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2026-07-28

结论与证据

全A收盘为2603家上涨、2769家下跌，上涨占比47.12%；成交2.0391万亿元，环比-2.37%。涨跌覆盖处于分化区，30.2%样本位于MA20上方；68家封板、52家跌停，尚不能仅凭单日截面确认统一方向。

广度分化 · 量能收缩 · MA20上方30% · 68家封板 · 温度36.8

支持证据

15方向中酿酒当日+1.21%居前；92家触板、封板率73.9%，最高6板。

反证与边界

电子当日等权-4.28%，CPO方向-5.78%；成交额环比-2.37%，资金流分类代理-1086.9亿元。

把市场拆成可核对的数字

成交额: 2.0391 万亿
成交环比: -2.37%
上涨 / 下跌 / 平盘: 2603 / 2769 / 152
上涨覆盖: 47.12%
中位涨幅: -0.05%
MA20上方: 30.25%
20日新高 / 新低: 281 / 489
涨停 / 跌停: 68 / 52
触板 / 未封: 92 / 24
封板率: 73.91%
最高连板: 6 板

收盘温度 36.8

广度16.49
16.49
输入与公式
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趋势6.05
6.05
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15
涨跌停生态8.5
8.5
输入与公式
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上涨覆盖×35 + MA20上方比例×20 + 涨停/(涨停+跌停)×15 + clip((成交额环比+0.10)/0.20,0,1)×15 + 上涨指数数/6×15

情绪九维 57

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6.00 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.16
8.16
输入与公式
68.00 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.43
10.43
输入与公式
0.74 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.28
6.28
输入与公式
0.16 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.2
7.2
输入与公式
0.01 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":52,"largeLoss":339} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.07
7.07
输入与公式
0.47 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比3.82
3.82
输入与公式
{"limitUp":68,"limitDown":52} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.13
1.13
输入与公式
0.76 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

透明的收盘状态合成，不是概率、仓位或交易信号。

六个指数

上证指数	3,813.31	-1.16%	9,496.8 亿
科创50	1,693.48	-6.33%	1,340.6 亿
深证成指	13,509.68	-4.52%	6,587.2 亿
创业板指	3,327.03	-7.35%	2,763.3 亿
中证1000	7,026.28	-2.80%	3,937.7 亿
国证2000	9,085.66	-2.37%	5,150.5 亿

市场风格分布

高位加速	175	3.17%	+7.32%	+6.02%
趋势延续	400	7.24%	+1.70%	+1.49%
低位修复	1428	25.85%	+1.33%	+0.94%
中间状态	3521	63.74%	-2.24%	-1.29%

三项风险

分化状态尚未形成一致方向

上涨占比47.12%，中位数涨幅-0.05%。

少数方向逆势承压

通信、电子分别为-2.48%、-4.28%。

缩量与炸板共同降温

成交额环比-2.37%，92家触板中24家未封住。

下一交易日，验证什么

市场广度能否脱离分化区

上涨占比与MA20上方比例同向改善或恶化，才能确认状态迁移。

酿酒强势能否扩散

相对收益、上涨覆盖和成交占比至少两项继续改善。

CPO弱势能否收敛

相对收益不再恶化，且上涨覆盖回升。

封板生态能否稳定

封板率不低于今日73.9%，多板梯队未明显塌缩。

上证技术位

收盘 3,813.31 · MA5 3,845.91 · MA10 3,849.24 · MA20 3,929.67

收盘高于前20日区间高点，且全A上涨覆盖不低于50%，且全市场成交额不低于近20日中位数。

当前条件：尚未满足

支撑：MA20 3,929.67 · 近10日最低 3,741.11 · 近20日最低 3,741.11；压力：近10日最高 3,981.67 · 近20日最高 4,143.31

