{"date":"2026-09-11","title":"广度回落，结构持续性接受检验","sentence":"五个交易日内，上涨覆盖变化-45.49%、MA20上方比例变化-27.69%、成交额首尾变化+1.16%；结论只描述状态迁移。","settledCount":23,"researchErrorCount":9,"inconclusiveCount":10,"sessions":["2026-09-07","2026-09-08","2026-09-09","2026-09-10","2026-09-11"],"previousJudgmentVerification":{"settledCount":23,"confirmedCount":4,"notConfirmedCount":9,"inconclusiveCount":10,"unsettledDueCount":0,"items":[{"id":"HYP-20260904-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-4.9个百分点、strongRelative=-1.7%、weakRelative=3.2%、weakAdvanceShare=97.7%"},{"id":"HYP-20260904-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=79.2%、multiBoardCount=13、limitDownCount=2"},{"id":"HYP-20260904-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-07收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=57.1%、aboveMa20Share=54.4%、turnoverCny=19642.4亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260904-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-07收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.7%、advanceShare=53.3%、medianReturn1d=0.2%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260904-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=3.2%、advanceShare=97.7%、medianReturn1d=3.1%、amountShare=1.9%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260907-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-08收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-0.7个百分点、strongRelative=-1.3%、weakRelative=-0.6%、weakAdvanceShare=63.3%"},{"id":"HYP-20260907-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=65.8%、multiBoardCount=19、limitDownCount=1"},{"id":"HYP-20260907-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=61.6%、aboveMa20Share=59.9%、turnoverCny=19782.2亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260907-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"CPO居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.3%、advanceShare=31.6%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=19.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260907-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.6%、advanceShare=63.3%、medianReturn1d=0.4%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=63.6%、multiBoardCount=15、limitDownCount=9"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=32.3%、aboveMa20Share=55.3%、turnoverCny=18730.7亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.8%、advanceShare=15.9%、medianReturn1d=-2.4%、amountShare=3.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-09收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.3%、advanceShare=44.2%、medianReturn1d=-0.1%、amountShare=1.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-DIRECTION-SPREAD","title":"方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-10收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=-1.5个百分点、strongRelative=-1.4%、weakRelative=0.1%、weakAdvanceShare=12.8%"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=60.6%、multiBoardCount=9、limitDownCount=14"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=17.2%、aboveMa20Share=44.1%、turnoverCny=16623.4亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.4%、advanceShare=0.0%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-10收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.1%、advanceShare=12.8%、medianReturn1d=-1.3%、amountShare=2.8%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=61.5%、multiBoardCount=7、limitDownCount=21"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","resultNote":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=11.6%、aboveMa20Share=26.7%、turnoverCny=19869.5亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"存储芯片居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.4%、advanceShare=12.7%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=12.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-WEAK-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒相对弱势能否收敛","result":"INCONCLUSIVE","resultNote":"规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-11收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.7%、advanceShare=3.3%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"}]},"threeStructuralChanges":[{"name":"市场广度","change":-0.45487760963342155,"judgment":"收窄","counter":"首尾变化不能代替日内路径，需同时查看五日区间。"},{"name":"趋势存量","change":-0.27685468853246836,"judgment":"弱化","counter":"MA20状态具有滞后性，不等于次日方向。"},{"name":"市场量能","change":0.011566063356133194,"judgment":"扩张","counter":"量能需与上涨覆盖、封板质量共同判断。"