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2026-07-09

结论与证据

全A收盘为2486家上涨、2888家下跌，上涨占比45.04%；成交2.9323万亿元，环比+13.54%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，20.5%样本位于MA20上方；75家封板、15家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方20% · 75家封板 · 温度62.4

支持证据

15方向中存储芯片当日+6.10%居前；104家触板、封板率72.1%，最高8板。

反证与边界

煤炭当日等权-1.81%，酿酒方向-1.41%；成交额环比+13.54%，资金流分类代理+224.6亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.9323 万亿
成交环比: +13.54%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2486 / 2888 / 146
上涨覆盖: 45.04%
中位涨幅: -0.18%
MA20上方: 20.49%
20日新高 / 新低: 156 / 1259
涨停 / 跌停: 75 / 15
触板 / 未封: 104 / 29
封板率: 72.12%
最高连板: 8 板

收盘温度 62.4

广度15.76
15.76
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势4.1
4.1
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态12.5
12.5
输入与公式
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15
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 60.7

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
8.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9
9
输入与公式
75.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.18
10.18
输入与公式
0.72 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率4.14
4.14
输入与公式
0.10 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.46
7.46
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":15,"largeLoss":53} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.76
6.76
输入与公式
0.45 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.22
4.22
输入与公式
{"limitUp":75,"limitDown":15} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能3.96
3.96
输入与公式
0.90 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	4,036.59	+1.65%	1.3642 万亿
科创50	2,185.83	+8.41%	2,245.1 亿
深证成指	15,398.73	+3.07%	9,856.2 亿
创业板指	4,018.17	+4.49%	3,682.7 亿
中证1000	8,300.08	+2.24%	5,804.2 亿
国证2000	10,690.70	+1.95%	7,528.9 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	212	3.84%	+8.25%	+7.39%
趋势延续	141	2.55%	+3.23%	+2.36%
低位修复	1723	31.21%	+2.42%	+1.57%
中间状态	3444	62.39%	-0.97%	-1.01%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比45.04%，中位数涨幅-0.18%。

少数方向逆势承压

钢铁、煤炭分别为-1.47%、-1.81%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+13.54%，104家触板中29家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

存储芯片强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

酿酒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日72.1%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 4,036.59 · MA5 4,016.52 · MA10 4,041.95 · MA20 4,066.27

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 4,066.27 · 近10日最低 3,938.88 · 近20日最低 3,938.88；压力：近10日最高 4,143.31 · 近20日最高 4,175.35

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-08	4,077.72	4,093.87	4,067.12	4,082.98	-0.07%
2026-01-09	4,086.76	4,121.72	4,083.62	4,120.43	+0.92%
2026-01-12	4,134.89	4,168.36	4,119.88	4,165.29	+1.09%
2026-01-13	4,169.70	4,179.70	4,126.23	4,138.76	-0.64%
2026-01-14	4,138.65	4,190.87	4,103.62	4,126.09	-0.31%
2026-01-15	4,106.22	4,133.07	4,096.85	4,112.60	-0.33%
2026-01-16	4,127.06	4,140.23	4,091.81	4,101.91	-0.26%
2026-01-19	4,090.72	4,126.52	4,090.06	4,114.00	+0.29%
2026-01-20	4,116.37	4,128.93	4,080.29	4,113.65	-0.01%
2026-01-21	4,103.53	4,135.96	4,103.53	4,116.94	+0.08%
2026-01-22	4,126.07	4,140.84	4,109.92	4,122.58	+0.14%
2026-01-23	4,130.11	4,143.75	4,120.20	4,136.16	+0.33%
2026-01-26	4,144.78	4,160.99	4,124.70	4,132.61	-0.09%
2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

