历史详情 · A 股观测台

2026-08-03

结论与证据

全A收盘为4005家上涨、1466家下跌，上涨占比72.44%；成交2.0111万亿元，环比-21.44%。单日广度明显扩张，64.2%样本位于MA20上方；83家封板、9家跌停，广度与涨停生态相互印证。这确认了当日扩张，但持续性仍需下一交易日验证。

广度扩张 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方64% · 83家封板 · 温度56.7

支持证据

16方向中减速器当日+2.05%居前；105家触板、封板率79.0%，最高6板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-1.46%，电子化学品方向-3.63%；成交额环比-21.44%，资金流分类代理-418.7亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.0111 万亿
成交环比: -21.44%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 4005 / 1466 / 58
上涨覆盖: 72.44%
中位涨幅: +1.35%
MA20上方: 64.22%
20日新高 / 新低: 1437 / 225
涨停 / 跌停: 83 / 9
触板 / 未封: 105 / 22
封板率: 79.05%
最高连板: 6 板

收盘温度 56.7

广度25.35
25.35
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
趋势12.84
12.84
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态13.53
13.53
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
指数5
5
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 63.7

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.96
9.96
输入与公式
83.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.16
11.16
输入与公式
0.79 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.6
6.6
输入与公式
0.17 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.63
7.63
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0.45
0.45
输入与公式
{"limitDown":9,"largeLoss":112} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.72 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":83,"limitDown":9} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.56
1.56
输入与公式
0.78 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,809.66	-0.59%	9,522.6 亿
科创50	1,552.89	-5.08%	1,245.1 亿
深证成指	13,448.29	-0.96%	6,208.3 亿
创业板指	3,302.55	-1.24%	2,340.5 亿
中证1000	7,079.78	+0.06%	3,911.8 亿
国证2000	9,163.45	+0.36%	5,257.1 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	809	14.63%	+5.15%	+4.19%
趋势延续	1701	30.77%	+1.74%	+1.70%
低位修复	1113	20.13%	+2.52%	+1.81%
中间状态	1906	34.47%	-1.64%	-1.10%

三项风险

普涨后的广度持续性尚未确认

上涨占比72.44%、中位数涨幅+1.35%；单日扩张不等同连续扩张。

少数方向逆势承压

煤炭、电子分别为-0.31%、-1.46%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-21.44%，105家触板中22家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

广度扩张能否延续

上涨占比继续高于50%，且MA20上方比例不显著低于今日64.2%。

减速器强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

电子化学品弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日79.0%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,809.66 · MA5 3,817.68 · MA10 3,836.90 · MA20 3,882.11

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,882.11 · 近10日最低 3,743.36 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 3,884.44 · 近20日最高 4,074.83

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%
2026-07-29	3,823.29	3,845.77	3,782.48	3,828.47	+0.40%
2026-07-30	3,812.11	3,839.34	3,767.50	3,804.69	-0.62%
2026-07-31	3,833.54	3,847.09	3,822.37	3,832.26	+0.72%
2026-08-03	3,812.61	3,827.64	3,797.64	3,809.66	-0.59%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

