27 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华瑞股份	300626.SZ	电力设备	-4.35%	4.45 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

杰瑞股份	002353.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	30.93 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
露笑科技	002617.SZ	公用事业	-10.02%	29.39 亿	主板	—	145527	2	—	960.64 万
融捷股份	002192.SZ	有色金属	-10.01%	26.61 亿	主板	—	133942	5	—	1.30 亿
龙蟠科技	603906.SH	电力设备	-9.99%	15.25 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华亚智能	003043.SZ	电子	-10.00%	11.20 亿	主板	—	144839	3	—	588.61 万
宇环数控	002903.SZ	机械设备	-10.01%	6.08 亿	主板	—	145518	0	—	313.75 万
*ST萃华	002731.SZ	纺织服饰	-10.06%	286.92 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

大跌样本

永励精密	920136.BJ	汽车	-24.91%	3.25 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中船特气	688146.SH	电子	-19.14%	64.77 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-18.84%	894.80 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	-17.10%	42.12 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
晶合集成	688249.SH	电子	-17.01%	63.85 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
骄成超声	688392.SH	电力设备	-15.68%	17.32 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	-15.31%	31.43 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华特气体	688268.SH	电子	-14.83%	23.20 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华润微	688396.SH	电子	-14.67%	50.95 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
广钢气体	688548.SH	电子	-14.34%	31.42 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
臻宝科技	688797.SH	电子	-13.56%	45.88 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
光格科技	688450.SH	电力设备	-13.53%	3.43 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	+858.85%	0	59.44 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
优机股份	920943.BJ	机械设备	+29.99%	1	4,877.52 万	北交所	130924	130924	0	1/1	2,974.33 万
鑫汇科	920267.BJ	电子	+29.94%	1	1.38 亿	北交所	94109	94109	0	1/1	580.87 万
欧伦电气	920081.BJ	家用电器	+21.53%	0	7.83 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
海兰信	300065.SZ	国防军工	+20.01%	1	32.79 亿	创业板	130021	130021	0	1/1	2.40 亿
航天环宇	688523.SH	国防军工	+20.01%	1	9.30 亿	科创板	131213	134916	11	1/1	3,229.15 万
益诺思	688710.SH	医药生物	+20.00%	1	5.03 亿	科创板	130016	140931	7	1/1	673.75 万
常山药业	300255.SZ	医药生物	+20.00%	1	17.67 亿	创业板	101009	140709	11	1/1	3,177.40 万
ST佳缘	301117.SZ	计算机	+19.99%	1	5.71 亿	创业板	130018	145251	3	1/1	15.03 万
金利华电	300069.SZ	电力设备	+19.99%	1	5.41 亿	创业板	130224	141318	8	1/1	2,536.71 万
同益中	688722.SH	基础化工	+19.99%	1	3.61 亿	科创板	130028	130931	5	1/1	2,103.18 万
国林科技	300786.SZ	环保	+19.98%	1	2.37 亿	创业板	93927	93927	0	1/1	9,356.09 万

跌幅居前

永励精密	920136.BJ	汽车	-24.91%	3.25 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中船特气	688146.SH	电子	-19.14%	64.77 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-18.84%	894.80 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中巨芯	688549.SH	电子	-17.10%	42.12 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
晶合集成	688249.SH	电子	-17.01%	63.85 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
骄成超声	688392.SH	电力设备	-15.68%	17.32 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	-15.31%	31.43 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华特气体	688268.SH	电子	-14.83%	23.20 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华润微	688396.SH	电子	-14.67%	50.95 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
广钢气体	688548.SH	电子	-14.34%	31.42 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
臻宝科技	688797.SH	电子	-13.56%	45.88 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
光格科技	688450.SH	电力设备	-13.53%	3.43 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	+1.06%	71.32%	25.11%	+2.05%
创业板	1395	+1.45%	65.73%	24.01%	+3.68%
科创板	609	-0.57%	52.55%	37.77%	+3.23%
北交所	327	+2.05%	79.51%	16.51%	+2.82%

市值分层

小盘	2761	+1.62%	78.88%	32.27 亿
中盘	1656	+0.80%	63.77%	94.73 亿
大盘	828	+0.35%	48.55%	298.8 亿
超大盘	276	-1.32%	49.28%	1,401.9 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

