历史详情 · A 股观测台

2026-09-18

结论与证据

全A收盘为4234家上涨、1152家下跌，上涨占比76.25%；成交2.0929万亿元，环比+13.96%。单日广度明显扩张，37.6%样本位于MA20上方；80家封板、1家跌停，广度与涨停生态相互印证。这确认了当日扩张，但持续性仍需下一交易日验证。

广度扩张 · 量能扩张 · MA20上方38% · 80家封板 · 温度79.0

支持证据

16方向中酿酒当日+4.36%居前；107家触板、封板率74.8%，最高4板。

反证与边界

煤炭当日等权-0.64%，文化传媒方向+0.90%；成交额环比+13.96%，资金流分类代理+392.3亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.0929 万亿
成交环比: +13.96%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 4234 / 1152 / 167
上涨覆盖: 76.25%
中位涨幅: +1.07%
MA20上方: 37.57%
20日新高 / 新低: 538 / 202
涨停 / 跌停: 80 / 1
触板 / 未封: 107 / 27
封板率: 74.77%
最高连板: 4 板

收盘温度 79

广度26.69
26.69
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势7.51
7.51
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态14.81
14.81
输入与公式
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量能15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数15
15
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 82.2

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.6
9.6
输入与公式
80.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.56
10.56
输入与公式
0.75 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率9.6
9.6
输入与公式
0.24 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价10.81
10.81
输入与公式
0.03 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应7.8
7.8
输入与公式
{"limitDown":1,"largeLoss":5} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.76 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比8.44
8.44
输入与公式
{"limitUp":80,"limitDown":1} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.82
7.82
输入与公式
1.09 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,911.87	+0.94%	9,941.7 亿
科创50	1,652.63	+2.89%	1,176.5 亿
深证成指	13,640.87	+1.72%	5,658.2 亿
创业板指	3,372.68	+2.25%	2,227.4 亿
中证1000	7,687.59	+1.84%	4,302.0 亿
国证2000	10,068.44	+1.76%	6,212.5 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	587	10.57%	+6.14%	+5.27%
趋势延续	698	12.57%	+1.99%	+1.86%
低位修复	2472	44.52%	+1.48%	+1.18%
中间状态	1796	32.34%	+0.03%	-0.30%

三项风险

普涨后的广度持续性尚未确认

上涨占比76.25%、中位数涨幅+1.07%；单日扩张不等同连续扩张。

少数方向逆势承压

银行、煤炭分别为-0.48%、-0.64%。

放量后的次日承接仍需验证

成交额环比+13.96%，107家触板中27家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度扩张能否延续

上涨占比继续高于50%，且MA20上方比例不显著低于今日37.6%。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

文化传媒弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日74.8%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,911.87 · MA5 3,885.74 · MA10 3,907.60 · MA20 3,922.42

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,922.42 · 近10日最低 3,842.72 · 近20日最低 3,842.72；压力：近10日最高 3,958.12 · 近20日最高 3,995.18

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%
2026-08-04	3,816.37	3,831.94	3,799.52	3,822.28	+0.33%
2026-08-05	3,815.12	3,884.40	3,815.12	3,878.43	+1.47%
2026-08-06	3,864.27	3,902.05	3,864.27	3,900.35	+0.57%
2026-08-07	3,896.49	3,940.93	3,885.62	3,940.04	+1.02%
2026-08-10	3,943.82	3,967.59	3,938.63	3,966.59	+0.67%
2026-08-11	3,950.71	3,966.39	3,930.64	3,934.09	-0.82%
2026-08-12	3,933.55	3,950.62	3,927.55	3,946.68	+0.32%
2026-08-13	3,957.16	3,968.48	3,924.64	3,926.96	-0.50%
2026-08-14	3,930.02	3,932.64	3,903.70	3,927.18	+0.01%
2026-08-17	3,930.10	3,983.51	3,924.47	3,982.65	+1.41%
2026-08-18	3,979.49	3,994.18	3,955.60	3,990.30	+0.19%
2026-08-19	3,952.12	3,961.14	3,879.58	3,894.42	-2.40%
2026-08-20	3,907.21	3,925.06	3,888.10	3,903.72	+0.24%
2026-08-21	3,891.18	3,912.13	3,883.79	3,905.20	+0.04%
2026-08-24	3,902.70	3,910.24	3,855.35	3,882.01	-0.59%
2026-08-25	3,863.37	3,896.21	3,850.86	3,889.44	+0.19%
2026-08-26	3,881.74	3,926.44	3,881.74	3,912.52	+0.59%
2026-08-27	3,911.89	3,958.03	3,909.31	3,956.57	+1.13%
2026-08-28	3,950.24	3,970.31	3,947.80	3,952.18	-0.11%
2026-08-31	3,926.53	3,986.30	3,926.50	3,986.30	+0.86%
2026-09-01	3,979.88	3,995.18	3,976.47	3,979.89	-0.16%
2026-09-02	3,963.07	3,965.81	3,932.25	3,941.39	-0.97%
2026-09-03	3,952.79	3,968.11	3,930.45	3,942.09	+0.02%
2026-09-04	3,955.55	3,980.20	3,915.22	3,930.12	-0.30%
2026-09-07	3,942.51	3,948.42	3,916.49	3,932.70	+0.07%
2026-09-08	3,935.55	3,951.32	3,925.72	3,940.55	+0.20%
2026-09-09	3,943.92	3,958.12	3,933.47	3,951.51	+0.28%
2026-09-10	3,939.09	3,949.25	3,927.35	3,934.40	-0.43%
2026-09-11	3,910.92	3,912.32	3,852.03	3,888.11	-1.18%
2026-09-14	3,867.02	3,895.51	3,867.02	3,885.33	-0.07%
2026-09-15	3,879.73	3,891.62	3,858.15	3,864.28	-0.54%
2026-09-16	3,861.75	3,894.66	3,842.72	3,891.60	+0.71%
2026-09-17	3,877.00	3,898.84	3,866.89	3,875.60	-0.41%
2026-09-18	3,891.96	3,919.67	3,888.50	3,911.87	+0.94%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