环保	趋势扩散	134	+2.71%	+3.75%	-5.30%	+2.35%	90.30%	69.40%	157.3 亿	0.78%	2	0	27.54	1.93
综合	趋势扩散	20	+2.63%	+6.39%	+0.30%	+2.78%	95.00%	80.00%	34.30 亿	0.17%	0	0	48.96	2.84
电力设备	修复延续	415	+2.45%	+2.87%	-9.41%	+2.35%	82.41%	65.78%	1,560.8 亿	7.76%	14	0	44.27	2.72
公用事业	修复延续	139	+2.26%	+2.67%	+3.58%	+2.03%	89.21%	87.05%	486.7 亿	2.42%	6	0	27.62	1.65
基础化工	修复延续	447	+2.15%	+2.50%	-10.14%	+1.58%	78.30%	60.40%	893.2 亿	4.44%	7	0	35.18	2.12
建筑装饰	趋势扩散	155	+1.97%	+4.68%	-3.54%	+2.25%	78.71%	74.84%	297.0 亿	1.48%	6	0	30.67	1.91
轻工制造	趋势扩散	166	+1.90%	+4.41%	-4.96%	+2.06%	80.12%	74.70%	152.5 亿	0.76%	4	0	29.79	2.08
通信	低位修复	127	+1.90%	-1.21%	-12.93%	+1.76%	74.80%	45.67%	1,411.5 亿	7.02%	4	0	90.31	4.29
房地产	趋势扩散	94	+1.87%	+5.45%	+1.21%	+1.83%	81.91%	80.85%	144.3 亿	0.72%	1	0	35.52	1.11
国防军工	修复延续	140	+1.65%	+1.39%	-12.37%	+1.86%	81.43%	53.57%	465.8 亿	2.32%	1	0	77.36	3.57
交通运输	趋势扩散	128	+1.63%	+4.64%	+2.70%	+1.58%	88.28%	91.41%	217.5 亿	1.08%	0	0	17.56	1.38
农林牧渔	趋势扩散	114	+1.60%	+5.87%	+0.73%	+1.66%	78.95%	83.33%	164.3 亿	0.82%	2	0	32.85	2.31
机械设备	修复延续	607	+1.55%	+1.84%	-13.74%	+1.75%	74.79%	54.86%	1,450.4 亿	7.21%	12	0	45.04	2.98
钢铁	趋势扩散	43	+1.54%	+5.28%	+4.68%	+1.38%	76.74%	90.70%	82.36 亿	0.41%	1	0	20.43	1.17
汽车	趋势扩散	320	+1.43%	+4.46%	-7.29%	+1.46%	76.88%	69.69%	591.8 亿	2.94%	1	1	29.03	2.38
纺织服饰	趋势扩散	108	+1.38%	+5.15%	-4.09%	+1.70%	71.30%	79.63%	115.8 亿	0.58%	1	1	30.35	1.87
建筑材料	趋势扩散	76	+1.28%	+3.35%	-7.86%	+1.97%	76.32%	72.37%	316.8 亿	1.58%	0	2	40.54	1.61
商贸零售	趋势扩散	100	+1.21%	+6.14%	+2.41%	+1.27%	75.00%	90.00%	161.2 亿	0.80%	2	0	32.01	1.91
传媒	趋势扩散	131	+1.18%	+9.06%	+4.98%	+1.43%	74.81%	87.79%	694.8 亿	3.45%	3	0	39.55	2.91
计算机	趋势扩散	356	+1.12%	+7.21%	-0.64%	+1.05%	68.26%	75.84%	1,472.3 亿	7.32%	6	1	79.59	3.44
有色金属	修复延续	145	+0.98%	+1.36%	-11.83%	+1.09%	67.59%	55.86%	1,008.2 亿	5.01%	0	1	35.08	3.15
石油石化	趋势扩散	48	+0.96%	+4.19%	+2.51%	+1.21%	68.75%	83.33%	158.9 亿	0.79%	1	0	38.35	2.09
家用电器	趋势扩散	103	+0.94%	+3.81%	-6.29%	+1.12%	70.87%	70.87%	209.8 亿	1.04%	0	0	38.98	2.50
银行	趋势扩散	42	+0.79%	+4.05%	+8.09%	+0.96%	73.81%	100.00%	383.8 亿	1.91%	0	0	6.19	0.57
社会服务	趋势扩散	86	+0.75%	+7.27%	+0.95%	+1.10%	74.42%	83.72%	113.5 亿	0.56%	1	0	35.90	2.88
医药生物	修复延续	503	+0.62%	+0.91%	-3.50%	+0.87%	68.19%	59.05%	943.4 亿	4.69%	1	0	36.48	2.34
食品饮料	趋势扩散	125	+0.55%	+9.20%	+4.64%	+0.64%	58.40%	90.40%	333.2 亿	1.66%	4	0	25.85	2.27
美容护理	修复延续	31	+0.45%	+1.91%	+2.37%	+0.04%	51.61%	83.87%	41.33 亿	0.21%	0	0	28.68	2.31
非银金融	修复延续	79	+0.43%	+2.55%	-0.68%	+0.63%	73.42%	72.15%	393.7 亿	1.96%	0	0	19.08	1.25
煤炭	方向待明	33	-0.31%	+1.29%	+2.07%	0.00%	48.48%	72.73%	102.9 亿	0.51%	1	0	21.99	1.30
电子	方向待明	514	-1.46%	-7.87%	-27.25%	-0.94%	42.02%	15.76%	5,551.4 亿	27.60%	2	3	73.20	4.33