电子	低位修复	512	+4.55%	-2.09%	+11.66%	+3.87%	90.63%	41.02%	1.0423 万亿	35.54%	27	1	108.06	6.23
通信	低位修复	127	+2.05%	-2.88%	-7.28%	+1.74%	71.65%	17.32%	2,483.5 亿	8.47%	1	0	112.02	4.58
国防军工	低位修复	140	+1.86%	-2.83%	-0.88%	+1.38%	80.00%	22.86%	766.1 亿	2.61%	2	0	79.12	3.87
非银金融	低位修复	79	+1.12%	-1.03%	+4.47%	+0.83%	75.95%	49.37%	561.1 亿	1.91%	1	0	18.33	1.28
机械设备	低位修复	603	+1.00%	-4.69%	-5.20%	+0.09%	50.75%	18.41%	2,227.0 亿	7.59%	10	0	51.31	3.24
传媒	低位修复	131	+0.90%	-2.74%	-9.28%	+0.52%	58.02%	19.85%	506.2 亿	1.73%	2	0	37.66	2.79
计算机	低位修复	360	+0.74%	-1.95%	-7.17%	+0.52%	60.00%	21.11%	1,806.6 亿	6.16%	3	3	81.95	3.41
综合	退潮观察	20	+0.49%	-4.53%	-9.42%	-0.33%	35.00%	15.00%	61.66 亿	0.21%	1	0	53.10	2.63
房地产	低位修复	95	+0.43%	-1.43%	-9.33%	-0.47%	37.89%	15.79%	161.3 亿	0.55%	1	0	35.32	1.11
家用电器	低位修复	102	+0.42%	-3.22%	-5.34%	-0.27%	45.10%	15.69%	217.0 亿	0.74%	2	0	41.38	2.49
建筑材料	退潮观察	76	+0.35%	-4.96%	-7.54%	-0.36%	36.84%	10.53%	413.3 亿	1.41%	1	0	44.44	1.71
电力设备	低位修复	413	+0.18%	-7.01%	-10.19%	-0.05%	46.25%	7.99%	2,168.3 亿	7.39%	4	2	45.70	2.86
汽车	退潮观察	319	+0.02%	-3.40%	-8.76%	-0.71%	32.60%	14.11%	671.3 亿	2.29%	4	0	30.84	2.47
基础化工	退潮观察	444	-0.04%	-7.63%	-6.76%	-0.57%	36.94%	10.14%	1,441.2 亿	4.91%	4	1	37.65	2.20
石油石化	方向待明	48	-0.05%	-0.88%	-6.39%	-0.61%	33.33%	22.92%	213.0 亿	0.73%	0	0	36.43	1.99
公用事业	方向待明	139	-0.08%	-4.77%	-13.34%	-0.39%	41.01%	9.35%	455.1 亿	1.55%	0	0	24.03	1.54
商贸零售	退潮观察	99	-0.21%	-3.55%	-7.89%	-0.60%	25.25%	10.10%	119.2 亿	0.41%	1	0	31.00	1.68
轻工制造	退潮观察	167	-0.22%	-3.23%	-8.07%	-0.71%	33.53%	20.96%	160.9 亿	0.55%	3	0	30.14	2.12
医药生物	方向待明	502	-0.23%	-2.74%	+0.62%	-0.62%	32.67%	39.04%	1,167.9 亿	3.98%	3	0	35.71	2.31
建筑装饰	退潮观察	155	-0.27%	-3.62%	-7.58%	-0.45%	36.13%	17.42%	335.9 亿	1.15%	2	1	29.71	1.88
环保	退潮观察	134	-0.31%	-3.27%	-7.14%	-0.64%	29.10%	18.66%	180.8 亿	0.62%	0	0	28.55	1.90
有色金属	退潮观察	145	-0.51%	-8.66%	-5.37%	-0.66%	37.93%	4.14%	1,546.2 亿	5.27%	0	2	38.18	3.43
交通运输	方向待明	128	-0.60%	-1.23%	-5.02%	-0.84%	20.31%	20.31%	197.9 亿	0.67%	2	1	17.47	1.29
纺织服饰	退潮观察	108	-0.68%	-3.67%	-4.66%	-0.94%	26.85%	25.93%	106.2 亿	0.36%	0	2	29.01	1.72
农林牧渔	方向待明	114	-0.76%	-2.80%	-5.73%	-0.92%	22.81%	31.58%	140.2 亿	0.48%	0	0	35.61	2.20
银行	方向待明	42	-0.93%	+1.41%	-7.05%	-1.03%	2.38%	16.67%	247.1 亿	0.84%	0	0	5.83	0.52
美容护理	方向待明	30	-0.98%	-2.61%	-3.52%	-1.38%	13.33%	23.33%	29.81 亿	0.10%	0	0	26.23	2.23
社会服务	退潮观察	86	-1.35%	-4.50%	-9.45%	-1.52%	13.95%	3.49%	109.5 亿	0.37%	0	1	36.31	2.78
食品饮料	方向待明	126	-1.44%	-2.45%	-8.96%	-1.43%	9.52%	11.11%	226.9 亿	0.77%	1	1	24.21	2.08
钢铁	退潮观察	43	-1.47%	-4.41%	-8.23%	-1.24%	9.30%	2.33%	85.83 亿	0.29%	0	0	17.20	1.07
煤炭	方向待明	33	-1.81%	-0.51%	-14.47%	-1.28%	9.09%	15.15%	93.27 亿	0.32%	0	0	20.73	1.17