}],"lifecycle":{"persistentDirections":[{"name":"PCB","top3Appearances":4},{"name":"CPO","top3Appearances":2},{"name":"MLCC","top3Appearances":2}],"oscillatingDirections":[{"name":"液冷服务器","signChanges":4,"latestRelative":0.00250706864864865},{"name":"金属新材料","signChanges":4,"latestRelative":0.0032830686486486488},{"name":"光刻胶","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.0004759313513513497},{"name":"玻璃基板","signChanges":3,"latestRelative":-0.0012599313513513496},{"name":"CPO","signChanges":2,"latestRelative":0.01695206864864865},{"name":"MLCC","signChanges":2,"latestRelative":0.03739806864864865},{"name":"PCB","signChanges":2,"latestRelative":0.01446506864864865},{"name":"先进封装","signChanges":2,"latestRelative":0.004641068648648649}],"latestWeakDirections":["酿酒","创新药","减速器"],"directionCoverageDays":5,"windowDays":5},"researchErrors":{"items":[{"id":"HYP-20260907-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"CPO居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.3%、advanceShare=31.6%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=19.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=63.6%、multiBoardCount=15、limitDownCount=9"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=32.3%、aboveMa20Share=55.3%、turnoverCny=18730.7亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260908-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.8%、advanceShare=15.9%、medianReturn1d=-2.4%、amountShare=3.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=60.6%、multiBoardCount=9、limitDownCount=14"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=17.2%、aboveMa20Share=44.1%、turnoverCny=16623.4亿元"},{"id":"HYP-20260909-TOP-DIRECTION","title":"酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.4%、advanceShare=0.0%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-LIMIT-ECOLOGY","title":"封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=61.5%、multiBoardCount=7、limitDownCount=21"},{"id":"HYP-20260910-MARKET-PERSISTENCE","title":"广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续","result":"NOT_CONFIRMED","reason":"规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=11.6%、aboveMa20Share=26.7%、turnoverCny=19869.5亿元"}],"unsettledDue":[]},"nextWeekQuestions":[{"question":"MLCC能否连续保持相对收益与内部扩散","confirm":"相对全A收益为正且上涨覆盖不收窄","invalidate":"相对收益转负且内部中位同步转弱"},{"question":"广度改善能否获得量能与MA20趋势存量共同支持","confirm":"上涨覆盖、成交与MA20上方比例至少两项改善","invalidate":"指数维持但中位数和上涨覆盖同步回落"},{"question":"封板生态是否出现高位压缩与负反馈扩散","confirm":"封板率、晋级梯队和跌停数量保持协调","invalidate":"高度压缩、晋级率下降与跌停增加同时出现"}],"dataAndMethodHealth":{"sessions":["2026-09-07","2026-09-08","2026-09-09","2026-09-10","2026-09-11"],"missing":[],"directionCoverageDays":5,"boundary":"研究辅助，不构成投资建议。"},"markdown":"# 广度回落，结构持续性接受检验\n\n五个交易日内，上涨覆盖变化-45.49%、MA20上方比例变化-27.69%、成交额首尾变化+1.16%；结论只描述状态迁移。\n\n## 1. 上周判断验证\n\n已结算23条：确认4、未确认9、证据不足10；到期未结算0。\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-4.9个百分点、strongRelative=-1.7%、weakRelative=3.2%、weakAdvanceShare=97.7%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=79.2%、multiBoardCount=13、limitDownCount=2\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-07收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=57.1%、aboveMa20Share=54.4%、turnoverCny=19642.4亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-07收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.7%、advanceShare=53.3%、medianReturn1d=0.2%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-07收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=3.2%、advanceShare=97.7%、medianReturn1d=3.1%、amountShare=1.9%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-08收盘结算为CONFIRMED；实际：spread=-0.7个百分点、strongRelative=-1.3%、weakRelative=-0.6%、weakAdvanceShare=63.3%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：INCONCLUSIVE。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：sealRate=65.8%、multiBoardCount=19、limitDownCount=1\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：advanceShare=61.6%、aboveMa20Share=59.9%、turnoverCny=19782.2亿元\n- CPO居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.3%、advanceShare=31.6%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=19.