涨停生态

首板 66 家 · 多板 17 家 · 昨日涨停 103 家 · 今日晋级 17 家 · 晋级率 16.50%

6 板 · 1 家 · 传智教育

5 板 · 1 家 · 一鸣食品

4 板 · 1 家 · 高争民爆

3 板 · 1 家 · 神雾节能

2 板 · 13 家 · 利欧股份、美利云、天娱数科、盈峰环境、中大力德、锦和商管、新能股份、中岩大地

1 板 · 66 家 · 华电辽能、通威股份、百合花、顺钠股份、中国核建、富瀚微、融发核电、北投科技

行业聚类

电力设备 · 14 家 · 最高 1 板 · 通威股份、顺钠股份、融发核电、江特电机、国晟科技、长缆科技

机械设备 · 12 家 · 最高 2 板 · 利欧股份、中大力德、欧克科技、合锻智能、厦工股份、江苏神通

基础化工 · 7 家 · 最高 4 板 · 高争民爆、百合花、神剑股份、福莱新材、裕兴股份、汇得科技

公用事业 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 新能股份、德龙汇能、华电辽能、乐山电力、深南电A、胜通能源

建筑装饰 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 中岩大地、豪尔赛、中国核建、*ST美芝、利柏特、*ST瑞和

计算机 · 6 家 · 最高 2 板 · 美利云、恒银科技、达实智能、*ST航图、凯旺科技、魅视科技

轻工制造 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 宜宾纸业、麒盛科技、凯恩股份、*ST联翔

通信 · 4 家 · 最高 1 板 · 通宇通讯、铭普光磁、元道退、欣天科技

食品饮料 · 4 家 · 最高 5 板 · 一鸣食品、养元饮品、煌上煌、ST椰岛

传媒 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 天娱数科、北投科技、中国科传

农林牧渔 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 国投中鲁、新赛股份

商贸零售 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 锦和商管、吉宏股份

环保 · 2 家 · 最高 3 板 · 神雾节能、盈峰环境

电子 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 富瀚微、奋达科技

医药生物 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 济民健康

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 2 板 · 立航科技

房地产 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 阳光股份

汽车 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · ST中路

煤炭 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 新大洲A

石油石化 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 康普顿

社会服务 · 1 家 · 最高 6 板 · 传智教育

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 云中马

钢铁 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 沙钢股份

连续晋级与首板

传智教育	003032.SZ	社会服务	+9.99%	6	7,937.20 万	主板	92500	92500	0	6/6	1.99 亿
一鸣食品	605179.SH	食品饮料	+10.02%	5	7.71 亿	主板	144419	144419	0	5/5	3,465.22 万
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	+10.00%	4	3.16 亿	主板	93024	93024	0	4/4	1.27 亿
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	+9.94%	3	2.60 亿	主板	93424	132906	8	3/3	974.93 万
利欧股份	002131.SZ	机械设备	+10.09%	2	70.01 亿	主板	100857	134248	22	2/2	1.98 亿
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	+10.01%	2	15.26 亿	主板	93351	100327	6	6/11	9,384.07 万
天娱数科	002354.SZ	传媒	+9.98%	2	8.99 亿	主板	92500	93124	2	2/2	2.49 亿
盈峰环境	000967.SZ	环保	+10.06%	2	7.25 亿	主板	93245	93245	0	2/2	9,855.34 万
中大力德	002896.SZ	机械设备	+9.99%	2	5.35 亿	主板	93109	93212	1	2/2	2.12 亿
锦和商管	603682.SH	商贸零售	+10.00%	2	3.77 亿	主板	93115	94927	4	2/2	2,054.98 万
新能股份	000595.SZ	公用事业	+9.96%	2	3.27 亿	主板	94336	94524	2	5/9	6,494.43 万
中岩大地	003001.SZ	建筑装饰	+9.98%	2	1.76 亿	主板	93024	93024	0	6/12	7,604.28 万
欧克科技	001223.SZ	机械设备	+10.01%	2	1.20 亿	主板	130018	130018	0	3/6	5,600.62 万
立航科技	603261.SH	国防军工	+10.00%	2	9,835.99 万	主板	93106	94454	4	2/2	3,372.77 万
德龙汇能	000593.SZ	公用事业	+9.99%	2	7,741.02 万	主板	92500	92500	0	2/2	1.10 亿
恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	+10.04%	2	7,165.27 万	主板	92502	92502	0	2/2	5,820.22 万
豪尔赛	002963.SZ	建筑装饰	+9.98%	2	3,779.87 万	主板	93342	93342	0	2/2	6,324.90 万
华电辽能	600396.SH	公用事业	+10.00%	1	34.10 亿	主板	102023	102023	0	1/1	3.13 亿
通威股份	600438.SH	电力设备	+10.02%	1	15.49 亿	主板	135226	135226	0	1/1	1.14 亿
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	+10.00%	1	15.43 亿	主板	130451	144721	10	1/1	2,611.07 万