电子	趋势扩散	518	+2.80%	+7.98%	+5.72%	+2.41%	89.38%	78.38%	6,486.9 亿	30.99%	10	0	80.29	5.33
房地产	修复延续	95	+2.24%	+2.05%	+2.57%	+1.84%	88.42%	48.42%	180.2 亿	0.86%	3	0	34.08	1.18
机械设备	修复延续	615	+2.23%	+3.36%	+1.60%	+1.42%	83.09%	41.46%	1,634.7 亿	7.81%	6	0	51.76	3.20
美容护理	修复延续	32	+2.19%	+2.47%	+2.66%	+1.36%	87.50%	28.13%	45.64 亿	0.22%	0	0	25.44	2.50
电力设备	修复延续	418	+2.05%	+3.03%	-0.86%	+1.60%	89.00%	39.47%	1,478.2 亿	7.06%	8	0	43.44	2.72
计算机	修复延续	357	+1.92%	+2.03%	+0.73%	+1.48%	83.47%	29.97%	941.3 亿	4.50%	5	1	73.07	3.59
通信	修复延续	126	+1.84%	+2.73%	+5.02%	+1.41%	82.54%	60.32%	1,973.1 亿	9.43%	1	0	96.24	4.78
轻工制造	修复延续	168	+1.83%	+2.60%	+3.32%	+0.94%	75.00%	43.45%	196.2 亿	0.94%	8	0	33.40	2.26
纺织服饰	修复延续	107	+1.63%	+2.08%	+0.81%	+1.06%	75.70%	37.38%	106.8 亿	0.51%	5	0	31.77	1.99
商贸零售	低位修复	100	+1.61%	-0.57%	+4.69%	+1.03%	70.00%	25.00%	187.3 亿	0.89%	3	0	31.73	1.91
国防军工	低位修复	140	+1.61%	-0.79%	+4.43%	+1.31%	85.71%	52.14%	493.5 亿	2.36%	1	0	88.06	3.87
有色金属	修复延续	145	+1.56%	+1.10%	-3.67%	+1.50%	88.28%	20.00%	872.0 亿	4.17%	0	0	31.38	3.22
医药生物	修复延续	506	+1.45%	+3.50%	-3.03%	+0.95%	76.68%	28.46%	1,152.7 亿	5.51%	3	0	37.31	2.46
非银金融	修复延续	76	+1.43%	+0.15%	+1.55%	+1.03%	97.37%	9.21%	297.6 亿	1.42%	2	0	14.81	1.19
环保	修复延续	134	+1.33%	+0.96%	+0.31%	+0.69%	70.90%	27.61%	127.2 亿	0.61%	1	0	29.44	1.98
建筑装饰	修复延续	154	+1.32%	+0.81%	+2.92%	+0.78%	69.48%	31.17%	250.0 亿	1.19%	3	0	29.13	2.14
社会服务	低位修复	86	+1.17%	-1.41%	+2.89%	+0.95%	76.74%	24.42%	129.4 亿	0.62%	1	0	36.55	3.01
家用电器	修复延续	102	+1.15%	+2.28%	+2.48%	+0.83%	68.63%	43.14%	175.2 亿	0.84%	2	0	35.72	2.49
基础化工	修复延续	450	+1.14%	+2.25%	+1.29%	+0.84%	72.89%	34.44%	999.9 亿	4.78%	4	0	35.36	2.25
公用事业	低位修复	139	+0.99%	-1.17%	+3.35%	+0.63%	73.38%	28.78%	365.2 亿	1.74%	2	0	26.60	1.64
汽车	修复延续	324	+0.92%	+1.71%	+0.75%	+0.64%	65.43%	31.17%	604.5 亿	2.89%	2	0	29.31	2.46
食品饮料	低位修复	126	+0.88%	-0.22%	-1.11%	+0.45%	66.67%	15.08%	210.2 亿	1.00%	1	0	25.14	2.22
综合	低位修复	20	+0.85%	-1.61%	+1.22%	+0.37%	65.00%	25.00%	37.08 亿	0.18%	1	0	48.76	2.96
钢铁	低位修复	44	+0.78%	-0.78%	-0.14%	+0.49%	65.91%	9.09%	61.22 亿	0.29%	1	0	23.49	1.17
建筑材料	修复延续	76	+0.73%	+0.62%	+2.83%	+0.48%	63.16%	36.84%	463.4 亿	2.21%	1	0	40.60	1.73
石油石化	低位修复	48	+0.73%	-1.74%	-0.33%	+0.41%	64.58%	12.50%	128.8 亿	0.62%	1	0	28.17	2.06
传媒	修复延续	130	+0.73%	+0.28%	+5.91%	+0.35%	55.38%	39.23%	407.5 亿	1.95%	3	0	41.69	2.97
交通运输	低位修复	128	+0.21%	-0.43%	+1.80%	-0.12%	43.75%	29.69%	246.9 亿	1.18%	1	0	17.75	1.43
农林牧渔	低位修复	114	+0.06%	-3.04%	+6.07%	+0.03%	50.00%	18.42%	334.9 亿	1.60%	1	0	46.02	2.56
银行	方向待明	42	-0.48%	-2.06%	+1.65%	-0.54%	28.57%	23.81%	242.3 亿	1.16%	0	0	6.11	0.55
煤炭	方向待明	33	-0.64%	-2.38%	+1.27%	-0.75%	15.15%	9.09%	99.31 亿	0.47%	0	0	25.67	1.24

