{"date":"2026-09-24","title":"广度回落，结构持续性接受检验","sentence":"五个交易日内，上涨覆盖变化-56.09%、MA20上方比例变化+1.75%、成交额首尾变化-20.25%；结论只描述状态迁移。","settledCount":23,"researchErrorCount":6,"inconclusiveCount":9,"sessions":["2026-09-18","2026-09-21","2026-09-22","2026-09-23","2026-09-24"],"previousJudgmentVerification":{"settledCount":23,"confirmedCount":8,"notConfirmedCount":6,"inconclusiveCount":9,"unsettledDueCount":0,"items":[{"id":"HYP-20260917-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-18收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=74.8%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=1"},{"id":"HYP-20260917-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-18收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=76.2%、aboveMa20Share=37.6%、turnoverCny=20929.1亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260917-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-18收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=2.8%、advanceShare=80.0%、medianReturn1d=0.9%、amountShare=0.4%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260917-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"MLCC相对弱势能否收敛","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-18收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.8%、advanceShare=82.9%、medianReturn1d=2.3%、amountShare=2.2%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260918-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-21收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=3.1个百分点、strongRelative=2.9%、weakRelative=-0.2%、weakAdvanceShare=84.8%"},{"id":"HYP-20260918-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=77.9%、multiBoardCount=22、limitDownCount=3"},{"id":"HYP-20260918-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-21收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=81.7%、aboveMa20Share=54.8%、turnoverCny=20481.3亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260918-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=2.9%、advanceShare=96.7%、medianReturn1d=2.3%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260918-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.2%、advanceShare=84.8%、medianReturn1d=1.4%、amountShare=2.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260921-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=0.1个百分点、strongRelative=-1.0%、weakRelative=-1.1%、weakAdvanceShare=23.3%"},{"id":"HYP-20260921-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=69.9%、multiBoardCount=24、limitDownCount=5"},{"id":"HYP-20260921-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=42.7%、aboveMa20Share=54.4%、turnoverCny=21536.5亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260921-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.0%、advanceShare=43.3%、medianReturn1d=0.0%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260921-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.1%、advanceShare=23.3%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=2.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=62.2%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=15"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=34.0%、aboveMa20Share=48.4%、turnoverCny=17831.3亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.9%、advanceShare=13.2%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=3.1%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"MLCC相对弱势能否收敛","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-23收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=1.7%、advanceShare=71.4%、medianReturn1d=0.9%、amountShare=2.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-24收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-2.4个百分点、strongRelative=-2.0%、weakRelative=0.4%、weakAdvanceShare=21.8%"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-24收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=79.1%、multiBoardCount=13、limitDownCount=16"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=20.2%、aboveMa20Share=39.3%、turnoverCny=16691.1亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"玻璃基板居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-2.0%、advanceShare=7.0%、medianReturn1d=-3.4%、amountShare=3.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-24收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.4%、advanceShare=21.8%、medianReturn1d=-1.0%、amountShare=2.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"}]},"threeStructuralChanges":[{"name":"市场广度","change":-0.5609231389141902,"judgment":"收窄","counter":"首尾变化不能代替日内路径，需同时查看五日区间。"},{"name":"趋势存量","change":0.01754496829203661,"judgment":"改善","counter":"MA20状态具有滞后性，不等于次日方向。"},{"name":"市场量能","change":-0.20249038693941435,"judgment":"收缩","counter":"量能需与上涨覆盖、封板质量共同判断。"}],"lifecycle":{"persistentDirections":[{"name":"酿酒","top3Appearances":3},{"name":"MLCC","top3Appearances":2},{"name":"先进封装","top3Appearances":2},{"name":"创新药","top3Appearances":2},{"name":"文化传媒","top3Appearances":2}],"oscillatingDirections":[{"name":"CPO","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.018255713154579807},{"name":"MLCC","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.011744713154579808},{"name":"PCB","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.019112713154579807},{"name":"先进封装","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.013280713154579807},{"name":"光刻胶","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.00680671315457981},{"name":"商业航天","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.0010277131545798086},{"name":"存储芯片","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.011710713154579808},{"name":"文化传媒","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":0.004038286845420191}],"latestWeakDirections":["玻璃基板","PCB","CPO"],"directionCoverageDays":5,"windowDays":5},"researchErrors":{"items":[{"id":"HYP-20260921-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.0%、advanceShare=43.3%、medianReturn1d=0.0%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=62.2%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=15"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=34.0%、aboveMa20Share=48.4%、turnoverCny=17831.3亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260922-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.9%、advanceShare=13.2%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=3.1%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=20.2%、aboveMa20Share=39.3%、turnoverCny=16691.1亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260923-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"玻璃基板居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-2.0%、advanceShare=7.0%、medianReturn1d=-3.4%、amountShare=3.