晋级未完成（最多16只）

普联软件	300996.SZ	计算机	-8.22%	18.04 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
香江控股	600162.SH	房地产	-2.52%	7.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国宝安	000009.SZ	电力设备	+0.13%	9.12 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
税友股份	603171.SH	计算机	+1.01%	11.40 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
泛微网络	603039.SH	计算机	+6.07%	24.24 亿	主板	95525	—	6	2/3	—
米奥会展	300795.SZ	社会服务	-13.63%	7.10 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
泰坦股份	003036.SZ	机械设备	-9.19%	4.83 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
海星股份	603115.SH	电子	-7.41%	5.90 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宝鼎科技	002552.SZ	电子	-7.25%	8.15 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
麦格米特	002851.SZ	电力设备	-7.13%	34.10 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
法狮龙	605318.SH	建筑材料	-7.06%	1.57 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
科瑞技术	002957.SZ	机械设备	-6.03%	6.78 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
宏景科技	301396.SZ	计算机	-5.73%	35.98 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
九安医疗	002432.SZ	医药生物	-5.57%	25.75 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
太极实业	600667.SH	建筑装饰	-5.51%	60.76 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
平安电工	001359.SZ	基础化工	-5.49%	5.43 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-10.00%	230.3 亿	主板	—	143955	2	—	2.12 亿
中国巨石	600176.SH	建筑材料	-9.99%	107.3 亿	主板	—	143238	1	—	3,876.38 万
宏和科技	603256.SH	建筑材料	-10.00%	29.51 亿	主板	—	150000	1	—	3,980.62 万
先导基电	600641.SH	电子	-10.00%	19.49 亿	主板	—	150000	29	—	470.14 万
宏桥控股	002379.SZ	有色金属	-10.01%	13.91 亿	主板	—	103030	5	—	1.19 亿
麦迪科技	603990.SH	计算机	-9.98%	4.44 亿	主板	—	150000	5	—	1,067.65 万
东晶电子	002199.SZ	电子	-10.02%	2.57 亿	主板	—	133451	1	—	1,140.68 万
明新旭腾	605068.SH	汽车	-10.00%	1.19 亿	主板	—	94132	7	—	4,669.77 万
ST瑞贝卡	600439.SH	纺织服饰	-10.19%	619.95 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—

大跌样本

欣兴工具	301677.SZ	机械设备	-19.09%	9.45 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
米奥会展	300795.SZ	社会服务	-13.63%	7.10 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
国际复材	301526.SZ	建筑材料	-12.85%	67.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	-12.59%	43.91 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
精测电子	300567.SZ	机械设备	-12.57%	20.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	-12.49%	20.24 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
长川科技	300604.SZ	电子	-12.41%	84.28 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
泽璟制药	688266.SH	医药生物	-12.02%	12.93 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
实朴检测	301228.SZ	社会服务	-11.94%	4.75 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
普冉股份	688766.SH	电子	-11.83%	61.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华海清科	688120.SH	电子	-11.67%	47.70 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华是科技	301218.SZ	计算机	-11.34%	5.40 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