涨停生态

首板 69 家 · 多板 6 家 · 昨日涨停 58 家 · 今日晋级 6 家 · 晋级率 10.34%

8 板 · 1 家 · 恒尚节能

3 板 · 1 家 · 视源股份

2 板 · 4 家 · 浪潮信息、兴业股份、山东墨龙、浙江美大

1 板 · 69 家 · 兆易创新、东山精密、长电科技、通富微电、光迅科技、华天科技、深科技、太极实业

行业聚类

电子 · 27 家 · 最高 3 板 · 视源股份、兆易创新、东山精密、长电科技、通富微电、华天科技

机械设备 · 10 家 · 最高 2 板 · 山东墨龙、冰轮环境、铂力特、大元泵业、深科达、博杰股份

基础化工 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 兴业股份、石英股份、华昌化工、道明光学

汽车 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 江淮汽车、中鼎股份、富特科技、无锡振华

电力设备 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 麦格米特、中恒电气、华瑞股份、柘中股份

医药生物 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 济民健康、立方制药、华森制药

计算机 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 浪潮信息、信息发展、国华退

轻工制造 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 金富科技、景兴纸业、好莱客

交通运输 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 上海雅仕、原尚股份

传媒 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 欢瑞世纪、返利科技

国防军工 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 高德红外、星网宇达

家用电器 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 浙江美大、朗迪集团

建筑装饰 · 2 家 · 最高 8 板 · 恒尚节能、太极实业

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 合百集团

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 上峰材料

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 合肥城建

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 综艺股份

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 光迅科技

非银金融 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华安证券

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 养元饮品

连续晋级与首板

恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	+10.00%	8	3.27 亿	主板	93033	93033	0	8/8	1.49 亿
视源股份	002841.SZ	电子	+10.00%	3	25.47 亿	主板	100642	145054	69	3/3	851.80 万
浪潮信息	000977.SZ	计算机	+10.00%	2	185.3 亿	主板	93833	100721	2	2/2	9.17 亿
兴业股份	603928.SH	基础化工	+10.02%	2	11.72 亿	主板	93227	103945	3	6/10	1,885.47 万
山东墨龙	002490.SZ	机械设备	+10.04%	2	6.80 亿	主板	110403	110403	0	2/2	4,347.59 万
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	+10.05%	2	1.08 亿	主板	94118	94118	0	3/5	5,686.02 万
兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	381.9 亿	主板	134015	134821	2	1/1	11.83 亿
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	277.9 亿	主板	144233	144233	0	1/1	4.25 亿
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	205.0 亿	主板	130554	130554	0	1/1	8.34 亿
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	113.4 亿	主板	133839	134603	5	1/1	2.25 亿
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	+10.00%	1	108.7 亿	主板	135224	135609	2	1/1	3.18 亿
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	+10.01%	1	105.1 亿	主板	101130	101130	0	2/3	11.13 亿
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	+9.99%	1	101.1 亿	主板	130427	130427	0	1/1	5.40 亿
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	+10.01%	1	86.92 亿	主板	134208	134529	2	1/1	1.81 亿
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	+10.00%	1	75.56 亿	主板	132623	132623	0	2/3	3.19 亿
麦格米特	002851.SZ	电力设备	+10.00%	1	69.49 亿	主板	134642	135339	2	1/1	2.42 亿
雅克科技	002409.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	67.43 亿	主板	134003	134003	0	1/1	3.18 亿
深南电路	002916.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	66.47 亿	主板	140627	143924	14	1/1	7,664.12 万
兴森科技	002436.SZ	电子	+10.00%	1	48.71 亿	主板	144548	144548	0	1/1	4,621.02 万
有研硅	688432.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	42.85 亿	科创板	134037	140001	3	2/3	4,615.05 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