上证 K 线

TuShare指数日线；红涨绿跌。均线需要足够历史，不足则不显示。

查看原始日线表

指数日线

2026-01-27	4,125.22	4,158.80	4,101.83	4,139.90	+0.18%
2026-01-28	4,150.22	4,170.15	4,138.02	4,151.24	+0.27%
2026-01-29	4,155.92	4,170.21	4,138.30	4,157.98	+0.16%
2026-01-30	4,131.99	4,152.85	4,064.78	4,117.95	-0.96%
2026-02-02	4,079.71	4,103.41	4,013.66	4,015.75	-2.48%
2026-02-03	4,043.91	4,069.42	4,002.78	4,067.74	+1.29%
2026-02-04	4,064.68	4,104.62	4,062.68	4,102.20	+0.85%
2026-02-05	4,075.03	4,088.90	4,048.94	4,075.92	-0.64%
2026-02-06	4,040.30	4,095.03	4,029.97	4,065.58	-0.25%
2026-02-09	4,103.54	4,123.16	4,093.06	4,123.09	+1.41%
2026-02-10	4,127.77	4,134.34	4,117.56	4,128.37	+0.13%
2026-02-11	4,124.43	4,142.56	4,122.43	4,131.99	+0.09%
2026-02-12	4,136.99	4,140.59	4,124.13	4,134.02	+0.05%
2026-02-13	4,115.92	4,123.84	4,079.77	4,082.07	-1.26%
2026-02-24	4,129.13	4,131.55	4,105.94	4,117.41	+0.87%
2026-02-25	4,123.78	4,167.84	4,122.70	4,147.23	+0.72%
2026-02-26	4,151.07	4,152.19	4,127.15	4,146.63	-0.01%
2026-02-27	4,128.90	4,166.23	4,128.36	4,162.88	+0.39%
2026-03-02	4,151.80	4,188.77	4,131.37	4,182.59	+0.47%
2026-03-03	4,189.41	4,197.23	4,116.01	4,122.68	-1.43%
2026-03-04	4,087.63	4,106.04	4,055.41	4,082.47	-0.98%
2026-03-05	4,109.78	4,125.62	4,090.62	4,108.57	+0.64%
2026-03-06	4,085.90	4,129.46	4,085.90	4,124.19	+0.38%
2026-03-09	4,098.70	4,106.53	4,052.55	4,096.60	-0.67%
2026-03-10	4,098.59	4,123.96	4,098.59	4,123.14	+0.65%
2026-03-11	4,123.67	4,135.84	4,112.80	4,133.43	+0.25%
2026-03-12	4,133.20	4,141.65	4,103.16	4,129.10	-0.10%
2026-03-13	4,117.57	4,134.08	4,086.85	4,095.45	-0.82%
2026-03-16	4,092.25	4,096.13	4,048.09	4,084.79	-0.26%
2026-03-17	4,086.30	4,108.40	4,049.58	4,049.91	-0.85%
2026-03-18	4,053.31	4,065.37	4,023.03	4,062.98	+0.32%
2026-03-19	4,028.54	4,042.02	3,994.17	4,006.55	-1.39%
2026-03-20	4,004.57	4,022.70	3,955.71	3,957.05	-1.24%
2026-03-23	3,904.95	3,906.62	3,794.68	3,813.28	-3.63%
2026-03-24	3,849.63	3,881.42	3,807.99	3,881.28	+1.78%
2026-03-25	3,892.27	3,933.06	3,891.82	3,931.84	+1.30%
2026-03-26	3,924.96	3,937.10	3,880.57	3,889.08	-1.09%
2026-03-27	3,852.09	3,924.11	3,852.09	3,913.72	+0.63%
2026-03-30	3,884.28	3,924.29	3,872.78	3,923.29	+0.24%
2026-03-31	3,924.07	3,948.81	3,891.86	3,891.86	-0.80%
2026-04-01	3,939.57	3,955.94	3,929.92	3,948.55	+1.46%
2026-04-02	3,940.80	3,952.58	3,900.12	3,919.29	-0.74%
2026-04-03	3,927.59	3,929.53	3,871.30	3,880.10	-1.00%
2026-04-07	3,884.15	3,902.61	3,875.68	3,890.16	+0.26%
2026-04-08	3,930.25	3,995.00	3,926.25	3,995.00	+2.69%
2026-04-09	3,967.63	3,979.13	3,955.25	3,966.17	-0.72%
2026-04-10	3,985.46	4,011.02	3,979.81	3,986.22	+0.51%
2026-04-13	3,971.20	3,991.26	3,966.20	3,988.56	+0.06%
2026-04-14	4,006.73	4,026.63	3,992.41	4,026.63	+0.95%
2026-04-15	4,039.47	4,050.62	4,020.90	4,027.21	+0.01%
2026-04-16	4,030.14	4,057.83	4,028.91	4,055.55	+0.70%
2026-04-17	4,043.38	4,058.60	4,038.43	4,051.43	-0.10%
2026-04-20	4,053.37	4,083.19	4,051.69	4,082.13	+0.76%
2026-04-21	4,075.85	4,086.64	4,062.13	4,085.08	+0.07%
2026-04-22	4,074.81	4,106.84	4,074.68	4,106.26	+0.52%
2026-04-23	4,110.79	4,114.84	4,070.46	4,093.25	-0.32%
2026-04-24	4,081.03	4,092.61	4,061.15	4,079.90	-0.33%
2026-04-27	4,074.81	4,092.83	4,071.08	4,086.34	+0.16%
2026-04-28	4,076.14	4,090.20	4,062.87	4,078.64	-0.19%
2026-04-29	4,061.82	4,112.15	4,061.82	4,107.51	+0.71%
2026-04-30	4,107.30	4,118.76	4,100.97	4,112.16	+0.11%
2026-05-06	4,135.45	4,166.15	4,129.91	4,160.17	+1.17%
2026-05-07	4,168.45	4,180.21	4,163.14	4,180.09	+0.48%
2026-05-08	4,163.85	4,183.06	4,154.25	4,179.95	-0.00%
2026-05-11	4,201.35	4,229.58	4,186.08	4,225.02	+1.08%
2026-05-12	4,229.28	4,230.18	4,199.34	4,214.49	-0.25%
2026-05-13	4,192.31	4,245.07	4,192.31	4,242.57	+0.67%
2026-05-14	4,256.16	4,258.86	4,177.92	4,177.92	-1.52%
2026-05-15	4,174.18	4,191.81	4,114.09	4,135.39	-1.02%
2026-05-18	4,120.14	4,145.66	4,108.60	4,131.53	-0.09%
2026-05-19	4,122.96	4,170.29	4,107.99	4,169.54	+0.92%
2026-05-20	4,152.70	4,169.85	4,139.97	4,162.18	-0.18%
2026-05-21	4,174.38	4,199.53	4,074.22	4,077.28	-2.04%
2026-05-22	4,096.17	4,120.09	4,067.75	4,112.90	+0.87%
2026-05-25	4,126.34	4,153.88	4,119.80	4,152.57	+0.96%
2026-05-26	4,137.32	4,150.29	4,104.46	4,145.37	-0.17%
2026-05-27	4,138.81	4,153.56	4,077.62	4,093.73	-1.25%
2026-05-28	4,080.30	4,110.78	4,055.83	4,098.64	+0.12%
2026-05-29	4,110.52	4,112.96	4,055.89	4,068.57	-0.73%
2026-06-01	4,067.16	4,093.04	4,045.69	4,057.74	-0.27%
2026-06-02	4,061.46	4,089.57	4,032.58	4,075.10	+0.43%
2026-06-03	4,068.34	4,107.05	4,059.91	4,083.97	+0.22%
2026-06-04	4,053.67	4,080.72	4,043.43	4,057.78	-0.64%
2026-06-05	4,044.83	4,078.93	4,015.06	4,027.74	-0.74%
2026-06-08	3,938.71	4,007.49	3,927.85	3,959.34	-1.70%
2026-06-09	3,977.54	4,010.87	3,955.91	4,010.03	+1.28%
2026-06-10	3,985.12	4,006.31	3,963.44	3,993.23	-0.42%
2026-06-11	3,979.71	3,997.48	3,958.44	3,987.01	-0.16%
2026-06-12	4,017.86	4,060.27	4,008.18	4,031.51	+1.12%
2026-06-15	4,053.58	4,097.17	4,051.07	4,096.47	+1.61%
2026-06-16	4,094.21	4,103.93	4,077.87	4,091.89	-0.11%
2026-06-17	4,074.29	4,109.96	4,073.73	4,108.08	+0.40%
2026-06-18	4,094.23	4,117.45	4,080.29	4,090.48	-0.43%
2026-06-22	4,093.95	4,164.42	4,070.17	4,163.10	+1.78%
2026-06-23	4,153.59	4,175.35	4,085.59	4,106.25	-1.37%
2026-06-24	4,090.10	4,117.28	4,075.49	4,110.81	+0.11%
2026-06-25	4,103.48	4,133.10	4,093.01	4,120.28	+0.23%
2026-06-26	4,098.69	4,099.78	4,007.86	4,027.26	-2.26%
2026-06-29	4,026.69	4,075.33	3,992.55	4,073.90	+1.16%
2026-06-30	4,058.17	4,097.42	4,052.17	4,094.40	+0.50%
2026-07-01	4,090.76	4,143.31	4,087.54	4,112.45	+0.44%
2026-07-02	4,054.09	4,093.68	4,019.21	4,028.90	-2.03%
2026-07-03	4,031.34	4,073.88	4,027.26	4,043.64	+0.37%
2026-07-06	4,059.19	4,060.07	4,005.41	4,041.24	-0.06%
2026-07-07	4,019.49	4,028.51	3,971.71	3,990.24	-1.26%
2026-07-08	3,996.81	4,016.03	3,967.91	3,970.88	-0.49%
2026-07-09	3,977.55	4,040.54	3,938.88	4,036.59	+1.65%
2026-07-10	4,031.54	4,074.83	3,995.81	3,996.16	-1.00%
2026-07-13	3,966.02	3,983.05	3,900.67	3,913.79	-2.06%
2026-07-14	3,909.27	3,967.13	3,869.30	3,967.13	+1.36%
2026-07-15	3,963.73	3,981.67	3,943.70	3,955.58	-0.29%
2026-07-16	3,912.38	3,940.45	3,867.60	3,882.41	-1.85%
2026-07-17	3,865.32	3,869.21	3,745.17	3,764.15	-3.05%
2026-07-20	3,791.66	3,831.66	3,741.11	3,796.28	+0.85%
2026-07-21	3,812.16	3,864.60	3,743.36	3,864.37	+1.79%
2026-07-22	3,839.67	3,884.44	3,839.67	3,867.03	+0.07%
2026-07-23	3,868.09	3,878.83	3,851.71	3,876.78	+0.25%
2026-07-24	3,853.63	3,861.04	3,808.64	3,814.20	-1.61%
2026-07-27	3,808.90	3,858.31	3,793.45	3,858.25	+1.15%
2026-07-28	3,823.13	3,844.01	3,797.37	3,813.31	-1.16%