涨停生态

首板 68 家 · 多板 12 家 · 昨日涨停 50 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 24.00%

4 板 · 2 家 · 锡华科技、华瓷股份

3 板 · 2 家 · 内蒙新华、世联行

2 板 · 8 家 · 金健米业、科森科技、华软科技、龙头股份、经纬股份、南华生物、华纺股份、新宏泽

1 板 · 68 家 · 华天科技、华盛昌、国芳集团、托伦斯、共进股份、电科思仪、惠科股份、万科A

行业聚类

电子 · 10 家 · 最高 2 板 · 科森科技、华天科技、托伦斯、惠科股份、天津普林、诚邦股份

电力设备 · 8 家 · 最高 4 板 · 锡华科技、华盛昌、精达股份、太阳电缆、中超控股、亚玛顿

轻工制造 · 8 家 · 最高 4 板 · 华瓷股份、新宏泽、德尔未来、天安新材、双枪科技、*ST联翔

机械设备 · 6 家 · 最高 1 板 · 电科思仪、腾信精密、航天动力、威星智能、沈阳机床、锡装股份

纺织服饰 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 龙头股份、华纺股份、七匹狼、奥康国际、真爱美家

计算机 · 5 家 · 最高 1 板 · 格尔软件、中电鑫龙、海量数据、浩瀚深度、魅视科技

基础化工 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 华软科技、和远气体、肯特催化、道生天合

传媒 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · 内蒙新华、新华文轩、国脉文化

医药生物 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 南华生物、合富中国、瑞康医药

商贸零售 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 国芳集团、国光连锁、上海九百

建筑装饰 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 经纬股份、柏诚股份、东易日盛

房地产 · 3 家 · 最高 3 板 · 世联行、万科A、绿地控股

公用事业 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 大连热电、百通能源

家用电器 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 阳光照明、德豪润达

汽车 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 祥鑫科技、海安集团

非银金融 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华鑫股份、华金资本

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 三羊马

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 金健米业

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 高凌信息

建筑材料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 中旗新材

环保 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 福龙马

石油石化 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 和顺石油

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 陕西旅游

综合 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 亚泰集团

通信 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 共进股份

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 马矿股份

食品饮料 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 会稽山

连续晋级与首板

锡华科技	603248.SH	电力设备	+9.98%	4	5.65 亿	主板	93058	95255	1	4/4	4,892.92 万
华瓷股份	001216.SZ	轻工制造	+10.01%	4	4.96 亿	主板	93009	95639	1	4/4	9,827.11 万
内蒙新华	603230.SH	传媒	+10.04%	3	8.67 亿	主板	92501	141307	6	3/3	3,204.55 万
世联行	002285.SZ	房地产	+9.89%	3	7.11 亿	主板	93515	132506	1	3/3	4,100.98 万
金健米业	600127.SH	农林牧渔	+9.98%	2	41.61 亿	主板	104156	142417	35	2/2	3,168.87 万
科森科技	603626.SH	电子	+10.00%	2	15.65 亿	主板	93141	110517	5	3/5	6,319.40 万
华软科技	002453.SZ	基础化工	+10.10%	2	4.47 亿	主板	92500	104115	1	2/2	3,924.26 万
龙头股份	600630.SH	纺织服饰	+9.95%	2	3.27 亿	主板	93023	93411	1	2/2	8,405.98 万
经纬股份	301390.SZ	建筑装饰	+20.00%	2	2.39 亿	创业板	92500	92500	0	2/2	9,882.86 万
南华生物	000504.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	2	1.88 亿	主板	93009	93139	1	2/2	7,512.91 万
华纺股份	600448.SH	纺织服饰	+9.94%	2	1.71 亿	主板	92501	92501	0	2/2	6,879.35 万
新宏泽	002836.SZ	轻工制造	+9.96%	2	1.48 亿	主板	93400	93633	2	2/2	2.78 亿
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	+10.01%	1	63.87 亿	主板	100233	100942	1	1/1	7.17 亿
华盛昌	002980.SZ	电力设备	+10.00%	1	19.83 亿	主板	133521	145300	1	1/1	1.05 亿
国芳集团	601086.SH	商贸零售	+10.00%	1	17.38 亿	主板	95317	131202	9	8/16	3,398.78 万
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	16.75 亿	创业板	110336	110336	0	1/1	1.00 亿
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	+10.03%	1	16.25 亿	主板	111311	111311	0	1/1	1.43 亿
电科思仪	301689.SZ	机械设备	+20.00%	1	15.88 亿	创业板	131539	131539	0	1/1	1.50 亿
惠科股份	001399.SZ	电子	+10.02%	1	14.66 亿	主板	103527	103527	0	1/1	8,604.41 万