ST海王	000078.SZ	医药生物	-6.06%	6.93 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
大恒科技	600288.SH	计算机	-1.93%	20.52 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
威尔高	301251.SZ	电子	-4.78%	15.06 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
大名城	600094.SH	房地产	-3.55%	3.63 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金时科技	002951.SZ	电力设备	-3.19%	5.03 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
天海电子	001365.SZ	汽车	-0.98%	13.92 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
魅视科技	001229.SZ	计算机	+6.49%	6.50 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
庄园牧场	002910.SZ	食品饮料	-10.02%	2.77 亿	主板	—	95915	0	—	6,492.94 万
山东高速	600350.SH	交通运输	-10.01%	1.73 亿	主板	—	145107	1	—	161.40 万
易德龙	603380.SH	电子	-10.00%	6.20 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
键邦股份	603285.SH	基础化工	-7.52%	4.07 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST美芝	002856.SZ	建筑装饰	-5.71%	1.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
恒林股份	603661.SH	轻工制造	-5.55%	4.18 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
朗威股份	301202.SZ	通信	-4.49%	3.19 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
西藏旅游	600749.SH	社会服务	-4.44%	3.18 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
津药药业	600488.SH	医药生物	-3.64%	7.99 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

融捷股份	002192.SZ	有色金属	-10.00%	10.43 亿	主板	—	94536	0	—	3.06 亿
世名科技	300522.SZ	基础化工	-20.00%	7.22 亿	创业板	—	135257	18	—	5,464.50 万
盛视科技	002990.SZ	计算机	-10.00%	6.26 亿	主板	—	144303	5	—	307.14 万
易德龙	603380.SH	电子	-10.00%	6.20 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中钢天源	002057.SZ	社会服务	-10.02%	6.18 亿	主板	—	145021	67	—	186.63 万
龙蟠科技	603906.SH	电力设备	-9.98%	5.81 亿	主板	—	94353	5	—	1.30 亿
高新发展	000628.SZ	建筑装饰	-10.00%	4.32 亿	主板	—	95145	0	—	1.55 亿
奥康国际	603001.SH	纺织服饰	-10.02%	3.35 亿	主板	—	103956	2	—	6,162.78 万
庄园牧场	002910.SZ	食品饮料	-10.02%	2.77 亿	主板	—	95915	0	—	6,492.94 万
*ST泉为	300716.SZ	电力设备	-20.00%	2.36 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
山东高速	600350.SH	交通运输	-10.01%	1.73 亿	主板	—	145107	1	—	161.40 万
ST佳缘	301117.SZ	计算机	-20.01%	4,238.49 万	创业板	—	92500	0	—	1.91 亿

大跌样本

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-80.67%	1,350.07 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
康美特	920189.BJ	电子	-23.36%	8.16 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
ST佳缘	301117.SZ	计算机	-20.01%	4,238.49 万	创业板	—	92500	0	—	1.91 亿
世名科技	300522.SZ	基础化工	-20.00%	7.22 亿	创业板	—	135257	18	—	5,464.50 万
*ST泉为	300716.SZ	电力设备	-20.00%	2.36 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-19.57%	1.33 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
诚达药业	301201.SZ	医药生物	-15.63%	9.01 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天华新能	300390.SZ	电力设备	-14.71%	68.80 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天龙退	300029.SZ	建筑装饰	-14.29%	265.87 万	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
宜安科技	300328.SZ	有色金属	-12.92%	12.40 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
肇民科技	301000.SZ	汽车	-11.82%	3.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
川金诺	300505.SZ	基础化工	-10.35%	7.87 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