申万一级行业 · 点时成员等权聚合，不是行业指数收益

食品饮料	修复延续	126	+2.19%	+1.49%	+2.96%	+2.12%	87.30%	57.14%	315.7 亿	1.55%	3	1	24.46	2.10
纺织服饰	修复延续	108	+1.17%	+3.53%	-2.31%	+1.23%	77.78%	38.89%	116.0 亿	0.57%	1	1	28.77	1.75
社会服务	修复延续	86	+1.08%	+3.34%	-1.97%	+0.96%	77.91%	50.00%	96.92 亿	0.48%	2	0	34.27	2.57
银行	修复延续	42	+1.04%	+2.43%	+9.60%	+0.78%	92.86%	97.62%	355.2 亿	1.74%	0	0	6.06	0.54
商贸零售	修复延续	99	+1.03%	+1.93%	+0.41%	+1.19%	82.83%	54.55%	166.1 亿	0.81%	1	1	30.14	1.74
农林牧渔	修复延续	114	+0.86%	+1.80%	+2.61%	+0.65%	72.81%	43.86%	120.6 亿	0.59%	1	0	31.73	2.19
传媒	低位修复	130	+0.78%	-0.47%	-1.64%	+0.67%	71.54%	44.62%	331.3 亿	1.62%	1	0	36.83	2.66
计算机	低位修复	357	+0.60%	-0.49%	-7.34%	+0.89%	64.99%	32.77%	1,156.8 亿	5.67%	13	1	75.09	3.19
交通运输	修复延续	128	+0.60%	+1.71%	+4.19%	+0.58%	67.19%	64.06%	203.8 亿	1.00%	1	0	17.26	1.34
房地产	趋势扩散	95	+0.53%	+3.33%	+0.26%	+0.74%	65.26%	55.79%	132.5 亿	0.65%	3	0	35.73	1.07
轻工制造	修复延续	167	+0.33%	+2.74%	-5.21%	+0.50%	59.28%	26.95%	130.0 亿	0.64%	6	2	28.82	1.97
综合	修复延续	20	+0.24%	+2.95%	-3.58%	+0.43%	60.00%	40.00%	35.90 亿	0.18%	0	0	46.06	2.63
家用电器	修复延续	103	+0.17%	+1.24%	-7.03%	+0.48%	56.31%	32.04%	182.3 亿	0.89%	1	0	37.62	2.37
钢铁	方向待明	43	+0.02%	+1.67%	+2.05%	0.00%	46.51%	72.09%	57.40 亿	0.28%	0	0	19.68	1.11
石油石化	方向待明	47	-0.03%	+1.46%	+2.79%	-0.27%	40.43%	46.81%	161.2 亿	0.79%	0	0	37.35	1.94
建筑装饰	修复延续	155	-0.12%	+1.82%	-5.95%	+0.34%	58.06%	34.19%	281.0 亿	1.38%	2	3	31.09	1.80
汽车	修复延续	320	-0.13%	+1.11%	-7.49%	+0.29%	56.56%	27.50%	489.7 亿	2.40%	5	4	27.65	2.26
建筑材料	修复延续	76	-0.18%	+1.64%	-11.45%	+0.53%	64.47%	23.68%	272.1 亿	1.33%	0	1	39.37	1.53
基础化工	修复延续	446	-0.44%	+1.26%	-11.51%	+0.09%	51.79%	25.34%	936.4 亿	4.59%	7	4	34.10	2.06
美容护理	高位分歧	30	-0.55%	+2.95%	+4.31%	+0.66%	66.67%	60.00%	44.63 亿	0.22%	0	1	28.40	2.19
公用事业	方向待明	139	-0.71%	+0.62%	+1.67%	-0.75%	28.78%	56.12%	577.0 亿	2.83%	3	1	26.59	1.60
医药生物	方向待明	503	-0.77%	-0.47%	+2.15%	-0.46%	35.98%	30.82%	1,055.3 亿	5.18%	4	0	35.85	2.30
环保	方向待明	134	-0.78%	+1.53%	-7.08%	-0.21%	41.79%	30.60%	140.9 亿	0.69%	0	0	25.82	1.81
煤炭	方向待明	33	-0.90%	+0.55%	+8.12%	-0.85%	18.18%	63.64%	93.29 亿	0.46%	0	0	21.00	1.25
非银金融	方向待明	79	-0.94%	-2.45%	-0.63%	-0.90%	24.05%	22.78%	373.9 亿	1.83%	0	0	18.40	1.22
机械设备	方向待明	605	-1.05%	+0.06%	-15.24%	-0.17%	45.95%	16.53%	1,351.6 亿	6.63%	2	5	44.53	2.88
电力设备	方向待明	415	-1.43%	+2.06%	-15.14%	-1.03%	30.60%	22.89%	1,523.7 亿	7.47%	2	2	41.66	2.59
有色金属	方向待明	145	-1.97%	+0.47%	-15.14%	-1.46%	20.00%	20.69%	873.4 亿	4.28%	0	3	33.27	2.98
国防军工	方向待明	140	-1.98%	+1.14%	-14.84%	-1.61%	16.43%	23.57%	461.6 亿	2.26%	1	0	75.39	3.47
通信	方向待明	126	-2.48%	-1.99%	-17.71%	-1.03%	38.10%	21.43%	1,876.1 亿	9.20%	2	4	90.26	4.15
电子	退潮观察	513	-4.28%	-4.88%	-30.27%	-4.39%	15.40%	6.24%	6,479.0 亿	31.77%	7	18	75.85	4.46

涨停生态

首板 49 家 · 多板 19 家 · 昨日涨停 121 家 · 今日晋级 19 家 · 晋级率 15.70%

6 板 · 1 家 · 爱丽家居

4 板 · 1 家 · 顺钠股份

3 板 · 2 家 · 新亚制程、ST宏达

2 板 · 15 家 · 东方新能、创新医疗、南京熊猫、中利集团、海南海药、嘉美包装、塞力医疗、传智教育

1 板 · 49 家 · 岩山科技、甘咨询、安诺其、艾艾精工、浪潮软件、科蓝软件、张江高科、新中港

行业聚类

计算机 · 13 家 · 最高 1 板 · 岩山科技、浪潮软件、科蓝软件、天融信、ST荣科、久其软件

基础化工 · 7 家 · 最高 3 板 · ST宏达、兴欣新材、安诺其、艾艾精工、兴业股份、国风新材

电子 · 7 家 · 最高 3 板 · 新亚制程、*ST清越、波长光电、维信诺、永新光学、深纺织A

轻工制造 · 6 家 · 最高 6 板 · 爱丽家居、嘉美包装、亚振家居、珠海中富、康欣新材、*ST集友

汽车 · 5 家 · 最高 2 板 · 华达科技、明新旭腾、曙光股份、合力科技、捷众科技

医药生物 · 4 家 · 最高 2 板 · 创新医疗、海南海药、塞力医疗、ST万邦

公用事业 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · 东方新能、新中港、百通能源

房地产 · 3 家 · 最高 2 板 · *ST数源、张江高科、荣安地产

食品饮料 · 3 家 · 最高 1 板 · 盐津铺子、金种子酒、一鸣食品

建筑装饰 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 甘咨询、华建集团

机械设备 · 2 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华之杰、永和智控

电力设备 · 2 家 · 最高 4 板 · 顺钠股份、中利集团

社会服务 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 传智教育、华天酒店

通信 · 2 家 · 最高 2 板 · 南京熊猫、元道退

交通运输 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 东方嘉盛

传媒 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 天地在线

农林牧渔 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 华资实业

商贸零售 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 东百集团

国防军工 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 奥普光电

家用电器 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 海立股份

纺织服饰 · 1 家 · 最高 1 板 · 乔治白

连续晋级与首板

爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	+10.00%	6	1,343.51 万	主板	92502	92502	0	6/6	3.54 亿
顺钠股份	000533.SZ	电力设备	+9.99%	4	21.48 亿	主板	93042	133315	12	4/4	3,411.70 万
新亚制程	002388.SZ	电子	+10.00%	3	5.69 亿	主板	93433	94503	5	3/3	3,168.63 万
ST宏达	002211.SZ	基础化工	+10.05%	3	1.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
东方新能	002310.SZ	公用事业	+9.96%	2	10.64 亿	主板	100045	100045	0	2/2	1.28 亿
创新医疗	002173.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	2	8.44 亿	主板	93000	93106	1	3/4	2.49 亿
南京熊猫	600775.SH	通信	+9.99%	2	5.74 亿	主板	95214	95301	1	2/2	1.14 亿
中利集团	002309.SZ	电力设备	+10.13%	2	5.39 亿	主板	93112	93112	0	2/2	1.36 亿
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	+10.00%	2	4.64 亿	主板	93118	93118	0	5/10	9,037.53 万
嘉美包装	002969.SZ	轻工制造	+10.03%	2	4.08 亿	主板	93127	93251	1	2/2	1.61 亿
塞力医疗	603716.SH	医药生物	+9.97%	2	3.92 亿	主板	93504	93546	1	2/2	8,768.18 万
传智教育	003032.SZ	社会服务	+9.97%	2	2.26 亿	主板	94754	111439	3	2/2	2,000.56 万
华达科技	603358.SH	汽车	+10.01%	2	1.54 亿	主板	93104	93104	0	2/2	7,724.69 万
亚振家居	603389.SH	轻工制造	+10.01%	2	1.33 亿	主板	94430	94430	0	2/2	5,415.99 万
华天酒店	000428.SZ	社会服务	+9.88%	2	1.13 亿	主板	93315	93315	0	2/2	3,571.75 万
明新旭腾	605068.SH	汽车	+10.02%	2	8,234.54 万	主板	93830	93830	0	2/2	2,208.86 万
兴欣新材	001358.SZ	基础化工	+10.00%	2	7,082.13 万	主板	93542	93542	0	2/2	5,754.49 万
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	+9.90%	2	4,690.70 万	主板	—	—	—	—	—
*ST清越	688496.SH	电子	+20.22%	2	1,555.13 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
岩山科技	002195.SZ	计算机	+9.98%	1	15.71 亿	主板	94039	94039	0	1/1	3.64 亿