万科A	000002.SZ	房地产	+9.93%	1	14.20 亿	主板	142218	142218	0	1/1	5,650.40 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

澳弘电子	605058.SH	电子	-2.79%	12.67 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中晶科技	003026.SZ	电子	+0.54%	22.26 亿	主板	92500	—	3	3/4	—
中岩大地	003001.SZ	建筑装饰	-1.57%	7.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
万向德农	600371.SH	农林牧渔	-1.53%	13.85 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
共达电声	002655.SZ	电子	+0.32%	19.60 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST英飞	002528.SZ	计算机	-10.03%	4.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
华宝股份	300741.SZ	基础化工	-7.43%	10.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华英农业	002321.SZ	农林牧渔	-4.13%	2.20 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
众泰汽车	000980.SZ	汽车	-3.38%	12.95 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
吉鑫科技	601218.SH	电力设备	-3.31%	13.30 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
世嘉科技	002796.SZ	通信	-2.37%	7.57 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
积成电子	002339.SZ	电力设备	-2.31%	6.16 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
金石亚药	300434.SZ	医药生物	-1.92%	10.76 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
跨境通	002640.SZ	商贸零售	-1.86%	13.29 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
三峡新材	600293.SH	建筑材料	-1.76%	4.77 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
安凯客车	000868.SZ	汽车	-1.72%	3.97 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

*ST英飞	002528.SZ	计算机	-10.03%	0	4.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

大跌样本

*ST英飞	002528.SZ	计算机	-10.03%	4.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	-8.58%	1.02 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
南卫股份	603880.SH	医药生物	-8.55%	2.36 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST仕净	301030.SZ	电力设备	-8.22%	1.33 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华宝股份	300741.SZ	基础化工	-7.43%	10.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天山生物	300313.SZ	农林牧渔	-6.64%	4.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天顺风能	002531.SZ	电力设备	-5.63%	15.33 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST亚士	603378.SH	建筑材料	-5.50%	9,054.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新芝生物	920685.BJ	机械设备	-5.46%	2,796.09 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中旗股份	300575.SZ	基础化工	-5.35%	2.11 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST西旅	000610.SZ	社会服务	-5.30%	1.04 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
京基智农	000048.SZ	农林牧渔	-4.94%	6.13 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

沈鼓集团	601091.SH	机械设备	+177.74%	0	48.17 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
信诺维	688837.SH	医药生物	+34.46%	0	19.07 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
腾信精密	920298.BJ	机械设备	+30.00%	1	8.28 亿	北交所	104758	130001	2	1/1	4,704.49 万
浩瀚深度	688292.SH	计算机	+20.02%	1	2.36 亿	科创板	94550	94550	0	1/1	6,863.74 万
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	+20.00%	1	16.75 亿	创业板	110336	110336	0	1/1	1.00 亿
电科思仪	301689.SZ	机械设备	+20.00%	1	15.88 亿	创业板	131539	131539	0	1/1	1.50 亿
经纬股份	301390.SZ	建筑装饰	+20.00%	2	2.39 亿	创业板	92500	92500	0	2/2	9,882.86 万
高凌信息	688175.SH	国防军工	+19.98%	1	2.47 亿	科创板	104811	131617	2	1/1	1,662.00 万
佰奥智能	300836.SZ	机械设备	+19.42%	0	4.99 亿	创业板	110157	—	4	0/0	—
星徽股份	300464.SZ	商贸零售	+17.39%	0	7.04 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
百迈科	920268.BJ	医药生物	+16.56%	0	2.67 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
华汇智能	920289.BJ	电力设备	+15.31%	0	1.98 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