永励精密	920136.BJ	汽车	+76.35%	0	6.36 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
华瑞股份	300626.SZ	电力设备	+20.01%	1	3.37 亿	创业板	102018	102018	0	1/1	1,107.22 万
艾森股份	688720.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	11.23 亿	科创板	133641	133641	0	1/1	4,216.45 万
信息发展	300469.SZ	计算机	+20.00%	1	10.77 亿	创业板	134142	134142	0	1/1	7,022.31 万
埃科光电	688610.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	5.57 亿	科创板	132904	133425	1	1/1	1.05 亿
铂力特	688333.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	17.98 亿	科创板	130727	131003	2	1/1	1.48 亿
富特科技	301607.SZ	汽车	+20.00%	1	10.60 亿	创业板	143809	143809	0	1/1	1.05 亿
有研硅	688432.SH	电子	+20.00%	1	42.85 亿	科创板	134037	140001	3	2/3	4,615.05 万
深科达	688328.SH	机械设备	+20.00%	1	11.42 亿	科创板	130758	130758	0	1/1	8,632.63 万
菲沃泰	688371.SH	电子	+19.99%	1	5.82 亿	科创板	142055	142307	1	1/1	4,133.53 万
上海合晶	688584.SH	电子	+19.99%	1	10.76 亿	科创板	101313	101452	1	1/1	1.01 亿
天山电子	301379.SZ	电子	+19.99%	1	14.59 亿	创业板	93927	131145	2	1/1	9,685.97 万

跌幅居前

云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-80.67%	1,350.07 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
康美特	920189.BJ	电子	-23.36%	8.16 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
ST佳缘	301117.SZ	计算机	-20.01%	4,238.49 万	创业板	—	92500	0	—	1.91 亿
世名科技	300522.SZ	基础化工	-20.00%	7.22 亿	创业板	—	135257	18	—	5,464.50 万
*ST泉为	300716.SZ	电力设备	-20.00%	2.36 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST卓然	688121.SH	机械设备	-19.57%	1.33 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
诚达药业	301201.SZ	医药生物	-15.63%	9.01 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天华新能	300390.SZ	电力设备	-14.71%	68.80 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天龙退	300029.SZ	建筑装饰	-14.29%	265.87 万	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
宜安科技	300328.SZ	有色金属	-12.92%	12.40 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
肇民科技	301000.SZ	汽车	-11.82%	3.31 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
川金诺	300505.SZ	基础化工	-10.35%	7.87 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	+0.05%	37.65%	18.87%	+1.73%
创业板	1395	+0.91%	52.26%	18.06%	+3.20%
科创板	609	+2.97%	74.22%	39.08%	+2.65%
北交所	326	-0.58%	31.90%	11.96%	+2.20%

市值分层

小盘	2761	-0.19%	35.60%	31.76 亿
中盘	1656	+0.71%	49.21%	93.97 亿
大盘	828	+1.97%	62.92%	298.4 亿
超大盘	275	+2.80%	60.73%	1,410.7 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