创新药	低位修复	281/280	+3.03%	-1.11%	+8.89%	+3.01%	-1.23%	+7.77%	-0.01%	90.00%	73.57%	1,197.1 亿	3.51%	80.00%	+1.99%	9	0	33.13 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+2.69%	+0.62%	-6.34%	+3.70%	-1.02%	-6.28%	+1.00%	100.00%	20.00%	182.8 亿	0.54%	90.00%	+1.65%	0	0	13.20 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	低位修复	197/197	+2.68%	-0.17%	-3.94%	+2.68%	-0.30%	-4.56%	-0.00%	89.34%	34.52%	725.9 亿	2.13%	100.00%	+1.65%	6	0	19.63 亿	100.00%
商业航天	低位修复	507/505	+2.07%	-4.11%	-0.10%	+2.04%	-4.28%	-1.17%	-0.03%	69.70%	29.90%	5,800.5 亿	17.01%	65.00%	+1.03%	30	0	82.52 亿	99.80%
减速器	低位修复	139/139	+1.45%	-9.16%	-2.79%	+1.45%	-9.20%	-3.86%	-0.00%	71.94%	22.30%	840.9 亿	2.47%	65.00%	+0.41%	4	1	2.56 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+0.41%	-10.47%	-7.54%	+0.41%	-10.57%	-8.31%	+0.00%	55.88%	11.76%	166.0 亿	0.49%	20.00%	-0.62%	0	0	1.15 亿	100.00%
物理AI	低位修复	463/461	+0.38%	-7.18%	-0.14%	+0.36%	-7.26%	-1.62%	-0.02%	56.62%	25.38%	5,058.8 亿	14.83%	80.00%	-0.66%	12	1	-168.2 亿	99.57%
液冷服务器	趋势转弱	229/228	-0.57%	-3.50%	+2.61%	-0.51%	-3.74%	+0.97%	+0.06%	51.75%	28.95%	4,616.3 亿	13.53%	95.00%	-1.61%	3	2	-122.7 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-2.54%	-8.57%	+0.28%	-2.44%	-8.58%	-2.07%	+0.10%	25.11%	13.19%	3,804.4 亿	11.15%	25.00%	-3.57%	3	0	-88.04 亿	99.58%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-2.58%	-5.93%	+1.73%	-2.50%	-6.07%	+0.08%	+0.08%	24.53%	15.09%	7,290.2 亿	21.37%	70.00%	-3.62%	1	0	-227.1 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/79	-3.17%	-6.48%	+6.34%	-3.16%	-6.47%	+4.86%	+0.01%	21.52%	24.05%	1,021.2 亿	2.99%	55.00%	-4.20%	2	0	-37.31 亿	98.75%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/201	-3.33%	-3.36%	+11.02%	+0.96%	-3.45%	+10.06%	+4.29%	23.88%	34.33%	6,107.4 亿	17.91%	80.00%	-4.37%	2	0	-149.5 亿	99.51%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/56	-3.35%	-8.84%	—	-3.13%	-8.62%	+2.29%	+0.22%	17.86%	14.29%	1,912.7 亿	5.61%	55.00%	-4.39%	2	0	-108.0 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	方向待明	206/201	-3.80%	-2.53%	+15.75%	+0.49%	-2.78%	+14.54%	+4.29%	20.90%	40.80%	7,548.1 亿	22.13%	85.00%	-4.84%	3	0	-256.0 亿	99.03%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-5.92%	-8.42%	+5.51%	-5.92%	-8.04%	+4.29%	+0.00%	9.30%	18.60%	893.2 亿	2.62%	55.00%	-6.96%	0	0	-54.34 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

创新药 · 低位修复

领涨：益诺思（688710.SH）+20.00%、常山药业（300255.SZ）+20.00%、泓博医药（301230.SZ）+13.13%

领跌：盘龙药业（002864.SZ）-6.43%、八亿时空（688181.SH）-6.26%、圣泉集团（605589.SH）-5.30%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：百润股份（002568.SZ）+8.06%、皇台酒业（000995.SZ）+6.86%、华致酒行（300755.SZ）+5.91%