*ST英飞	002528.SZ	计算机	-10.03%	4.48 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
ST同德	002360.SZ	基础化工	-8.58%	1.02 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
南卫股份	603880.SH	医药生物	-8.55%	2.36 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST仕净	301030.SZ	电力设备	-8.22%	1.33 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华宝股份	300741.SZ	基础化工	-7.43%	10.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天山生物	300313.SZ	农林牧渔	-6.64%	4.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
天顺风能	002531.SZ	电力设备	-5.63%	15.33 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST亚士	603378.SH	建筑材料	-5.50%	9,054.87 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
新芝生物	920685.BJ	机械设备	-5.46%	2,796.09 万	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
中旗股份	300575.SZ	基础化工	-5.35%	2.11 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST西旅	000610.SZ	社会服务	-5.30%	1.04 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
京基智农	000048.SZ	农林牧渔	-4.94%	6.13 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3187	+1.14%	69.91%	32.44%	+1.48%
创业板	1405	+1.82%	80.71%	44.98%	+2.51%
科创板	617	+2.95%	93.19%	59.16%	+2.03%
北交所	344	+1.95%	86.34%	15.99%	+1.79%

市值分层

小盘	2777	+1.29%	72.99%	33.69 亿
中盘	1666	+1.79%	79.53%	93.49 亿
大盘	833	+1.84%	81.51%	288.6 亿
超大盘	277	+2.13%	73.29%	1,311.0 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	趋势扩散	31/30	+4.36%	+13.20%	+17.86%	+1.45%	+2.19%	+2.89%	-2.91%	80.00%	26.67%	92.13 亿	0.44%	40.00%	+2.79%	1	2.84 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势扩散	206/204	+3.43%	+8.61%	+5.06%	+3.39%	+8.49%	+4.79%	-0.04%	92.65%	83.33%	3,588.5 亿	17.15%	100.00%	+1.87%	6	153.5 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势扩散	204/204	+2.95%	+8.72%	+4.82%	+2.93%	+8.67%	+4.82%	-0.03%	89.71%	84.80%	3,202.4 亿	15.30%	100.00%	+1.39%	7	102.9 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势扩散	57/57	+2.68%	+8.01%	+4.16%	+2.54%	+7.92%	+4.01%	-0.14%	91.23%	82.46%	927.7 亿	4.43%	100.00%	+1.11%	1	44.12 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势扩散	43/43	+2.61%	+9.87%	+4.02%	+2.61%	+9.82%	+3.78%	+0.00%	90.70%	90.70%	498.3 亿	2.38%	100.00%	+1.05%	0	10.50 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势扩散	212/212	+2.51%	+6.86%	+9.16%	+2.43%	+6.66%	+8.98%	-0.08%	87.74%	80.66%	4,575.3 亿	21.86%	100.00%	+0.94%	3	130.9 亿	100.00%
MLCC	趋势扩散	35/35	+2.39%	+7.93%	+4.55%	+2.01%	+6.35%	+2.45%	-0.38%	82.86%	82.86%	451.8 亿	2.16%	65.00%	+0.82%	0	-1.77 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	+2.32%	+3.55%	+0.13%	+2.32%	+3.61%	-0.07%	0.00%	88.24%	41.18%	72.53 亿	0.35%	65.00%	+0.76%	0	2.10 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势扩散	80/80	+2.18%	+8.23%	+1.16%	+2.19%	+8.20%	+0.89%	+0.01%	87.50%	73.75%	485.1 亿	2.32%	100.00%	+0.61%	2	9.71 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/229	+2.15%	+4.61%	+5.28%	+2.10%	+4.41%	+4.80%	-0.05%	89.96%	55.02%	2,313.5 亿	11.05%	75.00%	+0.59%	1	56.77 亿	100.00%
商业航天	方向待明	507/506	+2.10%	+2.73%	+3.57%	+2.12%	+2.76%	+3.34%	+0.01%	86.96%	54.35%	3,031.0 亿	14.48%	100.00%	+0.54%	7	10.76 亿	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/462	+1.88%	+3.95%	+1.63%	+1.84%	+3.96%	+1.61%	-0.04%	86.58%	48.27%	2,537.2 亿	12.12%	100.00%	+0.32%	2	26.63 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势扩散	236/235	+1.84%	+6.41%	+8.63%	+1.83%	+6.48%	+8.74%	-0.01%	80.00%	77.45%	2,871.5 亿	13.72%	100.00%	+0.28%	3	-57.35 亿	100.00%
减速器	方向待明	139/139	+1.40%	+2.90%	+1.03%	+1.40%	+2.89%	+0.79%	-0.00%	83.45%	39.57%	380.9 亿	1.82%	70.00%	-0.16%	0	-5.10 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	+1.27%	+3.35%	-3.92%	+1.22%	+3.45%	-4.19%	-0.05%	75.00%	27.14%	802.3 亿	3.83%	70.00%	-0.29%	2	7.76 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/196	+0.90%	+0.48%	+4.93%	+0.90%	+0.56%	+4.71%	+0.00%	62.24%	35.71%	511.3 亿	2.44%	55.00%	-0.66%	4	1,532.35 万	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 趋势扩散