晋级未完成（最多16只）

长缆科技	002879.SZ	电力设备	-4.83%	10.00 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
五洲医疗	301234.SZ	医药生物	+10.28%	6.81 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
长城军工	601606.SH	国防军工	-4.85%	32.32 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
国新能源	600617.SH	公用事业	-1.88%	10.07 亿	主板	92502	—	2	2/3	—
至纯科技	603690.SH	电子	+4.50%	24.64 亿	主板	92503	—	2	2/3	—
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	-10.00%	41.00 亿	主板	—	134548	5	—	5,717.06 万
博迁新材	605376.SH	有色金属	-10.00%	17.66 亿	主板	—	142758	0	—	2,409.05 万
金安国纪	002636.SZ	电子	-10.00%	18.54 亿	主板	—	140854	0	—	3,905.35 万
杰瑞股份	002353.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	34.17 亿	主板	—	145627	2	—	369.70 万
江海股份	002484.SZ	电子	-9.99%	20.24 亿	主板	—	112009	12	—	2,888.60 万
中材科技	002080.SZ	建筑材料	-9.99%	20.26 亿	主板	—	130148	22	—	5,898.03 万
立新能源	001258.SZ	公用事业	-9.98%	28.11 亿	主板	—	145506	3	—	1,697.32 万
中恒电气	002364.SZ	电力设备	-9.98%	18.53 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
汇绿生态	001267.SZ	通信	-8.83%	11.62 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
艾华集团	603989.SH	电子	-8.73%	5.96 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—
中国巨石	600176.SH	建筑材料	-8.47%	85.82 亿	主板	—	—	—	—	—

跌停样本

兆易创新	603986.SH	电子	-10.00%	176.0 亿	主板	—	102429	3	—	26.30 亿
东山精密	002384.SZ	电子	-10.00%	142.1 亿	主板	—	112900	13	—	13.46 亿
通富微电	002156.SZ	电子	-10.00%	135.7 亿	主板	—	135436	7	—	3.04 亿
德明利	001309.SZ	电子	-10.00%	72.75 亿	主板	—	143230	9	—	1.85 亿
深科技	000021.SZ	电子	-9.99%	70.83 亿	主板	—	145551	4	—	3,534.27 万
光迅科技	002281.SZ	通信	-10.00%	63.99 亿	主板	—	141451	1	—	4,359.38 万
沪电股份	002463.SZ	电子	-10.00%	57.13 亿	主板	—	134815	1	—	2.07 亿
生益科技	600183.SH	电子	-10.00%	55.64 亿	主板	—	130020	1	—	9,854.84 万
华工科技	000988.SZ	机械设备	-10.00%	53.72 亿	主板	—	143554	3	—	5,232.53 万
景旺电子	603228.SH	电子	-10.00%	41.00 亿	主板	—	134548	5	—	5,717.06 万
云南锗业	002428.SZ	有色金属	-9.99%	35.83 亿	主板	—	143530	0	—	1.16 亿
永鼎股份	600105.SH	通信	-10.00%	34.88 亿	主板	—	144316	0	—	1,768.60 万

大跌样本

维琪科技	920176.BJ	美容护理	-30.00%	1,073.71 万	北交所	—	92500	0	—	3.88 亿
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-29.63%	1,814.57 万	北交所	—	145518	8	—	3.39 万
ST嘉必优	688089.SH	基础化工	-20.02%	950.48 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
西安奕材	688783.SH	电子	-19.98%	19.82 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
禾元生物	688765.SH	医药生物	-19.98%	6.47 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华凯易佰	300592.SZ	商贸零售	-19.97%	7.95 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
必贝特	688759.SH	医药生物	-17.26%	4.60 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
新易盛	300502.SZ	通信	-17.13%	334.3 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
源杰科技	688498.SH	电子	-16.77%	83.29 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
普冉股份	688766.SH	电子	-16.62%	47.70 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中际旭创	300308.SZ	通信	-15.69%	516.0 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
申菱环境	301018.SZ	机械设备	-15.52%	17.43 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

涨幅居前

捷众科技	920690.BJ	汽车	+29.98%	1	5,573.23 万	北交所	93100	93100	0	1/1	2,796.89 万
*ST清越	688496.SH	电子	+20.22%	2	1,555.13 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
安诺其	300067.SZ	基础化工	+20.09%	1	8.25 亿	创业板	131203	133742	1	1/1	6,545.24 万
波长光电	301421.SZ	电子	+20.01%	1	3.70 亿	创业板	92500	92500	0	1/1	2.19 亿
元道退	301139.SZ	通信	+20.00%	1	7,143.27 万	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
科蓝软件	300663.SZ	计算机	+19.95%	1	5.90 亿	创业板	94548	130615	1	1/1	4,250.73 万
ST荣科	300290.SZ	计算机	+19.90%	1	3.25 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
爱朋医疗	300753.SZ	医药生物	+18.58%	0	9.73 亿	创业板	102442	—	1	1/2	—
蓝英装备	300293.SZ	机械设备	+17.38%	0	5.20 亿	创业板	93154	—	2	0/0	—
中胤时尚	300901.SZ	纺织服饰	+17.15%	0	2.06 亿	创业板	143354	—	4	0/0	—
汉嘉数智	300746.SZ	建筑装饰	+15.06%	0	2.11 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
华辰装备	300809.SZ	机械设备	+14.71%	0	5.11 亿	创业板	105803	—	1	0/0	—

跌幅居前

维琪科技	920176.BJ	美容护理	-30.00%	1,073.71 万	北交所	—	92500	0	—	3.88 亿
云创退	920305.BJ	计算机	-29.63%	1,814.57 万	北交所	—	145518	8	—	3.39 万
ST嘉必优	688089.SH	基础化工	-20.02%	950.48 万	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
西安奕材	688783.SH	电子	-19.98%	19.82 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
禾元生物	688765.SH	医药生物	-19.98%	6.47 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
华凯易佰	300592.SZ	商贸零售	-19.97%	7.95 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
必贝特	688759.SH	医药生物	-17.26%	4.60 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
新易盛	300502.SZ	通信	-17.13%	334.3 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
源杰科技	688498.SH	电子	-16.77%	83.29 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
普冉股份	688766.SH	电子	-16.62%	47.70 亿	科创板	—	—	—	—	—
中际旭创	300308.SZ	通信	-15.69%	516.0 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—
申菱环境	301018.SZ	机械设备	-15.52%	17.43 亿	创业板	—	—	—	—	—

上市板分层

主板	3190	-0.17%	52.85%	40.13%	+1.47%
创业板	1393	-1.17%	40.63%	20.53%	+2.75%
科创板	611	-3.28%	19.80%	7.36%	+2.03%
北交所	330	+0.50%	69.70%	18.18%	+1.91%

市值分层

小盘	2763	+0.24%	59.79%	30.11 亿
中盘	1657	-1.12%	39.11%	86.72 亿
大盘	828	-2.53%	24.64%	269.0 亿
超大盘	276	-2.67%	35.87%	1,303.8 亿