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 酿酒相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-08收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.6%、advanceShare=63.3%、medianReturn1d=0.4%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=63.6%、multiBoardCount=15、limitDownCount=9\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=32.3%、aboveMa20Share=55.3%、turnoverCny=18730.7亿元\n- 文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.8%、advanceShare=15.9%、medianReturn1d=-2.4%、amountShare=3.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 电子化学品相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-09收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.3%、advanceShare=44.2%、medianReturn1d=-0.1%、amountShare=1.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 方向高低剪刀差是收敛还是继续扩大：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_SPREAD按2026-09-10收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：spread=-1.5个百分点、strongRelative=-1.4%、weakRelative=0.1%、weakAdvanceShare=12.8%\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=60.6%、multiBoardCount=9、limitDownCount=14\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=17.2%、aboveMa20Share=44.1%、turnoverCny=16623.4亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.4%、advanceShare=0.0%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 文化传媒相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-10收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.1%、advanceShare=12.8%、medianReturn1d=-1.3%、amountShare=2.8%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=61.5%、multiBoardCount=7、limitDownCount=21\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：NOT_CONFIRMED。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=11.6%、aboveMa20Share=26.7%、turnoverCny=19869.5亿元\n- 存储芯片居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=0.4%、advanceShare=12.7%、medianReturn1d=-2.0%、amountShare=12.7%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 酿酒相对弱势能否收敛：INCONCLUSIVE。规则DIRECTION_REPAIR按2026-09-11收盘结算为INCONCLUSIVE；实际：relativeVsAllA=-0.7%、advanceShare=3.3%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n\n## 2. 真正改变结构的三件事\n\n- 市场广度：收窄（-45.49%）。反证：首尾变化不能代替日内路径，需同时查看五日区间。\n- 趋势存量：弱化（-27.69%）。反证：MA20状态具有滞后性，不等于次日方向。\n- 市场量能：扩张（+1.16%）。反证：量能需与上涨覆盖、封板质量共同判断。\n\n## 3. 持续、反复与转弱\n\n方向数据覆盖5/5。\n- 持续居前：PCB，前3出现4次。\n- 持续居前：CPO，前3出现2次。\n- 持续居前：MLCC，前3出现2次。\n- 反复方向：液冷服务器，正负切换4次，最新相对收益+0.25%。\n- 反复方向：金属新材料，正负切换4次，最新相对收益+0.33%。\n- 反复方向：光刻胶，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-0.05%。\n- 反复方向：玻璃基板，正负切换3次，最新相对收益-0.13%。\n- 反复方向：CPO，正负切换2次，最新相对收益+1.70%。\n- 反复方向：MLCC，正负切换2次，最新相对收益+3.74%。\n- 反复方向：PCB，正负切换2次，最新相对收益+1.45%。\n- 反复方向：先进封装，正负切换2次，最新相对收益+0.46%。\n最新弱势方向：酿酒、创新药、减速器\n\n## 4. Research Error\n\n- CPO居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-08收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.3%、advanceShare=31.6%、medianReturn1d=-1.1%、amountShare=19.3%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：未确认。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=63.6%、multiBoardCount=15、limitDownCount=9\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：未确认。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=32.3%、aboveMa20Share=55.3%、turnoverCny=18730.7亿元\n- 文化传媒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-09收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.8%、advanceShare=15.9%、medianReturn1d=-2.4%、amountShare=3.5%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：未确认。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=60.6%、multiBoardCount=9、limitDownCount=14\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：未确认。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=17.2%、aboveMa20Share=44.1%、turnoverCny=16623.4亿元\n- 酿酒居前能否转化为内部扩散延续：未确认。规则DIRECTION_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-10收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：relativeVsAllA=-1.4%、advanceShare=0.0%、medianReturn1d=-2.6%、amountShare=0.6%、membershipAsOf=2026-10-05\n- 封板质量、晋级梯队与负反馈能否保持协调：未确认。规则LIMIT_ECOLOGY按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：sealRate=61.5%、multiBoardCount=7、limitDownCount=21\n- 广度、趋势存量与量能能否共同延续：未确认。规则MARKET_PERSISTENCE按2026-09-11收盘结算为NOT_CONFIRMED；实际：advanceShare=11.6%、aboveMa20Share=26.7%、turnoverCny=19869.5亿元\n\n## 5. 下周只验证三件事\n\n- MLCC能否连续保持相对收益与内部扩散。\n  确认：相对全A收益为正且上涨覆盖不收窄。\n  失效：相对收益转负且内部中位同步转弱。\n- 广度改善能否获得量能与MA20趋势存量共同支持。\n  确认：上涨覆盖、成交与MA20上方比例至少两项改善。\n  失效：指数维持但中位数和上涨覆盖同步回落。\n- 封板生态是否出现高位压缩与负反馈扩散。\n  确认：封板率、晋级梯队和跌停数量保持协调。\n  失效：高度压缩、晋级率下降与跌停增加同时出现。\n\n## 6. 数据说明\n\n使用交易日：2026-09-07、2026-09-08、2026-09-09、2026-09-10、2026-09-11。\n缺项：无。\n研究辅助，不构成投资建议。\n"}