存储芯片	低位修复	206/200	+6.10%	-0.68%	+22.66%	+6.07%	-0.83%	+21.77%	-0.04%	92.00%	58.00%	6,323.8 亿	21.57%	55.00%	+5.55%	20	1	306.3 亿	99.03%
先进封装	低位修复	204/200	+5.52%	-2.34%	+15.90%	+5.40%	-2.32%	+15.44%	-0.13%	91.50%	46.00%	4,984.2 亿	17.00%	45.00%	+4.97%	22	0	221.3 亿	99.51%
电子化学品	低位修复	43/43	+4.75%	-7.88%	+16.48%	+4.75%	-7.39%	+15.76%	+0.00%	90.70%	44.19%	758.0 亿	2.59%	15.00%	+4.20%	1	0	-7.18 亿	100.00%
CPO	低位修复	212/212	+4.35%	-3.74%	+4.12%	+4.33%	-3.94%	+2.26%	-0.02%	87.74%	23.11%	6,283.7 亿	21.43%	30.00%	+3.80%	12	0	229.6 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	低位修复	57/56	+3.82%	-8.93%	—	+3.89%	-8.78%	+3.28%	+0.07%	91.07%	19.64%	1,487.8 亿	5.07%	30.00%	+3.27%	5	0	56.93 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	低位修复	80/79	+3.59%	-7.46%	+12.25%	+3.59%	-7.36%	+11.32%	+0.00%	74.68%	35.44%	843.8 亿	2.88%	30.00%	+3.04%	4	1	15.94 亿	98.75%
PCB	低位修复	236/235	+3.17%	-6.29%	+2.56%	+3.12%	-6.50%	+0.03%	-0.05%	76.17%	16.17%	3,372.3 亿	11.50%	15.00%	+2.62%	11	1	41.52 亿	99.58%
液冷服务器	低位修复	229/228	+2.28%	-2.49%	+2.05%	+2.21%	-2.69%	+0.73%	-0.07%	68.86%	31.58%	4,010.7 亿	13.68%	60.00%	+1.73%	9	1	83.97 亿	100.00%
商业航天	低位修复	507/505	+2.02%	-4.47%	-2.83%	+2.00%	-4.55%	-3.47%	-0.02%	71.49%	17.23%	4,429.0 亿	15.10%	15.00%	+1.47%	9	1	55.74 亿	99.80%
物理AI	低位修复	463/461	+1.16%	-4.33%	-2.63%	+1.17%	-4.50%	-3.89%	+0.01%	56.83%	22.13%	4,347.9 亿	14.83%	25.00%	+0.61%	13	2	75.55 亿	99.57%
文化传媒	低位修复	197/197	+0.48%	-2.54%	-9.38%	+0.48%	-2.61%	-9.87%	+0.00%	52.79%	16.75%	518.2 亿	1.77%	55.00%	-0.07%	1	0	-1.38 亿	100.00%
减速器	低位修复	139/139	+0.41%	-5.32%	-6.55%	+0.41%	-5.46%	-7.67%	-0.00%	42.45%	14.39%	644.0 亿	2.20%	10.00%	-0.14%	2	0	-19.58 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	低位修复	34/34	+0.10%	-10.78%	-7.55%	+0.10%	-10.87%	-8.41%	+0.00%	35.29%	8.82%	149.5 亿	0.51%	10.00%	-0.45%	0	0	-7.50 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	-0.12%	-2.27%	+4.30%	-0.12%	-2.37%	+3.16%	-0.00%	34.64%	50.36%	926.7 亿	3.16%	55.00%	-0.67%	3	0	-28.23 亿	100.00%
酿酒	方向待明	31/30	-1.41%	-2.41%	-8.67%	-1.22%	-3.71%	-11.01%	+0.19%	6.67%	3.33%	97.91 亿	0.33%	10.00%	-1.96%	0	0	-8.09 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

存储芯片 · 低位修复

领涨：艾森股份（688720.SH）+20.00%、有研硅（688432.SH）+20.00%、深科达（688328.SH）+20.00%

领跌：天华新能（300390.SZ）-14.71%、盛视科技（002990.SZ）-10.00%、时空科技（605178.SH）-6.56%

先进封装 · 低位修复

领涨：艾森股份（688720.SH）+20.00%、深科达（688328.SH）+20.00%、上海新阳（300236.SZ）+18.76%

领跌：康美特（920189.BJ）-23.36%、共进股份（603118.SH）-7.06%、利安隆（300596.SZ）-4.87%

电子化学品 · 低位修复

领涨：菲沃泰（688371.SH）+19.99%、上海新阳（300236.SZ）+18.76%、中船特气（688146.SH）+9.85%

领跌：康美特（920189.BJ）-23.36%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）-4.80%、嘉德利（603435.SH）-4.61%