成分快照日期：2026-10-05。官方收益与成员等权交叉核对分开显示；资金流为供应商订单分类代理，不等于真实主体资金。

方向矩阵

酿酒	方向待明	31/30	+1.21%	+1.20%	+9.71%	+2.37%	+0.96%	+5.21%	+1.16%	93.33%	70.00%	169.4 亿	0.83%	65.00%	+1.94%	1	0	7.75 亿	100.00%
文化传媒	方向待明	197/196	+0.64%	+0.69%	-1.26%	+0.64%	+0.59%	-1.31%	+0.00%	71.43%	46.43%	430.1 亿	2.11%	20.00%	+1.37%	2	0	-9.02 亿	100.00%
减速器	方向待明	139/139	-0.94%	-0.67%	-14.47%	-0.94%	-0.64%	-14.54%	-0.00%	40.29%	12.23%	335.1 亿	1.64%	10.00%	-0.21%	0	0	-21.24 亿	100.00%
创新药	方向待明	281/280	-1.24%	-1.89%	+2.79%	-1.25%	-1.92%	+2.72%	-0.01%	25.71%	29.29%	773.6 亿	3.79%	5.00%	-0.52%	4	0	-15.96 亿	100.00%
物理AI	方向待明	463/460	-1.53%	-2.12%	-18.28%	-1.55%	-2.14%	-18.20%	-0.02%	33.48%	11.96%	2,253.0 亿	11.05%	5.00%	-0.80%	7	6	-211.4 亿	99.78%
商业航天	方向待明	507/505	-1.96%	-1.40%	-20.33%	-1.95%	-1.44%	-19.70%	+0.01%	29.50%	16.24%	2,374.4 亿	11.64%	5.00%	-1.24%	6	11	-191.8 亿	100.00%
金属新材料	方向待明	34/34	-2.19%	-1.47%	-24.86%	-2.19%	-1.48%	-24.54%	-0.00%	32.35%	2.94%	71.54 亿	0.35%	15.00%	-1.46%	0	1	-2.68 亿	100.00%
光刻胶	方向待明	80/80	-2.64%	-2.66%	-30.91%	-2.65%	-3.02%	-31.13%	-0.02%	28.75%	5.00%	604.3 亿	2.96%	30.00%	-1.91%	3	2	-3.81 亿	100.00%
液冷服务器	方向待明	229/229	-3.68%	-2.54%	-21.66%	-3.66%	-2.47%	-20.81%	+0.02%	21.83%	10.92%	2,526.3 亿	12.39%	15.00%	-2.95%	1	13	-219.0 亿	100.00%
PCB	趋势转弱	236/235	-4.32%	-4.57%	-31.73%	-4.33%	-4.70%	-31.21%	-0.01%	14.89%	6.38%	1,949.7 亿	9.56%	10.00%	-3.59%	2	15	-199.9 亿	100.00%
玻璃基板	趋势转弱	57/57	-4.57%	-5.26%	—	-4.65%	-5.57%	-36.27%	-0.08%	12.28%	1.75%	843.4 亿	4.14%	5.00%	-3.84%	1	3	-115.8 亿	100.00%
先进封装	趋势转弱	204/203	-4.91%	-5.56%	-34.29%	-4.93%	-5.58%	-33.67%	-0.01%	10.34%	3.45%	2,991.7 亿	14.67%	20.00%	-4.18%	1	10	-260.5 亿	100.00%
电子化学品	趋势转弱	43/43	-5.62%	-5.74%	-38.61%	-5.62%	-5.67%	-38.91%	+0.00%	4.65%	0.00%	516.9 亿	2.53%	25.00%	-4.89%	0	0	-16.38 亿	100.00%
存储芯片	趋势转弱	206/204	-5.64%	-6.31%	-33.86%	-5.61%	-6.19%	-33.57%	+0.03%	7.35%	3.43%	4,239.7 亿	20.79%	15.00%	-4.91%	0	8	-357.4 亿	99.03%
CPO	趋势转弱	212/211	-5.78%	-6.30%	-33.00%	-5.73%	-5.98%	-32.22%	+0.06%	7.58%	3.79%	4,241.9 亿	20.80%	15.00%	-5.05%	0	15	-477.2 亿	100.00%

领涨与领跌，回到具体成员

酿酒 · 方向待明

领涨：金种子酒（600199.SH）+10.01%、皇台酒业（000995.SZ）+6.09%、迎驾贡酒（603198.SH）+4.82%

领跌：威龙股份（603779.SH）-1.70%

文化传媒 · 方向待明

领涨：久其软件（002279.SZ）+10.03%、天地在线（002995.SZ）+9.98%、高伟达（300465.SZ）+7.24%

领跌：ST恒信（300081.SZ）-9.73%、星网锐捷（002396.SZ）-9.49%、金利华电（300069.SZ）-8.01%

减速器 · 方向待明

领涨：阿尔特（300825.SZ）+7.15%、祥明智能（301226.SZ）+4.96%、步科股份（688160.SH）+4.27%

领跌：博杰股份（002975.SZ）-9.43%、大族激光（002008.SZ）-8.86%、美利信（301307.SZ）-8.66%

创新药 · 方向待明

领涨：海南海药（000566.SZ）+10.00%、吉华集团（603980.SH）+9.98%、ST万邦（002082.SZ）+9.98%

领跌：禾元生物（688765.SH）-19.98%、必贝特（688759.SH）-17.26%、新赣江（920367.BJ）-9.76%

物理AI · 方向待明

领涨：捷众科技（920690.BJ）+29.98%、华辰装备（300809.SZ）+14.71%、明新旭腾（605068.SH）+10.02%

领跌：佰维存储（688525.SH）-12.98%、协创数据（300857.SZ）-12.26%、胜宏科技（300476.SZ）-11.93%

商业航天 · 方向待明

领涨：科蓝软件（300663.SZ）+19.95%、天融信（002212.SZ）+10.09%、电科数字（600850.SH）+10.01%

领跌：长光华芯（688048.SH）-15.42%、新雷能（300593.SZ）-13.96%、鼎通科技（688668.SH）-12.73%

金属新材料 · 方向待明

领涨：昆工科技（920152.BJ）+5.17%、中洲特材（300963.SZ）+3.08%、华达新材（605158.SH）+2.67%

领跌：江南新材（603124.SH）-10.00%、龙磁科技（300835.SZ）-9.47%、铂科新材（300811.SZ）-8.53%

光刻胶 · 方向待明

领涨：国风新材（000859.SZ）+10.04%、兴业股份（603928.SH）+10.04%、兴欣新材（001358.SZ）+10.00%

领跌：艾森股份（688720.SH）-11.82%、芯碁微装（688630.SH）-10.19%、东材科技（601208.SH）-10.01%

液冷服务器 · 方向待明

领涨：电科数字（600850.SH）+10.01%、阿为特（920693.BJ）+8.26%、ST华铭（300462.SZ）+3.58%

领跌：中际旭创（300308.SZ）-15.69%、申菱环境（301018.SZ）-15.52%、欧陆通（300870.SZ）-13.60%

PCB · 趋势转弱

领涨：波长光电（301421.SZ）+20.01%、扬帆新材（300637.SZ）+13.70%、永新光学（603297.SH）+10.00%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-13.21%、生益电子（688183.SH）-13.09%、泰金新能（688813.SH）-12.90%

玻璃基板 · 趋势转弱

领涨：维信诺（002387.SZ）+9.94%、中科信息（300678.SZ）+6.86%、联得装备（300545.SZ）+2.57%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-13.21%、大族数控（301200.SZ）-10.88%、通富微电（002156.SZ）-10.00%