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"}],"unsettledDue":[]},"nextWeekQuestions":[{"question":"酿酒能否连续保持相对收益与内部扩散","confirm":"相对全A收益为正且上涨覆盖不收窄","invalidate":"相对收益转负且内部中位同步转弱"},{"question":"广度改善能否获得量能与MA20趋势存量共同支持","confirm":"上涨覆盖、成交与MA20上方比例至少两项改善","invalidate":"指数维持但中位数和上涨覆盖同步回落"},{"question":"封板生态是否出现高位压缩与负反馈扩散","confirm":"封板率、晋级梯队和跌停数量保持协调","invalidate":"高度压缩、晋级率下降与跌停增加同时出现"}],"dataAndMethodHealth":{"sessions":["2026-09-18","2026-09-21","2026-09-22","2026-09-23","2026-09-24"],"missing":[],"directionCoverageDays":5,"boundary":"研究辅助，不构成投资建议。"},"markdown":"# 广度回落，结构持续性接受检验\n\n五个交易日内，上涨覆盖变化-56.09%、MA20上方比例变化+1.75%、成交额首尾变化-20.25%；结论只描述状态迁移。\n\n## 1. 上周判断验证\n\n已结算23条：确认8、未确认6、证据不足9；到期未结算0。\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：INCONCLUSIVE。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-18收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=74.8%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=1\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-18收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=76.2%、aboveMa20Share=37.6%、turnoverCny=20929.1亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-18收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=2.8%、advanceShare=80.0%、medianReturn1d=0.9%、amountShare=0.4%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- MLCC相对弱势能否收敛：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-18收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.8%、advanceShare=82.9%、medianReturn1d=2.3%、amountShare=2.2%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-21收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=3.1个百分点、strongRelative=2.9%、weakRelative=-0.2%、weakAdvanceShare=84.8%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=77.9%、multiBoardCount=22、limitDownCount=3\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-21收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=81.7%、aboveMa20Share=54.8%、turnoverCny=20481.3亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=2.9%、advanceShare=96.7%、medianReturn1d=2.3%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-21收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.2%、advanceShare=84.8%、medianReturn1d=1.4%、amountShare=2.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=0.1个百分点、strongRelative=-1.0%、weakRelative=-1.1%、weakAdvanceShare=23.3%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：INCONCLUSIVE。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=69.9%、multiBoardCount=24、limitDownCount=5\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=42.7%、aboveMa20Share=54.4%、turnoverCny=21536.5亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.0%、advanceShare=43.3%、medianReturn1d=0.0%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-22收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.1%、advanceShare=23.3%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=2.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=62.2%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=15\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=34.0%、aboveMa20Share=48.4%、turnoverCny=17831.3亿元\n- 文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.9%、advanceShare=13.2%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=3.1%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- MLCC相对弱势能否收敛：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-23收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=1.7%、advanceShare=71.4%、medianReturn1d=0.9%、amountShare=2.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-24收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-2.4个百分点、strongRelative=-2.0%、weakRelative=0.4%、weakAdvanceShare=21.8%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-24收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=79.1%、multiBoardCount=13、limitDownCount=16\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=20.2%、aboveMa20Share=39.3%、turnoverCny=16691.1亿元\n- 玻璃基板居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-2.0%、advanceShare=7.0%、medianReturn1d=-3.4%、amountShare=3.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-24收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.4%、advanceShare=21.8%、medianReturn1d=-1.0%、amountShare=2.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n\n## 2. 真正改变结构的三件事\n\n- 市场广度：收窄（-56.09%）。反证：首尾变化不能代替日内路径，需同时查看五日区间。\n- 趋势存量：改善（+1.75%）。反证：MA20状态具有滞后性，不等于次日方向。\n- 市场量能：收缩（-20.25%）。反证：量能需与上涨覆盖、封板质量共同判断。\n\n## 3. 持续、反复与转弱\n\n方向数据覆盖5/5。\n- 持续居前：酿酒，前3出现3次。\n- 持续居前：MLCC，前3出现2次。\n- 持续居前：先进封装，前3出现2次。\n- 持续居前：创新药，前3出现2次。\n- 持续居前：文化传媒，前3出现2次。\n- 反复方向：CPO，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-1.83%。\n- 反复方向：MLCC，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-1.17%。\n- 反复方向：PCB，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-1.91%。\n- 反复方向：先进封装，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-1.33%。\n- 反复方向：光刻胶，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-0.68%。\n- 反复方向：商业航天，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-0.10%。\n- 反复方向：存储芯片，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-1.17%。\n- 反复方向：文化传媒，正负切换3次，最新相对收益+0.40%。\n最新弱势方向：玻璃基板、PCB、CPO\n\n## 4. Research Error\n\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-22收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.0%、advanceShare=43.3%、medianReturn1d=0.0%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：未确认。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=62.2%、multiBoardCount=12、limitDownCount=15\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：未确认。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=34.0%、aboveMa20Share=48.4%、turnoverCny=17831.3亿元\n- 文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-23收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.9%、advanceShare=13.2%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=3.1%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：未确认。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=20.2%、aboveMa20Share=39.3%、turnoverCny=16691.1亿元\n- 玻璃基板居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-24收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-2.0%、advanceShare=7.0%、medianReturn1d=-3.4%、amountShare=3.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n\n## 5. 下周只验证三件事\n\n- 酿酒能否连续保持相对收益与内部扩散。\n  确认：相对全A收益为正且上涨覆盖不收窄。\n  失效：相对收益转负且内部中位同步转弱。\n- 广度改善能否获得量能与MA20趋势存量共同支持。\n  确认：上涨覆盖、成交与MA20上方比例至少两项改善。\n  失效：指数维持但中位数和上涨覆盖同步回落。\n- 封板生态是否出现高位压缩与负反馈扩散。\n  确认：封板率、晋级梯队和跌停数量保持协调。\n  失效：高度压缩、晋级率下降与跌停增加同时出现。\n\n## 6. 数据说明\n\n使用交易日：2026-09-18、2026-09-21、2026-09-22、2026-09-23、2026-09-24。\n缺项：无。\n研究辅助，不构成投资建议。\n"}