领涨：会稽山（601579.SH）+10.02%、古越龙山（600059.SH）+8.63%、金枫酒业（600616.SH）+4.93%

领跌：贵州茅台（600519.SH）-0.78%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）-0.71%、山西汾酒（600809.SH）-0.34%

存储芯片 · 趋势扩散

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+20.00%、阿莱德（301419.SZ）+13.03%、翱捷科技（688220.SH）+11.17%

领跌：中京电子（002579.SZ）-2.88%、超颖电子（603175.SH）-1.64%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-1.47%

先进封装 · 趋势扩散

领涨：托伦斯（301583.SZ）+20.00%、拉普拉斯（688726.SH）+11.26%、国林科技（300786.SZ）+10.72%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-3.03%、中京电子（002579.SZ）-2.88%、鸿仕达（920125.BJ）-2.22%

玻璃基板 · 趋势扩散

领涨：亚玛顿（002623.SZ）+9.98%、长电科技（600584.SH）+7.75%、精测电子（300567.SZ）+7.02%

领跌：三峡新材（600293.SH）-1.76%、德龙激光（688170.SH）-1.47%、沃格光电（603773.SH）-0.95%

电子化学品 · 趋势扩散

领涨：广钢气体（688548.SH）+8.40%、兴福电子（688545.SH）+7.42%、中船特气（688146.SH）+5.89%

领跌：方邦股份（688020.SH）-3.03%、海星股份（603115.SH）-1.81%、天通股份（600330.SH）-0.98%

CPO · 趋势扩散

领涨：阿莱德（301419.SZ）+13.03%、一博科技（301366.SZ）+12.04%、国民技术（300077.SZ）+10.90%

领跌：强达电路（301628.SZ）-4.25%、超声电子（000823.SZ）-3.47%、联创电子（002036.SZ）-3.22%

MLCC · 趋势扩散

领涨：龙鑫智能（920117.BJ）+6.11%、荣旗科技（301360.SZ）+5.64%、赛伍技术（603212.SH）+4.42%

领跌：东材科技（601208.SH）-1.91%、双星新材（002585.SZ）-1.20%、康达新材（002669.SZ）-0.43%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：春光集团（301531.SZ）+8.50%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）+6.22%、悦安新材（688786.SH）+4.87%

领跌：华达新材（605158.SH）-1.15%、新莱福（301323.SZ）-0.59%、合金投资（000633.SZ）-0.19%

光刻胶 · 趋势扩散

领涨：国林科技（300786.SZ）+10.72%、华软科技（002453.SZ）+10.10%、肯特催化（603120.SH）+9.99%

领跌：百合花（603823.SH）-3.82%、富祥股份（300497.SZ）-2.20%、东材科技（601208.SH）-1.91%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：东微半导（688261.SH）+15.16%、阿莱德（301419.SZ）+13.03%、祥鑫科技（002965.SZ）+10.01%

领跌：艾华集团（603989.SH）-1.92%、苏州天脉（301626.SZ）-1.58%、高澜股份（300499.SZ）-1.41%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：浩瀚深度（688292.SH）+20.02%、高凌信息（688175.SH）+19.98%、佰奥智能（300836.SZ）+19.42%

领跌：超声电子（000823.SZ）-3.47%、顶固集创（300749.SZ）-3.09%、中京电子（002579.SZ）-2.88%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：东微半导（688261.SH）+15.16%、云天励飞（688343.SH）+15.09%、阿莱德（301419.SZ）+13.03%

领跌：京基智农（000048.SZ）-4.94%、联创电子（002036.SZ）-3.22%、江苏北人（688218.SH）-2.97%

PCB · 趋势扩散

领涨：佰奥智能（300836.SZ）+19.42%、一博科技（301366.SZ）+12.04%、大亚圣象（000910.SZ）+10.06%

领跌：中国巨石（600176.SH）-4.52%、强达电路（301628.SZ）-4.25%、超声电子（000823.SZ）-3.47%

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：大叶股份（300879.SZ）+10.27%、斯莱克（300382.SZ）+6.70%、宏昌科技（301008.SZ）+6.10%