CPO · 低位修复

领涨：深科达（688328.SH）+20.00%、菲沃泰（688371.SH）+19.99%、君逸数码（301172.SZ）+15.90%

领跌：共进股份（603118.SH）-7.06%、深圳华强（000062.SZ）-5.08%、威尔高（301251.SZ）-4.78%

玻璃基板 · 低位修复

领涨：晶方科技（603005.SH）+10.00%、长电科技（600584.SH）+10.00%、通富微电（002156.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：瑞丰光电（300241.SZ）-5.92%、金瑞矿业（600714.SH）-2.07%、亚玛顿（002623.SZ）-0.94%

光刻胶 · 低位修复

领涨：艾森股份（688720.SH）+20.00%、上海新阳（300236.SZ）+18.76%、茂莱光学（688502.SH）+12.61%

领跌：世名科技（300522.SZ）-20.00%、吉和昌（920193.BJ）-5.07%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）-4.80%

PCB · 低位修复

领涨：艾森股份（688720.SH）+20.00%、埃科光电（688610.SH）+20.00%、天山电子（301379.SZ）+19.99%

领跌：世名科技（300522.SZ）-20.00%、共进股份（603118.SH）-7.06%、ST合力泰（002217.SZ）-5.65%

液冷服务器 · 低位修复

领涨：菲沃泰（688371.SH）+19.99%、美利信（301307.SZ）+13.21%、八亿时空（688181.SH）+10.56%

领跌：龙蟠科技（603906.SH）-9.98%、大洋电机（002249.SZ）-5.23%、永兴材料（002756.SZ）-4.64%

商业航天 · 低位修复

领涨：铂力特（688333.SH）+20.00%、国力电子（688103.SH）+15.13%、长光华芯（688048.SH）+14.12%

领跌：ST佳缘（301117.SZ）-20.01%、宜安科技（300328.SZ）-12.92%、大立科技（002214.SZ）-9.88%

物理AI · 低位修复

领涨：铂力特（688333.SH）+20.00%、摩尔线程（688795.SH）+13.96%、雅创电子（301099.SZ）+10.47%

领跌：宜安科技（300328.SZ）-12.92%、肇民科技（301000.SZ）-11.82%、中钢天源（002057.SZ）-10.02%

文化传媒 · 低位修复

领涨：福石控股（300071.SZ）+13.50%、世纪天鸿（300654.SZ）+10.71%、欢瑞世纪（000892.SZ）+10.09%

领跌：陕西旅游（603402.SH）-5.15%、皇氏集团（002329.SZ）-4.86%、*ST岭南（002717.SZ）-4.72%

减速器 · 低位修复

领涨：美利信（301307.SZ）+13.21%、中鼎股份（000887.SZ）+10.01%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：德新科技（603032.SH）-7.93%、迎丰股份（605055.SH）-6.79%、圣龙股份（603178.SH）-6.39%

金属新材料 · 低位修复

领涨：新莱福（301323.SZ）+14.12%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）+8.39%、斯瑞新材（688102.SH）+8.10%

领跌：中科三环（000970.SZ）-5.59%、天和磁材（603072.SH）-5.03%、大地熊（688077.SH）-5.03%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：八亿时空（688181.SH）+10.56%、华森制药（002907.SZ）+10.04%、立方制药（003020.SZ）+10.01%

领跌：诚达药业（301201.SZ）-15.63%、海南海药（000566.SZ）-9.21%、双鹭药业（002038.SZ）-8.52%

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：酒鬼酒（000799.SZ）+1.43%、威龙股份（603779.SH）+0.40%

领跌：*ST尼雅（600084.SH）-3.30%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）-3.05%、古越龙山（600059.SH）-2.50%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

AI与半导体	126	+8.17%	+6.19%	+5.16%	+14.14%	730.2 亿	98.41%	42/63	国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF · +110.32%
中小盘宽基	139	+3.34%	+2.71%	-0.95%	+3.39%	411.5 亿	100.00%	55/20	易方达创业板ETF · +1.85%
消费	44	+3.23%	-0.91%	-1.01%	-3.64%	24.19 亿	100.00%	7/15	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -1.79%
大盘宽基	83	+2.36%	+2.36%	+1.30%	+2.91%	132.0 亿	100.00%	26/20	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +0.07%
医药健康	51	+1.89%	+1.51%	-1.53%	+9.48%	60.82 亿	100.00%	25/15	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -0.21%
金融地产	48	+1.40%	+1.41%	-1.13%	+6.91%	84.81 亿	100.00%	16/20	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · -0.25%
资源周期	54	-0.71%	-0.53%	-6.26%	-3.72%	62.51 亿	100.00%	25/18	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · -1.75%
红利防御	92	-0.82%	-0.36%	+0.53%	-5.47%	50.32 亿	100.00%	31/23	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · +0.30%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