先进封装 · 趋势转弱

领涨：兴业股份（603928.SH）+10.04%、共进股份（603118.SH）+6.85%、至纯科技（603690.SH）+4.50%

领跌：光智科技（300489.SZ）-13.94%、天孚通信（300394.SZ）-13.21%、佰维存储（688525.SH）-12.98%

电子化学品 · 趋势转弱

领涨：晶瑞电材（300655.SZ）+1.55%、西陇科学（002584.SZ）+0.55%

领跌：三孚新科（688359.SH）-13.21%、中巨芯（688549.SH）-10.84%、方邦股份（688020.SH）-10.79%

存储芯片 · 趋势转弱

领涨：至纯科技（603690.SH）+4.50%、古鳌科技（300551.SZ）+3.67%、东方中科（002819.SZ）+3.50%

领跌：西安奕材（688783.SH）-19.98%、普冉股份（688766.SH）-16.62%、联讯仪器（688808.SH）-14.00%

CPO · 趋势转弱

领涨：共进股份（603118.SH）+6.85%、瑞斯康达（603803.SH）+6.68%、同惠电子（920509.BJ）+6.42%

领跌：新易盛（300502.SZ）-17.13%、源杰科技（688498.SH）-16.77%、中际旭创（300308.SZ）-15.69%

ETF轮动

份额是变动记录；缺记录不代表份额不变，分组可以重叠。

ETF八组

红利防御	95	-0.01%	0.00%	+0.33%	+4.47%	60.27 亿	100.00%	16/50	华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF · -3.74%
消费	45	-0.15%	+1.51%	+0.24%	+4.30%	22.52 亿	100.00%	3/21	鹏华中证酒ETF · -1.09%
金融地产	48	-0.26%	-1.00%	-2.07%	-2.28%	85.20 亿	100.00%	15/22	国泰中证全指证券公司ETF · +0.38%
资源周期	55	-1.75%	-2.01%	+1.85%	-6.80%	42.39 亿	100.00%	15/25	南方中证申万有色金属ETF · -0.51%
医药健康	51	-2.23%	-1.34%	-3.02%	+4.19%	40.73 亿	100.00%	9/28	银华中证创新药产业ETF · -1.39%
大盘宽基	83	-2.24%	-2.28%	-2.40%	-3.77%	176.4 亿	100.00%	17/34	华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF · +2.81%
中小盘宽基	140	-5.65%	-3.35%	-4.26%	-19.91%	491.2 亿	100.00%	42/38	易方达创业板ETF · +1.92%
AI与半导体	128	-7.14%	-6.85%	-9.04%	-25.41%	575.5 亿	100.00%	63/44	华夏上证科创板半导体材料设备主题ETF · +4.11%

主题八篮子 · 申万行业样本数加权

大消费	食品饮料、社会服务、商贸零售、农林牧渔、家用电器	528	+1.11%	+1.89%	-0.34%	75.76%	47.73%	4.32%	8	2
金融地产	银行、房地产、非银金融	216	+0.09%	+1.04%	+1.75%	55.56%	51.85%	4.23%	3	0
基建链	建筑装饰、建筑材料	231	-0.14%	+1.76%	-7.76%	60.17%	30.74%	2.71%	2	4
公用防御	交通运输、公用事业、环保	401	-0.32%	+1.27%	-0.45%	45.39%	50.12%	4.52%	4	1
资源周期	钢铁、石油石化、基础化工、煤炭、有色金属	714	-0.72%	+1.11%	-9.58%	42.72%	30.39%	10.40%	7	7
医药健康	美容护理、医药生物	533	-0.75%	-0.28%	+2.27%	37.71%	32.46%	5.39%	4	1
高端制造	汽车、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工	1480	-1.05%	+0.95%	-13.50%	41.15%	21.35%	18.77%	10	11
AI硬件与数字经济	计算机、通信、电子	996	-2.30%	-2.94%	-20.46%	36.04%	17.67%	46.65%	22	23

近五个交易日

2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6

边际变化

成交额：收缩 · -2.37%

上涨覆盖：收窄 · -46.94%

涨停家数：压缩 · -53

最高连板：抬升 · 1

五日成交中位：2.0887 万亿 · 温度区间：16.4–80.7 · 方向覆盖 5/5。

持续出现

方向：酿酒 3次、减速器 2次、CPO 1次、PCB 1次、先进封装 1次、创新药 1次

行业：电力设备 2次、电子 2次、石油石化 2次、公用事业 1次、国防军工 1次、煤炭 1次

传导链

量能与广度 · 成交额较前日-2.4%，上涨覆盖47.1%，五日成交中位20887.0亿元。

方向承接 · 酿酒当日收益+1.21%；方向数据覆盖5/5。

涨停聚类 · 计算机涨停13家，最高1板。

负反馈 · 跌停52家，晋级未完成展示16家（展示名单，非全市场总数）。

下一交易日：乐观与悲观并列

量能承接 · 仍待确认

确认：成交维持或高于近五日中位 20887.0亿元

失效：放量冲高后快速回落，且低于五日中位

方向延续 · 酿酒

确认：酿酒继续居前且内部上涨覆盖不收窄

失效：龙头断板、居前方向跌出前三且负反馈扩散

前排晋级 · 15.7%

确认：晋级率回升、最高板不压缩，炸板率下降

失效：晋级率继续下滑，最高板压缩且掉队增多

市场广度 · 上涨覆盖47.1%

确认：上涨覆盖维持且中位数同步改善

失效：指数上涨但中位数、上涨覆盖明显回落

六十日观察窗口

当前有 20 个交易日摘要；缺失日期不填造。分别显示状态与覆盖、成交额及涨跌停生态，避免不同量纲混在同一坐标轴。

TuShare日频；状态分值不代表概率或交易建议。

成交额单位：亿元。

家数与连板高度使用独立坐标轴。

趋势原始值

2026-07-01	70.6	80.8	78.55%	3.6828 万亿	226	7
2026-07-02	35.5	69.9	40.22%	3.4739 万亿	159	5
2026-07-03	53.9	71.7	68.96%	3.2053 万亿	162	5
2026-07-06	35.5	50.7	34.00%	3.1124 万亿	73	6
2026-07-07	17.7	33.7	12.56%	2.5985 万亿	34	6
2026-07-08	31.9	62.2	28.87%	2.5826 万亿	58	7
2026-07-09	62.4	60.7	45.04%	2.9323 万亿	75	8
2026-07-10	58	58.7	68.32%	3.4107 万亿	95	3
2026-07-13	10.8	33.3	14.50%	2.8347 万亿	33	4
2026-07-14	62.4	70.4	76.23%	2.7195 万亿	89	5
2026-07-15	41.5	57.5	60.65%	2.5874 万亿	74	4
2026-07-16	33.7	51.9	45.24%	2.4189 万亿	48	5
2026-07-17	24.8	41.5	8.73%	2.6716 万亿	35	5
2026-07-20	34.8	44.8	31.50%	2.7181 万亿	55	3
2026-07-21	66.2	62.5	56.24%	2.9742 万亿	121	4
2026-07-22	29.2	47.3	27.69%	2.6686 万亿	48	5
2026-07-23	60.4	82.5	77.09%	2.2095 万亿	129	6
2026-07-24	16.4	37.6	10.04%	1.9445 万亿	43	4
2026-07-27	80.7	74.1	94.06%	2.0887 万亿	121	5
2026-07-28	36.8	57	47.12%	2.0391 万亿	68	6

情绪九维 57

连板高度12.86
12.86
输入与公式
6 板
min(最高连板 / 7, 1) × 15
涨停家数8.16
8.16
输入与公式
68 家
min(涨停家数 / 100, 1) × 12
封板成功率10.43
10.43
输入与公式
0.7391304347826086 比例
min(封板率 / 0.85, 1) × 12
前日晋级率6.28
6.28
输入与公式
0.15702479338842976 比例
min(晋级率 / 0.30, 1) × 12
前日涨停溢价7.2
7.2
输入与公式
0.009988603305785125 收益率
clip((溢价 + 0.02) / 0.05, 0, 1) × 12
亏钱效应0
0
输入与公式
{"limitDown":52,"largeLoss":339} 家
(1 − min(跌停 / 10, 1)) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌逾7% / 30, 1)) × 4.5
上涨广度7.07
7.07
输入与公式
0.471216509775525 比例
min(advanceShare / 0.60, 1) × 9
涨跌停对比3.82
3.82
输入与公式
{"limitUp":68,"limitDown":52} 家
min(涨停 / 80, 1) × 4.5 + (1 − min(跌停 / 8, 1)) × 4.5
市场量能1.13
1.13
输入与公式
0.7566754872705983 倍
clip((倍数 − 0.70) / 0.50, 0, 1) × 10

市场风格分布

高位加速	175	3.17%	+7.32%	+6.02%
趋势延续	400	7.24%	+1.70%	+1.49%
低位修复	1428	25.85%	+1.33%	+0.94%
中间状态	3521	63.74%	-2.24%	-1.29%