领跌：奥联电子（300585.SZ）-2.08%、渤海汽车（600960.SH）-2.01%、泉峰汽车（603982.SH）-1.90%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：泓博医药（301230.SZ）+10.76%、百洋医药（301015.SZ）+10.41%、亚泰集团（600881.SH）+10.29%

领跌：中旗股份（300575.SZ）-5.35%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）-3.93%、灵康药业（603669.SH）-3.29%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：内蒙新华（603230.SH）+10.04%、国脉文化（600640.SH）+10.04%、陕西旅游（603402.SH）+10.01%

领跌：京基智农（000048.SZ）-4.94%、博汇科技（688004.SH）-4.93%、ST华谊（300027.SZ）-2.79%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

AI与半导体	134	+3.39%	+3.09%	+4.84%	+0.52%	414.0 亿	99.25%	14/98	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · +1.14%
中小盘宽基	145	+2.14%	+1.97%	+2.80%	-0.71%	284.1 亿	98.62%	23/37	易方达创业板ETF · -1.42%
消费	48	+1.82%	+0.66%	-0.11%	-1.07%	12.26 亿	100.00%	7/15	华夏国证消费电子主题ETF · -0.92%
金融地产	51	+1.21%	+1.20%	-0.31%	-0.46%	53.34 亿	100.00%	12/20	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · -0.48%
医药健康	53	+1.05%	+0.89%	+3.40%	-4.78%	37.95 亿	100.00%	17/15	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -0.15%
资源周期	63	+1.03%	+1.17%	-1.08%	-5.09%	38.92 亿	100.00%	13/22	永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF · +0.46%
大盘宽基	86	+0.89%	+0.92%	-0.15%	-2.17%	79.07 亿	98.84%	19/19	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · -0.17%
红利防御	101	+0.05%	+0.20%	-1.06%	+0.30%	34.98 亿	100.00%	22/25	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.11%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

AI硬件与数字经济	电子、计算机、通信	1001	+2.37%	+5.20%	+3.85%	86.41%	58.84%	44.92%	16	1
高端制造	机械设备、电力设备、国防军工、汽车	1497	+1.84%	+2.52%	+0.99%	81.16%	39.68%	20.12%	17	0
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	538	+1.49%	+3.44%	-2.69%	77.32%	28.44%	5.73%	3	0
金融地产	房地产、非银金融、银行	213	+1.42%	+0.56%	+2.03%	79.81%	29.58%	3.44%	5	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	230	+1.12%	+0.75%	+2.89%	67.39%	33.04%	3.41%	4	0
资源周期	有色金属、基础化工、钢铁、石油石化、煤炭	720	+1.09%	+1.36%	+0.10%	72.36%	27.36%	10.33%	6	0
大消费	商贸零售、社会服务、家用电器、食品饮料、农林牧渔	528	+0.94%	-0.61%	+2.88%	65.72%	24.62%	4.95%	8	0
公用防御	环保、公用事业、交通运输	401	+0.85%	-0.23%	+1.84%	63.09%	28.68%	3.53%	4	0

近五个交易日

2026-09-14	41.7	61	56.32%	1.6430 万亿	57	4
2026-09-15	27.6	40.4	20.19%	1.6253 万亿	32	5
2026-09-16	76	85.4	75.14%	1.8525 万亿	91	6
2026-09-17	42.9	59.5	46.39%	1.8365 万亿	50	5
2026-09-18	79	82.2	76.25%	2.0929 万亿	80	4

边际变化

成交额：扩张 · +13.96%

上涨覆盖：扩大 · +29.86%

涨停家数：扩张 · 30

最高连板：压缩 · -1

五日成交中位：1.8365 万亿 · 温度区间：27.6–79 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：酿酒 4次、存储芯片 2次、CPO 1次、MLCC 1次、PCB 1次、先进封装 1次

行业：电子 4次、传媒 1次、农林牧渔 1次、医药生物 1次、房地产 1次、有色金属 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日+14.0%，上涨覆盖76.2%，五日成交中位18365.1亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益+4.36%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电子涨停10家，最高2板。