领跌：

文化传媒 · 低位修复

领涨：金利华电（300069.SZ）+19.99%、福石控股（300071.SZ）+19.17%、幸福蓝海（300528.SZ）+10.80%

领跌：星网锐捷（002396.SZ）-5.15%、万润科技（002654.SZ）-3.74%、安妮股份（002235.SZ）-3.45%

商业航天 · 低位修复

领涨：优机股份（920943.BJ）+29.99%、海兰信（300065.SZ）+20.01%、航天环宇（688523.SH）+20.01%

领跌：广钢气体（688548.SH）-14.34%、先锋精科（688605.SH）-12.87%、聚和材料（688503.SH）-10.36%

减速器 · 低位修复

领涨：隆盛科技（300680.SZ）+10.80%、中信重工（601608.SH）+10.04%、中鼎股份（000887.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：宇环数控（002903.SZ）-10.01%、斯莱克（300382.SZ）-8.50%、蓝思科技（300433.SZ）-6.61%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：天力复合（920576.BJ）+15.57%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）+11.36%、族兴新材（920078.BJ）+4.21%

领跌：悦安新材（688786.SH）-6.08%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）-6.05%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-5.15%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：同益中（688722.SH）+19.99%、南山智尚（300918.SZ）+19.52%、高华科技（688539.SH）+13.44%

领跌：骄成超声（688392.SH）-15.68%、扬杰科技（300373.SZ）-13.14%、芯朋微（688508.SH）-11.70%

液冷服务器 · 趋势转弱

领涨：捷邦科技（301326.SZ）+17.44%、沃顿科技（000920.SZ）+10.01%、中鼎股份（000887.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：骄成超声（688392.SH）-15.68%、新莱应材（300260.SZ）-12.26%、新宙邦（300037.SZ）-10.52%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：普天科技（002544.SZ）+10.03%、东方材料（603110.SH）+10.01%、中岩大地（003001.SZ）+9.98%

领跌：路维光电（688401.SH）-12.49%、凯华材料（920526.BJ）-12.42%、回天新材（300041.SZ）-10.78%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：深科达（688328.SH）+15.89%、乾照光电（300102.SZ）+12.18%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）+11.36%

领跌：华润微（688396.SH）-14.67%、威尔高（301251.SZ）-10.45%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-10.32%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：国林科技（300786.SZ）+19.98%、新亚强（603155.SH）+10.00%、航天智造（300446.SZ）+6.40%

领跌：华特气体（688268.SH）-14.83%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）-13.43%、芯源微（688037.SH）-11.21%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+858.85%、国林科技（300786.SZ）+19.98%、深科达（688328.SH）+15.89%

领跌：中巨芯（688549.SH）-17.10%、骄成超声（688392.SH）-15.68%、华润微（688396.SH）-14.67%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：亚玛顿（002623.SZ）+10.03%、三峡新材（600293.SH）+9.84%、赛微电子（300456.SZ）+5.05%

领跌：鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）-13.43%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-10.32%、戈碧迦（920438.BJ）-10.19%

存储芯片 · 方向待明

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+858.85%、国林科技（300786.SZ）+19.98%、深科达（688328.SH）+15.89%

领跌：中巨芯（688549.SH）-17.10%、正帆科技（688596.SH）-15.31%、华特气体（688268.SH）-14.83%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：莱尔科技（688683.SH）+7.66%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）+7.24%、格林达（603931.SH）+4.28%

领跌：中船特气（688146.SH）-19.14%、中巨芯（688549.SH）-17.10%、华特气体（688268.SH）-14.83%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