聚仁新材	920258.BJ	基础化工	+250.89%	0	5.87 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
欣天科技	300615.SZ	通信	+20.02%	1	1,321.59 万	创业板	92500	92500	0	1/1	2.45 亿
富瀚微	300613.SZ	电子	+20.01%	1	7.56 亿	创业板	93000	93000	0	1/1	1.45 亿
久盛电气	301082.SZ	电力设备	+20.00%	1	2.84 亿	创业板	102142	102142	0	1/1	4,618.41 万
裕兴股份	300305.SZ	基础化工	+20.00%	1	1.94 亿	创业板	104433	110436	1	1/1	2,045.98 万
凯旺科技	301182.SZ	计算机	+19.99%	1	1.04 亿	创业板	93145	93145	0	1/1	6,481.79 万
瑞迪智驱	301596.SZ	机械设备	+19.99%	1	1.81 亿	创业板	93645	94127	1	1/1	6,275.83 万
*ST航图	688066.SH	计算机	+19.95%	1	1.30 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
元道退	301139.SZ	通信	+19.94%	1	9,299.55 万	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
常辅股份	920396.BJ	机械设备	+18.80%	0	1.64 亿	北交所	—	—	—	—	—
哈焊华通	301137.SZ	机械设备	+18.51%	0	6.18 亿	创业板	94048	—	1	0/0	—
仁信新材	301395.SZ	基础化工	+16.80%	0	1.33 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

跌幅居前

欣兴工具	301677.SZ	机械设备	-19.09%	9.45 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
米奥会展	300795.SZ	社会服务	-13.63%	7.10 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
国际复材	301526.SZ	建筑材料	-12.85%	67.93 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
中科飞测	688361.SH	电子	-12.59%	43.91 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
精测电子	300567.SZ	机械设备	-12.57%	20.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
正帆科技	688596.SH	机械设备	-12.49%	20.24 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
长川科技	300604.SZ	电子	-12.41%	84.28 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
泽璟制药	688266.SH	医药生物	-12.02%	12.93 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
实朴检测	301228.SZ	社会服务	-11.94%	4.75 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
普冉股份	688766.SH	电子	-11.83%	61.72 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华海清科	688120.SH	电子	-11.67%	47.70 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华是科技	301218.SZ	计算机	-11.34%	5.40 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3189	+1.49%	78.77%	73.16%	+1.70%
创业板	1396	+1.41%	73.14%	58.60%	+3.00%
科创板	612	-0.20%	54.41%	32.19%	+2.27%
北交所	332	+0.66%	41.87%	61.14%	+2.08%

市值分层

小盘	2765	+1.89%	80.18%	31.35 亿
中盘	1659	+1.19%	72.15%	88.61 亿
大盘	829	-0.08%	57.78%	272.0 亿
超大盘	276	-1.16%	40.58%	1,285.0 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