涨停晋级

昨日涨停 121 家 · 今日晋级 19 家 · 晋级率 15.70%

晋级名单

爱丽家居	603221.SH	轻工制造	6	+10.00%
顺钠股份	000533.SZ	电力设备	4	+9.99%
新亚制程	002388.SZ	电子	3	+10.00%
ST宏达	002211.SZ	基础化工	3	+10.05%
东方新能	002310.SZ	公用事业	2	+9.96%
创新医疗	002173.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.00%
南京熊猫	600775.SH	通信	2	+9.99%
中利集团	002309.SZ	电力设备	2	+10.13%
海南海药	000566.SZ	医药生物	2	+10.00%
嘉美包装	002969.SZ	轻工制造	2	+10.03%
塞力医疗	603716.SH	医药生物	2	+9.97%
传智教育	003032.SZ	社会服务	2	+9.97%
华达科技	603358.SH	汽车	2	+10.01%
亚振家居	603389.SH	轻工制造	2	+10.01%
华天酒店	000428.SZ	社会服务	2	+9.88%
明新旭腾	605068.SH	汽车	2	+10.02%
兴欣新材	001358.SZ	基础化工	2	+10.00%
*ST数源	000909.SZ	房地产	2	+9.90%
*ST清越	688496.SH	电子	2	+20.22%
岩山科技	002195.SZ	计算机	1	+9.98%

事件日历

事件是可核对的观察条件，不从政策名称推导市场结论。

2026-06-01–2026-11-30 · 工信部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划实施期 · 已确认

工业和信息化部人工智能科技伦理审查与服务先导计划通知 →

确认条件

工信部官方通知明确先导计划实施周期为2026年6月1日至11月30日；本轮在未来窗口内观察官方试点、标准、风险案例和工具进展，不从政策名称直接推导产业或市场结论。

失效条件

官方通知被修订、取消或调整实施期；截至实施期结束仍无官方试点、标准、案例或服务结果；或相关应用信息无法由官方文件、企业披露和场景数据交叉验证。

数据、算法、模型和垂直应用的伦理审查流程是否形成可复用制度
制造、金融、医疗等场景的试点参与、风险案例和服务工具进展
人工智能标准、合规服务与企业应用落地之间的时间差

A股观察：AI治理与合规实施观察、工业AI、具身智能应用验证观察、数据、算法、模型服务生态观察

2026-09-01–2026-09-30 · 工信部人工智能终端重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年9月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年9月和广东省，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件，并核对产品、客户和应用证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动只有方向性表述而没有可验证的对接、产品或场景信息。

人工智能终端应用场景
终端、模型与芯片协同
企业对接和产品验证信息

A股观察：AI终端观察、端侧芯片与模组观察、软件与应用落地观察

2026-09-01–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局2025年科技经费投入统计公报与中国创新指数（预计9—10月） · 待核实

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

国家统计局日程注记仅给出2026年9—10月预计发布时间，当前没有具体日期；待官方发布页出现日期和数据后核对研发投入、创新产出及产业分项。

失效条件

官方日程取消或改期；或截至10月31日没有正式发布，或数据口径不能与产业和研发指标复核。

研发投入与创新产出
高技术产业和区域创新结构
正式发布日期与数据口径

A股观察：科技政策与创新投入观察、AI、半导体和先进制造观察、成长风格与产业数据验证观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 欧洲央行9月非货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历明确9月30日为非货币政策会议；不把它当作利率决议，只有出现官方公告及跨资产可复核变化时才记录研究线索。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或没有公开信息，且欧元、利率、流动性和风险偏好数据不能形成独立验证。

官方会议公告与操作信息
欧元区流动性和金融条件线索
与货币政策会议的增量信息区分

A股观察：全球流动性观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 金融产品网络营销管理办法施行 · 已确认

八部门金融产品网络营销管理办法公告 →

确认条件

八部门官方公告明确《金融产品网络营销管理办法》自2026年9月30日起施行。规则可能通过平台责任、营销流程、信息披露和系统合规改造影响金融信息服务观察；只核对正式实施口径、监管问答/案例、企业公告与业务数据，不从施行日直接推导个股或行情结论。

失效条件

办法被延期、修订、废止或适用范围发生实质改变；实施后没有可核验的执行口径、监管案例或企业系统/业务变化；或这些证据与原观察传导链相互冲突。

金融产品网络营销主体、平台责任、信息披露和风控要求的执行口径
金融机构、互联网平台和技术服务商的系统改造、合规投入与业务调整
实施后的监管问答、执法案例、企业公告和业务数据是否形成连续证据

A股观察：金融信息服务与网络营销合规观察、金融机构数字化、数据治理和风控系统观察、互联网平台金融业务边界与技术服务观察

2026-09-30–2026-09-30 · 国家统计局9月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明9月30日；同时检查PMI分项、商品价格、行业宽度和成交结构。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或PMI信号只体现在总指数，关键分项和市场结构不支持同一观察问题。

制造业生产与新订单
出口订单与供应商配送
价格与库存变化

A股观察：工业制造观察、出口链与供应链观察、原材料价格观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-01 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合主要意见 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合主要意见于10月1日公布；核对文本与9月会合声明及汇率/利率变化。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或主要意见与会合声明、市场数据之间没有可复核关系。

政策委员会主要意见
通胀预期与政策正常化线索
日元与亚洲资产反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-07 · 沪深北交易所2026年国庆节休市安排 · 已确认

沪深北交易所2026年休市安排 →

确认条件

北交所官方公告明确10月1—7日休市、10月8日起开市，沪深安排交叉一致；按真实交易日复核假期前后指标。

失效条件

交易所官方通知被修订，或沪深北交易所的休市/清算安排出现差异。

国庆休市区间
节前节后成交和行业宽度
假期期间海外市场信息累积

A股观察：交易节奏观察、流动性与跳空风险观察、跨市场信息传导观察

2026-10-01–2026-10-31 · 工信部XR智能眼镜重点行业专场对接活动（官方计划于2026年10月） · 待核实

工业和信息化部重点行业专场对接活动表 →

确认条件

工信部官方计划给出2026年10月及杭州、北京地点，但没有具体日期；待官方通知、议程或结果文件并检查企业层证据。

失效条件

工信部通知取消、改期、改为其他月份，或活动没有可核验的产品、客户、出货或应用信息。

XR眼镜产品与交互形态
光学、显示、传感与算力配套
终端企业对接和出货验证

A股观察：智能眼镜观察、显示与光学器件观察、端侧算力与传感器观察

2026-10-07–2026-10-07 · Federal Reserve公布9月FOMC会议纪要 · 已确认

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方货币政策页明确10月7日发布9月15—16日FOMC会议纪要；核对纪要对通胀、就业、资产负债表和政策路径的措辞，并与美元、美债和风险偏好数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方页面改期或未发布；或纪要信息未改变政策预期，且美元、美债、黄金与A股相关观察之间没有可复核的同步变化。

会议内部政策分歧
通胀与就业判断
利率预期与美元利率反应

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-12–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West Standards Meetings 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历列明会议为10月12—15日；只核对公开议程、技术文件和企业验证，不从会议名称推导行情。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或没有公开技术文件、议程或企业可验证信息。

半导体标准与接口议题
制造、设备和材料协同
标准讨论是否形成公开技术或供应链信号

A股观察：半导体设备材料观察、先进制造标准观察、供应链兼容性观察

2026-10-13–2026-10-15 · SEMICON West 2026 · 已确认

SEMI全球半导体活动日历 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确SEMICON West 2026为10月13—15日；核对展商、产品、资本开支、客户和订单证据。

失效条件

官方日历改期或取消；或只有展会规模和叙事，没有产品、客户、资本开支或订单证据。

设备、材料与制造技术
AI算力相关资本开支
客户、产品和供应链公开信号

A股观察：半导体设备观察、先进封装与测试观察、硅光与AI算力链观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve公布2026年10月Beige Book · 已确认

Federal Reserve Board 2026年10月官方日历 →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方2026年10月日历明确10月14日14:00发布Beige Book；发布后核对区域调查与工业、就业、通胀和信贷数据的一致性，不把定性反馈直接转成A股结论。