医药健康	51	+3.07%	+2.23%	-0.84%	+11.56%	84.89 亿	100.00%	18/19	银华中证创新药产业ETF · +0.11%
红利防御	92	+0.45%	+0.53%	-0.27%	-4.32%	48.07 亿	100.00%	18/37	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.16%
资源周期	54	+0.37%	+0.49%	-6.31%	-5.12%	52.64 亿	100.00%	21/23	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · -0.60%
消费	44	-0.61%	+1.24%	-0.91%	-2.40%	29.69 亿	100.00%	7/20	鹏华中证酒ETF · -2.49%
金融地产	48	-1.27%	-1.41%	-3.13%	+6.37%	86.91 亿	100.00%	20/17	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +1.38%
大盘宽基	83	-1.31%	-1.65%	-0.95%	+1.77%	118.2 亿	100.00%	14/34	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.33%
中小盘宽基	139	-2.68%	-1.80%	-4.23%	+1.31%	360.0 亿	100.00%	49/30	易方达创业板ETF · +0.46%
AI与半导体	127	-4.91%	-3.16%	+1.32%	+13.51%	931.0 亿	99.21%	55/57	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · 0.00%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	532	+2.75%	-1.95%	+4.21%	89.29%	61.47%	4.57%	12	0
大消费	农林牧渔、商贸零售、食品饮料、家用电器、社会服务	527	+1.91%	-2.65%	-4.83%	85.01%	26.00%	3.14%	6	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	+1.60%	-3.68%	-4.96%	77.49%	18.61%	2.46%	7	0
公用防御	公用事业、环保、交通运输	401	+1.15%	-3.08%	-6.82%	75.31%	20.95%	2.67%	6	1
高端制造	国防军工、汽车、机械设备、电力设备	1475	+1.02%	-6.34%	-4.54%	67.53%	18.85%	20.76%	34	3
金融地产	房地产、银行、非银金融	216	+0.80%	-0.77%	-2.16%	61.11%	29.17%	3.11%	4	0
资源周期	钢铁、石油石化、煤炭、有色金属、基础化工	713	+0.29%	-6.45%	-6.85%	60.03%	12.06%	10.05%	9	1
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	1000	-0.14%	-2.98%	+2.09%	48.50%	27.80%	50.13%	13	1

近五个交易日

2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +16.32%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +23.28%

涨停家数：扩张 · 20

最高连板：压缩 · -5

五日成交中位：2.9323 万亿 · 温度区间：17.7–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 3次、酿酒 3次、先进封装 2次、存储芯片 2次、文化传媒 2次、电子化学品 2次

行业：银行 3次、传媒 2次、国防军工 2次、电子 2次、交通运输 1次、医药生物 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+16.3%，上涨覆盖68.3%，五日成交中位29322.6亿元。

方向承接 · 创新药当日收益+3.03%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 医药生物涨停12家，最高2板。

负反馈 · 跌停7家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 29322.6亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 创新药

确认：创新药继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 13.3%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖68.3%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 8 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3

情绪九维 58.7

连板高度6.43
6.43
输入与公式
3 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数11.4
11.4
输入与公式
95 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率6.99
6.99
输入与公式
0.4947916666666667 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率5.33
5.33
输入与公式
0.13333333333333333 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价6.42
6.42
输入与公式
0.006761864864864867 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应1.35
1.35
输入与公式
{"limitDown":7,"largeLoss":194} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.6832095634848759 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比5.06
5.06
输入与公式
{"limitUp":95,"limitDown":7} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能6.67
6.67
输入与公式
1.033424606140208 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	132	2.39%	+8.49%	+7.80%
趋势延续	191	3.46%	+3.41%	+2.29%
低位修复	2734	49.52%	+2.56%	+1.96%
中间状态	2464	44.63%	-1.23%	-1.06%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 75 家 · 今日晋级 10 家 · 晋级率 13.33%

晋级名单

ST龙元	600491.SH	建筑装饰	3	+9.80%
高德红外	002414.SZ	国防军工	2	+9.99%
中鼎股份	000887.SZ	汽车	2	+10.00%
欢瑞世纪	000892.SZ	传媒	2	+9.95%
立方制药	003020.SZ	医药生物	2	+9.98%
星网宇达	002829.SZ	国防军工	2	+9.98%
柘中股份	002346.SZ	电力设备	2	+9.98%
贵绳股份	600992.SH	机械设备	2	+10.02%
亚联机械	001395.SZ	机械设备	2	+9.99%
好莱客	603898.SH	轻工制造	2	+10.01%
国华退	000004.SZ	计算机	2	+9.52%
航天电子	600879.SH	国防军工	1	+10.01%
金风科技	002202.SZ	电力设备	1	+9.99%
中国卫星	600118.SH	国防军工	1	+10.00%
海兰信	300065.SZ	国防军工	1	+20.01%
神火股份	000933.SZ	有色金属	1	+10.02%
航天发展	000547.SZ	国防军工	1	+9.99%
昭衍新药	603127.SH	医药生物	1	+10.00%
盈新发展	000620.SZ	房地产	1	+10.00%
美诺华	603538.SH	医药生物	1	+10.01%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

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工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

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沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:00:53.608367+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。