减速器	方向待明	139/139	+2.05%	+4.73%	-14.33%	+2.05%	+4.78%	-14.15%	-0.00%	82.73%	58.27%	393.1 亿	1.95%	35.00%	+0.82%	3	0	7.79 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	+1.83%	+0.13%	-20.16%	+1.83%	+0.29%	-19.98%	+0.00%	79.41%	38.24%	84.59 亿	0.42%	35.00%	+0.60%	0	0	1.24 亿	100.00%
MLCC	低位修复	35/35	+1.83%	—	—	-0.46%	-3.41%	-29.20%	-2.28%	51.43%	20.00%	508.6 亿	2.53%	35.00%	+0.60%	1	0	-4.28 亿	100.00%
商业航天	方向待明	507/505	+1.78%	+0.56%	-15.83%	+1.78%	+0.70%	-15.29%	+0.00%	76.44%	45.94%	2,426.6 亿	12.07%	15.00%	+0.55%	10	0	-4.42 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	趋势扩散	197/197	+1.35%	+6.99%	+2.80%	+1.35%	+6.97%	+2.57%	+0.00%	76.65%	81.73%	735.6 亿	3.66%	100.00%	+0.12%	4	0	-20.56 亿	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/461	+1.26%	+1.62%	-16.91%	+1.24%	+1.72%	-16.71%	-0.02%	71.37%	45.99%	2,494.6 亿	12.40%	20.00%	+0.03%	10	3	-80.84 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	低位修复	229/229	+0.24%	-4.45%	-19.95%	+0.24%	-4.08%	-19.27%	+0.00%	61.14%	31.88%	2,170.2 亿	10.79%	10.00%	-0.99%	5	0	-54.97 亿	100.00%
创新药	低位修复	281/280	+0.15%	-0.95%	-4.79%	+0.15%	-0.92%	-4.87%	-0.00%	62.50%	50.71%	689.5 亿	3.43%	5.00%	-1.08%	1	0	-16.07 亿	100.00%
酿酒	高位分歧	31/30	-0.36%	+9.21%	+16.46%	-0.08%	+8.15%	+6.76%	+0.27%	40.00%	96.67%	139.6 亿	0.69%	45.00%	-1.59%	1	0	-1.69 亿	100.00%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/212	-0.43%	-8.89%	-28.58%	-0.49%	-8.69%	-28.45%	-0.06%	49.53%	12.26%	3,420.8 亿	17.01%	5.00%	-1.66%	3	0	-66.54 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-0.76%	-7.37%	-28.11%	-0.67%	-7.08%	-27.44%	+0.08%	47.66%	18.30%	1,732.6 亿	8.62%	5.00%	-1.99%	4	2	-76.14 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	趋势转弱	80/80	-0.81%	-7.47%	-28.88%	-0.83%	-7.20%	-29.15%	-0.02%	47.50%	17.50%	411.1 亿	2.04%	5.00%	-2.04%	1	0	-16.13 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/57	-1.75%	-10.40%	-32.01%	-1.74%	-9.87%	-31.16%	+0.01%	38.60%	10.53%	634.4 亿	3.15%	5.00%	-2.98%	0	0	-38.76 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/203	-2.29%	-11.12%	-31.88%	-2.29%	-10.84%	-31.87%	-0.00%	33.99%	7.88%	2,405.5 亿	11.96%	5.00%	-3.52%	0	0	-109.5 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/204	-3.15%	-12.78%	-33.15%	-3.11%	-12.34%	-33.15%	+0.04%	28.43%	6.86%	3,450.1 亿	17.16%	5.00%	-4.38%	0	2	-243.8 亿	99.51%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-3.63%	-14.44%	-38.29%	-3.63%	-14.32%	-38.25%	-0.00%	16.28%	0.00%	388.2 亿	1.93%	5.00%	-4.86%	0	1	-25.26 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：瑞迪智驱（301596.SZ）+19.99%、精进电动（688280.SH）+10.15%、中大力德（002896.SZ）+9.99%

领跌：美利信（301307.SZ）-7.87%、阿尔特（300825.SZ）-5.28%、博杰股份（002975.SZ）-4.73%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：中洲特材（300963.SZ）+10.33%、天力复合（920576.BJ）+8.49%、图南股份（300855.SZ）+6.55%

领跌：江南新材（603124.SH）-6.14%、新莱福（301323.SZ）-5.52%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-4.20%

MLCC · 低位修复

领涨：裕兴股份（300305.SZ）+20.00%、风华高科（000636.SZ）+5.29%、利和兴（301013.SZ）+4.73%

领跌：洁美科技（002859.SZ）-8.51%、国瓷材料（300285.SZ）-6.83%、斯迪克（300806.SZ）-5.71%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：*ST航图（688066.SH）+19.95%、中环海陆（301040.SZ）+11.31%、新研股份（300159.SZ）+10.25%

领跌：迈信林（688685.SH）-10.70%、华丰科技（688629.SH）-7.79%、广钢气体（688548.SH）-7.09%

文化传媒 · 趋势扩散

领涨：利欧股份（002131.SZ）+10.09%、中国科传（601858.SH）+10.01%、天娱数科（002354.SZ）+9.98%

领跌：分众传媒（002027.SZ）-4.98%、佳云科技（300242.SZ）-4.65%、科新发展（600234.SH）-4.34%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：富瀚微（300613.SZ）+20.01%、瑞迪智驱（301596.SZ）+19.99%、豪森智能（688529.SH）+13.77%