失效条件

Federal Reserve官方日历改期或撤回；或报告与可用宏观数据无法交叉验证，未形成可重复的区域活动、价格或信贷信号。

各地区企业活动、价格、就业与信贷变化
制造业和投资活动的区域差异
Beige Book定性反馈与10月FOMC前后的数据验证

A股观察：全球需求与制造业景气观察、海外金融条件观察、A股外部宏观传导观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-14 · 国家统计局9月CPI与PPI月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月14日；核对CPI、核心CPI、PPI分项与前月变化，并检查行业传导证据。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或价格变化仅为单月噪声，无法由分项、工业数据或后续观察验证。

核心通胀与服务价格
工业品价格与成本
价格信号的持续性

A股观察：消费价格观察、资源与制造成本观察、名义增长观察

2026-10-14–2026-10-15 · SEMI Test Vision Symposium 2026 · 已确认

SEMI Events Calendar →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动日历明确Test Vision Symposium 2026于2026年10月14—15日在旧金山举行；只观察测试、计量、机器视觉和可靠性议程，以及可由厂商资料、客户验证、产品发布或后续公司披露交叉核对的证据。

失效条件

SEMI官方日历改期或取消；或活动只有泛化主题，没有可复核的技术议程、产品演示、客户验证、订单或后续公司披露。

晶圆、封装测试与机器视觉检测技术
AI在半导体检测、计量和可靠性中的应用
设备厂商议程与客户、验证和产品证据

A股观察：半导体测试设备观察、机器视觉与检测观察、先进封装与可靠性验证观察

2026-10-19–2026-10-19 · 国家统计局三季度国民经济运行与工业、投资、消费数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月19日；按季度总量和分项核对，并观察行业宽度、成交与价格是否出现可复核的结构变化。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或季度总量、分项与行业结构之间缺少一致证据。

季度经济增长与结构
工业、投资、地产、零售分项
居民收入与消费倾向

A股观察：顺周期观察、地产与投资链观察、内需与消费观察

2026-10-20–2026-10-20 · 国家统计局三季度主要行业增加值初步核算报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月20日；核对行业增加值与前一日国民经济数据的口径衔接，并检查行业宽度是否提供独立支持。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或数据口径、行业分组变化使跨期比较不可复核。

主要行业增加值
产业结构变化
季度数据与月度数据衔接

A股观察：行业景气结构观察、制造业与服务业分化观察、周期位置观察

2026-10-21–2026-10-21 · NVIDIA在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲 · 已确认

NVIDIA 2027财年第二季度业绩会官方文字记录 →

确认条件

NVIDIA官方业绩会文字记录明确其将于2026年10月21日在GTC Berlin发表主题演讲。产品或生态信息可能通过开发者采用、客户部署、订单交付和供应链数据传导至A股观察结构；只核对官方议程/演讲、客户公告和后续经营数据，不从会议名称直接推导行情。

失效条件

官方活动被取消、改期或没有可归因的公开信息；只有产品叙事而缺少客户部署、订单、收入或交付证据；或后续数据无法支持原观察传导链。

AI基础设施、机器人/物理AI和企业部署的产品与开发者信息
欧洲客户、云服务商、工业软件和机器人生态的合作或应用证据
主题演讲后的产品发布、客户公告、订单/收入和供应链数据是否一致

A股观察：AI算力与软件生态观察、机器人、工业AI和物理AI应用观察、半导体、服务器网络和先进封装供应链观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 欧洲央行公布2026年9月欧元区货币发展数据 · 已确认

ECB欧元区货币发展数据发布日历 →

确认条件

ECB官方统计日历明确2026年10月27日10:00 CET发布参考期为2026年9月的欧元区货币发展数据（BSI）；需以正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元和A股可观测数据进行交叉验证。

失效条件

ECB官方日历改期、取消或更换数据集；或正式分项、欧洲利率、欧元与A股观察之间没有可复核的金融条件传导证据。

欧元区货币与信贷增速及信贷投向
银行融资条件与利率传导
数据与10月ECB政策会议和全球风险偏好的交叉变化

A股观察：全球流动性与汇率观察、外部利率敏感资产观察、跨市场金融条件观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-28 · 2026年10月FOMC会议 · 已确认

Federal Reserve FOMC calendar →

确认条件

Federal Reserve官方会议日历列明10月27—28日；核对声明、记者会和跨资产反应，不从会议名称直接推导行业结论。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策信息没有改变利率预期且跨资产反应不一致。

政策利率与再投资安排
通胀、就业和增长判断
美元、美债与全球风险偏好

A股观察：科技估值观察、黄金与有色观察、人民币资产风险偏好观察

2026-10-27–2026-10-27 · 国家统计局1—9月规模以上工业企业利润数据发布 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月27日；检查利润、营收、成本及行业分项，并与价格和产量数据交叉验证。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或利润变化无法在成本、价格、产量和行业分项中得到支持。

工业利润与营收
成本和利润率
行业盈利扩散

A股观察：工业盈利观察、中游制造观察、资源品与设备链观察

2026-10-28–2026-10-29 · 欧洲央行10月管理委员会货币政策会议 · 已确认

European Central Bank Governing Council calendar →

确认条件

ECB官方日历列明10月28—29日货币政策会议及发布会；核对政策声明与跨资产价格反应。

失效条件

官方日历改期；或政策结果和跨资产反应明显背离，无法形成可验证的全球金融条件线索。

利率与再投资政策
通胀与增长评估
欧元区金融条件

A股观察：全球利率与估值观察、外需与汇率观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-29–2026-10-30 · 日本银行10月金融政策决定会合 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方2026年会合表列明10月29—30日；核对政策声明、展望报告和市场反应。

失效条件

官方会合表改期；或政策结果、汇率、利率和风险偏好数据无法互相验证。

利率与收益率曲线政策
经济与物价展望
日元、日债与亚洲流动性

A股观察：全球利率观察、汇率与外需观察、风险偏好观察

2026-10-31–2026-10-31 · 国家统计局10月采购经理指数月度报告 · 已确认

国家统计局2026年主要统计信息发布日程 →

确认条件

官方日程列明10月31日；核对PMI关键分项与行业宽度、成交和价格的同步性。

失效条件

官方日程更正或延期；或总指数变化没有分项和行业数据支持。

制造业景气与订单
生产、库存与价格
企业规模分化

A股观察：制造业景气观察、工业品价格观察、周期行业扩散观察

2026-11-01–2026-11-04 · SEMI International Trade Partners Conference（ITPC）2026 · 已确认

SEMI ITPC 2026官方活动页 →

确认条件

SEMI官方活动页明确ITPC 2026于2026年11月1日至4日在夏威夷举行，并列出Markets & Applications、Technology、Trade & Politics等议题；研究只核对正式议程、公司披露、订单/产能/交付和产业数据，不把高管发言直接转成市场结论。

失效条件

SEMI官方活动页改期、取消或议程实质变更；活动只有主题叙事而没有可复核的公司披露、产业数据或后续落地；或跨来源信息彼此冲突且无法解释。

全球半导体供应链高管对AI需求、产能投资和关键基础设施的判断
贸易、地缘政治、供应链韧性与跨区域合作议题
会议观点能否与晶圆厂、设备材料商的资本开支、订单和交付披露相互验证

A股观察：AI算力与半导体设备材料观察、先进封装、测试与关键零部件观察、全球供应链与国产替代验证观察

2026-11-05–2026-11-05 · 日本银行公布9月金融政策决定会合议事要旨 · 已确认

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meetings →

确认条件

日本银行官方表列明9月会合议事要旨于11月5日公布；核对其相对主要意见和政策声明的新增信息。

失效条件

官方发布时间改期或未发布；或文本无法提供可复核的政策条件变化。

委员会讨论细节
风险平衡与政策条件
日元和亚洲利率反应

A股观察：亚洲利率观察、汇率与外需观察、全球风险偏好观察

假设按归档日投影，隐藏之后结算的结果；事件日历为当前维护资料。

判断也要接受检验

未确认判断单独统计，证据不足单列；分母为已结算条数，近20交易日按结算日。

累计

近20个交易日

共 0 条假设

数据生成于 2026-10-05T13:01:49.052083+08:00。方向采用成分快照，历史重算须核对成员采集日期。