AI硬件与数字经济	电子、通信、计算机	999	+2.86%	-2.14%	+2.47%	77.18%	30.83%	50.17%	31	4
高端制造	国防军工、机械设备、电力设备、汽车	1475	+0.64%	-4.88%	-6.96%	48.34%	14.98%	19.89%	20	2
金融地产	非银金融、房地产、银行	216	+0.42%	-0.74%	-3.84%	44.91%	28.24%	3.31%	2	0
基建链	建筑材料、建筑装饰	231	-0.07%	-4.06%	-7.56%	36.36%	15.15%	2.55%	3	1
医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	532	-0.28%	-2.73%	+0.39%	31.58%	38.16%	4.08%	3	0
资源周期	基础化工、石油石化、有色金属、钢铁、煤炭	713	-0.30%	-6.86%	-6.90%	33.94%	9.54%	11.53%	4	3
公用防御	公用事业、环保、交通运输	401	-0.32%	-3.14%	-8.61%	30.42%	15.96%	2.84%	2	1
大消费	家用电器、商贸零售、农林牧渔、社会服务、食品饮料	527	-0.69%	-3.21%	-7.44%	22.96%	14.99%	2.77%	4	2

近五个交易日

2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +13.54%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +16.17%

涨停家数：扩张 · 17

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.9323 万亿 · 温度区间：17.7–62.4 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：创新药 3次、先进封装 2次、存储芯片 2次、电子化学品 2次、酿酒 2次、减速器 1次

行业：银行 3次、国防军工 2次、电子 2次、交通运输 1次、传媒 1次、机械设备 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+13.5%，上涨覆盖45.0%，五日成交中位29322.6亿元。

方向承接 · 存储芯片当日收益+6.10%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停27家，最高3板。

负反馈 · 跌停15家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 29322.6亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 存储芯片

确认：存储芯片继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 10.3%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖45.0%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 7 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8

情绪九维 60.7

连板高度15
15
输入与公式
8 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9
9
输入与公式
75 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.18
10.18
输入与公式
0.7211538461538461 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率4.14
4.14
输入与公式
0.10344827586206896 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.46
7.46
输入与公式
0.011079517241379311 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":15,"largeLoss":53} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度6.76
6.76
输入与公式
0.4503623188405797 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.22
4.22
输入与公式
{"limitUp":75,"limitDown":15} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能3.96
3.96
输入与公式
0.8980973187166026 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	212	3.84%	+8.25%	+7.39%
趋势延续	141	2.55%	+3.23%	+2.36%
低位修复	1723	31.21%	+2.42%	+1.57%
中间状态	3444	62.39%	-0.97%	-1.01%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 58 家 · 今日晋级 6 家 · 晋级率 10.34%

晋级名单

恒尚节能	603137.SH	建筑装饰	8	+10.00%
视源股份	002841.SZ	电子	3	+10.00%
浪潮信息	000977.SZ	计算机	2	+10.00%
兴业股份	603928.SH	基础化工	2	+10.02%
山东墨龙	002490.SZ	机械设备	2	+10.04%
浙江美大	002677.SZ	家用电器	2	+10.05%
兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
长电科技	600584.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	1	+10.00%
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	1	+10.01%
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	1	+9.99%
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	1	+10.01%
有研新材	600206.SH	电子	1	+10.00%
麦格米特	002851.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.00%
雅克科技	002409.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
深南电路	002916.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
兴森科技	002436.SZ	电子	1	+10.00%
有研硅	688432.SH	电子	1	+20.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:00:49.188706+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。