领跌：华是科技（301218.SZ）-11.34%、明新旭腾（605068.SH）-10.00%、兆易创新（603986.SH）-10.00%

液冷服务器 · 低位修复

领涨：日科化学（300214.SZ）+10.95%、ST朗进（300594.SZ）+10.39%、达实智能（002421.SZ）+10.10%

领跌：锐捷网络（301165.SZ）-9.31%、华勤技术（603296.SH）-9.08%、飞龙股份（002536.SZ）-8.82%

创新药 · 低位修复

领涨：济民健康（603222.SH）+10.06%、亚宝药业（600351.SH）+6.80%、太龙药业（600222.SH）+5.05%

领跌：泽璟制药（688266.SH）-12.02%、万邦医药（301520.SZ）-8.89%、陇神戎发（300534.SZ）-7.72%

酿酒 · 高位分歧

领涨：ST椰岛（600238.SH）+9.90%、*ST莫高（600543.SH）+2.67%、金枫酒业（600616.SH）+1.68%

领跌：迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）-3.37%、百润股份（002568.SZ）-3.16%、舍得酒业（600702.SH）-3.09%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：联特科技（301205.SZ）+14.89%、通宇通讯（002792.SZ）+10.02%、铭普光磁（002902.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：迈信林（688685.SH）-10.70%、德明利（001309.SZ）-9.56%、通富微电（002156.SZ）-9.50%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：裕兴股份（300305.SZ）+20.00%、欧克科技（001223.SZ）+10.01%、合锻智能（603011.SH）+9.99%

领跌：国际复材（301526.SZ）-12.85%、宏和科技（603256.SH）-10.00%、中国巨石（600176.SH）-9.99%

光刻胶 · 趋势转弱

领涨：岱勒新材（300700.SZ）+12.71%、百合花（603823.SH）+10.00%、国恩股份（002768.SZ）+8.41%

领跌：芯源微（688037.SH）-11.04%、雅克科技（002409.SZ）-9.63%、安集科技（688019.SH）-8.62%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：亚玛顿（002623.SZ）+7.67%、海目星（688559.SH）+3.90%、旗滨集团（601636.SH）+2.47%

领跌：精测电子（300567.SZ）-12.57%、通富微电（002156.SZ）-9.50%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）-8.42%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：天孚通信（300394.SZ）+5.55%、国博电子（688375.SH）+4.97%、亿道信息（001314.SZ）+4.57%

领跌：中科飞测（688361.SH）-12.59%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-12.57%、华海清科（688120.SH）-11.67%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：杭州柯林（688611.SH）+10.78%、航锦科技（000818.SZ）+6.86%、航天智装（300455.SZ）+5.51%

领跌：中科飞测（688361.SH）-12.59%、精测电子（300567.SZ）-12.57%、正帆科技（688596.SH）-12.49%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：西陇科学（002584.SZ）+1.80%、硅烷科技（920402.BJ）+1.55%、强力新材（300429.SZ）+1.51%

领跌：宏和科技（603256.SH）-10.00%、安集科技（688019.SH）-8.62%、鼎龙股份（300054.SZ）-8.42%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

红利防御	97	-0.09%	-0.10%	+2.46%	+5.30%	48.01 亿	98.97%	17/44	华泰柏瑞中证红利低波动ETF · -0.28%
金融地产	49	-0.23%	-0.15%	+0.59%	-3.81%	52.07 亿	100.00%	12/22	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.16%
中小盘宽基	140	-0.65%	-0.79%	-3.72%	-15.94%	283.2 亿	100.00%	29/48	易方达创业板ETF · -7.27%
资源周期	57	-0.69%	-0.47%	+0.11%	-4.38%	42.58 亿	98.25%	13/34	国泰中证煤炭ETF · -2.63%
大盘宽基	83	-1.10%	-1.02%	-2.37%	-1.88%	112.8 亿	100.00%	27/17	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +2.23%
医药健康	51	-1.64%	-1.10%	-0.49%	0.00%	39.14 亿	100.00%	22/19	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -0.99%
消费	44	-1.74%	-0.89%	+4.10%	+3.91%	19.98 亿	100.00%	15/12	鹏华中证酒ETF · -0.05%
AI与半导体	129	-6.44%	-2.90%	-9.91%	-19.43%	560.6 亿	100.00%	49/61	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · +4.89%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