负反馈 · 跌停1家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 乐观条件已满足

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 18365.1亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 24.0%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖76.2%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 58 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6
2026-08-04	82.3	89.5	65.87%	2.2284 万亿	141	7
2026-08-05	84.1	90	67.34%	2.6799 万亿	105	8
2026-08-06	62.4	84	50.41%	2.5475 万亿	83	10
2026-08-07	76	67	51.60%	2.6834 万亿	75	4
2026-08-10	71.3	74.4	73.46%	2.5387 万亿	103	5
2026-08-11	46.3	62.7	29.16%	2.3356 万亿	60	6
2026-08-12	76.2	92.4	74.53%	2.1672 万亿	97	7
2026-08-13	53.4	61.8	20.63%	2.5680 万亿	62	5
2026-08-14	56.3	55	43.32%	2.1566 万亿	64	5
2026-08-17	89	84.8	78.26%	2.4025 万亿	110	4
2026-08-18	56.6	62.7	38.29%	2.4198 万亿	81	4
2026-08-19	27.1	35.8	8.10%	2.5300 万亿	38	3
2026-08-20	63.1	50.9	73.92%	2.0939 万亿	84	4
2026-08-21	53.7	45.7	45.19%	1.8923 万亿	58	3
2026-08-24	41.8	47.2	26.33%	2.0212 万亿	48	4
2026-08-25	62.5	63.9	76.34%	1.8443 万亿	70	5
2026-08-26	65.4	64.1	53.11%	1.8218 万亿	56	5
2026-08-27	77.3	82.6	61.19%	2.1410 万亿	78	6
2026-08-28	51.9	81.1	54.32%	2.1177 万亿	83	7
2026-08-31	68.9	67.3	57.37%	2.1454 万亿	89	6
2026-09-01	53.4	81.3	61.07%	2.0519 万亿	86	7
2026-09-02	34.1	48.5	27.78%	1.8203 万亿	55	5
2026-09-03	51.2	45.9	33.27%	1.7802 万亿	46	5
2026-09-04	52.8	46.3	44.05%	2.0510 万亿	42	5
2026-09-07	64.9	86.4	57.07%	1.9642 万亿	95	6
2026-09-08	63.9	75	61.58%	1.9782 万亿	75	4
2026-09-09	43.6	53.3	32.32%	1.8731 万亿	49	5
2026-09-10	25.9	41	17.21%	1.6623 万亿	40	4
2026-09-11	34.2	46.1	11.59%	1.9870 万亿	40	4
2026-09-14	41.7	61	56.32%	1.6430 万亿	57	4
2026-09-15	27.6	40.4	20.19%	1.6253 万亿	32	5
2026-09-16	76	85.4	75.14%	1.8525 万亿	91	6
2026-09-17	42.9	59.5	46.39%	1.8365 万亿	50	5
2026-09-18	79	82.2	76.25%	2.0929 万亿	80	4

情绪九维 82.2

连板高度8.57
8.57
输入与公式
4 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.6
9.6
输入与公式
80 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.56
10.56
输入与公式
0.7476635514018691 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率9.6
9.6
输入与公式
0.24 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价10.81
10.81
输入与公式
0.02502882 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应7.8
7.8
输入与公式
{"limitDown":1,"largeLoss":5} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.7624707365388078 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比8.44
8.44
输入与公式
{"limitUp":80,"limitDown":1} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能7.82
7.82
输入与公式
1.0908211547823985 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	587	10.57%	+6.14%	+5.27%
趋势延续	698	12.57%	+1.99%	+1.86%
低位修复	2472	44.52%	+1.48%	+1.18%
中间状态	1796	32.34%	+0.03%	-0.30%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 50 家 · 今日晋级 12 家 · 晋级率 24.00%

晋级名单

锡华科技	603248.SH	电力设备	4	+9.98%
华瓷股份	001216.SZ	轻工制造	4	+10.01%
内蒙新华	603230.SH	传媒	3	+10.04%
世联行	002285.SZ	房地产	3	+9.89%
金健米业	600127.SH	农林牧渔	2	+9.98%
科森科技	603626.SH	电子	2	+10.00%
华软科技	002453.SZ	基础化工	2	+10.10%
龙头股份	600630.SH	纺织服饰	2	+9.95%
经纬股份	301390.SZ	建筑装饰	2	+20.00%
南华生物	000504.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.00%
华纺股份	600448.SH	纺织服饰	2	+9.94%
新宏泽	002836.SZ	轻工制造	2	+9.96%
华天科技	002185.SZ	电子	1	+10.01%
华盛昌	002980.SZ	电力设备	1	+10.00%
国芳集团	601086.SH	商贸零售	1	+10.00%
托伦斯	301583.SZ	电子	1	+20.00%
共进股份	603118.SH	通信	1	+10.03%
电科思仪	301689.SZ	机械设备	1	+20.00%
惠科股份	001399.SZ	电子	1	+10.02%
万科A	000002.SZ	房地产	1	+9.93%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

手写（无规则）	11	4	4	3	36.36%	36.36%	27.27%
强势方向延续	25	6	11	8	24.00%	44.00%	32.00%
弱势方向修复	25	12	0	13	48.00%	0.00%	52.00%
方向剪刀差	15	13	0	2	86.67%	0.00%	13.33%
涨停生态	25	5	9	11	20.00%	36.00%	44.00%
市场持续性	25	2	10	13	8.00%	40.00%	52.00%

近20个交易日

强势方向延续	20	6	8	6	30.00%	40.00%	30.00%
弱势方向修复	20	10	0	10	50.00%	0.00%	50.00%
方向剪刀差	12	10	0	2	83.33%	0.00%	16.67%
涨停生态	20	5	7	8	25.00%	35.00%	40.00%
市场持续性	20	2	7	11	10.00%	35.00%	55.00%

共 131 条假设