公用防御	环保、公用事业、交通运输	401	+2.21%	+3.66%	+0.33%	89.28%	82.54%	4.28%	8	0
高端制造	电力设备、国防军工、机械设备、汽车	1482	+1.78%	+2.65%	-11.01%	78.00%	61.00%	20.23%	28	1
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	+1.74%	+4.24%	-4.96%	77.92%	74.03%	3.05%	6	2
资源周期	基础化工、钢铁、有色金属、石油石化、煤炭	716	+1.68%	+2.49%	-8.18%	74.02%	63.41%	11.17%	10	1
金融地产	房地产、银行、非银金融	215	+1.13%	+4.11%	+1.86%	77.21%	81.40%	4.58%	1	0
大消费	农林牧渔、商贸零售、家用电器、社会服务、食品饮料	528	+1.01%	+6.53%	+0.64%	71.02%	83.90%	4.88%	9	0
医药健康	医药生物、美容护理	534	+0.61%	+0.97%	-3.16%	67.23%	60.49%	4.90%	1	0
AI硬件与数字经济	通信、计算机、电子	997	-0.11%	-1.64%	-15.92%	55.57%	41.02%	41.94%	12	4

近五个交易日

2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -21.44%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -12.42%

涨停家数：压缩 · -20

最高连板：压缩 · -3

五日成交中位：2.3117 万亿 · 温度区间：34.8–84.7 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：减速器 4次、文化传媒 3次、酿酒 3次、CPO 1次、MLCC 1次、创新药 1次

行业：食品饮料 3次、钢铁 2次、传媒 1次、商贸零售 1次、环保 1次、电力设备 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-21.4%，上涨覆盖72.4%，五日成交中位23117.3亿元。

方向承接 · 减速器当日收益+2.05%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 电力设备涨停14家，最高1板。

负反馈 · 跌停9家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 23117.3亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 减速器

确认：减速器继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 16.5%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖72.4%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 24 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6
2026-07-29	76.5	67.2	76.99%	2.3117 万亿	86	7
2026-07-30	34.8	52.9	31.98%	2.3584 万亿	56	8
2026-07-31	84.7	84	84.86%	2.5599 万亿	103	9
2026-08-03	56.7	63.7	72.44%	2.0111 万亿	83	6

情绪九维 63.7

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数9.96
9.96
输入与公式
83 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率11.16
11.16
输入与公式
0.7904761904761904 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.6
6.6
输入与公式
0.1650485436893204 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.63
7.63
输入与公式
0.011810089108910892 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0.45
0.45
输入与公式
{"limitDown":9,"largeLoss":112} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度9
9
输入与公式
0.7243624525230602 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比4.5
4.5
输入与公式
{"limitUp":83,"limitDown":9} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.56
1.56
输入与公式
0.7779719412586562 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	809	14.63%	+5.15%	+4.19%
趋势延续	1701	30.77%	+1.74%	+1.70%
低位修复	1113	20.13%	+2.52%	+1.81%
中间状态	1906	34.47%	-1.64%	-1.10%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 103 家 · 今日晋级 17 家 · 晋级率 16.50%

晋级名单

传智教育	003032.SZ	社会服务	6	+9.99%
一鸣食品	605179.SH	食品饮料	5	+10.02%
高争民爆	002827.SZ	基础化工	4	+10.00%
神雾节能	000820.SZ	环保	3	+9.94%
利欧股份	002131.SZ	机械设备	2	+10.09%
美利云	000815.SZ	计算机	2	+10.01%
天娱数科	002354.SZ	传媒	2	+9.98%
盈峰环境	000967.SZ	环保	2	+10.06%
中大力德	002896.SZ	机械设备	2	+9.99%
锦和商管	603682.SH	商贸零售	2	+10.00%
新能股份	000595.SZ	公用事业	2	+9.96%
中岩大地	003001.SZ	建筑装饰	2	+9.98%
欧克科技	001223.SZ	机械设备	2	+10.01%
立航科技	603261.SH	国防军工	2	+10.00%
德龙汇能	000593.SZ	公用事业	2	+9.99%
恒银科技	603106.SH	计算机	2	+10.04%
豪尔赛	002963.SZ	建筑装饰	2	+9.98%
华电辽能	600396.SH	公用事业	1	+10.00%
通威股份	600438.SH	电力设备	1	+10.02%
百合花	603823.SH	基础化工	1	+10.00%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:02:08.439001+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。